Fault Lines Episode 574: Who will be the Persian Delcy Rodriguez?

Wed, 25 Mar 2026 16:11:16 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Matthew, and Matt unpack the growing uncertainty in Iran as the United States prepares to deploy up to 3,000 additional troops while President Trump advances a 15-point peace plan. At the center of this moment is a fragile leadership picture, with Mojtaba Khamenei reportedly in power but sidelined by injury and inexperience, and figures like Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf emerging as potential intermediaries—or future power brokers.

Who is actually speaking for the U.S. in these talks, and is there a credible counterpart on the Iranian side? As a coalition forms to secure global energy flows, does this mark a turning point in allied coordination? With rapid advances in defense technology underway, is this conflict reshaping not just the region, but the future of warfare?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 573: Missiles and Mixed Signals

Mon, 23 Mar 2026 16:09:10 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, Jess, and Matt examine Iran's latest escalation after Tehran launched two intermediate-range missiles at Diego Garcia, a US-UK joint base on Friday. This morning, President Trump announced a five-day pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure, claiming weekend progress in talks with Iran. The announcement comes as Iran demonstrates it can now hold more than just the Middle East hostage, with its longer-range capabilities potentially dragging Europe directly into the conflict.

Is Trump's pause a genuine diplomatic opening or a negotiation tactic? With Iran's longer-range capabilities in play and the Strait of Hormuz increasingly unstable, will European capitals finally be compelled to act? What does this mean for U.S. marines deploying to the region?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fri, 13 Mar 2026 20:44:47 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, and Les break down a clash between the Pentagon and Anthropic, a leading AI company. The dispute arose after Anthropic said it does not want its technology used for mass surveillance of Americans or in fully autonomous weapons systems, while the Department of Defense insists its tools must remain available for any lawful purpose. When the two sides couldn’t agree, the Pentagon ordered Anthropic’s Claude AI removed from Defense Department networks and Anthropic sued.

Who ultimately sets the terms when private technology meets national security? Could this sweeping ban disrupt defense contracts and supply chains that increasingly rely on AI? And at a time of escalation in the Middle East, does sidelining a major AI provider strengthen U.S. security — or risk slowing innovation when it matters most?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 568: Trump and Xi: A Summit Without a Plan?

Wed, 11 Mar 2026 15:48:59 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, and Jess preview the upcoming Trump–Xi summit scheduled for March 31 in Beijing. Despite the significance of a meeting between the leaders of the world’s two largest powers, preparations appear unusually thin. Major head-of-state visits typically involve months of diplomatic groundwork, detailed agendas, and large business delegations, but reports suggest that planning for this summit remains unclear, with few policy objectives publicly identified.

What should the United States be aiming to achieve from this meeting? Is the administration missing an opportunity to shape the U.S.–China relationship at a critical moment, or is a quieter, less theatrical summit the strategy? And with China seeking stability and the U.S. balancing global crises from the Middle East to Europe, could this meeting quietly reset expectations between Washington and Beijing?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 567: Iran Into Week Two

Mon, 09 Mar 2026 15:22:15 GMT

Today, Jamil, Les, and Andy take stock of the war with Iran as the conflict enters its second week. Tehran has continued missile and drone attacks across the region, including strikes toward Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE, even as Iran’s president publicly apologized for some of the attacks. Meanwhile, Israel struck major fuel infrastructure inside Iran, and reports indicate the regime has selected Mojtaba Khamenei, son of the late Ayatollah, as the country’s new Supreme Leader, raising questions about a potentially more hardline and hereditary turn in Iran’s leadership.

What does the selection of Mojtaba Khamenei mean for the future of the Iranian regime and its relationship with the United States? Is this a moment Washington could use to pressure the regime as its command-and-control structure shows signs of strain? And with conflicting statements emerging from Iran’s political and military leadership, are we witnessing the fog of war or deeper fractures within the regime itself?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out these sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/irans-foreign-minister-rejects-calls-ceasefire-continue-fighting-rcna262291

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/07/offer-from-irans-president-to-not-attack-neighbours-provokes-internal-backlash

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/world/middleeast/israel-iran-oil-strikes.html?unlocked_article_code=1.RlA.7y5K.rylKW2rO5YJs&smid=nytcore-ios-share

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Fault Lines Episode 566: One Week of War: What Comes Next?

Fri, 06 Mar 2026 16:43:18 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, Joshua, and Algene revisit the war with Iran as the conflict enters its seventh day. Iran has launched waves of drones and missiles across the region, including strikes toward Azerbaijan, Turkey, Cyprus, and several Sunni Arab states, in what appears to be an effort to widen the conflict. Meanwhile, reports suggest Russia is providing targeting intelligence to Iran, while Ukraine has offered assistance to the U.S. and Israel based on its battlefield experience countering drones and missiles.

Where does the conflict go from here? Will Iran’s efforts to broaden the war draw in new actors or continue to push regional states closer to Washington? What role might partners like Ukraine or private defense companies play as the demand for missile and drone defense grows? And as Congress narrowly votes down resolutions opposing the war under the War Powers Resolution, does that effectively amount to legislative approval of the President’s actions?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 565: Strikes, Retaliation, and the Risk of a Wider War

Wed, 04 Mar 2026 18:45:37 GMT

Today, Morgan, Andy, Jess, and Marc provide an update on the escalating conflict with Iran following the launch of Operation Epic Fury. The joint U.S.–Israeli campaign is still underway, with strikes targeting Iranian missile and naval capabilities while Tehran and its proxies retaliate against U.S. interests in the region. What began as a decapitation strike has quickly expanded into a broader military effort, raising questions about how far the United States intends to go.

Is this still a limited operation, or the start of a longer regional conflict? How long can the United States realistically sustain a campaign of this scale? And as Congress debates war powers and funding while global shipping, energy markets, and U.S. force posture come under pressure, what are the wider consequences of this campaign?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 564: Epic Fury: Iran After Khamenei

Mon, 02 Mar 2026 17:36:14 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, and Morgan discuss Operation Epic Fury and the killing of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following coordinated U.S. and Israeli strikes across Iran. The operation marks a historic moment in a decades-long confrontation that has shaped every American presidency since 1979. The immediate questions now center on what comes next, for Iran, the region, and the broader international system.

Will this decapitation strike trigger the collapse of the regime, or does Iran’s deeply entrenched security apparatus remain intact? Should the United States actively support fragmented opposition groups, and if so, how? And as Iran’s partners in Moscow and Beijing weigh their response, what are the risks of escalation, including potential disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and global energy markets?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Wed, 18 Feb 2026 16:52:20 GMT

Today, Morgan, Andy, and Algene discuss the deployment of 100 U.S. troops to Nigeria, with another 100 on the way. The forces are tasked with training, intelligence sharing, and logistical support for Nigerian troops battling extremist violence in the north, but will not participate in combat operations. The move follows President Trump’s sharp criticism of the Nigerian government, including claims that it has failed to protect Christians from what he has called a “genocide.”

What is really driving instability in Nigeria and is Washington framing the conflict correctly? Will a limited U.S. security presence help address the root causes of violence, or risk reinforcing a misleading narrative? And as reports surface of Nigerians being recruited under false pretenses and sent to fight in Ukraine, what does that tell us about the pressures facing Nigeria’s youth and the consequences of prolonged instability?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 558: Olympic Curling Scandal and Rubio Speech: This Week in Europe

Mon, 16 Feb 2026 17:24:22 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Morgan, and Jess break down Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s speech at the Munich Security Conference, where he closed to a standing ovation. The remarks come at a delicate moment, with European leaders still unsettled by disputes over Greenland and tariffs. Rubio’s tone contrasted sharply with Vice President Vance’s harsher message at last year’s conference, suggesting a stylistic shift even if the administration’s broader approach remains the same.

Was Rubio extending a true olive branch, or delivering the same message in a more diplomatic wrapper? As transatlantic ties evolve, how will Europe navigate expectations about responsibility and defense? If Washington and its partners fail to get back on the same page, can they hope to compete effectively with China?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 557: Fueling the Regime: Oil, Sanctions, and Security in Cuba

Fri, 13 Feb 2026 17:07:25 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, Les, and Matt examine whether real change could finally be coming to Cuba. The United States has declared a national emergency with respect to Cuba and threatened tariffs on countries supplying the island with oil. This follows Washington’s move to cut off Venezuelan oil, leaving the island increasingly isolated as its economy buckles under decades of mismanagement. At the same time, Russia and China continue to use Cuba as a platform for intelligence and influence just miles from American shores.

Does this moment present a genuine strategic opportunity to reshape the balance of power in the Caribbean? What are national security risks posed by Russian and Chinese activity on and around the island? What would meaningful change in Cuba actually look like?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 556: Netanyahu in Washington: The Iran Calculus

Wed, 11 Feb 2026 18:33:32 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, Andrew, and Amy unpack Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s visit to Washington, where he is set to meet with President Trump to discuss the ongoing U.S. negotiations with Iran. Netanyahu intends to ensure Israeli security interests are addressed and to share intelligence as Washington continues talks with Tehran. While the Trump administration pursues diplomacy, it has also deployed U.S. carriers to the region, signaling that negotiations are backed by force.

The administration has made clear its core demands are full denuclearization and an end to the regime’s violent repression of protesters. But with Iran weakened, boxed in, and facing deep internal unrest, would its regime rather endure U.S. pressure than accept terms that could threaten their grip on power? As both leaders weigh the risks of escalation today, can they shape an outcome that prevents a nuclear Iran without triggering a broader regional conflict?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 555: Japan's New Mandate

Mon, 09 Feb 2026 16:28:45 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, and Jess break down Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s sweeping victory in a snap election, a historic result that gives the Liberal Democratic Party a two-thirds majority in the lower house for the first time since World War II. The outcome dramatically strengthens Takaichi’s political mandate and opens the door to significant shifts in Japan’s national security policy. With a strong working relationship with Washington, the moment may be ripe for deeper U.S.–Japan coordination and a stronger coalition to counter China’s growing military power, including its rapidly expanding nuclear arsenal.

While Takaichi now has the authority to act on national security issues, economic concerns are what drove voters to the polls. Can she deliver economic results while advancing a more assertive defense agenda? And as China pushes regional red lines, how will Japan balance domestic pressures with the strategic realities ahead?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines Episode 554: A New New START?

Fri, 06 Feb 2026 16:55:36 GMT

Today Jess, Les, Morgan, and Matt unpack the expiration of New START, the 2010 arms control treaty long described as the last remaining guardrail on U.S. and Russian nuclear forces. Washington and Moscow together hold roughly 85% of the world’s nuclear weapons but Russia has proven an inconsistent arms control partner, raising questions of what, if anything, comes next.

Is negotiating a new agreement worthwhile if Russia and China show little interest in being constrained? What would a credible next framework need to include? And absent a formal treaty, what informal mechanism can realistically prevent a new arms race?

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Fault Lines Episode 553: Backyard Reset: Panama, Colombia, and Washington’s Regional Reboot

Wed, 04 Feb 2026 16:23:37 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jamil, Les, and Andy survey a busy week in the Western Hemisphere, as the Trump administration sharpens its focus closer to home. President Gustavo Petro’s visit to the White House signaled a thaw in U.S.–Colombia relations, with renewed counternarcotics cooperation and discussions around exporting Venezuelan natural gas to Colombia. Meanwhile, Panama’s Supreme Court annulled a contract allowing a Hong Kong–based company to operate ports at the Panama Canal, prompting sharp warnings from Beijing and aligning closely with Washington’s push to limit China’s influence in the region.

Are these signs that the U.S. is finally reasserting itself in the Western Hemisphere? Is the message landing with China and Russia as Washington draws firmer lines around the Panama Canal, Venezuela, and regional security? And after years of U.S. neglect that allowed Beijing to become a top trading partner for many Latin American countries, can renewed attention actually push adversaries out and deliver lasting influence?

Check out these sources that shaped our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/china-calls-panama-court-ruling-ck-hutchison-port-contracts-shameful-pathetic-2026-02-03/

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-meet-colombian-president-gustavo-petro-venezuela-nicolas-maduro-rcna257101

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Fault Lines Episode 552: Sudan, Regional Rivals, and U.S. Interests

Mon, 02 Feb 2026 16:41:37 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Morgan, and Matt turn to Sudan, where a brutal civil war has entered its third year and now stands as one of the world’s worst humanitarian catastrophes. As fighting between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces continues to displace millions and drive staggering civilian casualties, regional powers are deepening their involvement. With Turkey, Egypt, the UAE, and others backing opposing sides, the conflict is increasingly shaped by proxy warfare and emerging military technologies.

What does this escalating proxy fight mean for U.S. interests? As Washington pulls back traditional aid tools and shifts its foreign policy posture toward trade and economic leverage, does the U.S. still have influence in a conflict this severe? How should policymakers think about Sudan’s strategic geography, especially as China and Russia look for openings to expand their footprint? And in a war where outside actors fuel the violence but Sudanese leaders bear responsibility, what role, if any, should the United States play?

Check out these sources that shaped our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/general/sudan-humanitarian-situation-is-worst-crisis-of-2025/ar-AA1SIQ00?ocid=BingNewsVerp

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/sudans-war-torn-capital-sees-commercial-flight-land-129749973

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/01/world/africa/egypt-sudan-drones.html

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@NotTVJessJones

@WMattHayden

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Fault Lines Episode 551: Between Rhetoric and Reality: What’s Going on in Iran

Fri, 30 Jan 2026 16:33:38 GMT

Fault Lines Episode 551: Between Rhetoric and Reality: What’s Going on in Iran

Today, Morgan, Jamil, Matt, and Jess take a closer look at Iran, where widespread unrest continues largely out of view. Reports suggest protests have erupted in hundreds of cities, with tens of thousands killed or detained as the regime has tightened control, shut down the internet, and doubled down on its support for the Ayatollah. As Europe moves to designate the IRGC as a terrorist organization and U.S. naval forces operate nearby, President Trump has issued stark warnings, calling on Tehran to end its nuclear ambitions and stop killing protesters, while hinting at behind-the-scenes contact with Iranian interlocutors.

What happens now? Is this another wave of protests destined to be crushed without meaningful international support, or is there a real window for outside pressure to make a difference? What does Trump mean when he says “help is coming,” and does credibility suffer if that help never materializes? Is the United States prepared to act, or content to wait and see yet again?

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Fault Lines Episode 550: Inside the New National Defense Strategy

Wed, 28 Jan 2026 16:42:52 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Morgan, Andrew, and Amy break down the National Defense Strategy released last Friday, the Pentagon’s core blueprint for deterring adversaries and preventing conflict. Issued just weeks after the White House rolled out its National Security Strategy, the NDS reinforces familiar themes: deterring China through strength rather than conflict, pushing allies and partners to shoulder more regional security burdens, prioritizing the Western Hemisphere, and revitalizing the U.S. defense industrial base.

Does the strategy signal a meaningful pivot toward de-escalation with China? Can U.S. allies and partners realistically fulfill the burden-sharing roles the strategy assigns them? And as sovereignty, trade, and security increasingly collide, does this strategy provide a clear framework for managing overlapping global threats—or allow for too much ambiguity at a critical moment?

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Fri, 16 Jan 2026 17:11:02 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Andrew, and Joshua take a step back from the headlines for a Fun Friday roundtable on the best and worst American foreign policy decisions, inspired by a recent Council on Foreign Relations article drawing on conversations with the Society for Historians of American Foreign Relations. From the Marshall Plan and Bretton Woods to PEPFAR and the peaceful end of the Cold War in Europe, the team reflects on moments when U.S. leadership, economic power, and long-term thinking paid real dividends.

What separates foreign policy successes from failures? Why do some hard-power decisions look effective at first but unravel over time? And as the U.S. looks ahead, what should decision-makers keep firmly in mind before reaching for any one instrument of power?

Check out the article that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.cfr.org/ten-best-ten-worst-us-foreign-policy-decisions/?utm_source=newsrelease&utm_campaign=best-worst-2026&utm_medium=email&utm_term=PressCFR%20-%20Including%20Members%20and%20Staff

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Episode 545: The U.S. Weighs It’s Iran Options

Wed, 14 Jan 2026 16:28:03 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Morgan, and Andy revisit Iran as protests continue to escalate and the reported death toll climbs into the thousands. President Trump was briefed this week on response options and has publicly signaled support for demonstrators, saying that “help is on the way.”

What does meaningful support for Iranian protesters actually look like? Should the United States openly back regime change—and if so, how, given limited military presence and a fractured opposition? Are covert action, cyber operations, and coordination with regional partners more realistic tools than overt force? And as Trump isolates Iran economically and diplomatically, is this the beginning of a pressure campaign that could genuinely tip the balance, or another moment of outrage without follow-through?

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Episode 544: Iran on the Edge: Protest, Pressure, and Power

Mon, 12 Jan 2026 16:30:37 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Morgan, and Jess discuss escalating protests across Iran, where economic collapse and political repression are driving nationwide unrest. Demonstrations that began with small business owners have spread to major cities, prompting a violent crackdown by security forces and an internet shutdown. As the regime insists the situation is under control, President Trump has warned publicly that continued mass killings could trigger U.S. action, while Iranian officials have quietly floated the possibility of renewed nuclear talks.

Is this protest movement meaningfully different from past uprisings that fizzled under pressure? Has the regime been weakened enough, internally and externally, for unrest to threaten its hold on power? And with Iran’s opposition fractured and no clear alternative government waiting in the wings, what leverage does the United States actually have if it wants to support change without creating a far more dangerous vacuum?

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Mon, 22 Dec 2025 19:30:00 GMT

Episode 540: The Holiday Special - Unwrapping 2025

Today, Jessica, Jamil, Morgan, Lester, Les, Lipsey, Matthew, and Marc take stock of a consequential year in U.S. national security. From President Trump’s push to brand himself as a “peace president”—highlighted by multiple diplomatic agreements and the Gaza peace plan—to moments of hard power, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear program, 2025 defied easy labels. The team reflects on undercovered but significant developments as well: the dismantling of the U.S. foreign assistance architecture, growing concern over advanced technology transfers to China, sweeping changes to the federal workforce through DOGE, and a renewed focus on the Western Hemisphere, particularly Venezuela and Haiti.

Looking ahead to 2026, what will ultimately shape U.S. national security: the trajectory of Ukraine, a recalibration of China policy, or the domestic pressures of a midterm election year? Are tariffs becoming a permanent tool of U.S. leverage or a temporary negotiating tactic? And as the administration continues to reshape how American power is exercised, which lessons from 2025 will matter most?

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Episode 539: Live from RNDF: Ambassador Yui

Fri, 19 Dec 2025 15:13:56 GMT

Episode 539: Live from RNDF: Ambassador Yui

As part of our crossover series of Fault Lines and CTRL+F, “Modern Deterrence: Allies, Innovation, and the Future of Defense,” recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and Jamil sit down with Ambassador Yui, Taiwan’s Representative to the United States. With more than 35 years of diplomatic experience—including senior leadership roles in Taiwan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and postings across Europe, Latin America, and the U.S.—Ambassador Yui offers a uniquely informed view of the shifting security landscape in the Indo-Pacific and Taiwan’s evolving role within it.

How does Taiwan assess the current deterrence environment amid intensifying PLA activity and hybrid pressure from Beijing? Where are the biggest opportunities, and remaining obstacles, in United States–Taiwan defense, economic, and technological partnership? And as Taiwan advances major modernization efforts, from asymmetric defense to cyber resilience and semiconductor security, what should Washington understand about the capabilities, priorities, and challenges shaping Taiwan’s strategic future?

@jamil_n_jaffer

@nottvjessjones

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Episode 538: Live from RNDF: Mina Faltas and Dmitri Alperovitch

Wed, 17 Dec 2025 16:11:38 GMT

As part of our crossover series of Fault Lines and CTRL+F, “Modern Deterrence: Allies, Innovation, and the Future of Defense,” recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and Jamil sit down with Washington Harbour Partners Founder and Chief Investment Officer Mina Faltas - with a surprise appearance from NSI Advisory Board Member and Silverado Policy Accelerator co-founder Dmitri Alperovitch. Together, they explore how private capital, technological innovation, and strategic competition are reshaping the future of American and allied deterrence.

How are investors evaluating risk in an era defined by U.S.–China rivalry, hybrid conflict, and accelerating breakthroughs in technology? What role should private capital play in national security, and where is the market still mispricing geopolitical and regulatory risk? And as cyber and space become more central to modern conflict, how can the U.S. and its allies strengthen resilience and build the next generation of deterrence?

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 537: Live from RNDF: Congressman Don Bacon

Mon, 15 Dec 2025 17:25:54 GMT

As part of our crossover series of Fault Lines and CTRL+F, “Modern Deterrence: Allies, Innovation, and the Future of Defense,” recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jamil and Jess sit down with Congressman Don Bacon, retired Air Force Brigadier General and chair of the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Cyber, Information Technologies, and Innovation.

How should Congress prioritize modernization as China, Russia, and other adversaries accelerate their investment in emerging technologies? What lessons from Ukraine should shape U.S. doctrine, acquisitions, and alliance cooperation? And how should the U.S. think about offensive cyber, AI-enabled capabilities, and the future of deterrence in a rapidly evolving threat landscape?

@jamil_n_jaffer

@morganlroach

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Episode 536: Live from RNDF: Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster

Fri, 12 Dec 2025 16:25:35 GMT

As part of our crossover series of Fault Lines and CTRL+F, “Modern Deterrence: Allies, Innovation, and the Future of Defense,” recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and Morgan sit down with Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster, former U.S. National Security Advisor. Drawing on insights from his decades of service and his work shaping the U.S. military’s future force, McMaster helps us understand what’s truly new in today’s era of great-power competition and rapid technological change - and why this moment might be when Russia is at its weakest. (If I am remembering correctly talked a lot about Russia)

How should policymakers think about deterrence in a world where battlefields stretch from Europe to the Indo-Pacific to cyberspace? What historical “rhymes” matter most right now? What gives McMaster confidence in America’s ability to compete and what keeps him up at night?

@nottvjessjones

@morganlroach

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Mon, 01 Dec 2025 16:55:08 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Morgan, and Jess discuss rising tensions around Venezuela, where the U.S. has surged military assets into the region after months of striking drug-running vessels, and President Trump is set to meet with his cabinet tonight to decide next steps. Reports suggest an ultimatum may have been delivered to Nicolás Maduro over the weekend. One early U.S. strike is now under bipartisan scrutiny after allegations that American forces fired on survivors—prompting both Armed Services Committees to open investigations into the legality and authorities behind current operations.

What are the administration’s strategic aims, and is the U.S. prepared for the consequences of the largest Western military buildup in the Caribbean since 1994? How will Congress’ stepped-up oversight shape the administration’s options? And with a streamlined NSC structure and an administration leaning into ambiguity, does this campaign reflect a coherent strategy—or a high-risk pressure play designed to keep allies and adversaries off balance?

Check out these sources that helped shape our fellows’ discussions:

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/venezuela/article313261442.html

https://stories.theconversation.com/tracking-the-us-military-in-the-caribbean/

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@morganlroach

@nottvjessjones

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Episode 531: Written in Red? The Peace Plan Raising Alarms

Mon, 24 Nov 2025 19:16:50 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Morgan, and Jess unpack new revelations about the 28-point Ukraine peace proposal. Over the weekend several senators went to the press and announced that Secretary of State Rubio had told them the plan was drafted originally by Russians. The White House attempted to walk that back, saying it was a U.S. plan that incorporated Russian ideas, but the concessions it outlines for Ukraine have reinforced suspicions about its true authorship.

Has the plan moved talks forward, or revealed how week Washington’s leverage really is? Can Zelensky navigate between maintaining U.S. support and avoiding a deal that rewards Russian aggression? And with President Trump pushing for progress, are we on the path toward a ceasefire–or simply watching the opening moves of a long and messy negotiation?

Check out these sources that helped shape our fellows’ discussions:

https://www.axios.com/2025/11/20/trump-ukraine-peace-plan-28-points-russia

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-peace-plan-europe-witkoff-33545b140c5bfbbc5e9061a739802e54

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly1ypqlle0o

@lestermunson

@nottvjessjones

@morganlroach

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 530: The Ukraine Peace Plan — Ceasefire or Capitulation?

Fri, 21 Nov 2025 19:42:07 GMT

Today, Jess, Jamil, Les, and Morgan break down the Trump Administration’s new 28-point peace plan for Ukraine — a proposal that would cap Ukraine’s military size, cede territory to Russia, redirect frozen Russian assets toward reconstruction, and ban future NATO membership. Moscow’s envoy praised the plan, Kyiv says it plans on discussing it with the White House, and European allies and some Congressional members express alarm over the terms.

Is this the beginning of the end of the war, or a diplomatic dead end? What does the proposal signal about the White House’s larger Ukraine-Russia strategy? Does this proposal reward Russian aggression and risk legitimizing invasion as a negotiating tool?

Check out these sources that helped shape our fellows’ discussions:

https://www.axios.com/2025/11/20/trump-ukraine-peace-plan-28-points-russia

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-peace-plan-europe-witkoff-33545b140c5bfbbc5e9061a739802e54

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly1ypqlle0o

@nottvjessjones

@morganlroach

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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Episode 529: Saudi Arabia Returns to the White House

Wed, 19 Nov 2025 19:12:32 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jamil, Matt, and Jess unpack Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s high-profile visit to Washington, his first since the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, and a landmark $1 trillion investment announcement alongside a U.S. agreement to sell the Kingdom F-35 fighter jets. The visit, including a business summit at the Kennedy Center, underscores Saudi Arabia’s growing economic and strategic importance to the United States.

As President Trump deepens ties with Riyadh and pushes for Saudi normalization with Israel through the Abraham Accords, is this a pragmatic step toward regional stability — or a transactional bet with long-term risks? Can trade and tech cooperation truly build a new Middle Eastern “NATO,” or is Washington gambling on partnerships that could prove fragile?

@morganlroach

@jamil_n_jaffer

@nottvjessjones

@WMattHayden

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Episode 528: A House of Dynamite — How Real Is Netflix’s New Nuclear Thriller?

Mon, 17 Nov 2025 19:08:26 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Morgan, and Jess break from the usual policy deep-dives for a special episode: a review of A House of Dynamite, the new 90-minute Netflix thriller that imagines a nuclear missile headed straight for the United States. The film unfolds through three overlapping vantage points—a Navy captain running the White House Situation Room, a deputy national security advisor suddenly thrust into a life-or-death decision cycle, and a Secretary of Defense guiding a president portrayed by Idris Elba. With standout performances from Jared Harris, Rebecca Ferguson, and newcomer Gabriel Basso, the movie blends high-stakes crisis response with surprisingly grounded depictions of how the U.S. government might react in the unthinkable scenario of an inbound nuclear strike.

How realistic is Hollywood’s take on nuclear command and control? Which perspective offers the most credible view of how the system actually works? And what does the film get right—or wrong—about the speed, uncertainty, and pressure of decision-making when minutes determine national survival?

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@nottvjessjones

@morganlroach

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Episode 527: Baghdad at the Ballot Box: What Iraq’s Election Means for the U.S.

Fri, 14 Nov 2025 16:50:28 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Matt, and Algene discuss Iraq’s parliamentary elections, where Prime Minister Mohammed Shia’ al-Sudani’s coalition claimed victory, though history suggests the post-election power struggles are just beginning. With half of Iraq’s population under 25, voter turnout strong, and political violence relatively low, this election could mark a step forward for Iraqi democracy.

What do the results mean for U.S. strategy in the region as Washington prepares to reduce its troop presence by 2026? Can Iraq resist deepening Iranian influence at a time when Syria’s landscape is shifting? And as the U.S. pushes to expand the Abraham Accords and secure energy stability, will Baghdad emerge as a partner for regional progress — or a pressure point for America’s Middle East policy?

Check out this source that helped shape our fellows’ discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iraqs-prime-minister-iran-backed-militias-set-for-difficult-negotiations-after-election-4668abb8?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqfwA1yCAZTvMYMMp3i22_AkbCNDrQA-Ipis82JTDlJhiWMQ7gXCr_20BU6k91s%3D&gaa_ts=6916447b&gaa_sig=A231zbhaHMgoOWVXiVlE9kmZm1YmZvrIr9lVtai7yGoudpX6Xg-xoN3621z8UoZoEU1mt7i5d4OsmTh2rcb7JA%3D%3D4dd7f26b8e98

@nottvjessjones

@lestermunson

@AlgeneSajery

@WMattHayden

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Episode 526: Power Projection or Overreach? U.S. Fleet Heads to the Caribbean

Wed, 12 Nov 2025 16:24:16 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jamil, Les, and Jess discuss the Trump administration’s deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group to the Caribbean as part of its intensified campaign against Latin American drug cartels. The move dramatically expands U.S. presence in the U.S. Southern Command’s area of operations—with destroyers, F-35 fighters, and Reaper drones joining the effort—and has drawn a fierce response from Venezuela’s Maduro regime, which launched its own military exercises in protest.

What’s Washington’s real objective here, countering narcotics networks or signaling to Caracas? And if most fentanyl traffics through land routes via Mexico, not by sea, is this deployment really about fighting the drug trade, or about projecting power closer to Venezuela’s shores? As regional partners like Colombia and the UK distance themselves from the mission, is this bold strategy a show of deterrence—or a costly display of overkill?

Check out this source that helped shape our fellows’ discussion:

@morganlroach

@lestermunson

@nottvjessjones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 525: Anchors Away? U.S. Sinks Global Shipping Tax Vote

Mon, 10 Nov 2025 19:27:34 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, and Jess discuss the Trump administration’s successful effort to delay a major vote at the International Maritime Organization (IMO), the UN body that oversees global shipping regulations. The proposal would have taxed vessels based on carbon emissions, with revenues funneled to the UN. The U.S. opposed the measure, warning it would raise shipping fuel costs and threaten to worsen inflation at home. After intense U.S. lobbying—described by some as bullying—the IMO voted to postpone the plan.

Was this coercion or simply hardball diplomacy? Should the UN, through the IMO, have the authority to levy global taxes in the first place? And as the administration frames its push as economic self-defense, does this signal a broader rejection of multilateral climate measures that Washington sees as bad for business?

Check out this souce that helped shape our fellows’ discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/06/climate/trump-climate-international-bullying.html

@lestermunson

@nottvjessjones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Mon, 27 Oct 2025 15:41:00 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Jess discuss the latest from President Trump’s Asia tour — with stops in Malaysia, Japan, and South Korea ahead of this week’s high-profile U.S.–China meeting at APEC. With a new framework reportedly in place between Trump and Xi, including quarterly check-ins, Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, cooperation on critical minerals, and a fentanyl agreement, the conversation turns to what real progress looks like.

Will this meeting mark a genuine thaw in U.S.–China relations or just a temporary easing of tensions? Can these trade and minerals agreements meaningfully rebalance competition, or do they simply restore the uneasy status quo? With the U.S. economy in question, could this meeting deliver practical gains to American workers and industries – or will the promises fade once the cameras turn off?

More information on today’s topic:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1lqj5lz4geo

@marthamillerdc

@nottvjessjones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 518: Russia Round Up: Sanctions, Strategy, and the Next Phase of Pressure

Fri, 24 Oct 2025 15:24:03 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Les, and Matt break down the newest wave of U.S. sanctions targeting Russian oil exports — measures designed to cut off Russia’s funding for war in Ukraine. The package includes new secondary sanctions aimed at major buyers like India and China. India is signaling a possible rethink of its Russian oil purchases, Europe is weighing the use of frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine, and — for the first time in months — the U.S. and its allies seem aligned on a tougher, coordinated economic strategy.

Will this escalation of targeting Russia’s oil exports finally dent its war machine? Or has Russia already perfected the art of sanctions evasion? If these economic measures are paired with renewed military support for Ukraine, could that combination finally shift momentum on the battlefield?

More information on today’s topic:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd6758pn6ylo

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/10/23/russia-nuclear-subs-western-technology-surevillance/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/10/23/eu-frozen-russian-money-ukraine/

@nottvjessjones

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@WMattHayden

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Episode 517: Rare Earths and Realpolitik: Inside the U.S. Australia Deal

Wed, 22 Oct 2025 16:40:53 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Andy, and Jess discuss Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s White House visit and a pair of major announcements: a reinvigorated AUKUS partnership and a new U.S.–Australia critical minerals deal. While both moves signal deepening strategic and economic ties, the real test will be delivery, building nuclear-powered submarines, securing rare earth supply chains, and reducing reliance on China’s market dominance.

Can Washington and Canberra turn these announcements into action, or will timelines and industrial bottlenecks slow progress into the 2030s? Is this partnership a true step toward allied self-reliance, or mostly a political win for both leaders? And with China already waging what some would call supply chain warfare, how quickly can the U.S. and its allies really catch up?

More information on today’s topic:

https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-anthony-albanese-submarine-australia-trade-7db18e2b942176623dcad283bfad3a6c

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/us-expedite-nuclear-powered-subs-australia-sit-near-chinas-doorstep

https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/china-responds-us-australia-rare-earths-dealv

https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/10/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-closes-billion-dollar-deals-with-australia/

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@nottvjessjones

@andykeiser

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Episode 516: Bogotá or Bust?

Tue, 21 Oct 2025 14:08:38 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jamil, Martha, and Jess unpack the growing tension between Washington and Bogotá after President Trump accused Colombian President Gustavo Petro of running a drug manufacturing regime and threatened to slash aid and impose tariffs. The escalation follows Colombia’s inclusion last month on the U.S. list of countries failing to cooperate with anti-narcotics efforts—and a U.S. strike on a Colombian vessel in the Caribbean that Washington claims was tied to narco-trafficking.

Is this just political posturing or a real rupture with one of America’s closest partners in Latin America? Can Trump’s hard line curb Colombia’s rising coca production, or will it drive Bogotá closer to China and other regional players? And with talk of covert operations in Venezuela, is the administration risking another fight in the neighborhood just as it needs allies the most?

@marthamillerdc

@nottvjessjones

@morganlroach

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 515: Tomahawks and Tensions: Trump’s Next Move on Ukraine

Fri, 17 Oct 2025 15:31:03 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Jess, and Algene discuss President Trump’s renewed focus on Ukraine following the Gaza ceasefire. President Zelensky is in Washington this week to discuss the possibility of Washington providing Tomahawk missiles—a move seen as both a gesture of support for Kyiv and a signal to Moscow. But after Trump’s recent call with Vladimir Putin, it’s hard to say exactly where things stand or how far the administration is willing to go.

Is this strategic balance between deterrence and diplomacy sustainable? Can Trump apply lessons from the Israel–Hamas peace deal to the Russia–Ukraine conflict, or are the stakes, and the adversaries, fundamentally different? And with Congress stalled on tougher sanctions, will symbolic gestures like limited missile transfers have real impact, or is this summit diplomacy without substance?

@marthamillerdc

@nottvjessjones

@lestermunson

@AlgeneSajery

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Episode 514: Madagascar in Motion: Gen Z’s Push for Change

Wed, 15 Oct 2025 15:23:03 GMT

Today, Jess, Jamil, Martha, and Les discuss the wave of Gen Z–led protests shaking governments across continents—from Madagascar and Nepal, where leaders have fled, to Indonesia and beyond. Driven by unemployment, corruption, and economic strain, these youth movements are leveraging social media and grassroots organizing to challenge entrenched power structures and, in some cases, topple leaders.

Are we seeing a new wave of youth-driven revolutions—a social-media-era sequel to the Arab Spring? What does growing instability in strategic regions like the Mozambique Channel mean for the U.S.? And how should Washington rethink its aid, training, and partnerships as political landscapes shift under generational pressure?

Check out the sources that helped shape our experts’ discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/madagascar-protests-rajoelina-ab1e1eb1aca45fe7e80e81314ebdb0c6

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cqxr3y3788pt

https://www.npr.org/2025/10/13/nx-s1-5573511/madagascar-president-flees-country-military-rebellion

https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2025/oct/14/this-generation-is-defiant-gen-z-protests-set-to-resume-in-morocco-despite-deaths-and-arrests

https://www.dw.com/en/gen-z-protests-why-are-asias-youth-so-angry/a-74349495

https://www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/protests-asia-gen-z-nepal-indonesia-rcna231096

@nottvjessjones

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 513: Shaking Up America — Trump, Gaza, and the Ripple Effects of Peace

Mon, 13 Oct 2025 18:34:41 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Amy, and Matt unpack the breakthrough in the Israel–Hamas peace process and what it means for U.S. foreign policy under President Trump. With the release of all remaining Israeli hostages, the exchange of Palestinian prisoners, and the implementation of Trump’s 20-point plan, the first phase of the agreement is underway—marking a major diplomatic win for the administration.

But what comes next? The team explores the broader implications: from renewed U.S. influence in the Middle East to the potential for progress on other global fronts. Could this model be applied to challenges like the war in Ukraine or U.S.–China trade tensions? Is the Trump approach to diplomacy—high stakes, high visibility—emerging as a new blueprint for American power projection?

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@amykmitchell

@WMattHayden

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Episode 512: Breaking Ground: Israel, Hamas and the First Phase of Peace

Fri, 10 Oct 2025 15:59:28 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Jamil, and Andrew unpack the implementation of the Israel-Hamas peace agreement. The first phase includes the return of Israeli hostages, the exchange of Palestinian prisoners and limited Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. Jared Kushner has also returned to the diplomatic stage—a possible sign for the Trump administration’s plans for the region. But major questions remain about Hamas’s disarmament, Gaza’s long-term governance, and the durability of a ceasefire.

Can this plan truly hold, or is it just another fragile truce in a long line of short-lived deals? Will the United States sustain pressure on both Israel and Hamas to implement each phase? And with Kushner’s return and growing regional buy-in, could this moment mark not only a breakthrough in Gaza but a broader turning point for Israel-Arab normalization?

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@jamil_n_jaffer

@AndrewBorene

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Episode 511: Prague at a Crossroads: Czech Elections and Europe’s Populist Wave

Wed, 08 Oct 2025 19:44:00 GMT

Today, Martha and Andy break down the results of the Czech parliamentary elections, where voter turnout hit a record 69%. Andrej Babiš’s populist party dominated the polls but fell short of a majority, setting up months of coalition negotiations that could reshape Czechia’s political landscape. With inflation, energy costs, and living standards driving the debate, Babiš campaigned on tax cuts, re-nationalizing energy, and pushing back on Brussels, raising questions about future support for Ukraine and the EU’s climate agenda and migrant policies.

Will Babiš’s win shift Czechia’s posture toward NATO and the EU? Can Prague maintain its leadership in supporting Ukraine and countering Russian disinformation, or will a more skeptical government open space for Moscow’s influence? And as U.S. observers draw parallels between Babiš and Trump, what could this election mean for transatlantic politics and the broader populist wave sweeping Europe?

Check out these sources that helped shape our expert’s discussion:

https://www.rferl.org/a/babis-czech-election-victory-brussels-kyiv-eu/33550348.html

https://www.politico.eu/article/five-key-takeaways-from-the-czech-election/

https://www.politico.eu/article/czech-elections-president-petr-pavel-nato-eu-cabinet-talks-andrej-babis/

https://x.com/AmbDanFried/status/1974536514785947896

@marthamillerdc

@AndyKeiser

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Episode 510: Hostages, Hardlines, and Hope in Egypt

Mon, 06 Oct 2025 16:42:36 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jamil, Les, and Marc discuss the ongoing negotiations between Israel and Hamas in Egypt—talks that come just before the second anniversary of the October 7th terrorist attacks. Hamas has reportedly agreed in principle to release the remaining hostages and relinquish control of Gaza, while Israel would scale back to earlier positions. But with both sides signaling changes on the margins, questions remain about whether a real deal is on the table or just diplomatic theater.

Is this the closest we’ve come to ending the war in Gaza, or another false start? How much pressure is Trump’s administration exerting behind the scenes and is his approach of public pressure and private deal-making actually working? If a ceasefire does take hold, what comes next for Israel’s security, Hamas’s political future, and the regional actors now lining up behind Trump’s plan?

@morganlroach

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@WashingtonFlack

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Episode 509: Pentagon Under Pressure

Fri, 03 Oct 2025 16:50:49 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Les, and Algene break down a week of developments at the Pentagon. Amidst a rebrand, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth gathered nearly 800 top generals and admirals from across the world for a headline-grabbing meeting in Virginia. At the same time, the current federal shutdown has left military pay uncertain, stalled defense contracting, and cut back intelligence and cyber staff. And with new requirements for NDAs and random polygraphs, questions are growing about whether these measures enhance security or risk undermining trust and transparency.

Was Hegseth’s Quantico meeting a culture reset or a show of control? How does the government shutdown impact defense readiness and U.S. credibility abroad? Are Pentagon press limits about protecting government secrets or shutting down the rumor mill?

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@algenesajery

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: Today, Jess, Martha, Les, and Algene break down a week of developments at the Pentagon. Amidst a rebrand, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth gathered nearly 800 top generals and admirals from across the world for a headline-grabbing meeting in Virginia. At the same time, the current federal shutdown has left military pay uncertain, stalled defense contracting, and cut back intelligence and cyber staff. And with new requirements for NDAs and random polygraphs, questions are growing about whether these measures enhance security or risk undermining trust and transparency.

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@algenesajery

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Episode 508: Gaza Peace Plan: Real Deal or Repeat?

Wed, 01 Oct 2025 16:12:36 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Jamil, and Jess break down the new Gaza peace plan unveiled by President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu at the White House. The proposal, reportedly a 20-point framework, calls for an Arab peacekeeping force led by Jordan and Egypt, a governing council that includes the Palestinian Authority but excludes Hamas, and the release of all hostages. Trump has put himself at the center of the effort, touting a role as Chairman of the Board of Peace, while Arab states like Qatar and Turkey have signaled openness to the plan.

Is this really a breakthrough or just a reshuffling of familiar proposals? Does Trump’s personal stake give the plan greater chances of success—or just raise the political risks if it fails? And with Arab leaders weighing their options after recent Israeli strikes, is this a moment for serious movement, or simply another round of the same stalemate?

Check out these sources which informed our experts’ opinions:

https://apnews.com/article/trump-netanyahu-israel-hamas-war-gaza-708a08671b8842d7a7a5e250ec51351c

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 507: Iran: Sanctions Snap Back

Mon, 29 Sep 2025 15:59:58 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Jess discuss the snapback of sanctions on Iran, nearly a decade after the JCPOA was signed. Despite Russian and Iranian attempts to block the move, pre-deal sanctions have been restored with support from Germany, France, and the UK. Tehran denounced the action as illegal and recalled its ambassadors, even as Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian sought to downplay the impact. Washington and the EU piled on with additional sanctions, raising the question: will renewed pressure shift Tehran’s behavior, or are we back where we were in 2015?

If U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear program were truly successful, why are sanctions still needed? And while sanctions have, at times, seemed to slow Iran’s nuclear ambitions, they haven’t stopped Tehran outright. What’s the broader strategy here? Can sanctions be more than a stopgap measure or will Iran’s nuclear program and alignment with Russia continue to advance despite international pressure?

Check out these sources which informed our experts’ opinions:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crme84w3n23o

@marthamillerdc

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 506: The F-35, the S-400, and the Future of U.S.–Turkey Defense Relations

Fri, 26 Sep 2025 15:54:59 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jeffrey, Andy, and Jess break down President Trump’s meeting with Turkish President Erdoğan following a busy week on the international stage. At the center of the talks: Turkey’s push to rejoin the F-35 fighter jet program after being expelled during Trump’s first term for buying Russia’s S-400 air defense system. While the tone was more conciliatory than in past years, no concrete commitments emerged — leaving open questions about Turkey’s role as a NATO ally and U.S. partner.

What does Turkey actually want from Washington, and what should the U.S. demand in return? Can Erdoğan rebuild trust without giving up the S-400? Should Trump leverage Turkey’s bid for NATO influence to extract concessions on Hamas, Israel, and Eastern Mediterranean disputes? And does letting Ankara back into the F-35 program reward bad behavior, or offer an opportunity to lock in long-term strategic gains?

Check out these sources which informed our experts’ opinions:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8jm3lr7vkyo

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

@andykeiser

Jeffrey Wells

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Episode 505: Showmanship or Strategy? Trump’s UN Address

Wed, 24 Sep 2025 16:11:18 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Morgan, and Jeffrey unpack President Trump’s speech at the 80th UN General Assembly — a wide-ranging address that touched on everything from real estate and polling numbers to sharp criticism of the UN itself. Beyond the headlines, the real intrigue came afterward: Trump’s meeting with President Zelensky included a surprising suggestion that NATO countries should shoot down Russian jets, while his conversations with Argentina’s president and the President of the European Commission underscored his preference for one-on-one diplomacy.

So what actually matters from this week in New York? Was Trump’s UNGA appearance more show than substance, or did his remarks and private bilaterals point to a real shift in U.S. foreign policy? What should we take away from Trump’s approach to the UN and the broader international order?

Check out these sources which informed our experts’ opinions:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cg423plexy1o

https://apnews.com/article/united-nations-unga-trump-global-feb243ecb979d53317dfb1cad9968038

https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/23/politics/takeaways-trump-un-speech

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

Jeffrey Wells

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Episode 504: Probes and Provocations: Russia Tests Estonia – and NATO

Mon, 22 Sep 2025 16:20:13 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Andy, and Jess unpack a dangerous new escalation on NATO’s flank: three Russian MiG-31s flew through Estonian airspace for several minutes on Friday, a violation Tallinn says it can prove even as Moscow denies the incident and accuses Estonia of provocation. NATO jets — including Italian F-35s and fighters from Sweden and Finland — scrambled in response. The incursion follows recent Russian drone overflights of Poland and Romania and comes amid an uptick in attacks inside Ukraine, raising alarms across Europe about Moscow’s willingness to push boundaries.

How should the U.S. and NATO respond to airspace violations that creep toward Article 5 thresholds? Is the right answer a sharper military posture — more weapons and patrols for Ukraine and Baltic defenses — or tighter economic and diplomatic pressure? And with allies in Europe calling for stronger action, will Washington elevate its response or risk encouraging further Russian probing?

Check out these sources which informed our experts’ opinions:

https://apnews.com/article/british-intelligence-mi6-russia-war-443df0c37ff2254fcc33d5425e3beaa6

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

@andykeiser

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Episode 503: Pageantry or Progress? Trump’s UK State Visit

Fri, 19 Sep 2025 16:15:23 GMT

Today, Morgan, Bishop, and Marc break down President Trump’s second state visit to the United Kingdom. The visit featured the largest military honor guard ever assembled for such an occasion, alongside announcements of major U.S. private-sector investments in UK industry from Microsoft, Nvidia, Palantir, and others.

Was this visit a substantive step forward in the U.S.-UK “special relationship,” or more pageantry than progress? How significant are the tech partnerships and investment pledges for the UK’s economy—and what do they signal about AI and tech regulation going forward? With many of the agreements still “aspirational,” how much weight should we give to this moment of symbolism and transatlantic continuity?

Check out these sources which informed our experts’ opinions:

https://apnews.com/article/trump-uk-state-visit-starmer-chequers-bc9088873ab7fc481c7163d60fe4da98

https://www.foxnews.com/world/trump-invokes-churchill-special-relationship-questions-over-uk-free-speech-grow

https://www.npr.org/2025/09/18/nx-s1-5544343/trump-starmer-press-conference

@morganlroach

@bishopgarrison

@WashingtonFlack

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Episode 502: Sinking Cartels: The U.S. Takes on Narco-Traffickers

Wed, 17 Sep 2025 16:56:10 GMT

Today, Jess, Jamil, and Les discuss U.S. military strikes that have sunk Venezuelan gang boats in Caribbean waters, with Washington alleging that they were carrying drugs bound for the U.S. The strikes mark a sharp escalation in the war on drugs, with the Trump Administration designating several gangs as terrorist organizations and authorizing preemptive military action to protect American security.

Is this approach more effective than past law enforcement–led efforts, or simply a show of unilateral force? What does it signal about America’s security priorities as China and Russia press their own challenges abroad? And how might it shift U.S.–Venezuela relations, regional stability, and the line between military and police power in fighting the drug trade?

Check out these sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions:

https://www.npr.org/2025/09/16/g-s1-88985/u-s-military-again-targeted-boat-carrying-drugs-venezuela

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna231505

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/09/15/trump-venezuela-drug-strike/

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 501: In the Danger Zone: Russia’s Drones Cross NATO Lines

Mon, 15 Sep 2025 15:33:58 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Martha, and Jess unpack reports of Russian drones violating Romanian and Polish airspace—sparking NATO forces to intercept and raising the stakes of direct conflict between NATO and Russia for the first time. With Russian attacks in Ukraine intensifying and Trump fresh from meetings with Putin and European leaders, the question of how the U.S. and NATO should respond is more urgent than ever.

Is Putin deliberately testing NATO’s resolve, betting he can cross red lines without consequence? Are sanctions and weapons deliveries enough, or is it time to escalate—whether through stronger economic pressure, expanded air defense, or even shutting down airspace over Ukraine?

Check out these sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions:

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/14/world/europe/romania-drone-russia-ukraine.html?unlocked_article_code=1.l08.bTAn.Cgo3MiA_TcVN&smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://www.newsweek.com/romania-russia-drone-poland-nato-ukraine-2129521

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/romania-scrambles-fighter-jets-after-reporting-drone-incursion-russia-ukraine/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c80g7g5rmlno

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

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#podcast #NationalSecurity #NatSec

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Episode 500: Defining the Next Era of National Security

Fri, 12 Sep 2025 19:05:29 GMT

To mark Fault Lines’ 500th episode, Martha, Jamil, Les, Morgan, and Jess reflect on how September 11, 2001 reshaped U.S. national security—and what comes next. From the trauma of that day to more recent shocks like political violence at home, the team examines how terrorism has evolved but remains a persistent threat, both domestically and abroad. They share personal experiences from 9/11 and the years that followed, the unity it inspired, and the lessons Americans cannot afford to forget.

But if terrorism once defined an era, what will define the next? Will it be great power competition, a resurgent Russia, technology-driven threats, or growing disunity at home? How can the U.S. strike the balance between strength and restraint, maintain deterrence without complacency, and rebuild trust in American leadership at home and abroad?

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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Episode 499: Operation Summit of Fire: Israel Strikes in Doha

Wed, 10 Sep 2025 15:18:15 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, and Bishop break down Israel’s dramatic strike on Hamas officials in Doha, part of Operation Summit of Fire. The attack killed five Hamas leaders—including the son of senior figure Khalil al-Hayya, though al-Hayya himself survived—and has sparked outrage in Qatar, a key U.S. partner and major host of CENTCOM operations. The Trump administration reportedly received little advance notice, raising questions about coordination and accountability.

What does this escalation mean for Israel’s war in Gaza and the broader Middle East? Does striking so openly in a U.S. ally’s capital mark a dangerous new precedent—or simply reinforce the longstanding message that those who threaten Israel will be hunted down? How will this affect hostage negotiations, U.S.–Qatar relations, and the fragile path toward a potential ceasefire?

Check out these sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions:

https://apnews.com/article/qatar-explosion-doha-e319dd51b170161372442831a8023db5

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@bishopgarrison

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Episode 498: Russia’s Biggest Strike Yet—What’s Next for Ukraine and the U.S.?

Mon, 08 Sep 2025 16:46:31 GMT

Today, Martha, Morgan, and Jess discuss Russia’s most massive aerial strike since the start of the full-scale invasion—an onslaught of over 800 Shahed drones, plus ballistic and cruise missiles. For the first time, Moscow hit Ukraine’s Cabinet of Ministers building, alongside devastating strikes on civilian areas. President Trump, signaling frustration, pledged to speak with Vladimir Putin soon as his team weighs a “phase two” sanctions package targeting Russian oil revenues and potentially punishing foreign buyers. Despite summits and talk of diplomacy, there is still no ceasefire framework or serious negotiations in sight.

What does Russia’s choice of targets reveal about its strategy at this stage of the war? How effective could a new round of U.S. and European sanctions be in pressuring Moscow? And with no diplomatic momentum, what options remain for Washington and Kyiv to shift the trajectory of the conflict?

Check out these sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions:

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/09/02/congress-pulls-the-rug-on-u-s-plan-to-beat-huawei-00527620

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/04/world/asia/china-hack-salt-typhoon.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/05/23/cisa-cyberattacks-china-doge-cuts/

@marthamillerdc

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 497: Salt Typhoon — China’s Cyber Blitz

Fri, 05 Sep 2025 16:14:57 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Morgan, and Algene break down Salt Typhoon — a years-long Chinese cyber campaign that impacted 80 countries, targeted U.S. telecommunications firms, and compromised millions of people, including political leaders and even National Guard systems. A new multinational report links the operation to three Chinese firms tied to Beijing’s military services, underscoring the scale of China’s push to dominate the global cyber domain even as the U.S. cuts cyber budgets.

How much damage did Salt Typhoon really do, and why should Americans care? Will Congress step up to strengthen U.S. cyber defenses? And why is Washington pulling back at the very moment that Beijing is doubling down on cyber operations?

Check out these sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions:

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/09/02/congress-pulls-the-rug-on-u-s-plan-to-beat-huawei-00527620

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/04/world/asia/china-hack-salt-typhoon.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/05/23/cisa-cyberattacks-china-doge-cuts/

@marthamillerdc

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

@AlgeneSajery

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Episode 496: FAFO Doctrine: Israel’s Strike on the Houthis

Wed, 03 Sep 2025 16:55:34 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Jess break down Israel’s strike on senior Houthi leaders in Yemen—a dramatic escalation in the conflict that has seen the Houthis effectively declare war on the Red Sea. Despite a U.S.-backed ceasefire in May, the group has continued to fire on international shipping, crippling global trade routes through the Suez Canal and acting as a key proxy for Iran. Israel’s strike, which killed the Houthis’ prime minister, foreign minister, and senior advisers, signals a shift in tempo and a warning shot at Tehran’s allies.

Does this change the long-term balance in the Red Sea, or will the Houthis adapt and keep attacking? How much leverage do Israel and the U.S. really have, given the Houthis’ resilience against years of outside strikes? And with Israel adopting what officials call the “FAFO doctrine”—short for “f— around and find out”—are we entering a new phase of deterrence?

Check out these sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c620ykrxedwo

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/thousands-attend-funeral-houthi-leaders-killed-by-israeli-strike-vow-revenge-2025-09-01/

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-hit-yemen-targets-just-hours-after-intelligence-officers-flagged-an-imminent-houthi-meeting-2eb3dd81

@LesterMunson

@marthamillerdc

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 495: Axis on Parade: Kim, Xi, and Putin in Beijing

Fri, 29 Aug 2025 17:23:47 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, and Matt unpack the rare joint appearance of Kim Jong Un, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin at Beijing’s massive September 3rd military parade—marking 80 years since Japan’s WWII surrender. The spectacle highlights a deepening alignment among China, Russia, and North Korea, even as Trump’s recent summit with Putin and potential meeting with Xi raise questions about how U.S. outreach could alter their dynamic.

What are Kim, Xi, and Putin hoping to signal by appearing together? How do their competing interests—North Korea’s nuclear ambitions, Russia’s war in Ukraine, and China’s broader global strategy—complicate the façade of unity? And as Washington considers its next moves, can the U.S. exploit fractures amongst these countries or does the Beijing display represent a more durable front against Western power?

Check out these sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions:

https://www.wsj.com/world/asia/kim-and-putin-to-join-xi-in-show-of-unity-at-beijing-military-parade-98948203

https://www.npr.org/2025/08/28/g-s1-85964/north-koreas-kim-will-meet-with-xi-and-putin-at-chinese-military-parade

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx29z9g2kl2o

@LesterMunson

@marthamillerdc

@WMattHayden

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Fault Lines 494: Seoul Searching in Washington

Wed, 27 Aug 2025 16:32:59 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Bishop unpack South Korean President Lee’s first visit to Washington and his meeting with President Trump. The two leaders struck a warm rapport, with Trump raising ideas about engagement with North Korea and Lee casting Trump as potential peacemaker on the peninsula. But as Seoul works to balance relations with both Washington and Beijing, Trump’s out-of-the-box, business-style approach may add unpredictability to one of the world’s most sensitive regions.

Will Trump’s style strengthen—or strain—the U.S.–South Korea alliance? Can engagement with Kim Jong Un move forward without a real strategy? Does Trump’s deal-making style translate into real policy, or just make for good headlines?

Check out these stories that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://apnews.com/video/trump-repeatedly-touts-great-relationship-with-north-korean-leader-kim-jong-un-da5084139a49459cb61f6dbe5567b13a

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/08/25/trump-south-korea-president-visit/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy5pdlgl64zo

@NotTVJessJones

@LesterMunson

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 493: Intelligence Under Fire: The DIA Shakeup

Mon, 25 Aug 2025 14:57:15 GMT

Today, Les, Bishop, and Jess unpack the surprise firing of Lt. Gen. Jeffrey Kruse, head of the Defense Intelligence Agency, alongside other senior military leaders last Friday. Reports have linked Kruse’s ouster to the disputed assessment of U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear program—where the DIA judged damage as temporary while President Trump declared Iran’s capabilities “obliterated.” The shakeups follow other recent removals at NSA, the Joint Chiefs, and even senior analysts, raising questions about politicization and the long-term health of America’s intelligence apparatus.

Are these firings about accountability—or loyalty? With quiet clearance revocations and reports of reduced intel-sharing with allies, are we weakening our ability to respond to adversaries like Iran, Russia, and China? And should we give the administration the benefit of the doubt, or are these purges creating more risk than resolve?

Check out these stories that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2dj217z2w6o

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/latest-purge-hegseth-removes-head-pentagon-intelligence-agency-other-senior-2025-08-22/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/08/22/defense-intelligence-agency-kruse-fired-hegseth/

@NotTVJessJones

@LesterMunson

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 492: From Cartels to Caracas: U.S. Priorities in Latin America

Fri, 22 Aug 2025 15:50:34 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Amy break down the U.S. deployment of three Navy destroyers off the coast of Venezuela—a move the Trump administration says is aimed at countering drug cartels and fentanyl trafficking. President Trump has also labeled Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro a “narco-terrorist,” doubled the reward for his arrest, and authorized the Pentagon to use military force against cartels, some of which his administration now classifies as terrorist organizations.

Is this naval deployment about cartel crackdowns, Maduro, or something else? Does this show of naval power risk escalating tensions, or does it provide the deterrence Washington needs against drug trafficking operations? Does this move help counter China, Russia, and Iran’s growing influence in the hemisphere?

Check out these stories that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-warships-venezuela-trump-nicolas-maduro-tension-drug-cartel-accusations/

https://apnews.com/article/trump-venezuela-destroyers-maduro-drug-cartels-e33794ebc24d9031e536d132ce205b4c

https://www.foxnews.com/us/u-s-warships-patrol-international-waters-venezuela-trump-vows-stop-cartels

@NotTVJessJones

@LesterMunson

@amykmitchell

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Episode 491: Euros Take Their Turn in the Center Ring

Wed, 20 Aug 2025 15:46:36 GMT

Today, Les, Bishop, Marc, and Jess break down Monday’s White House meeting between President Trump, President Zelensky, and a lineup of European leaders—including Starmer, Macron, Stubb, Meloni, Mertz, von der Leyen, and Rutte. Coming just days after Trump’s Alaska summit with Putin, the gathering underscored both the importance of allied unity and the uncertainty of Trump’s approach. Unlike past tense encounters, Trump and Zelensky struck a more cordial tone, though the meeting produced few concrete outcomes.

Was this “boring” but expected sit-down a sign of stability—or simply a pause before the next shock? Can Europe truly step up and lead in its own backyard, or will Ukraine once again be left holding the line alone? And as talk of U.S. air support, tougher sanctions, and security guarantees surfaces, is Trump’s instinct-driven diplomacy putting more pressure on Putin than it seems—or setting up another disappointment?

@NotTVJessJones

@LesterMunson

@BishopGarrison

@WashingtonFlack

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Episode 490: Alaska Fallout: Trump, Putin, and Ukraine’s Fight for Survival

Mon, 18 Aug 2025 15:08:21 GMT

Today, Jess, Bishop, and Amy unpack the fallout from President Trump’s Alaska summit with Vladimir Putin, which ended without a ceasefire or a clear path forward in Ukraine. The tone between the two leaders was noticeably less chummy by the end of their meeting, but the summit also risked legitimizing Russia’s illegal invasion by entertaining talk of territorial concessions. Meanwhile, after another night of heavy Russian strikes, President Zelensky and Europe’s leaders are preparing to sit down with Trump — a meeting that could prove even more consequential.

Did the Alaska summit achieve anything beyond giving Putin a platform? Will Europe step up with a unified plan to support Ukraine if U.S. proposals fall flat? Will Ukraine see Washington’s talk of “security guarantees” as real protection against Russian aggression?

@NotTVJessJones

@amykmitchell

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 489: Exporting Risk? Trump Greenlights Chip Sales to China

Fri, 15 Aug 2025 15:54:46 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, and Les examine the Trump Administration’s surprise pivot to allow Nvidia and AMD to resume sales of select AI chips to China—a reversal from export controls implemented under both Trump’s first term and the Biden Administration. The move, described by the administration as a “pragmatic trade-off,” aims to keep American firms in the Chinese market, but has drawn bipartisan criticism as a dangerous precedent—trading national security for short-term business gains.

Is this a smart economic play that maintains leverage over China, or does it erode long-term U.S. security? Does this decision undercut efforts to build an export control regime that’s predictable for industry and credible to allies? And if China can already acquire these chips, does restricting—or permitting—sales really make a difference?

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-13/trump-s-deal-with-nvidia-offers-path-forward-in-global-trade-war

https://fortune.com/asia/2025/08/14/us-china-trump-revenue-share-export-controls-nvidia-amd/

https://thehill.com/policy/technology/5446890-nvidia-amd-china-chip-deal/

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@NotTVJessJones

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 488: Tariff Timeout: Trump’s 90-Day Pause with China

Wed, 13 Aug 2025 17:08:10 GMT

Today, Martha, Amy, and Matt unpack the Trump administration’s decision to grant another 90-day pause on proposed tariffs against China—a new round of extensions that leave businesses in a wait-and-see mode until November. The pause reflects a broader shift in U.S. policy, where economic deal-making often takes precedence over national security imperatives, flipping the old model which put the onus on business leaders to do the right thing for our national security.

Does this strategy strengthen America’s national security posture or simply prolong uncertainty? What leverage does the U.S. have over China, and are Americans prepared to bear higher costs in the name of economic security? Can the administration bring the public on board with the idea that economic tools are now central to national security—and will this approach yield real results before patience runs out?

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/11/trump-china-tariffs-deadline-extended.html

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/aug/12/trumps-china-trade-truce-extension-spurs-market-rally

https://www.npr.org/2025/08/12/nx-s1-5500039/us-china-tariffs-trade-truce

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@marthamillerdc

@amykmitchell

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Episode 487: Cold Front Diplomacy: Trump, Putin, and the Ukraine Question

Mon, 11 Aug 2025 17:20:27 GMT

Today, Martha and Joshua discuss the upcoming August 15 meeting between Presidents Trump and Putin in Alaska, following Trump’s threat to “end the war or face sanctions.” With Ukraine unable to retake Russian-held territory and U.S. attention focused on the Indo-Pacific, speculation grows over whether Kyiv will be pressured to concede land. European partners signal readiness to support a deal, but details remain unclear.

Will this be a breakthrough for diplomacy or another case of Putin playing a U.S. president? How will Congress and European allies react to any agreement that is made? Could enforcing existing sanctions against Russia be more effective than imposing new ones? And what message does holding this meeting in Alaska send to both Russians and Americans?

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/08/10/putin-trump-russia-ukraine-summit/

https://www.cnn.com/2025/08/09/politics/white-house-zelensky-trump-putin-meeting

https://thehill.com/policy/international/5445054-european-leaders-putin-russia-ukraine-trump-talks/

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-trump-deadline-putin-423e6a28df5186a48b7383eae41c11c2

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@marthamillerdc

@joshuachuminski

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Episode 486: Moonshot or Moon Mirage?

Fri, 08 Aug 2025 15:25:18 GMT

Episode 486: Moonshot or Moon Mirage?

Today, Jess, Amy, Bishop, and Algene examine NASA’s ambitious plan to accelerate deployment of a nuclear reactor on the Moon as part of the Artemis program—aiming to power U.S. long-term lunar infrastructure and return astronauts by 2027. But NASA’s announcement comes amid budget and workforce cuts, and with NASA’s head leader lacking deep space experience.

Can the U.S. pull this off on such a tight timeline, or is this a Cold War–style moonshot without the resources to match? How critical will public–private partnerships be for U.S. space success in the future? And with China racing ahead on its own space ambitions, are we already in new space race?

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.cnn.com/2025/08/05/politics/moon-nuclear-reactor-us-nasa

https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/sean-duffy-nuclear-moon-nasa-space-reactors-rcna223194

https://warontherocks.com/2025/07/eastern-stars-rising-the-rise-of-chinas-commercial-space-industry/

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@NotTVJessJones

@amykmitchell

@BishopGarrison

@AlgeneSajery

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Episode 485: Taiwan: Recall, Rejection, and Regional Tension

Wed, 06 Aug 2025 15:54:42 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Bishop dive into Taiwan’s recent recall vote targeting more than two dozen KMT legislators accused of obstructing legislation and aligning too closely with Beijing. While the vote ultimately failed and all KMT lawmakers kept their seat, it has deepened Taiwan’s political gridlock and highlighted growing polarization in Taipei. With President Lai still lacking a legislative majority, questions are mounting over the KMT’s ability to block critical defense spending and what that could mean for Taiwan’s security.

What does the failed recall tell us about the current state of Taiwanese politics? How is the Trump Administration’s tough-love strategy shaping Taiwan’s domestic dynamics? And if Trump cuts a trade deal with Beijing, could Taiwan’s security be caught in the crossfire?

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.cnn.com/2025/07/26/asia/taiwan-votes-china-lawmaker-election-latam-intl

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/07/23/asia/taiwan-recall-vote-explained-hnk-intl

https://www.cfr.org/blog/what-failed-recall-taiwan-means-us-taiwan-and-cross-strait-relations

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@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 484: Unconfirmed and Unprepared?

Mon, 04 Aug 2025 17:36:58 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Matt, and Bishop break down the Senate stalemate on key nominations across the Trump Administration. With important ambassadorships unconfirmed, including the UN, EU, and across Latin America, and critical leadership roles like CISA Director stuck in limbo, the national security implications are stacking up.

Is this just another round of partisan gridlock or a sign of deeper institutional breakdown? As Democratic senators block cloture votes and recess appointments remain off the table, what message are we sending to the world when our key posts go unfilled?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://apnews.com/article/senate-confirmations-nominations-trump-schumer-thune-905a63d0046319eeb7c266d5e24e70b6

https://www.npr.org/2025/08/03/nx-s1-5491414/senate-confirmations-trump-schumer

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@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@BishopGarrison

@WMattHayden

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Fault Lines 483: Tariff Truce or Temporary Fix?

Fri, 01 Aug 2025 15:16:19 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, and Bishop unpack the latest U.S.-EU trade deal, which imposes a 15% tariff on European goods—lower than the previously threatened 30%, but still a significant shift. The agreement includes EU commitments to increase energy purchases and investment in the U.S., while eliminating tariffs on select American exports. Yet key sectors like steel remain unresolved, and core regulatory and policy differences persist.

Will this deal offer short-term stability at the expense of long-term strategy? As Congress eyes the economic impact on American consumers and industries, questions remain about enforcement, sustainability, and whether tariff diplomacy can truly deliver lasting results.

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://apnews.com/article/europe-trump-security-tariffs-ukraine-russia-cb323423c4317c89410c0dee3d389753

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c14g8gk8vdlo

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/07/28/trump-eu-trade-tariffs-concessions/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgp5q4x4nzo

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@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 482: Temples, Tariffs, & Tensions: The Thai-Cambodian Conflict

Wed, 30 Jul 2025 15:54:19 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, and Matt discuss the most dangerous escalation in Southeast Asia in over a decade. A deadly border conflict between Thailand and Cambodia—long simmering over disputed territory and sacred temples—has erupted into full-scale fighting. Over just five days, artillery, rockets, and airstrikes left 36 dead and hundreds injured, with civilians fleeing on both sides. President Trump issued an unprecedented economic threat: a 36% tariff on all Thai and Cambodian exports if the conflict doesn’t cease by August 1. The move jolted both economies and raised questions about how American trade power might be used to prevent regional wars.

What does this border conflict say about the limits of diplomacy and economic pressure? Will Trump’s tariff ultimatum succeed where international mediation has failed? And how should the U.S. balance its strategic interests in Southeast Asia as great power rivalries heat up?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/28/world/asia/thailand-cambodia-ceasefire-talks.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://www.wsj.com/world/asia/thailand-and-cambodia-consider-cease-fire-after-calls-with-trump-on-border-clashes-5c22f92e

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@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@WMattHayden

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Episode 481: Food Aid, Ceasefires, and the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation

Mon, 28 Jul 2025 16:58:09 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, and Morgan discuss the intensifying controversy over food aid delivery in Gaza. With hunger surging and global criticism mounting, attention has turned to the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation—a special-purpose entity backed by Israel and the U.S. to deliver aid without empowering Hamas. While Israel has announced daily 10-hour ceasefires to allow more deliveries, many international observers, including the UN and several allied governments, argue the system is failing. Accusations that aid isn’t reaching Palestinian civilians are fueling tension between Israel and its closest partners.

Is the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation a workable solution—or a flawed model for crisis response? Will mounting criticism from allies like the UK shift U.S. policy on aid delivery? And with hostage talks stalled and the humanitarian situation worsening, what role can—or should—the U.S. play now?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 480: AI Edge: Trump’s Bid for Tech Supremacy

Fri, 25 Jul 2025 15:15:01 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Les, and Matt break down Trump’s AI Action Plan, unveiled Wednesday with significant fanfare and the backing of top tech leaders. The plan includes three executive orders and outlines 90 federal actions across three pillars: accelerating innovation, building AI infrastructure, and asserting global leadership in diplomacy and security.

Why does AI matter so much now—and why does Trump want his name on it? As Secretary of State Rubio put it, “winning the AI race is non-negotiable.” With economic, military, and geopolitical stakes this high, Trump’s market-driven, industry-friendly strategy marks a clear departure from the Biden administration’s safety-first regulatory approach. Is this the edge the U.S. needs to stay ahead of China—or a gamble with long-term consequences?

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.ai.gov/action-plan

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 479: Global Exit Strategy: The U.S. and UNESCO

Wed, 23 Jul 2025 15:49:13 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Matt discuss the Trump administration’s announcement that the U.S. will withdraw from UNESCO by the end of 2026. This marks the third such exit in recent history—first under President Reagan in 1984, again under Trump’s first administration, and now once more over concerns of anti-Israel bias and support for “divisive" causes.

The decision raises broader questions: Are global institutions like UNESCO advancing U.S. interests—or have they become vehicles for adversarial influence? Is complete withdrawal the best strategy, or is there a more effective way to protect American values while staying at the table?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 478: Deals and Deportations: Trump’s Play in the Western Hemisphere

Mon, 21 Jul 2025 17:15:08 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, Bishop, Amy, and Marc break down the latest high-stakes prisoner exchange between the U.S. and Venezuela. Ten Americans held by the Maduro regime were released in exchange for more than 200 Venezuelans via the CECOT Terrorism Confinement Center in El Salvador.

Is this a foreign policy win for the Trump administration—or a dangerous precedent that raises the price on the heads of Americans abroad? Could this deal mark the beginning of a U.S.-Venezuela thaw, or will Maduro use it for political gain? And what are the human rights and national security implications of using large-scale deportations as diplomatic leverage?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@amykmitchell

@BishopGarrison

@WashingtonFlack

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Episode 477: Trump's New Ukraine Strategy

Fri, 18 Jul 2025 14:39:51 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jess, and Andy unpack a turn in U.S. policy toward Ukraine. Earlier this month, President Trump paused military and intelligence aid, only to reverse course days later after internal review. Now, he’s unveiled a new approach: U.S.-made weapons, including Patriot missiles, will be purchased by European allies and sent to Ukraine—bypassing direct U.S. taxpayer funding, replenishing NATO stockpiles and boosting U.S. defense firms. In a sharp policy shift, the administration is now considering sending offensive weapons and has issued a 50-day ultimatum to Moscow: accept a ceasefire or face full tariffs and sweeping secondary sanctions.

Is this a smart reset that shares the burden while keeping pressure on Putin? Does the shift toward offensive weapons contradict Trump's “no more wars” stance? And how will Moscow—and Trump’s own MAGA base—respond as the rhetoric hardens and the weapons shipments grow?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@AndyKeiser

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Episode 476: War, Famine, and Displacement: Sudan on the Brink

Wed, 16 Jul 2025 17:26:14 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, and Matt turn their attention to Sudan, where a civil war that began in 2023 has killed more than 150,000 people and displaced 14 million, driving the country to widespread collapse. With foreign powers backing both sides of the conflict—from Iran and Egypt to the UAE and remnants of Russia’s Wagner Group—the war has become a flashpoint for global power competition and humanitarian catastrophe.

What national security interests does the U.S. have in Sudan—and what are the consequences when Washington steps back? What changes do we see to America's broader approach to Africa? And could President Trump’s ties in the Gulf position him as a broker for peace?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/07/15/sudan-civil-war-catastrophe-washington/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jul/15/sudan-paramilitary-forces-kill-almost-300-in-village-raids-say-lawyers

https://www.foxnews.com/world/peacemaker-trump-can-end-africas-biggest-war-says-former-white-house-advisor

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@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@WMattHayden

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Special Episode: Fault Lines Live from Prague!

Mon, 14 Jul 2025 15:52:09 GMT

Today, Martha and Les bring you a very special episode of Fault Lines, recorded live at Max’s Steakhouse in Prague with an international group of fans, listeners, and a cameo from NSI Founder and Executive Director, Jamil Jaffer. From Czech locals to Americans abroad, the team fielded sharp questions about the future of NATO-style alliances in Asia, the direction of U.S. sanctions policy, and Russia’s financing of war through African gold. The live audience also raised timely questions about press freedom, the future of global conflict, and what comes next for U.S. policy in the Middle East, Russia, and beyond.

Will the Quad or AUKUS ever evolve into a true multilateral security framework? Can U.S. pressure on Russia—through both sanctions and global alliances—actually shift the tide in Ukraine? And does the growing web of cyberattacks and shadow alliances already mean we’re in a new kind of global conflict?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this very special episode of Fault Lines.

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@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

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Episode 475: Ceasefire Shattered – The Houthis Strike Again

Fri, 11 Jul 2025 17:36:10 GMT

Episode 475: Ceasefire Shattered – The Houthis Strike Again

Today, Morgan, Bishop, Jessica, and Algene discuss the return of Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, just weeks after a U.S.-brokered ceasefire. The Iran-backed group has ramped up strikes on commercial ships, most recently hitting a Liberian-flagged cargo vessel with a rocket-propelled grenade and kidnapping several crew members. It’s the second ship sunk in a week – part of a broader campaign targeting nearly 70 merchant vessels since late 2023.

Is the ceasefire dead, and can the U.S. restore deterrence at sea? Are the Houthis expanding Iran’s influence under the cover of the Gaza conflict? And what does this mean for global trade and regional stability?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3071vp2d8yo?utm_source=semafor

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

@BishopGarrison

@AlgeneSajery

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Episode 474: Mixed Signals: Trump, Hegseth, and the Ukraine Aid Whiplash

Wed, 09 Jul 2025 18:01:27 GMT

Today, Jess, Bishop, and Amy break down the latest twist in U.S.-Ukraine policy after Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth paused a critical weapons shipment — reportedly without the White House’s knowledge. The abrupt delay blindsided Ukraine, Congress, the State Department, and European allies. Days later, President Trump reversed the decision following a tense call with Putin and an escalation of Russian drone attacks on Kyiv.

What does this erratic decision-making mean for Ukraine’s defense as Russia’s summer offensive approaches? Does President Trump’s growing frustration with Putin reflect a real shift in his stance? And how are allies interpreting the gap between Trump’s rhetoric and his actions?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/military/hegseth-halted-weapons-ukraine-military-analysis-aid-wouldnt-jeopardiz-rcna216790?oref=d_brief_nl&utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=The%20D%20Brief:%20July%2007%2C%202025&utm_term=newsletter_d1_dbrief

https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/trump-told-zelensky-he-wasnt-responsible-for-weapons-holdup-f684444b?st=zMtutV

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/07/08/politics/hegseth-did-not-inform-white-house-ukraine-weapons-pause

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/07/07/trump-ukraine-weapons-shipments/

https://www.axios.com/2025/07/08/trump-putin-bullshit-sanctions-ukraine

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@NotTVJessJones

@amykmitchell

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 473: Tariff Tactics: Trump’s Deadline Looms

Mon, 07 Jul 2025 16:06:11 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les and Jess unpack the fast-moving developments around the Trump administration’s global tariff negotiations, as the 90-day pause comes to a close this Wednesday. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that tariff letters will be sent to about 100 countries this week, with either deals or formal notifications expected by July 9. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick added that Trump is personally leading many of the negotiations, applying what the administration calls “maximum pressure.” So far, only the United Kingdom, China and Vietnam have locked in deals—leaving the rest of the world guessing.

Is August 1 the final deadline, or another chapter in a shifting timeline of economic brinkmanship? What are the broader implications of these tariffs for U.S. alliances and supply chains? And with Trump directly in the driver’s seat, is this smart negotiating—or strategic overreach?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/07/06/bessent-trump-tariffs-deadline-august-00440522

https://www.cnn.com/2025/07/06/business/bessent-tariff-deadline-trump

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@morganlroach

@lestermunson

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Episode 472: Syria Reopened: U.S. Policy Shift on Syrian Sanctions

Wed, 02 Jul 2025 17:57:35 GMT

Today, Martha, Jess, Les, and Amy discuss a notable shift in U.S. foreign policy as the White House lifts most economic sanctions on Syria. For over a decade, those sanctions defined Syria’s economy and global isolation, aimed squarely at weakening the Assad regime during the country’s brutal civil war. But with Assad’s fall late last year and a new interim government under Ahmed al-Shara now in power, the U.S. is signaling support for stabilization and reconstruction, while maintaining targeted restrictions on individuals linked to past atrocities and terrorism.

Is this a genuine turning point for Syria—or a risky bet on fragile leadership? What message does this send to allies and adversaries about the durability of U.S. sanctions? And as reconstruction begins, who gains from Syria’s reintegration—and who’s left behind?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/30/trump-scraps-syria-sanctions-regime-00433633

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-interested-in-expanding-normalization-treaties-to-syria-lebanon-d583d184

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/30/world/middleeast/gulf-states-invest-syria-iran.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/14/syria-sanctions-caeser-act-sharaa/

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@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

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Episode 471: Missing in May: Xi Jinping’s Vanishing Act and Chinese Power Struggles

Mon, 30 Jun 2025 20:38:07 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, and Jeffrey unpack the swirl of rumors that emerged from Beijing after Chinese President Xi Jinping disappeared from public view for several weeks in May. With whispers of internal dissent, missed Politburo meetings, and PLA shakeups, questions are mounting about the stability of Xi’s leadership—and whether the Chinese Communist Party is entering a new phase of uncertainty.

As China grapples with deepening economic troubles, demographic decline, and foreign policy stumbles, speculation over leadership succession and elite discontent is running high. Is this a genuine power shift in the making—or a loyalty test typical of CCP politics? Either way, the turbulence may mark a weaker and more unpredictable chapter for Beijing.

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://nypost.com/2025/06/28/opinion/is-chinese-pres-xi-jinping-on-his-way-out/?utm_campaign=iphone_nyp&utm_source=pasteboard_app

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/where-was-xi-jinping-in-irans-hour-of-need-china-strikes-israel-us-5b04fdb3

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@lestermunson

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Episode 470: Losing Our Voice? Shutting Down VOA and the Future of U.S. Messaging

Fri, 27 Jun 2025 15:12:21 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Amy unpack the implications of the U.S. shutting down Voice of America and scaling back support for Radio Free Europe—two longtime tools of American public diplomacy. As funding dries up and staff are furloughed, adversaries like China, Russia, and Iran are moving to fill the vacuum in the global information space.

Is the U.S. be ceding ground in the global competition for soft power? How should the U.S. modernize its messaging tools to meet today's information challenges? What are the risks if rivals like China and Russia shape the narrative where the U.S. voice goes silent?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/24/business/media/us-china-russia-global-communications.html?searchResultPosition=12

https://www.npr.org/2025/05/21/g-s1-68363/trump-tried-to-shutter-radio-free-europe-the-eu-threw-it-a-lifeline

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@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 469: NATO’s Pivot: Defense, Deterrence, and Division

Wed, 25 Jun 2025 16:59:21 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, and Morgan discuss NATO’s unprecedented decision to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP—a seismic shift in transatlantic security policy. Driven by escalating threats from Russia, war in Ukraine, and mounting pressure from President Trump, the alliance’s new posture marks a clear break from decades of post–Cold War complacency. With Trump demanding more from European allies while withholding a full guarantee of U.S. protection, the future of collective defense—and Europe's role–is being fundamentally rewritten.

Is this a turning point for NATO or the beginning of its fragmentation? What does this spending surge really buy in terms of deterrence, and is it enough to match rising global threats? And can Europe truly step up—or is burden-sharing still more theory than reality?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussions:

https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_236418.htm

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gd98qry6jo

https://www.cnn.com/2025/06/24/politics/nato-summit-trump-solitary-approach

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-heads-nato-summit-europe-agrees-heed-his-defense-spending-demands

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@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 468: Operation Midnight Hammer

Mon, 23 Jun 2025 17:02:20 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, and Jeffrey break down Operation Midnight Hammer—the largest B-2 strike in U.S. history. Over the weekend, U.S. forces launched a major bombing campaign targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities, deploying 125 aircraft, 14 bunker-busting MOPs, and over two dozen Tomahawk missiles in a high-stakes mission aimed at crippling Iran’s nuclear capabilities. While President Trump has declared victory, the fallout—military, diplomatic, and political—is only beginning.

What options does Iran have now? Will it retaliate through traditional military means, ramp up proxy warfare, or strike at global infrastructure? With tensions high and the potential for escalation real, what does continued engagement look like—and are we prepared for what comes next?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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@morganlroach

@lestermunson

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Episode 467: No Predictions, Just Pressure: U.S., Israel, and Iran

Fri, 20 Jun 2025 17:40:51 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, and Jeffery discuss the latest twist in the escalating standoff between the U.S., Israel, and Iran. As speculation swirls over whether the U.S. will join Israeli strikes on Iran’s underground nuclear facility at Fordow, the White House has announced President Trump will decide within two weeks whether to intervene. That decision could involve the use of powerful U.S. bunker-busting munitions—potentially the 30,000-pound Massive Ordnance Penetrator—against a fortified target only the U.S. is capable of hitting. While others jump to forecast outcomes, the Fault Lines crew focuses instead on what this moment actually means.

What does the administration’s messaging signal about its strategic calculus—and red lines? How much pressure is being applied through public signaling, and how much of it is aimed at Tehran, Tel Aviv, or the American public? And with escalation already underway, how can we look to conflicts of the past to inform how we move forward?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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@lestermunson

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here (and have a chance to see Bean the dog!): https://youtu.be/E4KyNG8l-cg

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Episode 466: Escalation in the Gulf: Iran, Israel, and the U.S.

Wed, 18 Jun 2025 17:06:43 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, and Morgan discuss the rapidly escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, now entering its sixth day with historic implications. The immediate trigger was a rare IAEA censure of Iran for non-compliance with nuclear safeguards—the first since 2005—but Iran and its proxy groups like Hezbollah, Iraqi militias, and the Houthis have been attacking Israel for years leading up to this point. President Trump has ordered a large-scale U.S. military buildup in the region and demanded Iran’s unconditional surrender, even as Tehran warns of severe retaliation.

Is this the beginning of a full-scale regional war—and will U.S. forces inevitably be drawn in? How will Tehran respond to the unprecedented damage to its nuclear program and military infrastructure? Will this mark a turning point in re-establishing American deterrence?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

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Episode 465: The ODNI Under Review

Mon, 16 Jun 2025 17:32:18 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Les and Jeffrey unpack comments and messaging shared by Tulsi Gabard, Director of National Intelligence. In a recent video, Gabbard warned that “warmongers and political elites” are pushing the U.S. toward nuclear war, while her congressional testimony downplayed Iran’s nuclear threat. At the same time, Gabbard has introduced a more centralized review process for intelligence reports, drawing some concern within the intelligence community.

Does Gabbard’s nuclear rhetoric echo broader narratives—like Russian disinformation—designed to stoke fear of nuclear war? Is Gabbard’s direct message to the public common for the ODNI? How might the new intelligence reporting oversight affect the objectivity and credibility of the assessments?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.axios.com/2025/06/11/tulsi-gabbard-intelligence-leaks-deep-state

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/gabbard-considering-ways-revamp-trumps-intelligence-briefing-rcna209805

https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/5215194-iran-nuclear-weapons/

https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/tulsi-gabbard-video-nuclear-war-bomb-shelters-rcna212317

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/0MHSi_A5J-s

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Episode 464: Red Lines Crossed: Israel’s Strike, U.S. Response, and Regional Risks

Fri, 13 Jun 2025 16:27:15 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Les, and Jess discuss Israel’s launch of Operation Rising Lion—a sweeping strike against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, long-range missile sites, air defenses, and senior IRGC leadership. As the U.S. pulled personnel from the region, raising questions about prior coordination, President Trump claimed he had warned Iran of the consequences of refusing a deal. Meanwhile, Secretary of State Marco Rubio emphasized the U.S. was not involved, calling the Israeli strikes a unilateral action.

With the situation still unfolding, is the region now on the brink of a broader war? What does this strike mean for U.S. influence in the Middle East—and for the safety of American personnel on the ground? And has diplomacy with Iran reached a final breaking point, or is there still time to pull back from escalation?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-embassy-iraq-preparing-ordered-evacuation-due-heightened-security-risks-2025-06-11/

https://time.com/7293392/us-embassy-iraq-iran/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/06/11/us-israel-iran-attack-fears/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c629yk5z07vo

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/ablr_IEmgz8

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Episode 463: Gas, Gold, and Guns: Terrorism in West Africa

Wed, 11 Jun 2025 17:41:01 GMT

Today, Les, Matt, Jeffrey, and Joshua examine the growing instability in West Africa as jihadist group Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) expands its control across Burkina Faso and the Sahel. With the U.S. and France reducing their regional footprint, local governments are struggling to respond to the spread of terrorism, and Russia—through the Africa Corps—has stepped into the vacuum left behind.

How are terrorist groups like JNIM funding their operations, and what role does illicit finance play in undermining global sanctions? Can the U.S. afford to keep pulling back, especially with key diplomatic and aid positions still unfilled? And with natural resources fueling violence and extremism, are we ignoring an urgent front in global security that could soon come knocking on our own door?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/06/08/jnim-militants-west-africa-sahel-terrorism/

https://apnews.com/article/russia-africa-weaponry-ships-mali-ukraine-f3383b5bbc8120b445d3df9062bf7f14

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@WMattHayden

@joshuachuminski

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/HPxgyL2v2aE

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Episode 462: Hybrid Threats: Sabotage in Sweden

Mon, 09 Jun 2025 18:55:55 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, and Les discuss the news of a sabotage campaign in Sweden, where 32 telecommunications towers along the E-22 highway were deliberately targeted—cables cut, technical equipment destroyed. The attacks fit into a broader pattern of hybrid threats sweeping the Nordic region, widely attributed to Russian intelligence operations, with rising concerns about Chinese involvement as well.

Are we witnessing a new phase of grey-zone warfare or is it part of an existing pattern? As NATO launches its Baltic Sentry initiative to protect critical infrastructure, how prepared are our allies for these persistent, murky threats? And with the U.S. dismantling key national security structures, are we losing the ability to go on offense?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.nato.int/docu/review/articles/2024/04/26/russias-hybrid-war-against-the-west/index.html

https://www.chathamhouse.org/publications/the-world-today/2025-03/what-britain-can-learn-nordics-about-fighting-hybrid-threats

https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/uk/sweden-probes-massive-sabotage-after-30-telecom-masts-attacked-in-what-officials-call-a-coordinated-strike/articleshow/121695420.cms

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@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 461: The Art of the Call

Fri, 06 Jun 2025 18:02:56 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, Matt, and Jess unpack the high-stakes phone calls between President Trump and two of the world’s most powerful leaders: Russia’s Vladimir Putin and China’s Xi Jinping. Trump’s first official call with Xi since taking office covered Taiwan, semiconductors, and student visas—but skipped over Russia, NATO, and North Korea. Meanwhile, a call earlier in the week with Putin followed Trump’s praise of Ukraine’s recent drone strike campaign, prompting warnings from Moscow and raising questions about U.S. positioning in the ongoing conflict.

Is the U.S. reclaiming its role at the center of international diplomacy—or just talking in circles? With no concrete deliverables yet, the question remains: what will actually come after the calls?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.cnn.com/2025/06/05/politics/trump-xi-trade-call

https://apnews.com/article/trump-china-xi-tariffs-negotiations-trade-f2e4b48205001d7169ee34250089d8c1

https://www.cnn.com/2025/06/04/politics/trump-putin-phone-call-ukraine-response

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0qg23gqllwo

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

@WMattHayden

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Episode 460: Operation Spiderweb: Ukraine Strikes Back

Wed, 04 Jun 2025 17:39:47 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Jeffrey unpack Operation Spiderweb, Ukraine’s long-planned and massive drone strike that targeted strategic bombers across multiple Russian airfields. With over 100 drones launched and no advance notice to the U.S., the attack caught Washington off guard and it showcased Ukraine’s growing operational autonomy.

What does Ukraine’s drone strike reveal about the future of asymmetric warfare? Does the Operation mark the beginning of a new phase in the conflict—one where Russia’s rear areas are no longer safe? How should the U.S. respond to being left out of the loop?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 459: Shangri-La Signals: the Future of Indo-Pacific Strategy

Mon, 02 Jun 2025 15:52:15 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, and Jess unpack key takeaways from the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, where Secretary Hegseth reaffirmed the Indo-Pacific as a U.S. priority—but also told regional allies that they need to take more responsibility as America turns inward. Meanwhile, China continues its campaign of aggression, and Europe is slowly waking up to Beijing’s threat—with President Macron calling for alliances against “spheres of coercion.”

Can the U.S. credibly claim leadership in the Indo-Pacific without a coherent economic strategy? As allies grow wary of Trump’s tariff-first approach and the perception of the U.S. as a destabilizing force grows, will they begin shaping a regional architecture that leaves America behind?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions.

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/30/hegseth-warns-asia-allies-that-china-threat-is-imminent-00378700

https://www.axios.com/2025/05/31/rubio-trump-china-students-tariffs-rare-minerals

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/28BJTk4tG4E

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Episode 458: Russia-Ukraine: Deadlines, Delusions, and Delay

Fri, 30 May 2025 16:57:54 GMT

Today, Martha, Jess, Amy, and Matt unpack the latest in the Russia-Ukraine conflict as President Trump issues a two-week ultimatum to Vladimir Putin—raising the question: does he really mean it? With no clear movement as talks have stalled, it seems increasingly clear that Russia is stress-testing the limits of U.S. and European patience.

Trump’s disillusioned tone marks a shift, but the administration still appears stuck between rhetoric and real leverage. Meanwhile, NATO’s northern allies are growing uneasy. Is this diplomacy, delay, or something worse? And what’s the cost of letting Putin hold the cards while Europe hesitates to get serious?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clyn3vqex47o

https://www.wsj.com/world/north-korea-sent-missiles-and-other-arms-to-russia-in-violation-of-sanctions-u-s-and-allies-say-2ff4f55e?mod=world_lead_pos1

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/29/world/europe/russia-ukraine-war-offensive.html

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/the-u-s-reinforces-europes-northern-front-fearing-war-with-russia-b499ef50?mod=world_feat5_europe_pos4

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/germany-to-step-up-ukraine-aid-as-europe-scrambles-to-replace-u-s-d0d4718b?mod=world_feat5_europe_pos2

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@WMattHayden

@amykmitchell

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/hJLvAVr4690

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Episode 457: Campus Crackdown: U.S. Innovation at Risk?

Wed, 28 May 2025 18:34:12 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, and Jeffrey unpack the Trump Administration’s pause on student visa interviews and its decision to revoke Harvard’s ability to enroll international students—actions that have sparked lawsuits, global reactions, and a debate over the future of U.S. innovation and soft power. As the U.S. steps back, others step in: the EU is investing $500 million to attract top talent, and universities in places like Hong Kong are rolling out red carpets for displaced students.

What are the national security threats at play here? Can we enhance safeguards without undermining our most successful innovation engine—higher education? And what does it mean for America’s global influence when tomorrow’s world leaders are trained in Beijing or Brussels instead of Boston?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions.

https://fortune.com/article/trump-universities-international-students/

https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/18/us/international-students-universities-funding-trump

https://www.csis.org/analysis/innovation-lightbulb-not-just-attracting-retaining-international-stem-students

https://www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/harvard-international-student-ban-trump-china-europe-rcna209044

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/-KCF4dFHsxg

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Episode 456: Crisis and Calculus—Israel, Iran, and a Region on Edge

Fri, 23 May 2025 17:39:32 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Les, and Jess examine the escalating tensions in the Middle East. Israel has launched a renewed offensive in Gaza amid mounting international pressure to end hostilities and allow humanitarian aid into the territory. Meanwhile, the murder of two young Israeli embassy employees has shocked the world and further underscored the volatility on multiple fronts.

As Hamas remains active and Hezbollah and Houthi forces continue attacks—each backed by Iran—the Trump administration navigates complex terrain. With U.S.-Iran nuclear talks ongoing, and intelligence of a potential Israeli strike on Iranian facilities, questions loom: Will the administration’s posture embolden or restrain Israeli action? Can Trump’s hardline stance on Iran deliver results—or ignite broader conflict? And as Gaza remains in crisis and the region teeters, is Washington’s strategy up to the challenge?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 455: Ukraine and a Diplomatic Dead End?

Wed, 21 May 2025 17:58:11 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Amy, and Jess examine the latest flurry of diplomatic activity between Russia and Ukraine—amid headlines, handshakes, and very little real progress. Ukrainian and Russian officials met face-to-face in Istanbul for the first time in years, while Putin refused to join. Trump’s recent refusal to endorse new sanctions on Russia– as the EU and UK ramp up pressure– is raising alarms among European allies and creating a problematic U.S.-European divide in NATO.

With the new Pope offering the Vatican as neutral ground and a bipartisan group of Senators pushing for tougher sanctions, the question remains: is Trump’s mixed approach—part engagement, part retreat—undermining the West’s leverage? As Russia digs in and Ukraine holds the line, can diplomacy survive in a landscape shaped by war fatigue, nuclear risk, and fractured alliances?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/may/21/ukraine-war-briefing-pope-opens-vatican-door-to-peace-talks-says-meloni

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-peace-talks-trump-83979d718b73cb9bd655dd9aaa915573

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgddel17kvo

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@amykmitchell

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Episode 454: Weekend Ballot Results: Europe Votes Amid Russian Pressure

Mon, 19 May 2025 18:48:27 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, and Andy unpack weekend elections in Romania, Poland, and Portugal—where voters are navigating domestic frustrations, regional security fears, and the specter of Russian influence. In Romania, centrist Nicușor Dan defeated far-right nationalist George Simion with a pro-EU, anti-corruption message. Poland will head into a June presidential election runoff between centrist Rafal Trzaskowski and far-right challenger Karol Nawrocki, while in Portugal, a far-right party surged to 20%, shaking up the political landscape.

Are these results driven by domestic political pressures—or do they reflect a broader European response to the war in Ukraine? Is European support for Ukraine holding strong, or is it increasingly tied to who’s in power in Washington? And how do concerns about ballot access and disinformation shape the future of European democracy?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our experts’ opinions.

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c74q57kydget

https://www.npr.org/2025/05/17/nx-s1-5400392/elections-in-poland-and-romania-could-shape-the-future-of-europe-and-ukraine

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/romanians-vote-presidential-run-off-that-could-widen-eu-rifts-2025-05-17/

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@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@AndyKeiser

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Episode 453: Syria's New Chapter—Sanctions, Strategy, Strategic Risk

Fri, 16 May 2025 17:13:34 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Jeffrey, and Matt break down major developments in Syria as President Trump meets with new Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa—former leader of the extremist group HTS—and announces the suspension of U.S. sanctions. The Trump administration’s evolving, more direct approach to foreign policy, on display throughout his Middle East trip, raises new questions about oversight, regional alliances, and long-term strategy.

Can the U.S. trust this new Syrian leadership? Could loosening sanctions and engaging Gulf partners offer a rare opportunity to stabilize Syria, disrupt Iran’s regional ambitions, and counter the influence of Russia and extremist actors? With U.S. troops staying in place and a shifting diplomatic playbook, is this a strategic pivot that could finally reshape the balance of power in the region?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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@lestermunson

@WMattHayden

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Episode 452: Trump’s Middle East Trip—Deals, Deterrence, and Diplomatic Signals

Wed, 14 May 2025 16:20:40 GMT

Today, Morgan and Andy break down President Trump’s high-profile visit to the Middle East—his first foreign trip of the new administration. From lifting sanctions on Syria and announcing a $600 billion investment from Saudi Arabia to ongoing hostage negotiations and talks on Hamas, Iran, and regional security, the trip highlights Trump’s economic-first approach to diplomacy.

What are the real implications of lifting sanctions on Syria—and can the new Syrian leadership be trusted? Is the U.S. abandoning maximum pressure on Iran, or doubling down? And as China courts Middle Eastern nations, what role should America be playing in the region it keeps returning to?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@AndyKeiser

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Fault Lines 451: Crossfire and Ceasefires: India, Pakistan, and the Fragile Truce

Mon, 12 May 2025 17:04:40 GMT

Today, Martha, Morgan, and Jess unpack the volatile state of affairs between India and Pakistan following days of exchanged missiles, drones, and cross-border fire in response to a deadly terrorist attack in Kashmir. A ceasefire has been declared and is tentatively holding, though reports of violations have already surfaced. While the Trump administration has claimed credit for brokering the truce, the extent of U.S. involvement remains unclear, as India continues to frame the conflict as a bilateral matter.

What role, if any, did Washington truly play? How does the U.S. balance its growing partnership with India amid regional instability? And with Prime Minister Modi expected to address the nation, will India push for peace—or prepare for more pressure?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out these stories which helped shape our experts’ opinions.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/india-pakistan-ceasefire-shaken-overnight-clashes-kashmir/

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/fragile-ceasefire-holds-between-india-pakistan-trump-offers-more-help-2025-05-11/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg9d913v20o

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 450: Tariff Tensions—Trade Deals, Retaliation, and Resetting the Market

Fri, 09 May 2025 15:49:40 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Matt, and Algene break down the latest developments in U.S. trade policy. A new U.S.-UK agreement lowers tariffs on select British imports to 10%, including automobiles, aluminum, and steel. Meanwhile, the U.S. and China are set to meet this weekend in Geneva to jumpstart trade talks aimed at easing escalating tensions, as President Trump recently declared on social media that an 80% tariff on Chinese goods "seems right.”

Is the U.S.-UK trade deal a meaningful step forward, or a symbolic win? Can the upcoming U.S.-China talks ease economic pressure and provide relief for American businesses and consumers? What are the national security stakes in U.S.-China trade negotiations?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out these stories which helped shape our experts’ opinions.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/china-agrees-to-trade-talks-with-the-u-s-and-rolls-out-more-stimulus-as-tariffs-hit-economy

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-says-china-wants-negotiate-meet-right-time-2025-05-06/

https://www.cnn.com/business/live-news/trump-us-uk-trade-announcement

https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-ready-fresh-100-billion-counterstrike-donald-trump-tariffs/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@WMattHayden

@AlgeneSajery

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Episode 449: Smoke Signals – The Global Stakes of the Next Pope

Wed, 07 May 2025 14:57:16 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, Matt, and Jess unpack the opening of the Papal Conclave, where 133 cardinals will vote to elect the next leader of the Catholic Church following Pope Francis' death. As the Church prepares for a new era, the next pontiff will inherit a vast and diverse flock of 1.4 billion people—and a complex geopolitical role.

What legacy does Pope Francis leave behind? How will the next pope shape global diplomacy, from China to Ukraine to Africa and Latin America? Will this be a time of renewed outreach or internal retrenchment—and how will growing Catholic populations across the world influence the direction of the Church for the next 25 years?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@lestermunson

@WMattHayden

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 448: Ukraine Updates – Drones, Deals, and Defense

Mon, 05 May 2025 16:03:47 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Andrew, and Matt unpack the latest developments in U.S.-Ukraine relations—from a newly signed mineral deal with financial provisions for reconstruction deal to reports of Ukrainian sea drones downing Russian fighter jets with U.S. tech, and the transfer of Patriot missile systems. With these moves, the U.S. is significantly increasing its support for Ukraine’s battlefield capabilities.

Is this a turning point in the Trump administration’s approach to Ukraine? What do these shifts mean for deterrence, reconstruction, and European defense? And with Zelensky and Trump’s Vatican meeting behind them, is the U.S.-Ukraine relationship entering a new phase of partnership?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped inform our experts today:

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/ukrainian-naval-drones-shoot-down-russian-jets-in-military-first-kyiv-says-bc0eaf08

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/04/world/europe/ukraine-russia-war-patriot-systems.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@WMattHayden

@AndrewBorene

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/uYCo7qhquGM

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Episode 447: Waltz Out, Rubio In: A National Security Shake Up

Fri, 02 May 2025 16:05:57 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, and Andrew discuss the sudden removal of National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, who has now been nominated by President Trump to serve as U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations. While framed as a promotion, many view the shift as a demotion in both political influence and strategic significance—especially as Waltz’s hawkish stance on Russia, China, and Iran put him at odds with a more isolationist wing of the administration.

Is this a sign the Trump administration is softening on Iran? What message does this send to allies and adversaries alike? And with Marco Rubio now wearing multiple hats as Secretary of State, acting USAID administrator, and interim National Security Advisor, is this a moment of consolidation—or further chaos?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped inform our experts today:

https://apnews.com/live/donald-trump-news-updates-5-1-2025

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/crkx3ed5dn2t

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@AndrewBorene

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Episode 446: Trump 101: Promises Made; Promises Kept?

Wed, 30 Apr 2025 16:23:03 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Jess take stock of President Trump’s first 101 days back in office. From sweeping global tariffs on “Liberation Day” to high-stakes negotiations in Gaza, Ukraine, and Iran, the administration has taken an aggressive approach to foreign policy—with mixed results. Domestically, hardline immigration policies and sharp cuts to foreign aid have pleased the base, while chaos and concern continue around national security decision-making.

Is the Trump administration delivering on its promises or generating more confusion than progress? Has its pressure on allies—from Canada to Greenland to Panama—strengthened U.S. leverage or isolated it further? And as Europe scrambles for cohesion, how would you grade the administration so far?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

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Photo courtesy of Adobe Stock.

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Episode 445: Fire, Fallout, and the Future of U.S.-Iran Policy

Mon, 28 Apr 2025 16:38:39 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Matt break down the major explosion at Iran’s Shahid Rajaee port—a key hub for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps that plays a crucial role in supplying proxies and moving sanctionable goods. With at least 40 dead, and early reports linking missile propellant sourced from China to the blast, the incident raises urgent questions about Iran’s illicit networks, foreign support, and the growing ties between Tehran, Moscow, and Beijing.

Will this explosion reshape Iran’s ability to supply its proxies? What are the geopolitical implications? As Iran remains weakened, is now the moment for a more aggressive approach to dismantle its nuclear ambitions, or will Trump return to a JCPOA-style deal?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out these sources which helped shape our Fellows’ conversation:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx251yyvwr3o

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/27/russia-sends-help-to-iran-after-deadly-port-explosion

https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-851637

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/26/world/middleeast/us-iran-nuclear-talks.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@WMattHayden

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Episode 444: Ukraine Negotiations: Make Crimea Russia Again?

Fri, 25 Apr 2025 16:59:42 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Morgan, and Algene discuss the latest Ukraine ceasefire talks in London. With Trump envoy Keith Kellogg at the table, the administration is signaling it might walk away if a deal is not reached quickly. The administration’s push for Ukraine to give up Crimea, alongside Trump’s public frustration over continued Russian attacks, has raised concern among Ukraine’s allies.

What happens if the U.S. takes a step back from the conflict? Does the Trump Administration's Ukraine strategy embolden China? Does Zelensky have the leverage to resist a deal that hands Crimea to Russia?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out these sources which helped shape our Fellows’ conversation:

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/23/world/europe/ukraine-cease-fire-talks-london.html?campaign_id=190&emc=edit_ufn_20250423&instance_id=153146&nl=from-the-times®i_id=71709507&segment_id=196578&user_id=b36bb8b1fddc039dd3b9788419691dbd

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/24/world/europe/europe-ukraine-russia-trump.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/04/24/trump-presidency-news/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@AlgeneSajery

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/o_DuLxekPYg

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Episode 443: India, Terror, and Trade

Wed, 23 Apr 2025 18:36:38 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, and Jess break down Vice President JD Vance’s visit to India—a trip originally billed as personal but packed with high-level meetings and geopolitical implications. Vance’s arrival coincided with the deadliest terrorist attack in Kashmir in nearly 20 years, as gunmen killed at least two dozen tourists. As India blames Pakistan, tensions are rising, just as the U.S. seeks to deepen trade and security ties with New Delhi.

What does this attack mean for India’s potential military response—and for regional stability? Can the U.S. and India align more closely on counterterrorism and China strategy? And with Trump and Vance pursuing a more transactional approach to diplomacy, is this the moment to finally lock in a U.S.-India trade agreement?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out these sources which helped shape our Fellows’ conversation:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/india-kashmir-terror-attack-tourists-killed-wounded-pahalgam/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

@marthamillerdc

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/5F1Mj-0zC4k

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Episode 442: Leaks, Loyalty, and the Pentagon’s Process Problem

Mon, 21 Apr 2025 15:24:55 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Bishop, and Amy unpack the latest controversy surrounding Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, who’s now facing allegations of leaking classified information via another Signal chat—just days after three senior aides were abruptly fired. The allegations raise serious questions about process, discipline, and accountability at the heart of the Pentagon.

Is the Trump administration holding Hegseth to a different standard? What are the consequences of removing the senior political staff who understand how the Department of Defense operates? And with growing concerns over the handling of classified information and a lack of internal checks, will Congress step in to create accountability in the system?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.msnbc.com/weekends-with-alex-witt/watch/-nothing-about-this-is-normal-fmr-pentagon-official-blasts-turmoil-in-hegseth-s-pentagon-staff-237948997897

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/04/16/pentagon-inquiry-hegseth-suspends-caldwell-selnick/

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/04/20/ullyot-pentagon-hegseth-chaos-00300695

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/04/19/hegseth-leak-probe-officials-ousted/5380c9f0-1d7b-11f0-9160-306c35f9b3a8_story.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@amykmitchell

@BishopGarrison

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/cug1_ERc_7Y

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Episode 441: Populists, Planets, and Potential Tariff Pivots

Fri, 18 Apr 2025 16:19:39 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, and Les discuss Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s visit to the White House. As the EU’s unofficial emissary, Meloni is hoping to head off an EU-U.S. trade war. Trump says a deal is coming “100%,” but he’s in no rush. Meanwhile, the EU is in talks with China over EV tariffs, as Trump reportedly ups pressure on Europe to pick a side: Washington or Beijing. Oh, and NASA has found signs of life on an exoplanet. From trade to space and everything in between—it’s a very Fun Friday.

Is Trump driving a wedge between the EU and China—or just improvising one day at a time? Can Meloni, a right-wing nationalist, effectively represent Europe’s broader interests? Does NASA and the Trump Administration know more than they’re saying about alien life?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/world/trump-100-confident-of-trade-deal-with-eu-during-italian-pm-melonis-us-visit/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/04/16/meloni-italy-eu-tariffs-trump/

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/eu-china-start-talks-lifting-eu-tariffs-chinese-electric-vehicles-handelsblatt-2025-04-10/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/science/2025/04/16/alien-life-exoplanet-webb-telescope/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 440: U-Turns and Uncertainty – The Trump Administration’s Iran Dilemma

Wed, 16 Apr 2025 16:51:55 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Andy, and Jess unpack the Trump administration’s latest mixed signals on Iran. After U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff publicly suggested the U.S. might accept uranium enrichment at levels allowed under the JCPOA, the statement was quickly walked back—raising major questions about whether the administration has a coherent strategy for talks with Tehran.

What is the Trump administration’s actual position on Iran’s nuclear program? Is Witkoff—despite his lack of diplomatic experience—shaping U.S. foreign policy by default? Can the U.S. pursue negotiations without clear parameters, or should it return to a maximum pressure campaign?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out these sources which helped shape our Fellows’ conversation:

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-softens-position-on-iranian-uranium-enrichment-5bf0953a

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/apr/15/trump-envoy-steve-witkoff-demands-iran-eliminate-nuclear-programme

https://www.ft.com/content/5fa3707d-7952-464f-a67c-37ddfc061ed5

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@AndyKeiser

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/qqev_TnyGVk

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Episode 439: Burn It Down—Marocco’s Exit and the Future of U.S. Foreign Aid

Mon, 14 Apr 2025 16:33:45 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, and Jess unpack the surprise departure of Pete Marocco, Director of the Office of Foreign Assistance, the architect behind the Trump administration’s dismantling of U.S. foreign assistance. In less than three months, USAID has been effectively gutted, with over 6,000 programs under review and thousands of jobs in the U.S. and abroad at risk. Marocco’s approach—mirroring Elon Musk’s soon-ending stint at DOGE—has thrown American aid policy into turmoil just as China deepens its influence in key developing regions and Congress begins to push back on the administration’s agenda.

Was Marocco’s removal part of a broader shift—or just the end of a mission to dismantle American aid? Who’s actually calling the shots now, and could this signal a shift to a more measured approach to foreign assistance? And as U.S. credibility erodes abroad, will rivals like China turn this moment of disarray into a permanent strategic advantage?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out these sources which helped shape our Fellows’ conversation:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/04/13/pete-marocco-usaid/

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-appointed-official-who-oversaw-dismantling-of-usaid-leaves-state-department/ar-AA1CRgrp?ocid=BingNewsVerp

https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trump-official-who-oversaw-closure-of-usaid-has-left-state-department-5760da3d

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/C_aBds84CoI

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Episode 438: Shifting Lines—Reduced Troops, Heightened Tensions, and the Future of European Security

Fri, 11 Apr 2025 17:00:39 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, Amy, and Algene dive into the shifting dynamics of European security as the Trump administration reportedly considers withdrawing up to 10,000 U.S. troops from the continent, while the head of U.S. European Command and several members of Congress urge against a drawdown. At the same time, European allies are boosting their defense investments, Ukraine is accusing China of direct involvement in the conflict, and the broader transatlantic relationship faces a potential realignment.

What would a U.S. troop withdrawal signal to Russia and China? Is Europe prepared to fill the gap if the U.S. steps back? Could a force reduction undermine ceasefire efforts in Ukraine—or is this an opportunity for Europe to redefine its role in regional security?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out these sources which helped shape our Fellows’ conversation:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/pentagon-considering-proposal-cut-thousands-troops-europe-officials-sa-rcna199603

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/04/08/troops-europe-withdraw-cavoli-republicans-00007176

https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-force-coalition-britain-france-nato-4c87525361eb3cf1c860075d4519f6d8

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/beijing-rejects-ukraines-claim-significant-numbers-chinese-troops-120627611

https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/04/10/trump-defense-europe-eu-arms-sales-rearm-trade-war/?tpcc=recirc_latest062921

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@amykmitchell

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@AlgeneSajery

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Episode 437: Cobalt, Conflict, and the Congo: A Test for U.S. Strategy

Wed, 09 Apr 2025 16:38:18 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Bishop, and Amy discuss the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s plea for a minerals-for-security deal with the United States, as the country faces mounting violence and instability. With $24 trillion worth of natural resources—including critical cobalt reserves—on the line, Rwandan-backed rebel groups have seized key mining hubs in eastern Congo, killing thousands, displacing millions, and igniting regional tensions.

What’s in it for Washington, and can the Trump administration craft a consistent, credible Africa strategy? As Rwanda and Uganda continue to exploit the chaos and U.S. tariffs hamper global engagement, will this become another case where talk outpaces action? And with American companies reluctant to invest in conflict zones, is the DRC poised to become another lost front in the race for critical minerals?

Check out these sources which helped shape our Fellows’ conversation:

https://www.wsj.com/world/africa/while-war-rages-congos-neighbors-smuggle-out-its-gold-and-mineral-wealth-8582b882?mod=hp_lead_pos8

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/3/17/amid-conflict-why-does-the-drc-want-a-minerals-deal-with-trump

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp34140qkw0o

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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@amymitchell

@bishop

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Episode 436: Friendly Fire – Tariffs, Allies, and Strategic Fallout

Mon, 07 Apr 2025 15:53:40 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, and Jess unpack the growing global fallout from President Trump’s expanding tariff agenda. With a minimum 10% tariff imposed on all imports – and significantly higher rates hitting key partners like Vietnam and the European Union – the administration’s “America First” approach is straining alliances and undercutting strategic objectives.

Will Congress push back before economic strain turns into political blowback? Can national security priorities withstand the ripple effects of a disrupted global supply chain? And as China retaliates and allies like Japan, South Korea, and Israel respond, is Trump’s trade strategy isolating America at a time when unity is essential?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 435: Chaos, Loyalty, and the NSC Shake Up

Fri, 04 Apr 2025 15:31:55 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, Amy, and Jess unpack the dramatic firings at the National Security Council, following far-right influencer Laura Loomer’s unexpected meeting with President Trump. In just 24 hours, two rounds of senior NSC officials—including the Commander and Deputy of U.S. Cyber Command—were dismissed, with a third round reportedly imminent. What triggered the purge? A mix of internal power struggles, loyalty tests, and fallout from last week’s Signal Gate scandal.

Is the Trump administration sidelining expertise in favor of ideological alignment? With trust in National Security Advisor Mike Waltz shaken and figures like Pete Hegseth gaining influence, is a broader battle underway between traditional GOP Reaganites and those who are more skeptical of U.S. alliances. And who stands to benefit from this internal unraveling at the heart of U.S. foreign policy?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://jinsa.org/jinsa_report/path-to-snapback-april-2025/

https://www.axios.com/2025/04/02/trump-iran-talks-bomb-threats

https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2025/03/31/there-will-be-a-bombing-trump-threatens-to-attack-iran-if-no-nuclear-deal-reached/

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@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@amykmitchell

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Episode 434: Liberation Day or Tax Day?

Wed, 02 Apr 2025 15:45:10 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Morgan, and Amy break down President Trump’s long-awaited “Liberation Day” and the sweeping tariffs that come with it. While the exact details are still emerging, proposals range from a universal 20% tariff on imports to targeted reciprocal tariffs designed to match the duties other nations impose on U.S. goods. The announcement has already triggered domestic backlash and international warnings of retaliation, setting the stage for a potential economic showdown.

Will these tariffs revive U.S. manufacturing or simply drive up costs for American consumers? How will Congress respond if businesses and voters push back? And what does President Trump’s “Mar-a-Lago Accord” signal about the future of U.S. economic policy?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/03/31/senate-vote-canada-tariffs-susan-collins-00262363

https://www.reuters.com/world/china-japan-south-korea-will-jointly-respond-us-tariffs-chinese-state-media-says-2025-03-31/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/04/01/eu-trump-tariffs-retaliation-big-tech/

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/01/us/politics/trump-tariffs-nato-allies.html

https://www.cnn.com/2025/03/30/business/china-reciprocal-tariffs-us-trade-war-analysis-intl-hnk/index.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@amykmitchell

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/QvyChZ3iEiY

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Episode 433: Greenland Gambit: Allies, Ambitions, and Arctic Tensions

Mon, 31 Mar 2025 15:29:19 GMT

Today, Martha, Morgan, Amy, and Jess unpack rising tensions in the Arctic following Vice President JD Vance’s visit to Greenland and the fallout in Denmark, among the U.S.’s most reliable allies. This visit was a step too far for many in Denmark: Danish public opinion of the U.S. has plummeted, with over 40% now viewing the U.S. as a threat. Danish officials are now publicly questioning American intentions.

As Russia reactivates Arctic bases and China eyes Greenland’s resources, why is the U.S. alienating key allies instead of building strategic cooperation? What does the Trump administration actually want from the Danes, and how does this approach help U.S. national security strategy?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6370788279112

https://www.npr.org/2025/03/30/nx-s1-5344942/trump-military-force-not-off-the-table-for-greenland#:~:text=Since%201945%2C%20the%20American%20military,with%20some%20200%20soldiers%20today

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2025/03/28/greenland-us-bases-history-vance/

https://www.americansecurityproject.org/russian-arctic-military-bases/

https://thedefensepost.com/2023/12/06/russia-arctic-military-presence/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@amykmitchell

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/qtOcQ_eMLa0

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Episode 432: Pulled Back, Pushed Aside: Stefanik, Power, and Political Trade Offs

Fri, 28 Mar 2025 16:05:49 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, Martha, and Jess break down the sudden withdrawal of Congresswoman Elise Stefanik’s nomination to be U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations. A key Trump loyalist and early cabinet pick, Stefanik had already sat through confirmation hearings and staffed up at the UN—but with a razor-thin Republican House majority at risk, the administration pulled the plug.

What does this move signal about internal GOP priorities and Trump’s personnel strategy? How will the lack of a confirmed U.S. ambassador impact America’s ability to lead at the UN—especially as China and Russia assert more influence? And with Stefanik’s political future uncertain, what’s next for one of Trump’s most visible allies?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/elise-stefanik-united-nations-ambassador-trump-96ef705d7498f080f9f399416b647f99

https://www.cnn.com/2025/03/27/politics/stefanik-ambassador-nomination-white-house?cid=ios_app

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/03/27/elise-stefanik-united-nations-trump/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 431: Signal Gate – Leaks, Leadership, and National Security Risks

Wed, 26 Mar 2025 15:48:18 GMT

Today, Les, Jeffrey, and Jess unpack the fallout from the Atlantic's bombshell report on leaked Signal messages between top national security officials. The controversy erupted when Atlantic editor Jeffrey Goldberg was mistakenly added to the "Houthi PC small group" chat by National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, exposing sensitive national security discussions taking place over unsecured personal devices—including while one official was in Russia. The revelations raise serious concerns about negligence, security breaches, and the erosion of institutional discipline.

What does this leak reveal about decision-making at the highest levels? Will U.S. allies lose trust in Washington’s ability to protect intelligence? And with no sign of accountability or investigation, does this signal a larger breakdown in how national security is handled?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2025/03/signal-group-chat-attack-plans-hegseth-goldberg/682176/?gift=0MX4QOJ8hj9Td0f7h7prWQ6KNbodYHBJ3UBWR7do19A&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/pete-hegseth-sued-over-signal-text-debacle_n_67e2f9b5e4b074f0c26efadc?nur

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-envoy-steve-witkoff-signal-text-group-chat-russia-putin/#

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@lestermunson

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Episode 430: Erdoğan’s Power Play: The Arrest of Turkey’s Mayor

Mon, 24 Mar 2025 15:42:20 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Les, and Morgan unpack the arrest of Istanbul’s mayor Ekrem Imamoglu —Turkey’s leading opposition figure and the likely challenger to President Erdoğan in 2028. His arrest sparked mass protests across the country and violent clashes, raising alarms over Turkey’s seemingly accelerating democratic backslide.

With Turkey’s geopolitical importance, including its strategic role in NATO —will democratic erosion be overlooked for political convenience? Or as Erdoğan tightens his grip, will the Trump Administration speak out for democracy?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/23/world/middleeast/turkey-ekrem-imamoglu-istanbul.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/22/world/middleeast/turkey-erdogan-democracy-istanbul-mayor-detention.html

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/21/middleeast/turkey-protests-erdogan-mayor-intl-latam/index.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/Gw4pYhWeBp8

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 429: The Puck Stops Here: Trump, Trade, and Canada’s Political Shift

Fri, 21 Mar 2025 17:35:57 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, and Andy dive into Canada’s upcoming federal election, expected as early as the end of April. With Liberal leader Mark Carney gaining ground over Conservative Pierre Poilievre, this race could be the first major international political test of the "Trump effect." Trump’s recent trade attacks on Canada—and his unexpected openness to a Liberal government—appear to be reshaping the political landscape.

How are tariffs and rising Canadian nationalism impacting the race? Will this lead to more defense spending and deeper cooperation with Europe? And as U.S. support for Ukraine wavers, could Canada step up its military and intelligence leadership on the global stage?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjw2g88dlqlo

https://apnews.com/article/canada-election-mark-carney-trump-tariffs-us-183999b9ec9ca31c200a0d1a0cbbe01b

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canada-pm-carney-expected-call-snap-election-april-28-globe-mail-reports-2025-03-20/

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@AndyKeiser

@morganlroach

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Episode 428: Ceasefire or Charade? Breaking Down the Trump-Putin Call

Wed, 19 Mar 2025 17:07:30 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Bishop, and Andrew unpack the high-stakes phone call between Presidents Trump and Putin and what it means for the future of the war in Ukraine. The two leaders reached a limited agreement for a 30-day halt on attacks against Ukraine’s energy infrastructure—but just hours later, both sides launched new strikes.

Do we really have an agreement? As negotiations move to Jeddah, is the U.S. making progress toward a real peace settlement, or being drawn into Putin’s playbook? And with Trump backing Putin’s proposal for U.S.-Russia ice hockey matches, is this soft-power diplomacy or a PR win for Moscow?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@BishopGarrison

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 427: U.S. Strikes on the Houthis – Deterrence or Escalation?

Mon, 17 Mar 2025 16:07:45 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Jess discuss the latest U.S. strikes on the Houthis in Yemen and whether they will effectively stop further attacks on shipping in the Red Sea. The Houthis, backed by Iran, have been disrupting maritime operations in the region for 17 months—but will this action truly restore deterrence?

Is this about targeting the Houthis, or is it really a move against Iran? With Trump designating the Houthis as a terrorist organization and signaling maximum pressure to Tehran, how does this fit into his broader strategy for the Middle East? And, more broadly, as the Houthis continue attacking Western ships while sparing Chinese vessels, where exactly does Beijing stand in this conflict?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5196769-vance-musk-doge-federal-workforce-mistakes/

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/in-yemen-strikes-trump-takes-on-a-group-that-has-outlasted-powerful-foes-70ef7b3d?mod=hp_lead_pos8

https://abcnews.go.com/International/iranian-general-raises-prospect-response-amid-us-strikes/story?id=119847045

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@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 426: Greenland Votes, Trump Provokes

Fri, 14 Mar 2025 15:41:15 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Les, and Jess break down the results of Greenland’s parliamentary elections and what they mean for U.S. strategy in the Arctic. With high voter turnout and the center-right Demokraatit (Democracy) party gaining the largest portion of parliamentary seats, Greenland is navigating a complex path between independence, Denmark, and U.S. influence—just as President Trump openly raises the possibility of annexation.

How will Greenland’s new leadership shape relations with the U.S. and Europe? As China and Russia eye Arctic resources, does the U.S. have a real strategy beyond inflammatory rhetoric? And with Denmark frustrated by Trump’s remarks, is the administration undermining NATO just as Arctic security concerns grow?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/greenland-election-demokraatit-trump-arctic-13c295cbc716db2c8011be5819e11fef

https://www.npr.org/2025/03/13/nx-s1-5325949/greenland-elections-trump-independence

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/12/world/europe/greenland-election.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c&pvid=184EF2B4-0541-43F1-B6F3-E41C7A362BF7

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@lestermunson

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Episode 425: Ceasefire or Stalemate? Ukraine, Russia, and the Trump Factor

Wed, 12 Mar 2025 15:07:10 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Jess unpack the Ukraine-Russia ceasefire talks brokered in Saudi Arabia, where Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has positioned himself as mediator. Ukraine initially pushed for land and sea ceasefires but ultimately backed down, and a key mineral agreement remains unsigned. With Russia still holding out, the ceasefire hasn’t begun — and attacks continue on both sides.

Has the Trump administration successfully boxed Ukraine into talks by cutting off intelligence support? What happens if Russia refuses to play along — and will the U.S. actually hold them accountable? Is Zelensky’s return to Trump’s good graces a sign of renewed alignment or deeper dependency? And what does it mean that Europe was left out of the room?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ukraine-ceasefire-russia-us-talks-saudi-arabia/

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c51ypekv9xwt

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 424: Seas of Change? U.S. Strategy in the Indo-Pacific

Mon, 10 Mar 2025 15:38:37 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Bishop, and Jeffrey discuss rising Indo-Pacific tensions as Chinese warships come within 200 miles of Sydney and conduct live-fire drills near New Zealand. With China’s naval expansion rapidly outpacing the U.S., and American shipbuilding struggling to keep up, concerns are growing over Washington’s AUKUS’ commitments and its broader strategic alliances both in the region and globally.

Does the U.S. pivot to a more interest-based foreign policy risk alienating allies? Are China, Russia, and Iran strengthening their partnerships while the U.S. pulls back? And if the U.S. can’t deliver on AUKUS submarine commitments, what does that mean for security in the Pacific?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/06/asia/trump-china-warships-asia-pacific-analysis-hnk-intl/index.html

https://www.newsweek.com/us-news-navy-warship-shiloh-french-polynesia-china-australia-2039709

https://www.businessinsider.com/chinas-shipbuilding-power-players-making-warships-at-a-rapid-pace-2024-9

https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202503/1329755.shtml

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/07/surface-tension-could-the-promised-aukus-nuclear-submarines-simply-never-be-handed-over-to-australia

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Episode 423: Make Europe Great Again? Trump’s Ukraine Policy and the Future of European Security

Fri, 07 Mar 2025 17:25:59 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Jess examine Europe’s reaction to the Trump administration’s latest Ukraine policy shift. As the U.S. scales back intelligence sharing and pushes for a U.S.-Russia-brokered peace deal, European leaders are scrambling to define their own approach.

Will this force Europe to step up militarily and act as a unified bloc? Can France’s talk of nuclear deterrence become a credible alternative to U.S. support? And how will these developments shape Europe’s defense future?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows’ discussion:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvssAXQz4Cw

https://www.politico.eu/article/european-leaders-ukraine-aid-nightmare-summit-government-emmanuel-macron-germany-us-russia/

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@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 422: Trump’s Address: Foreign Policy, Tariffs, and Tough Talk

Wed, 05 Mar 2025 16:16:44 GMT

Today, Martha, Morgan, and Jess break down President Trump’s March 4th national address, which was largely focused on domestic issues, with foreign policy and national security taking a backseat. When those topics did come up—more than an hour in—Trump doubled down on tariffs, floated taking over Greenland and reclaiming the Panama Canal, and took aim at U.S. foreign assistance.

What do Trump’s policies mean for U.S. allies and adversaries? Will his supporters tolerate the economic pain of tariffs? And as China pushes back against U.S. pressure, is a trade war—or worse—on the horizon?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

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Episode 421: Deal or No Deal? Trump, Zelensky, and Ukraine’s Future

Mon, 03 Mar 2025 17:04:52 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, Morgan, and Jess break down the tense Oval Office meeting between President Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky—and why it went so badly. With major disagreements over Russia’s role and the terms of a ceasefire, Zelensky quickly turned to European allies, sparking talk of a “coalition of the willing” to support Ukraine without U.S. leadership.

Can Zelensky and Trump find a way to move forward, or has this meeting widened the divide? As Europe signals a greater role in Ukraine’s defense, will they deliver more than rhetoric? And is Trump’s approach placating Russia—or pressuring Zelensky into a deal he doesn’t want?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 420: Ukraine’s Deal with the U.S.: Substance or Symbolism?

Fri, 28 Feb 2025 17:03:02 GMT

Today, Jess, Lester, Morgan, and Amy break down the latest developments in Ukraine after a busy week in Washington with a rotating cast of world leaders. With French President Emmanuel Macron and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer in D.C. emphasizing the importance of American support to ward off Russian aggression in Europe, the Trump administration is hosting Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenskyy today to discuss a deal granting U.S. access to Ukraine’s critical minerals—one that potentially offers little in the way of security guarantees for Kyiv.

Is a potential critical minerals agreement a step toward a ceasefire, or just political theater? Are Russia and the U.S. positioning themselves for a settlement while leaving Ukraine out of the equation? And is Washington aligning with Russia on recent UN votes a sign of shifting U.S. priorities?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 419: Undersea Sabotage: The Shadow War on Global Infrastructure

Wed, 26 Feb 2025 16:42:43 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Andrew dive into the growing threat to undersea cables—critical infrastructure carrying 95% of global internet traffic. From Taiwan detaining a Chinese-crewed vessel suspected of sabotage to Chinese and Russian-linked ships damaging cables in the Baltic Sea, these incidents highlight a dangerous pattern of grey-zone warfare.

Are China and Russia testing Western response thresholds? How prepared is the U.S. to respond to these attacks? And what steps should the Trump administration take to deter future sabotage and protect critical infrastructure?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/taiwan-undersea-cable-penghu-islands-china-14bfd6ddad184d77ae45068fee9b37d2

https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/25/asia/taiwan-detains-ship-undersea-cable-intl-hnk/index.html

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Episode 418: Germany’s Elections and Europe’s New Political Reality

Mon, 24 Feb 2025 16:32:01 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Jess break down the results of Germany’s federal elections and the seismic shift in the country’s political landscape. While the CDU secured about 29%, the far-right AfD doubled its support, making the Bundestag more fractured than ever—potentially complicating defense spending and transatlantic cooperation.

What does the rise of AfD mean for Germany’s role in NATO and its relationship with the U.S.? As CDU leader Friedrich Merz signals a move toward greater independence from Washington, is Germany preparing to stand on its own? And with European leaders questioning U.S. commitment, is this election a sign of a larger shift in the U.S.-EU dynamic?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 417: McConnell’s Legacy: Strength, Strategy, and the State of the Senate

Fri, 21 Feb 2025 17:37:08 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Algene discuss the retirement of Senator Mitch McConnell after 42 years in Congress—marking the end of an era for Republican leadership and a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy. As one of the longest-serving and most influential Senate leaders in history, McConnell championed alliances, engagement abroad, and the "peace through strength" doctrine.

What does his departure mean for U.S. national security strategy? How will his absence shape the Senate’s role in foreign policy? And how did McConnell’s tenure impact the Senate as an institution?

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Episode 416: DeepSeek, TikTok, and the U.S.-China Tech Battle

Wed, 19 Feb 2025 17:24:01 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Amy, and Andrew discuss the rising concerns over DeepSeek, a Chinese AI chatbot positioning itself as a competitor to OpenAI, Gemini, and other U.S.-developed platforms. The U.S. has banned DeepSeek from federal systems, and South Korea recently announced it will block new downloads, with both countries underscoring data privacy and national security concerns.

Is China pulling ahead in AI development? What are the concerns regarding DeepSeek and other Chinese-developed apps like TikTok? What might the Trump Administration responses mean for larger U.S.-China relations?

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/17/business/south-korea-deepseek-china-ai.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/us-lawmakers-move-ban-deepseek-government-devices-chinese-surveillance-rcna190965

https://www.defenseone.com/technology/2025/01/how-deepseek-changed-future-aiand-what-means-national-security/402594/

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Episode 415: Ukraine Negotiations

Mon, 17 Feb 2025 18:08:01 GMT

Today, Les, Amy, Andrew, and Jess break down the latest push for peace in Ukraine as negotiations unfold in Saudi Arabia. With President Trump advocating for talks, uncertainty looms over who is involved—Ukraine’s role remains unclear, and European allies are scrambling to protect their interests with an emergency summit in Paris.

Are these talks the first step toward ending the war, or is the West handing Putin a victory? Could European troops on the ground shift the balance? And what message does this send to U.S. allies about standing up to aggression?

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/16/us/politics/ukraine-zelensky-trump-russia.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/16/world/europe/vance-europe-putin-russia.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/02/16/us-russia-ukraine-war-talks-saudi-arabia/

https://www.wsj.com/world/russia-ukraine-slowing-advance-reasons-9debf4e1

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Episode 414: Trump, Modi, and the Power of Partnership

Fri, 14 Feb 2025 17:04:55 GMT

Today, Jess, Bishop, and Algene unpack Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Washington and his high-profile meetings with both President Trump and Elon Musk. With defense cooperation, tariffs, energy imports, and tech visas on the table, the visit signals growing ties between the U.S. and India—wrapped in a public display of political friendship.

Will this “bromance” lead to deeper defense collaboration and secure supply chains? Can India help the U.S. maintain its edge in AI and counter China’s influence? And does Musk’s meeting with Modi blur the lines between business and government?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/trump-india-modi-visit-washington-tariffs-83d5f6af65f923dc4feb3f38338c888d

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj91d3jkpvlo

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c23ndleveymo

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Episode 413: Trump’s Ultimatum: Hostages, Aid, and Middle East Power Plays

Wed, 12 Feb 2025 16:34:40 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Jess unpack the latest developments in the Middle East and King Abdullah of Jordan’s visit to Washington, D.C. With Trump’s Saturday deadline for the release of Israeli hostages looming, tensions are rising as the Arab League prepares to meet and as Egypt and Jordan weigh their response to Trump’s push for them to take in displaced Palestinians.

What impact will Trump’s threat to withhold aid from Egypt and Jordan have? Is his strategy giving Arab states flexibility or forcing their hand? And as Middle East dynamics shift, what role can U.S. allies play in addressing the humanitarian crisis?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/02/11/trump-abdullah-gaza-plan-00203602

https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/11/politics/trump-jordan-king-abdullah-gaza-plan/index.html

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/trump-wants-jordans-help-with-gaza-its-king-is-looking-for-a-way-to-say-no-0958ad69?mod=world_lead_story

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/02/11/israel-war-gaza-ceasefire-jordan-egypt-news-hamas/

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Episode 412: Sudan’s Struggle: War, Influence, and U.S. Strategy

Mon, 10 Feb 2025 17:25:45 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Bishop, and Jeffery discuss the latest developments in Sudan, where over 200,000 people have died in the ongoing conflict between government forces and the RSF. While Sudanese forces have secured Khartoum and are discussing the political future, the fight is far from over, as RSF forces still hold Darfur.

With Russia backing Sudan’s military and Iran creeping in, the battle for Port Sudan and Red Sea access has become another front in the global power struggle. Can the U.S. rally its partners to counter Russian and Chinese influence? How does Washington’s delayed response and foreign policy uncertainty impact its credibility? And with USAID in turmoil, what will happen to the humanitarian crisis on the ground?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/02/1159871

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudan-form-new-government-after-regaining-khartoum-say-military-sources-2025-02-09/

https://au.int/en/articles/sudan-suspended-african-union

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Episode 411: Trump’s Gaza Gamble: A Plan with no Takers?

Fri, 07 Feb 2025 16:41:54 GMT

Today, Martha, Morgan, and Jess break down Donald Trump’s controversial proposal for Gaza—relocating Palestinians while the U.S. oversees reconstruction. With pushback from Egypt, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia and mixed reactions in Israel, the plan raises critical questions about feasibility, diplomacy, and regional security.

Who, if anyone, is willing to take responsibility for Gaza? Could this plan derail Saudi-Israel normalization? And what does this mean for the broader regional threat from Iran—has the U.S. lost focus on the bigger strategic picture?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1887543148781461806/photo/1

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israels-defense-minister-orders-army-prepare-gaza-residents-departure-media-2025-02-06/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/02/06/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-egypt-trump-displacement/cd5ab7c2-e46e-11ef-ab83-bb30e4340014_story.html

https://apnews.com/article/israel-trump-gaza-netanyahu-169d497ac07760ccb9724bef5982338a

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Episode 410: USAID Under Fire

Wed, 05 Feb 2025 16:27:33 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Les, and Morgan discuss upheaval at USAID as the agency faces sweeping changes under the Trump Administration. With the freezing of nearly all foreign assistance, most USAID employees reportedly placed on leave, and international staff ordered to return to the U.S., the future of U.S. foreign assistance is in question.

What role does USAID play in advancing U.S. interests abroad? How will the freeze on aid programs affect critical initiatives like PEPFAR and global healthcare? What are the long-term consequences of these far reaching changes on U.S. foreign policy, American businesses, and global influence?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/trump-usaid-layoffs-7e0a159d8a419c4c9388ab02e8259f23

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/03/us/politics/usaid-trump-musk.html

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/usaid-elon-musk-donald-trump-b2692144.html

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Episode 409: Tariff Turmoil: Trump’s Trade War and Its Global Fallout

Mon, 03 Feb 2025 16:02:57 GMT

Episode 409: Tariff Turmoil: Trump’s Trade War and Its Global Fallout

Today, Morgan, Martha, and Jess discuss President Trump’s latest move to impose sweeping tariffs using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), citing illegal migration and fentanyl as justification. The plan includes 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada and 10% on China, which has prompted retaliatory measures from U.S. trading partners.

What are the unintended consequences for American taxpayers? If the U.S. retreats from the global economic stage, who steps in to fill the void? And with past tariffs failing to bring manufacturing back, will this strategy hurt the very voters who elected Trump?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c70kn4676p4o

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/02/02/trump-tariffs-canada-mexico/

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/02/us/politics/trump-tariffs-ieepa.html

https://www.reuters.com/business/trump-stretches-trade-law-boundaries-with-canada-mexico-china-tariffs-2025-02-02/

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

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Episode 408: Russia’s War, Putin’s Problem

Fri, 31 Jan 2025 16:52:17 GMT

Today, Martha, Matt, Bishop, and Andrew break down the latest Russia-Ukraine developments, the growing pressure on Putin, and the rising costs of war. They examine the strength of the Western alliance, the effect of sanctions against Russia, the Nord Stream 2 fallout, and whether boosting U.S. energy production could curb Europe’s reliance on Russian oil. As modern warfare evolves, hybrid conflict, drone strikes, and Wagner’s war crimes are reshaping security far beyond Ukraine.

Will Russia’s mounting losses force Putin to negotiate? How strong is the U.S. and European alliance as the war drags on? Could energy shifts change the geopolitical balance? And is modern conflict entering a dangerous new phase?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/2000262/putin-russia-revolt

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2025/01/29/ukrainian-drones-flew-500-miles-and-in-a-single-strike-damaged-5-of-russias-oil-refining-capacity/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg84r5g8d0o

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Episode 407: Just Push Pause: Trump’s Halt on Federal Programs

Wed, 29 Jan 2025 16:33:06 GMT

Today, Bishop, Amy, Marc, and Algene discuss the chilling effect and confusion created by the Trump administration’s broad pause on federal programs, including those at State, USAID, and domestic initiatives funded through federal grants. With confusion over what can move forward and what funding is on hold, the uncertainty is rippling across the government.

Given some of the uncertainty it’s created, could this move weaken America’s ability to respond to national security threats? How does cutting foreign aid impact U.S. leadership abroad? Will China and Russia step in to fill the void? And how will the freeze on domestic programs affect states and communities across the country?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://breakingdefense.com/2025/01/what-the-f-is-going-on-confusion-uncertainty-in-industry-as-army-contracts-seemingly-halted/

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/us/politics/medicaid-freeze.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/dc-federal-judge-temporarily-blocks-trump-plan-pause-federal-aid-spend-rcna189706

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Episode 406: Trade Threats and Triumphs: Trump’s Colombia Deal

Mon, 27 Jan 2025 16:43:59 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, Amy, and Matt dive into the weekend’s hot story regarding Colombia’s refusal to accept U.S. military planes carrying deported immigrants. This refusal resulted in President Trump announcing tariffs and sanctions targeting the country, Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s announcement of retaliatory tariffs, and a late night statement from the White House indicating that Bogota had accepted all of President Trump’s terms and that flights would resume.

How might this episode impact U.S.-Colombia relations moving forward? What would a trade war with Colombia have looked like? How might Trump’s early diplomatic approach highlighted here affect long-term relationships with allies?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/2025/01/26/trump-colombia-deportation-flights-migrants-tariffs/

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/americas/colombia-us-deportation-flights.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/colombias-petro-will-not-allow-us-planes-return-migrants-2025-01-26/

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Episode 405: Full Steam Ahead: Trump’s Bold Moves on Clearances and Protection

Fri, 24 Jan 2025 16:43:42 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, Marc, and Amy discuss President Trump’s decision to revoke security clearances for officials who signed the Hunter Biden laptop letter and to withdraw protective details for former officials like Mike Pompeo, Brian Hook, and John Bolton. Meanwhile, U.S. National Security Advisor Mike Waltz is reorganizing the National Security Council.

What message do these actions send to allies, adversaries, and current national security officials? Is this a practical step to reshape the NSC or a risky precedent with far-reaching implications?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/23/us/politics/trump-pompeo-security-iran.html

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/01/20/politics/trump-revokes-security-clearances-former-officials-hunter-biden-laptop-letter

https://thehill.com/policy/national-security/5098612-john-bolton-donald-trump-secret-service/amp/

https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/21/politics/video/john-bolton-trump-pulls-secret-service-detail-tapper-digvid

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Episode 404: TikTok Tug-of-War: Divestment, Security, and Trump’s China Play

Wed, 22 Jan 2025 16:38:25 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, and Jes dive into the ongoing battle over TikTok. After Congress passed bipartisan legislation forcing TikTok to divest from ByteDance, the Supreme Court upheld the decision. However, President-elect Trump’s Day 1 Executive Order paused enforcement, proposing a 50% ownership deal with 72 days for review.

Can TikTok operations truly be secured to address national security concerns? What does this proposed deal reveal about Trump’s approach to China, and how does the struggle between Congress and the Executive Branch shape this debate?

Tune in to explore the answers and what this means for the millions of Americans on TikTok.

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/trump-tiktok-ban-da11df6d59c17e2c17eea40c4042386d

https://www.reuters.com/technology/tiktok-goes-dark-us-users-trump-says-save-tiktok-2025-01-19/

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2025/01/19/donald-trump-tik-tok-ownership-united-states/77831835007/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2025/01/21/tiktok-ban-download-back/

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Episode 403: Hostages, Politics, and Peace: Gaza's Fragile Ceasefire

Fri, 17 Jan 2025 16:32:48 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Algene discuss the Gaza-Israel ceasefire and hostage deal, marking a turning point 15 months into the conflict. Brokered with negotiators from both the Biden and Trump administrations, this agreement demonstrates rare unity across the political divide. With hostages and Palestinian prisoners set to be exchanged in phases, and Israeli forces withdrawing from key areas, the deal raises critical questions.

Should President-elect Donald Trump be considered “the closer” on this deal? Can the U.S. and Israel ensure Iran remains isolated? And will this deal hold through its initial phase and beyond?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-quarrel-over-final-details-of-gaza-cease-fire-2fbb837b

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/01/16/israel-war-gaza-ceasefire-hostages-news-hamas/

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-quarrel-over-final-details-of-gaza-cease-fire-2fbb837b

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Episode 402: Confirmations and Controversies: Breaking Down Trump’s Nominees

Wed, 15 Jan 2025 17:03:02 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, Martha, and Jess discuss this week’s national security nomination hearings, happening less than a week before Donald Trump is sworn in as president. This week, Pete Hegseth, nominee Secretary of Defense, Marco Rubio for Secretary of State; and John Ratcliffe for CIA Director, are all under the spotlight. Are Trump’s choices a sign of a cultural shift in the Pentagon, what are the national security implications and how does the Senate’s performance in vetting nominees stack up?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 401: Trump, Greenland, and the Panama Canal: Rhetoric or Real Talk?

Mon, 13 Jan 2025 17:03:11 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Morgan, and Amy delve into President-elect Trump’s recent comments on the strategic importance of Greenland and the Panama Canal to U.S. national security. His refusal to rule out the use of military force to secure these regions has raised eyebrows, ignited debate, and brought renewed attention to key geopolitical areas where the U.S. faces increasing competition from Russia and China.

What do Trump’s remarks signal for U.S. security priorities, particularly as Russia and China expand their influence in the Arctic and Latin America? How can the U.S. deepen its relationship with Greenland, especially as it pursues independence? What steps can the U.S. take to mitigate China’s growing leverage over the Panama Canal and its presence in the Western Hemisphere?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/01/12/trump-greenland-panama-canal-expansion/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jan/09/greenland-prime-minister-mute-egede-calm-unity-trump-comments-denmark

https://www.npr.org/2025/01/11/nx-s1-5253910/donald-trump-greenland-panama-canal-canada

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/right-to-be-concerned-about-chinas-influence-over-the-panama-canal/

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@marthamillerdc

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Episode 400: Nine Years Later - Trudeau’s Resignation and Canada’s Future

Fri, 10 Jan 2025 17:17:43 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Jess, and Bishop discuss the resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau after nine years in office, leaving him as a caretaker PM until a new leader is selected. This leadership change raises questions about Canada’s future role on the global stage and its evolving relationship with the United States.

Will Trudeau’s successor be ready to navigate challenges like Trump’s potential tariffs on Canadian imports, the housing and affordability crisis, and Canada’s role as a leading energy exporter to the U.S.? Will this shift bring Canada closer to becoming “America’s 51st state”? Why is this happening now?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/justin-trudeau-canadian-prime-minister-why-he-resigned-1235227842/

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-trudeaus-resignation-compounds-economic-uncertainty-ahead-of-possible/

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-trudeau-resignation-election-call/

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@lestermunson

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 399: Yesterday’s Shocks, Tomorrow’s Stakes

Mon, 23 Dec 2024 17:47:29 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Jess, Matt, and Morgan reflect on the most significant foreign policy event of 2024 and explore its potential impact on global affairs in 2025. From emerging power struggles to unexpected alliances, they share bold predictions that could shake up the international stage next year.

What region or issue will dominate headlines in 2025? What’s their biggest wish for U.S. foreign policy moving forward? And which books, articles, or podcasts do they recommend for making sense of the complex year ahead?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

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@NotTVJessJones

@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@WMattHayden

@morganlroach

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RNDF Special Series: Sharon Weinberger - The Future of U.S. Global Leadership

Fri, 20 Dec 2024 16:21:46 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and Martha interview Sharon Weinberger, the national security and foreign policy editor at The Wall Street Journal. She is an expert on the national security space, military science, and technology. She has published three books on military technology and weapons research, including her latest book, “The Imagineers of War: The Untold Story of DARPA, the Pentagon Agency That Changed the World.”

Why did you choose to focus on U.S. national security? How can the U.S. strengthen its defense industrial space? Why do you think more people are drawn to the national security space? Given the worldwide risks journalists face, how does your team consider these risks to journalist’s safety?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!

This marks the final episode of our special series. Tune in on January 10, 2025, when the regular programming of Fault Lines returns!

Happy Holidays and Happy New Year!

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@marthamillerdc

@weinbergersa

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RNDF Special Series: Michèle Flournoy The Future of U.S. Global Leadership

Thu, 19 Dec 2024 17:58:19 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Martha and Les interview Michèle Flournoy, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of WestExec Advisors, and a Co-Founder, former Chief Executive Officer, and now Chair of the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Prior to her role at CNAS, she served as the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy during the Obama administration where she was the principal advisor to the Secretary of Defense in the formulation of national security and defense policy, oversight of military plans and operations, and in National Security Council deliberations.

Should we be considered about political instability impacting our allied partners? How can we ensure the U.S. remains the leader in the emerging tech space? How do we explain the value of America’s non-defense engagement in the Indo-Pacific to the American public?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!

Stay tuned for more of the Fault Lines crew and our special episodes recorded live at RNDF! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

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@lestermunson

A Special Thanks to The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & institute!

Follow them: @ReaganInstitute

Read the 2024 Reagan National Defense Survey Here: https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/

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RNDF Special Series: Vibhav Altekar - The Future of U.S. Global Leadership

Wed, 18 Dec 2024 17:03:53 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Morgan and Jess interview Vibhav Altekar Co-Founder and Vice President of Software at Saronic Technologies, a defense technology company dedicated to advancing naval warfare through cutting-edge technological solutions.

How has the geopolitical atmosphere changed the maritime domain? What are the reasons for the recent influx of investment into the defense sector? What are the opportunities for defense technologies moving forward?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!

Stay tuned for more of the Fault Lines crew and our special episodes recorded live at RNDF! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

A Special Thanks to The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & institute!

Follow them: @ReaganInstitute

Read the 2024 Reagan National Defense Survey Here: https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/

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RNDF Special Series: Amb. Robert O’Brien - The Future of U.S. Global Leadership

Mon, 16 Dec 2024 20:47:16 GMT

Recorded after the Reagan National Defense Forum, Martha and Les interview Amb. Robert O’Brien, the co-founder and chairman of American Global Strategies and a former National Security Advisor for the Trump Administration. Before becoming National Security Advisor, he was appointed special envoy for Hostage affairs.

What is President Trump’s “peace through strength” approach? Should America be concerned about the instability of our allies and partners? With more NATO members meeting their spending requirements, do you see a shift in how Trump interacts with NATO? How should the US prioritize its strategy to disrupt the growing Axis of Iran, China, Russia, and North Korea?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!

Stay tuned for more of the Fault Lines crew and our special episodes recorded live at RNDF! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

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@marthamillerdc

@lestermunson

@robertcobrien

Read Amb. O’Brien’s Foreign Affairs Article Here: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/return-peace-strength-trump-obrien

A Special Thanks to The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & institute!

Follow them: @ReaganInstitute

Read the 2024 Reagan National Defense Survey Here: https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/

Like what we're doing here?

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RNDF Special Series: Representative Jim Himes (D-CT-4) - The Future of U.S. Global Leadership

Fri, 13 Dec 2024 16:59:15 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Morgan and Martha interview Representative Jim Himes (D-CT-4) who serves as Ranking Member of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence and as a member of the House Committee on Financial Services. Prior to serving in Congress, Himes ran the New York City branch of The Enterprise Community Partners, a nonprofit dedicated to addressing urban poverty challenges. Himes holds a Master of Philosophy in Latin American Studies from the University of Oxford, which he obtained after he was awarded a Rhodes Scholarship. He also received his Bachelor of Arts from Harvard University.

How has U.S. global leadership changed throughout the past three presidential administrations? How does the United States’ position in key global partnerships change in the near future? How should the incoming Trump Administration balance and prioritize intelligence tasking needs in the era of competing threats?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!

Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF on The Future of U.S. Global Leadership this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@jahimes

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RNDF Special Series: Senator Cramer - The Future of U.S. Global Leadership

Wed, 11 Dec 2024 16:08:42 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Morgan and Les interview Senator Kevin Cramer (R-ND), member of the Armed Services Committee and co-chair of the Defense Modernization Caucus to discuss opportunities for strengthening national security through emergent technologies.

What spurred the creation of the Defense Modernization Caucus? Are we going fast enough in our defense modernization? What can the incoming administration do to make the most impact on our defense modernization?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!

Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF on The Future of U.S. Global Leadership this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

Follow today’s experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@lestermunson

@SenKevinCramer

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RNDF Special Series: Chairman John Moolenaar - The Future of U.S. Global Leadership

Mon, 09 Dec 2024 20:09:16 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and Les interview Rep. John Moolenaar (MI-02) who serves as Chairman of the House Select Committee on China. In his role as Chairman, he leads the Committee’s work addressing strategic competition between the U.S. and China, including tackling issues such as China’s trade practices and intellectual property theft, human rights abuses, and other national security concerns.

What are the strengths and weaknesses of the U.S. defense industrial base? Is the U.S. making appropriate investments in emerging technologies and adopting them quickly enough? Does the American public understand the urgency of the threat of China?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!

Stay tuned for more of the Fault Lines crew and our special episodes recorded live at RNDF! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/omO5IziMKJM

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Episode 391: South Korea Is … Was… Under Martial Law!

Wed, 04 Dec 2024 17:08:41 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jess, Les, and Jeffrey discuss the short-lived attempt by South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol to impose martial law on South Korea. Yoon ordered martial law Tuesday evening without warning in a speech where he vowed to eliminate “anti-state” forces. Mass protests quickly formed outside South Korea’s National Assembly where members voted to block martial law. Yoon’s Cabinet then lifted the martial law and opposition parties have put forward an impeachment motion against Yoon, with a vote expected to occur later this week.

What does this attempt mean for democracy and democratic norms globally? Why did President Yoon try to implement martial law? Why was the U.S. caught off guard?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cn38321180et

https://apnews.com/article/south-korea-martial-law-north-korea-emergency-b310df4fece42c27051f58b8951f346f

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/03/world/south-korea-martial-law?campaign_id=60&emc=edit_na_20241203&instance_id=141182&nl=breaking-news®i_id=85184605&segment_id=184702&user_id=656d1e51a8895843517d206c45ff8da5

https://www.ft.com/content/a13a7978-6fbe-4f44-9c78-1fc066d8a88b

https://apnews.com/article/south-korea-yoon-martial-law-25a2a7c957e77a19f771b6b7c56a2173

https://apnews.com/article/korea-martial-law-yoon-president-9adbff7c7df6a2fa22b1fbf955a495fa

https://apnews.com/video/south-korea-yoon-suk-yeol-protests-and-demonstrations-north-korea-government-01e70dab69524a3d97854c0c5e196e79

Follow our experts on Twitter:

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@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 390: The Enemy of my Enemy is my…

Mon, 02 Dec 2024 17:08:05 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Jeffrey discuss the recent fall of the Syrian city of Aleppo, Syria’s second-largest city, to Al-Qaeda-linked rebel forces, reawakening the long-dormant civil war that began during the Arab Spring in 2011. Syrian and allied Russian forces have responded by launching a series of airstrikes on Aleppo and Idlib, where the rebel forces have been based.

Who exactly are the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)? Is this development in Syria good for the United States and our allies? Why is this happening now?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/syria-hts-assad-aleppo-fighting-2be43ee530b7932b123a0f26b158ac22

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce313jn453zo

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/russia-syrian-regime-strike-rebel-held-territory-as-anti-assad-forces-advance-ed84d6ae

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/12/01/syria-rebels-assad-aleppo-russia-iran/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/01/world/middleeast/syria-rebels-bashar-al-assad.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb&ngrp=mnp&pvid=EF641E37-7C9E-49F2-9147-F47D2A13030B

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 389: China, Can You Hear Me Now?

Mon, 25 Nov 2024 16:56:44 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, Amy, and Matt discuss Salt Typhoon, a hacking group closely linked to China’s Ministry of State Security, that infiltrated U.S. telecommunications networks as part of a sophisticated cyber-espionage campaign. On Friday, telecom executives were summoned to the White House where U.S. national security and intel officials told industry leaders they needed to help prevent Chinese agents from accessing their networks.

What was the scope of China’s most recent cyber campaign? What has been the Biden Administration’s approach to Chinese hacking operations and what might be incoming President Trump’s strategy? How should the U.S. respond to adversarial states and groups like Salt Typhoon?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://cyberscoop.com/china-apt-eset-target-typhoon-mirrorface/

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/library-congress-email-system-hacked-earlier-year-foreign-adversary.amp

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/11/23/politics/chinese-cyber-espionage-telecom-execs

https://cybermagazine.com/articles/examining-the-worst-telco-cyber-attack-in-us-history

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/us/politics/chinese-hack-telecom-white-house.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@amykmitchell

@NotTVJessJones

@WMattHayden

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/ZdOI7S99kt8?feature=shared

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Episode 388: The ICC - Is Justice Blind?

Fri, 22 Nov 2024 16:38:47 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Jeffrey, and first-time guest, Algene Sajery, discuss the decision by the International Criminal Court (ICC) to issue arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, former Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and deceased Hamas terrorist Mohammed Deif for war crimes and crimes against humanity. The decision by the ICC to issue these warrants has divided the international community drawing condemnation from the Israeli government for the ICC's anti-semitism and the United States questioning the ICC’s jurisdiction over Israel which is not party to the ICC.

How do these charges impact Israel’s diplomatic isolation? Do these warrants diminish the ICC’s reputation further? How will the incoming Trump administration respond to the ICC?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.reuters.com/world/icc-issues-arrest-warrants-israels-netanyahu-gallant-hamas-leader-2024-11-21/

https://apnews.com/article/icc-israel-hamas-warrants-netanyahu-palestinian-arrest-73c854d072e0a1a41b19b2cb2cdd07fa

https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-arrest-warrant-international-criminal-court-war-crimes-8668a2683972297c5a22ea30164a1445

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11/21/world/israel-netanyahu-hamas-gaza

https://www.foxnews.com/world/icc-rejects-israel-appeals-issues-arrest-warrants-benjamin-netanyahu-yoav-gallant

https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-gaza-netanyahu-11-2024-intl/index.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@AlgeneSajery

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Episode 387: Courting Investors, Crushing Dissent in Hong Kong

Wed, 20 Nov 2024 17:28:15 GMT

Today, Martha, Jess, Andy, and Jeffrey discuss the sentencing of 45 pro-democracy activists to four to ten-year prison sentences by the Hong Kong government under the Beijing-induced national security law. This is the largest usage of the law since it was enacted in 2020 to suppress a once-thriving pro-democracy movement. This sentencing comes amidst a three-day Global Financial Leaders’ Investment Summit hosted in Hong Kong where Chinese Vice-Premier He Lifeng touted Hong Kong as an international finance hub.

Are these sentences and the national security law a blueprint for Taiwan if they were to be forcibly reunified with China? What should the United States do in light of these sentences? How can world leaders balance between financial incentives and protecting human rights?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/hong-kong-activists-sentencing-unofficial-primary-1ed13be76fa4918d83f7d3e498f2f543

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/hong-kong-47-democracy-activists-sentenced-national-security-rcna180290

https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/hong-kong-economy/article/3287105/beijings-economic-tsar-set-speak-top-hong-kong-finance-summit

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@marthamillerdc

@AndyKeiser

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Episode 386: ATACMS in Ukraine - Biden Goes the Distance?

Mon, 18 Nov 2024 16:13:29 GMT

Today, Jess, Matt, Jeffrey, and first-time guest, Marc Raimondi, discuss President Biden’s decision to allow Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied missiles to strike deeper inside Russia. This comes amidst Russia reinforcing its forces with thousands of North Korean troops with the goal of reclaiming territory lost to Ukraine’s Kursk offensive.

How have the redlines by the Biden Administration impacted the war in Ukraine? How should Ukraine leverage this new capability? What does this decision mean for the incoming Trump Administration?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/biden-ukraine-long-range-weapons-russia-52d424158182de2044ecc8bfcf011f9c

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-atacms-missiles.html

https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-long-range-weapons-russia-united-states-biden/33205585.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/world/europe/trump-ukraine-russia-peace.html

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ukraine-russia-war-zelenskyy-diplomacy-trump/

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@NotTVJessJones

@WMattHayden

@WashingtonFlack

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Episode 385: Climate COP-out

Fri, 15 Nov 2024 17:28:15 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, Martha, and Matt discuss this week’s COP29, an annual climate summit where world leaders, policymakers, business executives, and others meet to discuss global emissions reduction goals, and how to finance climate mitigation and adaptation efforts, especially in the developing world. This year’s summit was held in Baku, Azerbaijan, and notable heads of state not in attendance included those from the U.S., France, Russia, India, and China among others.

What’s in store for the future of COP? How does U.S. domestic attitudes impact the future of addressing climate challenges? Should we worry about China’s green diplomacy efforts?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2lknel1xpo

https://www.euronews.com/green/2024/11/08/a-total-waste-of-time-the-world-leaders-shunning-cop29-over-political-spats-and-lost-confi

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/climate/cop29-baku-azerbaijan.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/climate/trump-climate-cop-negotiations.html

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2024/11/trump-cop-china-climate/680611/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@marthamillerdc

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

@WMattHayden

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/kB4aC9Kh-Kc

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Episode 384: Trump’s NatSec Draft Picks

Wed, 13 Nov 2024 16:33:17 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Jess discuss president-elect Donald Trump’s picks for national security and foreign policy positions in the coming administration. The least surprising of which have been Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) being floated as a strong contender for Secretary of State, Representative Mike Waltz (R-FL-6) being announced as Trump’s National Security Advisor, and Representative Elise Stefanik (R-NY-21) being announced as the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations. However, in a surprise pick, Pete Hegseth, a Veteran and Fox News Weekend commentator has been announced as Secretary of Defense sending shockwaves throughout the beltway.

How will president-elect Trump’s cabinet picks impact his foreign policy? How do our adversaries and allies view these picks? Will these picks impact the War in Ukraine?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.politico.com/interactives/2024/trump-cabinet-picks-2025-tracker/

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/12/trump-transition-personnel-announcements-takeaway-00188936

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trumps-picks-so-far-heres-who-advising-new-president

https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/trumps-cabinet-whos-been-picked-whos-running-2024-11-12/

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/4985802-trump-cabinet-nominees-second-term/

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Episode 383: Germany’s Traffic Light Coalition Flashes Red

Fri, 08 Nov 2024 17:19:04 GMT

Today, Martha, Morgan, Bishop, and Jeffrey discuss the collapse of Germany’s ruling coalition, the Traffic Light coalition, after German Chancellor Olaf Scholz of the Social Democratic Party, fired Finance Minister Christian Lindner of the Free Democratic Party over disagreements in economic policy causing them to withdraw. This has led Germany to have a minority government with Chancellor Scholz saying he would hold a vote of confidence in January, which could pave the way for new elections as early as March.

What impacts does President-Elect Trump's return and his economic policies have on German politics? With economic recession and now political instability in Germany, will we see a further rise of the Far-Right? What are the broader implications for the U.S.?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/german-government-crisis-leaves-europe-headless-ahead-of-trumps-return-80cfbfc2

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/world/europe/germany-coalition-collapse-explained.html

https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2024/11/07/how-the-german-governments-collapse-impacts-the-eu

https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-governing-coalition-collapses/live-70692143

https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/germany/

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Episode 382: Trump 2.0: What’s in Store for U.S. National Security

Wed, 06 Nov 2024 16:43:24 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Les, and Amy discuss the results of the 2024 presidential election and its implications for U.S. national security. Early Wednesday morning, former President Donald Trump became President-elect of the United States winning over 270 electoral votes. Alongside winning the presidency, the Republican party won a majority in the Senate and the House is still too close to call.

Did foreign policy failures during the Biden administration contribute to the former President’s re-election? How will our adversaries and allies react to a second Trump administration? Where will the focus of the second Trump administration be in foreign policy?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://foreignpolicy.com/projects/2024-us-president-election-live-updates-harris-trump/

https://apnews.com/article/election-day-trump-harris-white-house-83c8e246ab97f5b97be45cdc156af4e2

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/06/opinion/donald-trump-2024-election.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb&ngrp=mnp&pvid=A9E8BB32-1699-438A-BD40-F936DFE4E2CF

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-vs-harris-us-voters-head-polls-turbulent-campaign-concludes-2024-11-05/

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Episode 381: America Chooses; Russian Ruses

Mon, 04 Nov 2024 16:32:29 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Jess, and Jeffrey dive into the issue of election interference by malign actors on the eve of the 2024 Presidential election. Jen Easterly, director of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, recently assured voters that “election infrastructure has never been more secure.” Yet, U.S. officials have flagged two fake videos circulating online and publicly identified by the FBI as part of a Russia-backed malign influence campaign aimed at sowing doubt about election security.

What are the implications of increasing attempts by foreign malign actors attempting to influence our elections? Are we effectively countering these attempts at influencing or undermining our electoral system? And perhaps most importantly, is the CISA’s message of a secure election reaching the American people?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/2-more-russian-disinformation-videos-targeting-u-s-election-circulating-online/

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4967613-fbi-condemns-fake-election-security-videos/amp/

https://apnews.com/article/fbi-russia-georgia-fraud-disinformation-eebea4ab200682ccd3e97fb9f164e6ca

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-01/the-us-cyber-chief-trying-to-get-americans-to-trust-the-election?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTczMDY3NTAzNSwiZXhwIjoxNzMxMjc5ODM1LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJTTTlOU1FEV1JHRzAwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiI1NjZENkIwRkY1NzQ0Qjk4QjI4QTM2QjkyOTg5QjgyRSJ9.8lvkesmpjuUKfsm5kmjL4I0a9yXcLMA--MSSK1PNU2Q

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-11-01/us-election-security-officials-brace-to-protect-ballots-people

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Episode 380: What's Xi up to?

Fri, 01 Nov 2024 15:01:39 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Jeffrey discuss recent Chinese diplomatic maneuvering. Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to resolve a long-standing border dispute that has led to violent clashes and it set to meet with new Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba before Ishiba meets with the U.S. President. Alongside these meetings, China has lodged its increasing discontent with the growing partnership between North Korea and Russia.

What do these diplomatic maneuvers mean, and are they a break from the norm? How does the United States’ presidential election impact the framing of these moves? Is there a potential wedge between Russia and China?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/world/asia/modi-xi-putin-brics.html

https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2024/10/131421bdb5e4-urgent-japan-pm-ishiba-arranging-1st-summit-with-chinas-xi-in-nov.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/31/us/politics/russia-north-korea-troops-china.html

https://apnews.com/article/india-china-ladakh-pact-modi-xi-border-dispute-3c071f1a9bedfe453547027a84ebcf9b

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/India-China-complete-Himalayan-troop-pullback-New-Delhi-says

https://www.voanews.com/a/china-calls-for-stable-japan-relations-after-ishiba-election-victory/7802773.html

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/has-india-made-friends-with-china-after-the-modi-xi-agreement/

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Episode 379: Russian Interference in Georgia - No, Not the State

Wed, 30 Oct 2024 15:35:19 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, Bishop, and Jeffrey discuss Georgia’s recent parliamentary election that saw the pro-Russian ruling party Georgian Dream come out on top and keep its majority. However, Georgia’s pro-Western President Salome Zourabichvili stated that she did not recognize the results of the election, that the country fell victim to a “Russian special operation,” and protests have seized Tbilsi, the capital. A partial recount was announced yesterday.

What do we make of allegations of Russian interference in Georgia’s election? What does this election and Georgia’s bid for EU membership signify for geopolitics? What can Western countries do in response to this election?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/georgia-russia-election-european-union-8f040cb30e1d9c9e778383cbcbb7b2c1

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/georgia-conducts-partial-vote-recount-after-reports-polling-irregularities-2024-10-29/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/27/world/europe/republic-of-georgia-election.html

https://www.politico.eu/article/georgia-polling-election-showdown-dream-party-votes-europe-candidates/

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/28/georgia-election-results-georgian-dream-dispute-eu-russia-protests/

https://www.rferl.org/amp/georgia-election-protests-russia-eu/33176435.html

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@morganlroach

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 378: Israel Strikes Back

Mon, 28 Oct 2024 16:29:01 GMT

Today, Martha, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss Israel’s retaliatory strikes on Iran in response to Iran's October 1st launch of over 200 ballistic missiles targeting Israel. The targets of Israel’s retaliatory strike included Russian-supplied air defenses and military infrastructure, including a secretive military base that has been linked to Tehran’s nuclear weapons program and another base tied to its ballistic missile program.

Did the Biden Administration exert any influence on Israeli targeting decisions? What does the restrained messaging from both sides in the aftermath mean? Will these strikes make Iran more dependent on its weakening proxies?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/iran-israel-attack-satellite-photos-gaza-lebanon-wars-0c6ee6a8544268612cb7d49727d8449d

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-strikes-on-iran-expose-gap-in-prowess-between-two-arch-foes-aded7cf8?st=cZQewc&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/un-security-council-expected-meet-monday-over-israels-strike-iran-diplomats-say-2024-10-27/

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/satellite-photos-show-israel-hit-iran-missile-fuel-mixing-facilities-researchers-2024-10-26/

https://apnews.com/article/iran-israel-war-attack-retaliation-analysis-80a619146abd4f8aee2a7776a8f134d1

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Episode 377: Losing From Behind

Fri, 25 Oct 2024 14:57:06 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, Jeffrey, and Andy discuss reports that there’s evidence North Korea has dispatched 3,000 troops to Russia in a potential escalation of the nearly 3-year-old war with Ukraine. They also discuss a Wall Street Journal exclusive report that Russia through its intermediary Iran gave targeting information to Houthi rebels in Yemen who have been targeting and disrupting commercial shipping in transit in the Red Sea.

Is the presence of North Korean troops in Russia an indicator of things going well for Russia? Is the Biden Administration handling the global situation well? Does the international rules-based order lack strong leadership?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/10/24/putin-russia-north-korea-troops/

https://www.wsj.com/world/russia-provided-targeting-data-for-houthi-assault-on-global-shipping-eabc2c2b?mod=hp_lead_pos1

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-north-korea-war-735ab717dcf92a718adcb68bfbddc653

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@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@AndyKeiser

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Episode 376: BRICS by Brick: A Growing House

Wed, 23 Oct 2024 15:02:19 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Jess, and Les discuss the ongoing 16th annual BRICS summit hosted in Kazan, Russia. The three-day summit welcomes its newest members Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates as well as the UN Secretary-General. The Kremlin touted the summit as “the largest foreign policy event ever held” by Russia.

How concerned should the United States and our allies and partners be about BRICS’ influence? What is the incentive for countries to join BRICS? Do these countries, as well as the UN Secretary-General, attending the BRICS summit give Russian President Vladimir Putin legitimacy?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.reuters.com/world/xi-modi-discuss-ukraine-war-with-putin-brics-considers-expansion-2024-10-23/

https://apnews.com/article/russia-putin-brics-summit-china-india-d672be9b1ec2ffd0fba608e8a6aca790

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/21/world/europe/russia-china-brics.html

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/22/russias-brics-summit-whats-on-the-agenda-and-why-does-it-matter

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/21/europe/putin-russia-iran-china-brics-hnk-intl/index.html

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly3ylwg4eqo

https://www.economist.com/international/2024/10/20/putins-plan-to-defeat-the-dollar

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Episode 375: Moldova Looks West, Despite Russian Threats

Mon, 21 Oct 2024 15:14:51 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Amy, and Jeffrey discuss two pivotal elections that took place Sunday in Moldova. The first was the Presidential election, where current pro-western President Maia Sandu won the first round but did not win an outright majority, setting the stage for a run-off election with a pro-Russian candidate. The second vote was on a referendum enshrining EU accession into the Moldovan constitution, which passed by a razor-thin margin.

What do elections in Moldova mean for geopolitics? Do Moldovans worry that they may become another Ukraine? Were the outcomes of these votes a surprise given Russian efforts to influence them?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/moldova-elections-eu-referendum-russia-325cb2c13beb1d76565a6e2aadef971a

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/20/world/europe/moldova-election-russia-eu.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb

https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/how-russia-targeting-moldovas-path-eu

https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russia-poses-long-term-threats-moldova%E2%80%99s-european-integration-beyond-october-elections

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/19/moldova-election-protection-biden-russia-00184429

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Episode 374: The Architect of Oct 7 is Gone, Is it Time for Peace?

Fri, 18 Oct 2024 16:09:45 GMT

Today, Martha, Les, Jess, and Bishop discuss the death of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, the chief architect of last year’s attack on Israel that sparked the war in Gaza. The Israel Defense Forces killed Sinwar during a strike in Gaza, Israel’s government confirmed Thursday night. Israeli President Benjamin Netanyahu did not indicate that Sinwar’s killing signaled the climax of Israel’s assault on Gaza, as he vowed to bring hostages home. However, many hope it opens the door to peace.

What are the impacts of Sinwar’s death on the War in Gaza and potential peace talks? How will Palestinians respond to Sinwar’s death? Will there be wider regional implications due to Sinwar’s death?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/10/17/world/israel-lebanon-iran-gaza-news?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&tgrp=cpy&pvid=5DDFF1AD-803D-42D5-BA43-F761AA03A69B

https://www.politico.eu/article/israel-killed-hamas-leader-yahya-sinwar-gaza/

https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-lebanon-hezbollah-news-10-17-2024-d12ca71945313e601cf10876072f4182

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@lestermunson

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Episode 373: Is Biden’s Middle East Messaging Ethical?

Wed, 16 Oct 2024 15:07:28 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Martha, and Jeffrey discuss Israel’s response, or lack thereof, to Iran’s missile attack earlier this October. The Biden Administration believes it has won assurances from Israel that it will not hit Iranian nuclear or oil sites as it looks to strike back against Iran. However, the Biden Administration recently demanded that Israel take steps in the next month to improve the humanitarian situation in Gaza or face potential restrictions on U.S. military aid.

Are these demands political posturing for domestic audiences by the White House? Does the United States have any influence over Israeli actions? Is it ethical to politicize critical national security issues?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-oil-nuclear-sites-biden-f5dd702de7d990dd1d00f665e1484dee

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/15/world/middleeast/oil-prices-israel-iran-attacks.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb&ngrp=mnp&pvid=56EB71F1-82A2-4CD1-BEDA-A0531A9D115B

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-gives-israel-30-days-improve-gazas-humanitarian-situation-or-risk-aid-reports-2024-10-15/

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/10/15/letter-to-congressional-leadership-providing-an-update-on-developments-in-the-middle-east-and-the-u-s-governments-response/

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Episode 372: Littering on Both Sides of the DMZ

Mon, 14 Oct 2024 15:30:14 GMT

Today, Jess, Jeffrey, Martha, and Morgan discuss increasing tensions on the Korean peninsula as North Korea has accused South Korea of flying drones and dropping anti-North Korean propaganda leaflets over Pyongyang. North Korea threatened to respond with force and says its front-line army units are ready to launch strikes on South Korea if the drone flights continue.

Are these claims saber-rattling or a true escalation? Why are South Korean leaflets getting Kim Jong Un so mad? Is the timing of Kim’s fiery rhetoric and the upcoming U.S. presidential election a coincidence?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/north-korea-south-drones-attack-threat-border-d1b2e42665fba63dbf4cf2f36a96f5f5

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/11/asia/north-korea-south-drones-pyongyang/index.html

https://apnews.com/article/north-south-korea-drones-c923535e6f414674593d74ff935adf41

https://apnews.com/article/north-korea-roads-destroy-tensions-drones-072433677101dc38e30bb65f908ec631

https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/east-asia/article/3282158/kim-jong-uns-sister-warns-south-korea-horrible-disaster

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Episode 371: Chagos Islands - a win for Mauritius … and China?

Fri, 11 Oct 2024 15:18:40 GMT

Today, Morgan, Matt, Amy, and Jeffrey discuss the historic handover of sovereignty of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius. Backed by the White House, the United Kingdom agreed to hand sovereignty of the Chagos Islands after 13 rounds of negotiations over the former African colony. Importantly, the UK will retain control of the UK-US Diego Garcia military base for an initial period of 99 years. However, critics argue this move is a victory for Chinese interests in the Indo-Pacific.

What are the impacts of this handover on U.S. interests in the region? Will this handover set a precedent in the use of lawfare by our adversaries? How will future administrations handle the soft and hard power changes as a result of this handover?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.politico.eu/article/republicans-us-washington-chagos-islands-deal-china-security/

https://www.newsweek.com/diego-garcia-news-uk-mauritius-chagos-islands-agreement-us-base-indian-ocean-1963650

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/09/uk-chagos-islands-mauritius-diego-garcia-last-colony/

https://breakingdefense.com/2024/10/despite-hold-on-diego-garcia-uks-move-to-return-chago-islands-sparks-security-concerns/

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Episode 370: Not Quite James Bond

Wed, 09 Oct 2024 15:28:56 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Morgan, and Les discuss MI5’s latest threat report, in which the UK’s spy chief outlined that Britain is facing a “staggering rise” in attempts at assassination, sabotage, and other crimes on UK soil by Russia and Iran, as the two states recruit criminals to “do their dirty work,” amid a rise in terrorist threats to the European continent by a resurgent ISIS and Al-Qaeda.

How can the United States and our allies respond to these kinetic and active threats? What have been the failures of successive presidential administrations to address these threats? Is the global war on terror truly over?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/uk-intelligence-mi5-threats-russia-iran-936d7c24d303ffea41f6b1cef7c7b814

https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uks-mi5-spy-chief-details-security-threats-facing-uk-2024-10-08/

https://www.reuters.com/world/man-convicted-hostile-reconnaissance-london-based-tv-channel-critical-iran-2023-12-20/

https://apnews.com/article/germany-russia-spying-military-officer-305ee23eb4677f3215c9e3560945a0d9

https://apnews.com/article/sweden-iran-israel-criminal-gangs-proxy-d50a17efab629a585e281854d3e11407

https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-berlin-fire-diehl-behind-arson-attack-on-factory/

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@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 369: Not Quite Deadliest Catch

Mon, 07 Oct 2024 16:03:52 GMT

Today, Les, Martha, and Morgan discuss last week’s assault by the Chinese Coast Guard assault on 10 Vietnamese fishermen near the disputed Paracel Islands in the South China Sea. Three of the fishermen suffered broken limbs and the rest sustained other injuries, their fishing gear was damaged, and about 4 tons of their catch were sized by the Chinese.

How does this incident impact the United States’ role in the region? What are the economic ramifications of Chinese aggression? Will China change its behavior in the face of growing ties between Indo-Pacific nations in response to its aggressive actions?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/china-vietnam-paracel-south-china-sea-d86889dd2fda73499602951ef3056d32

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/02/asia/vietnam-protest-china-attack-fishermen-intl-hnk/index.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/philippines-accuses-china-assaulting-vietnamese-fishermen-south-china-sea-2024-10-04/

https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3926061/allies-partners-conduct-operations-in-south-china-sea/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/10/03/south-china-sea-underwater-cables/

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Episode 368: Japan’s New Prime Minister Dreams of a NATO for Asia

Fri, 04 Oct 2024 15:10:56 GMT

Today, Jess, Martha, Morgan, and Les discuss Japan’s new Prime Minister, Shigeru Ishiba, a 67-year-old Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) backbencher, who has grand ideas for Japanese foreign policy including establishing an Asian NATO to deter China, joint management of U.S. bases in Japan, and the United States sharing their nuclear deterrence with Japan.

What does Ishiba and his foreign policy ideas mean for U.S.-Japan relations? Are any of Ishiba’s security ideas achievable? How do U.S. partners and allies in the Indo-Pacific perceive our security assurances?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.hudson.org/politics-government/shigeru-ishiba-japans-new-security-era-future-japans-foreign-policy

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/09/29/japans-prime-minister-ishiba-00181546

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/japans-newly-elected-prime-minister-shigeru-ishiba-forms-cabinet-with-emphasis-on-defense

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/incoming-japan-pm-ishibas-asian-nato-idea-test-us-diplomacy-2024-09-27/

https://apnews.com/article/japan-ishiba-us-south-korea-australia-china-73a66e7b2fce8c3847622acf314357e1

https://www.usip.org/publications/2024/08/how-fumio-kishida-shaped-japans-foreign-policy

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Episode 367: Iran Strikes - What Happens Next?

Wed, 02 Oct 2024 15:29:20 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, Jeffrey, and Bishop discuss Tuesday’s missile strikes by Iran against Israel where at least 180 missiles were fired into Israel in what is said to be a retaliation for a series of devastating blows Israel has landed in recent weeks against Hezbollah and other Iranian proxy forces in the Middle East.

What happens next? What is the Biden administration’s policy in this conflict? Is Iran an effective actor?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-10-01/israel-s-devastation-of-hezbollah-puts-iran-in-a-corner

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4909053-iran-preparing-missile-attack/

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cg4qx62kkxxt?post=asset%3A4edfbeb0-ff7e-4b9c-a412-4f16fb69d23d#post

https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3923320/statement-by-secretary-of-defense-lloyd-j-austin-iii-on-irans-missile-strikes-a/

https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-10-02-2024-7d93f71b7894177b4f9c303671ee55de

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Episode 366: After Nasrallah, What’s Next?

Mon, 30 Sep 2024 15:39:19 GMT

Today, Martha, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the Israeli strike in Beirut, Lebanon, which killed Hezbollah's leader, Hassan Nasrallah, leaving behind a weakened leadership structure dismantled by successive Israeli attacks. Hezbollah’s acting leader, Naim Kassem, has vowed to continue fighting Israel, asserting that these strikes have not diminished their military capabilities.

What impact have these strikes had on Hezbollah’s ability to operate effectively? Has Iranian influence waned as a result? How might the upcoming U.S. election affect its influence on key actors in the region?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/lebanon-hezbollah-beirut-nasrallah-israel-airstrike-dahiyeh-7ebf675d75e4d49c7b307864cdbc7dc1

https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-09-30-2024-83ea5f243688f309754ec74850de4238

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/hezbollah-misjudged-israels-weakness-and-irans-might-b169e552?mod=world_lead_pos2

https://newlinesmag.com/argument/end-of-an-era-what-hassan-nasrallahs-assassination-spells-for-the-middle-east/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/29/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/

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@marthamillerdc

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Episode 365: UNGA - What is it Good For?

Fri, 27 Sep 2024 15:26:25 GMT

Today, Morgan, Martha, Les, and Jeffrey discuss the UN General Assembly (UNGA) and High Level Week, where world leaders come together to debate global challenges.

As intractable conflict persists, including Russia’s war on Ukraine to the conflict in the Middle East is the UN equipped to handle today's issues? With despots committing atrocities with impunity, is the UN morally hollow? How can the United States improve the UN to help tackle the larger security issues we face today?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.reuters.com/world/what-is-unga-what-will-world-leaders-talk-about-2024-09-11/

https://www.un.org/en/high-level-week-2024

https://apnews.com/article/un-guterres-summit-future-global-challenges-climate-a7aff1ff5176aafa3cc562021bbf5004

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/24/us/politics/biden-unga-speech.html

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/netanyahu-address-israel-bogged-war-barrels-114067999

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Episode 364: Lebanon: Biden Doctrine Revealed?

Wed, 25 Sep 2024 15:23:05 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Matt, and John discuss recent Israeli military strikes against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon following up on their recent operation that included exploding pagers, radios, and some solar panels. These strikes aim to ensure the safety and return of over 60,000 Israelis to their homes in northern Israel which were forced to evacuate due to Hezbollah rocket attacks - but others speculate this might lead to a wider conflict.

Does the United States have a strategy to respond to Iranian provocations? Are there differing visions between the U.S. and Israel in the conflict's aims? Will Iran intervene and expand the conflict into a regional war? What does this pivot mean for the hostages in Gaza?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/the-vast-hezbollah-arsenal-awaiting-israel-in-lebanon-99ce396c

https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-gaza-war-lebanonrefugees-displaced-9d4d53e808ce5f67e234789f65d1ad71

https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-09-24-2024-640a0046aceea1b5cfb395a54ff36bce

https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-violence-war-hezbollah-63a15fa390a94acf46ef886cc5fb88db

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/24/israel-lebanon-war-border-hezbollah/

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/09/24/world/gaza-israel-hamas-hezbollah

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@NotTVJessJones

@WMattHayden

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Episode 363: Ayatollah's Algorithm for U.S. Elections

Mon, 23 Sep 2024 15:32:17 GMT

Episode 363: Ayatollah's Algorithm for U.S. Elections

Today, Jess, Martha, Les, and Morgan discuss Iranian efforts to influence the upcoming presidential election, including Iran’s hack of the Trump campaign and its attempts to share these documents with individuals tied to the Biden campaign. The Biden Administration has moved aggressively in recent weeks to call out this and other operations in hopes of alerting Americans to foreign efforts to influence their views amidst a presidential election.

What is Iran’s level of sophistication when it comes to cyber-attacks? With the deepening ties between Russia and Iran, has Russia shared its best practices on election interference with Iran? Is the U.S. government’s transparency regarding election-related attacks beneficial?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/18/fbi-says-iran-sent-hacked-trump-info-to-biden-campaign-00179951

https://apnews.com/article/iran-fbi-hacking-trump-election-interference-2020-3631e1832a8edb549d53126585503f32

https://www.npr.org/2024/08/23/g-s1-19350/meta-iran-hacking-election-trump-harris-biden

https://apnews.com/article/iran-trump-harris-election-russia-hack-ad5886379e67710e79d83938e52360cc

https://apnews.com/article/iran-russia-china-election-disinformation-hacking-ee65e29b866852b146e75c9f3312a1ae

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Episode 362: Pagers and Radios - a Call for Escalation?

Fri, 20 Sep 2024 15:28:31 GMT

Today, Martha, Jess, Les, and Jeffrey discuss this week's detonations of pagers, handheld radios, and solar panels alongside military strikes by Israel against Hezbollah that have rocked Lebanon and thrown ongoing ceasefire talks into disarray. Hezbollah has vowed retribution for these attacks and U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken expressed frustration that these attacks threaten to derail efforts to broker a cease-fire deal in Gaza.

What are the implications of these attacks on wider supply chain security? How did these attacks impact Hezbollah psychologically, and will it have any impact on the ground? Will Iran retaliate against Israel due to these attacks?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/09/19/hezbollah-pager-attack-supply-chain/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/19/israel-lebanon-attack-explosions-hezbollah/

https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-exploding-devices-hezbollah-mideast-ab2436cf5bae5e2fe2dddb293671a0ac

https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-strikes-hezbollah-targets-lebanon-after-two-rounds-device-explosions

https://apnews.com/article/gaza-blinken-middle-east-pagers-israel-4d4234bfdac2e49d3bc7c70cfb82a585

https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-iran-yemen-houthis-lebanon-hezbollah-2bf649b0127edfdc65d08e6b68aa3695

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Episode 361: Trilateral Triennial

Wed, 18 Sep 2024 15:13:24 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, Martha, and Jeffrey discuss last Sunday’s marking of the third anniversary of the trilateral security partnership between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States, also known as AUKUS. They discussed its inception and evolution over three years to accomplish its two pillars of providing Australia with nuclear-powered attack submarines; and collaborative development of advanced capabilities in six technological areas such as AI and quantum computing.

After three years, what has gone well with AUKUS? What are the regulatory challenges to accomplishing Pillar II? How do our other allies in the Indo-Pacific feel about the impacts of AUKUS?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/on-the-third-aukus-anniversary-a-toast-to-itar-reform-and-a-call-to-keep-going/

https://breakingdefense.com/2024/09/aukus-other-agreements-likely-having-galvanizing-effect-in-beijing-aussie-ambasador/

https://asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/AUKUS-needs-more-than-submarines-to-make-its-bold-vision-a-reality

https://www.csis.org/analysis/aukus-pillar-two-advancing-capabilities-united-states-united-kingdom-and-australia

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Episode 360: Biden Treks for Tracks in Angola

Mon, 16 Sep 2024 15:37:03 GMT

Today, Jess, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss U.S. President Joe Biden’s upcoming trip to Angola, fulfilling an earlier promise that would make him the first U.S. head of state to visit sub-Saharan Africa since Barack Obama in 2015. Keen to counter China's massive investments in Africa, the U.S. has been supporting a project that links the resource-rich Democratic Republic of Congo to Angola's Lobito port by rail to bypass road congestion on the copper and cobalt route.

What impact, or lack thereof, does the election have on this trip? Is the United States pulling a play out of China’s playbook with the Lobito Corridor project? How can the U.S. offer a better deal than China in Africa?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-make-first-africa-visit-with-angola-trip-coming-weeks-sources-say-2024-09-13/

https://international-partnerships.ec.europa.eu/policies/global-gateway/lobito-corridor-connecting-democratic-republic-congo-and-zambia-global-markets-angola_en

https://www.usip.org/blog/2024/06/what-africas-lobito-corridor

https://afripoli.org/lobito-corridor-a-reality-check

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/09/09/joint-statement-from-the-united-states-and-the-european-union-on-support-for-angola-zambia-and-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congos-commitment-to-further-develop-the-lobito-corridor-and-the/

https://www.semafor.com/article/11/30/2023/bidens-plans-to-counter-china-run-through-angola

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Episode 359: Starmer Storm Shadow Missiles Provoke Russian Ire

Fri, 13 Sep 2024 16:15:23 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the upcoming meeting between British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and U.S. President Joe Biden. They are expected to discuss whether to allow the UK to sell Storm Shadow missiles to Ukraine to strike military targets deep inside Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that “if Ukraine did fire Western missiles deep into Russia, it would mean that Russia was at war with NATO.” Russia also expelled six British diplomats from Moscow accusing them of espionage.

Is this more saber-rattling from Russia, or a genuine redline? What is the impact of the upcoming U.S. presidential election on allowing long-range weapons to be used against Russia? Is the United States slow-rolling equipment to Ukraine or in step with European allies?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.npr.org/2024/09/11/nx-s1-5108698/secretary-of-state-blinken-in-kyiv-ukraine

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/12/us/politics/biden-ukraine-weapons.html

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/09/12/europe/putin-warns-nato-missiles-hnk-latam-intl

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/13/russia-putin-uk-missiles-diplomats/

https://www.foxnews.com/world/putin-says-he-backs-harris-over-trump-adds-hes-ready-talks-ukraine

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Episode 358: NSI Reflects on 9/11

Wed, 11 Sep 2024 16:44:13 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Amy, Matt, and Jeffrey reflect on the 23rd anniversary of the September 11th attacks that began the Global War on Terror and changed the course of American history. They discuss how these attacks still shape our national security and foreign policy and how, now over two decades removed from the attacks, newer generations reflect and remember this pivotal event.

Does the changing landscape of how we obtain and learn world events impact how we view world events? Do average Americans understand the threat we still face from global terror? How do we convey the necessity of leaning forward in the world to ensure our national security where both political parties espouse retrenchment?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/sept-11-anniversary-ceremony-children-reading-names-ed7dcd42524dca1c5098b6b3364aca91

https://www.npr.org/2024/09/10/g-s1-21925/biden-harris-trump-911-ground-zero-world-trade-center-pentagon-shanksville-flight-93

https://www.911memorial.org/connect/commemoration/23rd-anniversary-commemoration

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Episode 357: Iraq - Withdrawal Dejavu?

Mon, 09 Sep 2024 14:50:43 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jamil, Les, and Jess discuss reports that the Biden administration and the Government of Iraq have reached an understanding on plans for the withdrawal of U.S.-led coalition forces from Iraq. The leaks suggest that we would see hundreds depart by September 2025, with the remaining departing by the end of 2026.

Is this withdrawal plan a sound foreign policy decision or an appeal to domestic politics? What are the regional implications of this potential withdrawal amidst the war against Hamas in Gaza and the looming threat of Iran? How will our allies and adversaries respond to this withdrawal?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.reuters.com/world/us-iraq-deal-would-see-hundreds-troops-withdraw-first-year-sources-say-2024-09-06/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/08/21/biden-iraq-isis-war-end-danger-president/

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Episode 356: Africa goes to Beijing - What Did We Learn?

Fri, 06 Sep 2024 14:31:57 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Martha, and Jeffrey discuss the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, which is held every three years, this time in Beijing. All African nations, except the Kingdom of Eswatini due to its recognition of Taiwan, participated in the forum. China is the African continent’s biggest trading partner and arms supplier.

How does the United States’ and China’s messaging impact the effectiveness of relations with Africa? How can the United States improve its engagement with Africa? How do China’s exploitive loan program and purchase of mainly commodities impact its relations with African nations?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/world/asia/china-africa-summit.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb&ngrp=mnn&pvid=F23603F0-AF7C-46B3-BAB5-2379E201F463

https://www.reuters.com/world/china-deepen-industrial-agricultural-trade-investment-ties-with-africa-2024-09-05/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdx6d654556o

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/03/china/china-africa-summit-intl-hnk/index.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/china-africa-summit-us-xi-jinping-rcna169673

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3277371/china-vows-work-africa-nuclear-tech-satellites-and-space

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Episode 355: All is Not Quiet on the Eastern Front

Wed, 04 Sep 2024 15:07:36 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Martha, and Morgan discuss the latest developments in the war in Ukraine, from Ukrainian forces going on the offensive in Russia and capturing 450+ square miles of Russian territory to the recent crash of a Western-provided F-16 jet and Vladimir Putin’s state visit to Mongolia, where he was not arrested despite his outstanding ICC arrest warrant.

How does Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive impact the wider war? What are the implications of Mongolia failing to uphold its ICC obligations? How might the F-16’s recent crash impact future aid efforts?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/09/03/world/ukraine-russia-missile-strike-poltava

https://www.politico.eu/article/vladimir-putin-russia-arrest-icc-member-mongolia-prosecution-eu-ukraine/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/31/world/europe/ukraine-f16-pilot-crash.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/zelenskyy-ukraine-russia-territory-seized-putin-kursk-rcna169280

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Episode 354: Ballot Boxes from Paris to Tehran

Mon, 01 Jul 2024 15:36:22 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Jeffrey discuss two pivotal elections - the French Parliamentary and the Iranian Presidential Election. French President Emmanuel Macron, after his party was trounced in the European Parliamentary elections, called for a snap election. In which after the first round of voting on Sunday saw Marine Le Pen’s right-wing National Rally party take first place with all eyes on the run-off on Sunday, July 9th. In Iran, elections were held in the wake of the death of President Ebrahim Raisi. After the first round of voting, two candidates remain for the Presidency - with ostensible “reformer” Masoud Pezeshkian leading over Saeed Jalili, a former nuclear negotiator for Iran who is viewed as the more hawkish of the two, and with another round of voting to follow.

How does the French election impact support for Ukraine and the wider EU? What are the implications of Iranian elections on regional stability? How should the next President prepare for the outcome of these elections?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/france-election-far-right-macron-193233ade08821a71731980d8a17eb4a

https://apnews.com/article/france-election-far-right-macron-f07061a929ed8eaad0e714e948159cab

https://www.politico.eu/article/france-legislative-election-marine-le-pen-emmanuel-macron-national-rally-jordan-bardella/

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-presidential-election-pakeshkian-jalili/

https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2024/06/29/irans-supreme-leader-is-terrified-of-people-power

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/30/world/middleeast/iran-election-president-voters.html

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@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 353: Kenya - is the Beacon of Stability Flickering?

Fri, 28 Jun 2024 14:46:38 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Martha, and Matt discuss the recent violent protests in Kenya’s capital of Nairobi over a tax bill that would increase taxes on bread, fuel, and other necessities, which was aimed at alleviating the country’s massive debt burden. Protestors stormed the nation’s parliament building, setting parts ablaze, and clashes with police and military forces have left more than 300 injured and 22 dead. Kenyan President William Ruto has now abandoned the bill but vows to quash the continuing unrest “at whatever cost.”

With Kenya being recently announced as a U.S. major Non-NATO ally, how do these protests impact U.S.-Kenyan relations? What are the implications of these protests on the stability of the region and our ongoing counter-terrorism efforts? What does this unrest mean for the recently deployed Kenyan police mission to violence-stricken Haiti?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3gg30gm0x2o

https://apnews.com/article/kenya-finance-bill-taxes-protests-396382bdac0fc18dfec7cd3003ece35b

https://apnews.com/article/kenya-protests-finance-bill-33a20092285f1d663264f7b0d513e1da

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/25/world/africa/kenya-protests-tax-parliament.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/27/world/africa/kenya-protests-taxes-president-ruto.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@marthamillerdc

@WMattHayden

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Episode 352: Julian Assange - Justice Served?

Thu, 27 Jun 2024 20:46:04 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Bishop, and Amy discuss Wikileaks founder Julian Assange's plea deal with the Department of Justice in which he agreed to plead guilty to one count of espionage, in exchange for a sentence of five years in prison, which - due to time served in the U.K. - means he is a free man. Assange also refused to set foot on the mainland United States, appearing instead in Saipan (an American territory).

Is this plea deal justice served? How does Assange’s case impact future accountability for classified leaks? Should Americans who are concerned about free speech be focusing on Assange or the imprisoned Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.wsj.com/politics/julian-assange-plea-deal-c392069c

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/25/julian-assange-plea-deal-updates/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/25/us/politics/assange-plea-deal-press-freedom.html

https://www.military.com/daily-news/2024/06/24/wikileaks-founder-julian-assange-will-plead-guilty-deal-us-and-be-freed-prison.html

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2024/06/julian-assange-plea-deal-pointless-prosecution/678787/

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@BishopGarrison

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Episode 351: Houthis and Hezbollah – Ongoing Proxy Pressure

Mon, 24 Jun 2024 15:52:01 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Martha, and Jeffrey discuss two ongoing stories – increased border clashes between Israel and Hezbollah, which have raised fears in the region that the escalating tensions could turn into all-out war, as well as the Houthis ongoing attacks on international shipping in the Red Sea.

Should Israel and the United States be worried about escalation with Hezbollah? How would the group rate the Biden Administration’s diplomatic efforts in the Middle East? Has the U.S. effectively responded to the Houthi threat in the Red Sea?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/23/israel-iron-dome-hezbollah-war-lebanon

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4735840-israeli-defense-minister-gallant-us/

https://apnews.com/article/lebanon-israel-iraq-syria-hezbollah-fighters-iran-1e3359917f252862f4ed3d4b3df1d43e

https://apnews.com/article/yemen-houthi-rebels-ship-attacks-israel-hamas-war-3c1756a60efb061960b6eda1bc580834

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ship-attack-houthi-red-sea-uss-eisenhower-rcna158406

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@marthamillerdc

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Episode 350: The Axis of Upheaval Deepens

Fri, 21 Jun 2024 15:32:16 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Jeffrey discuss Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent visit to North Korea where he met with North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un, the first time President Putin has been to North Korea in over 20 years. At the end of the visit, Russia and North Korea signed a mutual defense agreement marking the strongest connection between Moscow and Pyongyang since the end of the Cold War.

What does this agreement mean for possible technology sharing between Russia and North Korea? How does this agreement impact regional security on the Korean peninsula? Will this agreement dampen Russia and China’s no-limits partnership?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/20/world/asia/china-russia-north-korea.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/06/20/russia-china-iran-north-korea-alignment/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-the-putin-pyongyang-axis-means-a95799c9?st=4b5epti79ncjynr&reflink=article_whatsapp_share

https://apnews.com/article/north-korea-russia-kim-jong-un-putin-military-assistance-war-d9bb8aee7eb1a692b932337578fb3e30

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 349: All Aboard the Ukrainian Peace Train?

Mon, 17 Jun 2024 15:23:33 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Amy discuss the two-day peace summit in Switzerland dedicated to forging an end to the war in Ukraine with over 90 countries attending, including Vice President Kamala Harris on behalf of the U.S. The summit concluded with a communique reaffirming Ukraine’s territorial integrity, among other things. Notably absent from the summit were Russia and China. Of those who did attend, several countries including India, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and the United Arab Emirates did not sign the communique.

Without Russia’s participation, does this summit mean anything? Are there implications of countries not re-affirming core principles, like sovereignty, for the international system? What does this summit and its communique mean for further aid to Ukraine?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/16/europe/ukraine-peace-summit-switzerland-intl/index.html

https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-switzerland-war-conference-burgenstock-568cafee5fbe9c3b19b79b041583a5d6

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/swiss-conference-ukraine-rcna157400

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@amykmitchell

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Episode 348: Port Call in Cuba

Fri, 14 Jun 2024 15:10:09 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Bishop discuss the arrival of a Russian flotilla, including a nuclear-powered submarine to the port of Havana, Cuba. This Russian show of force comes weeks after President Biden authorized Ukraine’s use of U.S.-provided weapons for strikes within Russian territory. Amidst the arrival of Russian ships, a U.S. nuclear-powered submarine made a “routine port visit” to Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.

What do we make of the timing of Russia’s visit to Cuba? Was the U.S. sub arriving at Guantanamo Bay an intentional show of force? What is in store for future U.S.-Cuban relations?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/12/americas/russian-navy-cuba-intl/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/06/americas/cuba-russian-ships-submarine-visit-intl-latam/index.html

https://apnews.com/article/russia-cuba-us-submarine-ukraine-bac0519f4fdbe30a5ef210447d50a671

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 347: The Old World Tilts Right

Wed, 12 Jun 2024 15:26:12 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Bishop discuss the outcome of the European Union’s parliamentary elections where 720 seats were up for grabs. After four days of voting, the centrist European People’s Party (EPP) was the biggest single winner with 186 seats. However, far-right parties are also set to win 150 seats many of which came from France, Italy, and Germany.

What are the implications of this election for the U.S.’ trans-Atlantic policy? How does this election impact Europe's support of Ukraine? Do the gains by the far-right in the European parliament foreshadow national election wins?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/10/european-parliament-election-results-takeaways/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/10/eu-parliament-election-results-france-germany/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/11/world/europe/giorgia-meloni-italy-g7.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/european-union-vote-delivers-shift-to-right-in-blow-to-french-and-german-governments-8f1c0f23

https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/10/europe/european-elections-explainer-intl/index.html

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@BishopGarrison

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Episode 346: Sudan - From Bad to Worse

Mon, 10 Jun 2024 15:09:36 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the ongoing civil war in Sudan between the Rapid Support Force (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) which has displaced over 8 million people. Most recently, the RSF assaulted Wad al-Nour village in the central Al-Jazira state on Wednesday, killing over 150 civilians, including women and children. This attack reinforces the assessment by the U.S. State Department in December 2023 that war crimes, crimes against humanity, and ethnic cleansing are ongoing in Sudan.

What are the wider regional implications of Sudan’s civil war? Why is Sudan’s stability important for U.S. national security? What are the implications of the many foreign players in the conflict?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw99plg01neo

https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/06/africa/sudanese-government-accuses-militia-massacre-intl/index.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudans-rsf-kills-least-100-attack-village-activists-say-2024-06-06/

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/06/05/sudan-civil-war-us-envoy-crisis-east-africa/

https://www.state.gov/war-crimes-crimes-against-humanity-and-ethnic-cleansing-determination-in-sudan/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 345: Lessons from D-Day

Fri, 07 Jun 2024 14:46:40 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the 80th anniversary of D-Day, which marked the beginning of the end of Nazi-occupied Europe. President Biden joined many heads of state, including Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, in France yesterday to honor and remember those who paid the ultimate sacrifice for freedom and democracy. In remarks, President Biden drew parallels between the allied fight in WWII and the need to once again defend democracy in the face of tyranny.

At the 90th anniversary of D-Day, there will likely be no living survivors of the invasion left, how does this loss of human connection to the past impact the lessons we learn? Will D-Day invigorate Western democracies to support Ukraine in the face of Russia? Should we worry that the lessons of WWII and D-Day are lost to most?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/06/world/europe/biden-dday-ukraine-russia.html

https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/06/politics/biden-d-day-american-leadership/index.html

https://www.politico.eu/article/france-u-turn-invite-russia-d-day-memorial-ceremony/

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-oil-refinery-drones-zelenskyy-9581f4f0da1b638070e6f1ca98bb03ef

https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-point-du-hoc-bc97ae35237e222caee55033ddb3588f

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 344: Mixed Messages from the White House

Wed, 05 Jun 2024 16:16:53 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Bishop discuss the recent developments in the War in Gaza including President Biden’s recent comments stating that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is prolonging the war to stay in power. These comments come amidst a flurry of diplomatic activity by the United States to Egypt and Qatar to hammer out a ceasefire and hostage release deal.

Why has President Biden made these public statements? How do these comments impact Israel’s policy on the war in Gaza? Were these comments tailored to appeal to President Biden’s base in a key election year? Is Prime Minister Netanyahu prolonging the war for political gain?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/06/04/world/israel-gaza-war-hamas

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/04/israel-hamas-war-news-gaza-palestine/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/03/israel-gaza-hamas-cease-fire/

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/bidens-cease-fire-plan-seeks-to-push-hamas-and-israel-into-an-agreement-neither-wants-38833ade

https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/03/politics/netanyahu-scheduled-speech-congress/index.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/technology/israel-campaign-gaza-social-media.html?unlocked_article_code=1.xU0.X-PM.i3iswn8vXE2m&smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&u2g=i

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@BishopGarrison

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 343: 999 Trash Balloons

Mon, 03 Jun 2024 14:50:43 GMT

Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss the recent developments on the Korean Peninsula including North Korea sending over hundreds of trash-filled balloons containing roughly 15 tonnes of waste to its southern neighbor. This was in response to South Korean activist groups sending balloons to the north containing propaganda pamphlets. The South Korean government is considering its response including resuming playing K-pop on loudspeakers across the DMZ toward the north.

How does this tit-for-tat impact North-South relations? Does this impact the U.S. strategy for the peninsula? Should China be held accountable for the actions of North Korea?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/29/north-korea-balloons-waste-trash/

https://www.wsj.com/world/asia/kim-jong-uns-balloon-barrage-bags-of-excrement-fly-into-the-south-9f19d3d6

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/02/world/asia/north-korea-trash-balloons.html

https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/02/asia/north-korea-trash-balloons-intl-hnk/index.html

https://www.voanews.com/a/us-allies-clash-with-china-and-russia-over-north-korea-s-launches-threats/7638635.html

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Episode 342: Biden’s Yellow (or Green) Light for Ukraine

Fri, 31 May 2024 15:28:29 GMT

Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss U.S. President Joe Biden’s (limited) decision to permit Ukraine to use (some) American-supplied weapons to strike targets inside of Russia. Under pressure from European allies, the Biden administration appears—once again—to have evolved (part of) its policy for the supply and use of US weapons, but the restrictions that remain in place will likely continue to hamstring Ukraine’s effort to retake the advantage and ultimately bring the war to a successful close.

Why has the Biden administration changed its policy on the use of U.S. weapons in Russia now? Should the Biden administration provide Ukraine with the means to fight—and win—this war and, so, should it have done so earlier? What end state does the Biden administration want? A Ukrainian win or a draw that allows Russia to fade with dignity? Is either outcome even an option?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/30/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-weapons.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/30/politics/biden-ukraine-limited-strikes-russia

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy770l9llnzo

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Episode 341: An Icy Reception to the ICC

Wed, 29 May 2024 15:10:14 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss recent developments amidst the Israel-Hamas war. The International Criminal Court’s prosecutor has sought arrest warrants for both the leadership of Hamas as well as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. Additionally, Ireland, Spain, and Norway have officially recognized a Palestinian state leading Israel to recall their ambassadors in protest for “rewarding terror.”

What are the impacts of Western recognition of a Palestinian state? Will the ICC grant the arrest warrants, if so, will it matter? How does the ICC case and the Congressional backlash impact the Biden administration’s policy on Israel?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/05/20/statement-from-president-joe-biden-on-the-warrant-applications-by-the-international-criminal-court/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4nn78r3w3ko

https://link.foreignpolicy.com/view/64427b64aced183da613ed70l47kv.ul4/e2af2a70

https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2024/05/20/the-iccs-threat-to-arrest-binyamin-netanyahu-has-shocked-israel?utm_medium=email.internal-newsletter.np&utm_source=salesforce-marketing-cloud&utm_campaign=espresso.US&utm_content=the-world-in-brief-may-21st-2024&utm_term=05/21/24

https://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2024/05/20/the_us_should_oppose_icc_attempts_to_target_israeli_officials_1032770.html

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Episode 340: Biden's Kenyan Courtship

Fri, 24 May 2024 15:46:35 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss President Biden hosting Kenyan President William Ruto for a state visit - the first state visit a U.S. president has held for a president of an African nation since 2008. Last night’s state dinner also marked the designation of Kenya as a U.S. Major Non-NATO Ally (MNNA). This dinner took place during President Ruto’s three-day state visit that coincides with Kenya’s imminent deployment of forces to Haiti, as part of a U.N.-led, largely U.S.-financed effort to try to calm the ongoing humanitarian crisis.

Why has the United States designated Kenya a MNNA now? Is this elevation an attempt by the Biden Administration to make up for recent failures to engage with the continent? Can the United States do more to increase engagement?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/state-dinner-kenya-biden-african-visit-74de529133275da0a146cf61cc211d82

https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/power/2024/05/23/kenya-state-dinner-biden-obama/

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp4421nx727o

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/21/kenya-america-ruto-africa/

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/22/kenya-non-nato-ally-status-visit-00159578

https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/23/politics/biden-kenya-president-state-visit-china/index.html

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2024/05/23/a-new-military-era-for-the-us-and-kenya-kind-of-00159744

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@lestermunson

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Episode 339: A Nickel for Democracy

Wed, 22 May 2024 15:33:31 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss this week's deadly riots in the French South Pacific territory of New Caledonia where there is upheaval over a constitutional amendment passed by lawmakers in Paris expanding suffrage in the territory and diluting indigenous voting power. French President Emmanuel Macron is visiting the territory today and has deployed an additional 1,500 troops to quell the violence in the strategically important territory which is the 3rd largest nickel producer in the world.

Is France’s constitutional amendment a genuine democratic push or an attempt to wield control of resources? Is France’s strong-arm approach to the protests a good strategy? How are China, Russia, and Azerbaijan impacting the unrest in New Caledonia?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/australia-new-zealand-send-evacuation-flights-new-caledonia-2024-05-21/

https://www.wsj.com/world/behind-new-caledonias-riots-a-fight-over-vast-reserves-of-nickel-a73f6301

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/17/world/asia/new-caledonia-france-protest.html

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/15/why-riots-new-caledonia-france-voting

https://www.politico.eu/article/new-caledonia-france-brink-civil-war-nickel-gun-macron/

https://www.france24.com/en/france/20240517-why-did-france-block-tiktok-to-quell-unrest-in-new-caledonia

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Episode 338: Ebrahim Raisi Is Dead

Mon, 20 May 2024 15:40:34 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss this weekend’s fatal helicopter crash in the mountainous border region between Azerbaijan and Iran that led to the deaths of both the President of Iran, Ebrahim Raisi, and Iran’s Foreign Minister, Hossein Amirabdollahian. The helicopter also carried the governor of Iran’s East Azerbaijan province, a senior cleric from Tabriz, three crew members, and a Revolutionary Guard official.

How does this crash impact the succession order of Iran's Supreme Leader? How does this accident impact Israeli policy and the wider region? Does the accident provide an opportunity for the Biden administration to change its Iran policy?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/05/19/world/iran-president-crash

https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/19/middleeast/iranian-president-raisi-helicopter-intl

https://apnews.com/article/iran-president-ebrahim-raisi-426c6f4ae2dd1f0801c73875bb696f48

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/who-is-mohammad-mokhber-irans-interim-president-2024-05-20/

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Episode 337: Putin Bows to Xi in Beijing

Fri, 17 May 2024 15:54:04 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent visit to Beijing at the head of a large delegation to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping amidst the ongoing war in Ukraine and the Russian offensive toward Kharkiv. This marks the first international trip by President Putin since his recent re-election to his 5th term as President of Russia.

What message does this trip send? What role did the U.S. play in driving Russia closer to China? How does this trip impact U.S. partners and alliances?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/15/russia-vladimir-putin-china-xi-meeting/

https://www.reuters.com/world/putin-visit-chinas-xi-deepen-strategic-partnership-2024-05-15/

https://www.reuters.com/world/top-takeaways-putins-trip-china-2024-05-16/

https://www.euronews.com/2024/05/16/putins-visit-to-china-heres-what-you-should-know

https://www.ft.com/content/f77028c8-c960-4d10-b0eb-4c511924a4d5

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@lestermunson

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Episode 336: Heavy Metal: Strategic Competition Persists

Wed, 15 May 2024 15:34:08 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Bishop discuss … copper! A recent Wall Street Journal article highlights the increasing competition between China and the United States over obtaining the critical mineral, which is used in everything from electric vehicles, solar panels, to cutting-edge military equipment, and is found across Latin America and in Central Africa.

What is the Biden Administration's strategy to increase the US’ acquisition of copper? Is copper mining sustainable? How can the United States compete with China on the critical mineral front?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.wsj.com/business/why-the-world-has-gone-cuckoo-for-copper-ef8c385a

https://maritime-executive.com/article/u-s-and-china-back-competing-rail-corridors-to-zambia-s-copper-belt

https://nationalinterest.org/feature/china%E2%80%99s-pursuit-copper-changing-latin-america-210171

https://www.wsj.com/world/americas/panamas-supreme-court-rules-against-first-quantum-mine-bab0cfa2

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Episode 335: China and Hungary: Europe’s New Storm Front?

Mon, 13 May 2024 16:05:13 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Hungary, where Xi received a warm welcome from Hungarian Prime Minister Vicktor Orban. After their meeting, Xi and Orban announced that China and Hungary had elevated ties to an “all-weather comprehensive strategic partnership” and Orban endorsed China's peace plan for Ukraine, going against the rest of the NATO alliance.

How will the deepening relationship between Hungary and China impact the NATO alliance? What does an “all-weather” partnership mean? How does Hungary endorsing China's peace plan impact wider NATO support for Ukraine?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/chinas-xi-jinping-hungary-discuss-ukraine-infrastructure-2024-05-09/

https://www.rferl.org/a/xi-hungary-orban-european-tour-pillar-new-world-order/32939244.html

https://www.foxnews.com/world/nato-ally-endorses-chinas-ukraine-peace-plan-beijing-applauds-model-european-diplomacy

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/09/world/europe/xi-jinping-china-hungary-orban.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://www.politico.eu/article/viktor-orban-xi-jinping-hungary-china-partnership-electric-vehicles-investments-cooperation/

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Episode 334: Continental Drift? The EU Goes the Polls

Fri, 10 May 2024 15:06:31 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, and Martha discuss the upcoming EU Parliament elections where up to 450 million people from 27 member states will elect roughly 700 parliamentary members in the world’s only directly elected transnational assembly. These elections have the power to shape the EU amid the conflict in Ukraine, rise of support for right-wing politics, and many questioning the very purpose of the European Union.

What does this upcoming election show about the health of the EU’s unity? How much concern should there be over support for far-right parties? How are China and Russia interfering in European affairs?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/eu-elections-extreme-right-climate-defense-97c6818f5b6bc12395d714021413dc32

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/09/what-are-the-eu-elections-and-why-do-they-matter

https://apnews.com/article/germany-election-violence-eu-4d09d90a6cc380aacf62ca4a69af1a64

https://www.gmfus.org/news/whats-stake-eu-elections-ukraine-aid

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@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

@marthamillerdc

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Episode 333: Xi’s European Tour – An Olympic Truce?

Wed, 08 May 2024 16:08:25 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, and Les discussed Chinese President Xi Jinping’s trip to Europe where he is visiting three countries: France, Serbia, and Hungary. On Monday, Xi met with French President Emmanuel Macron to discuss China’s unfair trade practices and China’s ongoing support for Russia, before receiving a warmer welcome in the two Eastern European countries.

Does Europe have the leverage needed to change China’s policies? Does Xi’s tour impact U.S.-EU relations? Can Europe provide a unified front when it comes to the continent’s foreign policy interests?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.wsj.com/world/chinas-xi-shouldnt-expect-an-easy-ride-in-europe-this-time-6a37e9db

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/06/world/europe/xi-macron-europe-trade-war.html

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/05/07/china-wants-to-divide-and-conquer-europe/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/07/world/europe/xi-serbia-hungary-europe.html

https://www.economist.com/china/2024/05/06/visiting-europe-xi-jinping-brings-up-an-old-grievance

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@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 332: No End In Sight for the Gaza War?

Mon, 06 May 2024 14:37:45 GMT

Today Morgan, Les, Bishop, and Andy discuss the recent rocket attack by Hamas on the Kerem Shalom border crossing in Gaza - the main entry point of humanitarian aid. This attack comes as the Biden administration reportedly withheld an ammunition shipment to Israel, and in Cairo, ceasefire and hostage negotiations are ongoing.

Does withholding the ammunition shipment demonstrate a change in policy by the Biden administration? Will this attack impede negotiations to reach a ceasefire and hostage deal? How is the November presidential election impacting the Biden administration's policy on Israel?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-799923

https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/hamas-attacks-israel-gaza-border-crossing-cease-fire-talks-continue/

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hamas-claims-responsibility-attack-israel-gaza-border-crossing-casualties-2024-05-05/

https://www.axios.com/2024/05/05/israel-us-ammunition-shipment-hold

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/05/03/us-qatar-hamas-hostages-ceasefire/

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@morganlroach

@AndyKeiser

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 331: Troubling Signs in Paradise

Fri, 03 May 2024 15:40:54 GMT

Today Les, Morgan, Bishop, and Andy discussed the recent elections in the Solomon Islands in which former Foreign Minister Jeremiah Manele was elected as Prime Minister. The now-Prime Minister Manele is widely expected to continue the Solomon Islands’ shift toward closer ties with China which has included the derecognition of Taiwan and increasing security and policing ties.

Why do the Solomon Islands matter geopolitically? How has the Biden administration handled the increasing influence of China in the Indo-Pacific? How can the United States increase its influence with the Pacific Small Island States?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/solomon-islands-prime-minister-jeremiah-manale-fcf911d376d56f9ee8d235fb885c9bc6

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/01/solomon-islands-election-china/

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/what-to-expect-from-the-solomon-islands-new-prime-minister-on-china-the-west-and-more/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@AndyKeiser

@BishopGarrison

@lestermunson

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Episode 330: Israeli Policy on Campus and in the Courts

Wed, 01 May 2024 15:33:17 GMT

Today Jamil, Les, Morgan, and Bishop discussed the rash of nationwide campus protests against the Israel-Hamas War, focusing on Columbia University where over 100 students were arrested after occupying a building. They also discuss rumors of arrest warrants aimed at Israeli officials from the International Criminal Court and potential U.S. responses.

What effect, if any, will the pressure from college campuses and international courts have on Israeli war policy and the U.S. role in the conflict? What can (and should) Congress do if the ICC acts? What’s likely next in the courts and on campus?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinian-campus-student-protests-war-19ed919ff6ff9573a8add4ec67e26181

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/what-is-behind-pro-palestinian-protests-us-universities-2024-04-23/

https://www.foxnews.com/live-news/april-29-campus-protest-antiemitism-israel-us-columbi

https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2024/04/30/columbia-university-protests-palestine-news/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/28/world/middleeast/netanyahu-icc-arrest-warrants-israel-hamas.html

https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-gaza-international-criminal-court-hague-palestinians-1f683a6e2e150d91c415eb1d0a19a44d

https://www.axios.com/2024/04/29/icc-congress-netanyahu-israel-gaza

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@morganlroach

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Episode 329: The Sahel Gives America the Boot

Mon, 29 Apr 2024 15:09:06 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss the United States’ decision to begin pulling troops out of Chad and Niger after deteriorating relations with the couped states resulted in demands for U.S. troops to leave. Chad and Niger, have been key U.S. bases against terrorism in the region including Boko Haram, al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, ISIS, and affiliated groups.

Should the U.S. reprioritize Africa? Why does having bases in these countries matter for U.S. national security? Will the United States be able to negotiate with the Chadian government after their elections?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/25/us/politics/chad-us-troop-withdrawal.html

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/15/niger-us-africa-policy-sahel-coup-military-democracy/

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4623555-us-troops-chad-niger/

https://apnews.com/article/niger-chad-troops-coup-withdrawal-ebb05de095e3abbb08c8a1207e5cf014

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

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Episode 328: Fools Gold - China’s Olympic Cheating

Fri, 26 Apr 2024 16:43:35 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the New York Times’ report uncovering that 23 Chinese swimmers had tested positive for performance-enhancing drugs on the eve of the 2021 Olympic Games. The report also revealed that the World Anti-Doping Agency and the Chinese Anti-Doping Agency covered up these results. This report resurfaced the many Olympic scandals that have plagued China.

Will this scandal damage China’s international reputation? Will this scandal convince the general public that China is a malign actor on the world stage? How does this scandal impact the World Anti-Doping Agency’s credibility?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/21/world/asia/china-swimmers-doping-olympics-medals.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/olympics/2024/04/22/wada-china-swimmers-positive-tests/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/22/world/asia/doping-china-swimmers-olympics.html

https://www.usada.org/statement/statement-chinese-swimmers-positive-tests/

https://foreignpolicy.com/2009/03/11/thousands-of-chinese-athletes-caught-lying-about-their-age/

https://apnews.com/article/paris-olympics-ioc-russia-e08f47312dc558eb885825ed0f8874ee

https://www.france24.com/en/sport/20240417-russian-athletes-in-limbo-as-moscow-weighs-neutral-label-at-paris-olympics

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 327: Secretary Blinken Enters the Dragon’s Den

Wed, 24 Apr 2024 14:32:19 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken's visit to China where he will be meeting with senior Chinese officials. On the agenda - potential sanctions against Chinese financial institutions if China continues to support Russia’s build-up of its defense industrial base, including by providing significant quantities of machine tools, microelectronics, drone and turbojet engines, and technology for cruise missiles.

Will the threat of sanctions against Chinese financial institutions change Chinese policy? Does Secretary Blinken have enough credibility on the world stage to influence policy? How can the United States change China’s policy toward Russia?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/us-china-blinken-xi-middle-east-russia-210b07bcc585b9f2de14ff71951d8743

https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/u-s-takes-aim-at-chinese-banks-aiding-russia-war-effort-fcf76dcc

https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/12/politics/china-russia-support-weapons-manufacturing/index.html

https://www.ft.com/content/0911e97e-03c8-4870-a72e-9b55f1f2405e

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@lestermunson

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Episode 326: The Largest Democracy Goes to the Polls!

Mon, 22 Apr 2024 15:31:58 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss the ongoing Indian general election which began last week and goes through June 1, with over 950 million votes and a million polling places.

The ruling party, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), seeks to expand its controlling majority from 350 seats to over 400 seats in the Parliament and allow Prime Minister Narendra Modi to obtain an unprecedented 3rd term.

What role will this election play in U.S.-India relations? Will concerns of democratic backsliding worsen if Prime Minister Modi obtains his 3rd term? How does India’s role in the non-aligned movement impact the ongoing great power competition?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/18/india/india-general-election-polls-open-intl-hnk/index.html

https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20240413-india-s-mammoth-elections-nearly-a-billion-voters-44-polling-days

https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/interactive/india-elects-2024

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/16/world/asia/india-2024-election.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-votes-gigantic-election-modi-seeks-historic-third-term-2024-04-18/

https://apnews.com/article/india-election-voting-begins-7ea0983c9b7bc7506c8457f44afcfd64

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 325: One for One, is Everyone Done?

Fri, 19 Apr 2024 14:33:33 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss Israel’s response to the over 300 drones and missiles launched against them by Iran earlier this week. Last night Israel struck the airbases near the Iranian city of Isfahan, near where Iran’s nuclear programme is located. The IAEA confirmed that there was no damage to Iran’s nuclear sites.

Will this strike lead to further escalation? What was the message sent by Israel by the targets they picked to strike? Has Iran’s status decreased regionally as a result of these strikes?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.npr.org/2024/04/18/1245763498/israel-iran-missile-strikes

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-missiles-hit-site-iran-abc-news-reports-2024-04-19/

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/04/18/world/israel-iran-gaza-war-news

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-activates-air-defenses-and-cancels-flights-27b6d416

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/19/israel-iran-hamas-war-news-gaza-palestine/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/hZlChKLH5Wo

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Episode 324: Speaker Johnson's Aid Package Gambit

Wed, 17 Apr 2024 15:20:36 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss House Speaker Mike Johnson’s new strategy to pass the long-awaited aid package for Ukraine, Israel, and the Indo-Pacific and his attempts to rebuff members of his own party who seek to oust him through a motion to vacate.

What will the resulting aid package look like? What will the reputational impact for the United States be if the House fails to pass one or more of the aid bills? With an outstanding motion for Speaker Johnson to vacate the chair, will he survive passing the aid package?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4598253-johnson-ukraine-aid-ouster-threat/

https://rollcall.com/2024/04/15/piecemeal-supplemental-spending-plan-emerges-in-house/

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna147747

https://apnews.com/article/israel-ukraine-house-speaker-42a2f281a5437beaa8af4c3345987637

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 323: Tehran Strikes Out

Mon, 15 Apr 2024 14:58:50 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss Iran’s massive drone and missile attack against Israel which occurred over the weekend. Israel, in a coordinated air defense operation with the U.S. and others, was able to intercept 99% of Iran’s missiles and drones. Israel’s war cabinet met yesterday to formulate a response, while the Biden Administration said the U.S. would not participate in a counter-strike.

Did Iran intend this attack merely as theatre or as the opening salvo of a larger escalation? How can Israel respond to this attack without escalating the conflict? How will the increasing cooperation of Israel and Arab partners impact the war in Gaza and the region long term?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-launches-drone-attack-at-israel-ff263fbb

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/biden-presses-for-diplomatic-response-to-irans-attack-on-israel-1c5452a1

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-says-it-shot-down-iranian-salvo-shoulder-to-shoulder-with-us-2024-04-15/

https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-hamas-latest-04-15-2024-05ca1ac2780defa8a1a0345754708512

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/europe-joins-us-urging-restraint-by-israel-after-iranian-attack-2024-04-15/

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israels-netanyahu-vows-victory-after-iran-strikes-fears-wider-conflict-grow-2024-04-14/

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Episode 322: Capitol Hill Shakeup Over Spy Powers

Fri, 12 Apr 2024 15:44:47 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss another ongoing fight within Congress - the reauthorization of Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, a vital national security program that allows the U.S. to gather intelligence on foreign adversaries and terrorists. Earlier this week, former President Donald Trump called on House Republicans to "Kill FISA,” leading to 19 GOP House members joining Democrats in blocking FISA legislation from moving forward.

Why is Section 702 of FISA so important to U.S. national security? Will the House pass a 702 reauthorization bill ahead of its April 19 expiration date? Why did former President Trump lobby against reauthorization when his administration voted to reauthorize it?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/house-republicans-blast-cry-wolf-conservatives-who-tanked-fisa-renewal-bill

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/10/us/politics/fisa-trump-johnson-house.html

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4588493-fisa-702-plan-b/

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4588868-jeffries-johnson-fisa-impasse/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 321: Will Johnson Be Ukraine’s Savior?

Wed, 10 Apr 2024 15:09:36 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the ongoing conflicts within the U.S. House of Representatives over the $95 billion supplemental aid package for Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan. Embattled House Speaker Mike Johnson faces threats from Republican rabble-rousers to oust him if he brings Ukraine aid to vote on the House floor. There is also speculation whether House Democrats will support the White House supplemental given the ongoing war in Gaza.

How do these shakeups impact U.S. reputation abroad? Should Speaker Johnson bring the Ukraine/Israel/Taiwan aid package to the floor even in the face of threats of ouster? How does the upcoming election impact the vote on the supplemental?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4581611-johnson-gauntlet-greene-ouster-threat/

https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-congress-speaker-johnson-6ca638103f0286405144891604f92de3

https://apnews.com/article/house-speaker-johnson-marjorie-taylor-greene-e0f0271f8244598841c56502f12f38a0

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 320: Mexican - Diplomatic - Standoff

Mon, 08 Apr 2024 15:40:28 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss Ecuador’s recent decision to send police officers into the Mexican Embassy in Quito to arrest former Ecuadorian Vice President Jorge Glas, who has been convicted on corruption and bribery charges. The raid has been with met international condemnation and Mexico has severed diplomatic ties with Ecuador.

Why did Mexico grant political asylum to Jorge Glas? Are there any long-term implications for Ecuador’s violation of the Vienna Convention? Was Ecuador in the right to raid the embassy?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.eurasiareview.com/08042024-biden-administration-should-demand-ecuador-immediately-release-political-opponent-illegally-kidnapped-from-mexicos-embassy-oped/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/07/world/americas/ecuador-mexico-embassy-noboa.html

https://apnews.com/article/7276b35e8d5944e7b5ca280ab0390b26

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/07/ecuador-mexico-embassy-raid-glas-noboa-diplomacy/eb838672-f50c-11ee-9506-c8544e5c9d86_story.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/05/mexico-ecuador-crisis-diplomatica/a9d8ba10-f3c9-11ee-a4c9-88e569a98b58_story.html

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/07/latin-american-governments-condemn-ecuador-after-police-raid-mexican-embassy

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Episode 319: Secretary Yellen Take 2

Fri, 05 Apr 2024 14:59:04 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s second trip to China, where she will advocate for fair treatment of American workers and businesses, press Chinese counterparts on unfair trade practices, and warn of the consequences of Chinese industrial overcapacity. This trip follows a domestic tour by Secretary Yellen to key swing states selling President Biden’s economic and industrial policies to the American Public.

What is the Biden administration’s strategy when it comes to China? What does Secretary Yellen’s visit seek to accomplish? Will this visit affect any policy changes within China?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2218

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/04/heres-who-treasury-secretary-janet-yellen-is-going-to-meet-in-china.html

https://www.voanews.com/a/treasury-secretary-yellen-to-visit-china-for-high-level-talks/7555456.html

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 318: Havana - or Moscow - Syndrome

Wed, 03 Apr 2024 15:37:18 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss a recent joint investigation by 60 Minutes, The Insider, and Der Spiegel on Havana syndrome – a mysterious illness causing a variety of debilitating symptoms often seen in American diplomats and intelligence officials – that points the finger at Russia. This report contracts the U.S. Intelligence Community’s formal assessment from a year ago that found it was “very unlikely” that symptoms were caused by enemy operatives.

How credible is this joint investigation report? Is this a case of the politicization of U.S. intelligence? Is the U.S. intelligence community covering up Russia’s involvement to prevent escalation?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/havana-syndrome-culprit-investigation-new-evidence-60-minutes-transcript/

https://time.com/6962399/havana-syndrome-russia-u-s/

https://apnews.com/article/havana-syndrome-russia-cuba-vilnius-4839ec0e3ce0db76670832235d602a16

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/04/01/investigate-havana-syndrome-russia/

https://www.nationalreview.com/2024/04/a-havana-syndrome-cover-up/

https://www.voanews.com/a/us-not-moved-by-report-blaming-russia-for-havana-syndrome/7552401.html

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 317: The Four Horsemen Visit Sudan

Mon, 01 Apr 2024 15:20:45 GMT

Today, Jamil, Les, Bishop, and Martha discuss the civil war in Sudan which is entering its second year with a UN report stating that Sudan needs 'immediate action' on hunger to avert widespread death due to famine. Amidst the hunger and conflict, Sudan has seen the outbreak of several deadly diseases including a Cholera outbreak which has impacted thousands.

How can the United States help resolve the humanitarian crisis in Sudan? Does Iran and Russia’s backing opposing sides of the civil war indicate that the collaboration of global repressors is more limited? How do other conflict zones around the globe impact the crisis in Sudan?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/01/sudan-hunger-war/

https://www.forbes.com/sites/janicegassam/2024/03/31/the-war-in-sudan-that-no-one-is-talking-about/?sh=6db820d9457e

https://www.salon.com/2024/03/03/irans-troubling-move-into-africa--and-the-you-havent-noticed/

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudan-needs-immediate-action-hunger-avert-widespread-death-un-backed-report-says-2024-03-29/

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/29/sudan-slips-into-famine-as-warring-sides-starve-civilians

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@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 316: West Philippine Sea Clashes

Fri, 29 Mar 2024 15:45:43 GMT

Today, Jamil, Les, Bishop, and Andy discuss the recent confrontation between two Chinese Coast Guard ships and a Philippine Navy vessel near the disputed Second Thomas Shoal in the Spratly Islands that resulted in injuries to several Philippine sailors after the use of high-pressure water cannons. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. vowed to counter what he called “illegal, coercive, aggressive, and dangerous attacks” by China’s coast guard and said that the Philippines would not be “cowed into silence” about Chinese aggression.

Will the tensions in the West Philippine Sea continue to escalate? Would any conflict between China and the Philippines drag the United States into direct conflict? Is China trying to test U.S. commitments in the region?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/28/philippiness-marcos-promises-measures-after-chinas-dangerous-attacks

https://www.foxnews.com/world/china-warned-as-philippine-president-proposes-countermeasures-against-beijings-aggression

https://time.com/6960916/us-military-intervention-south-china-sea-philippines-china/

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/mar/27/inside-ring-water-cannon-attack-raises-odds-of-us-/

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/03/28/philippines-countermeasures-coast-guard-attacks-south-china-sea-marcos/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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@AndyKeiser

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Episode 315: The U.S. Breaks with Israel?

Wed, 27 Mar 2024 14:27:27 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Morgan, and John discuss the recent passing of a U.N. Security Council resolution calling for a cease-fire in Gaza. The United States angered Israel by abstaining from the vote, the fifth attempt to pass the resolution, which it previously vetoed leading to Israel canceling a visit to Washington by a high-level delegation.

Is the Biden administration truly breaking with Israel in policy? Will the U.N. Security Council resolution impact the situation on the ground in Gaza? Does an apparent hostile U.S. benefit Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu domestically?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/un-gaza-ceasefire-resolution-vote-ramadan-b7985fede65e5477aba2c8d2e62a6632

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-abstains-united-nations-security-council-vote-israel-hamas-ceasefire-biden-6dd91dee?mod=editorials_article_pos2

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@JohnCLipsey

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Episode 314: Terror Strikes the Heart of Moscow

Mon, 25 Mar 2024 15:59:47 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, Morgan, and John discuss last week’s terror attack in Moscow at the Crocus City complex, which killed more than 130 people. ISIS-K, an Afghanistan-based offshoot of ISIS, claimed responsibility for the deadliest terror attack in Russia in decades, and Russia formally charged four men on Sunday for committing terrorism.

What does this terror attack do to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s strongman image? Does ongoing the war in Ukraine leave Russia more vulnerable to terrorism? Does this attack indicate a renewed ISIS threat of global terrorism?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-mourns-victims-deadly-concert-hall-attack-2024-03-24/

https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/23/europe/moscow-attack-what-we-know-intl/index.html

https://apnews.com/article/russia-attack-concert-hall-putin-islamic-state-f6f89c4c39965da6c11c3c111053f0e2

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/25/us/politics/moscow-attack-isis.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/03/24/world/moscow-russia-attack-news

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Episode 313: China Has Its Trade and Houthi Terror Too

Fri, 22 Mar 2024 20:44:03 GMT

Today, Les, John, and Morgan discuss the recent deal brokered by Russia and China with the Houthi rebels in Yemen for the safe passage of their ships through the Red Sea amidst their continuous attacks on commercial shipping in the region.

How effective have U.S. and allied strikes against the Houthis been at deterring attacks on shipping? What are the implications of the Houthi attacks on the freedom of navigation? What role does the UN Security Council play in this conflict?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-21/china-russia-reach-agreement-with-yemen-s-houthis-on-red-sea-ships

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesfarrell/2024/03/21/houthis-reportedly-strike-deal-with-russia-china-for-safe-passage/?sh=40c9d48c4a6b

https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/03/houthis-granting-china-russia-safe-passage-red-sea-centcom-says/395143/

https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-china-struck-deal-yemen-houthi-rebels-ship-safety/

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/houthi-attacks-egypt-red-sea-economy/

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@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 312: Local Elections - Geopolitical Impact

Wed, 20 Mar 2024 14:52:52 GMT

Today, Jess, John, Bishop, and Morgan discuss Turkey’s upcoming local elections on March 31st, where Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party (AKP) seek to regain the key cities lost in 2019 of Istanbul and Ankara. If the AKP regains control, President Erdogan has pledged further constitutional reform.

How will these local elections impact Turkish foreign policy? What is the Biden Administration’s role in working with transactional powers such as Turkey? What are the impacts of conflicts such as the war in Ukraine and the war in Gaza on these local elections?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/03/13/turkey-erdogan-elections-istanbul-ankara-local-akp/

https://nationalinterest.org/feature/will-us-turkey-relations-survive-wars-gaza-and-ukraine-210040

https://www.timesofisrael.com/erdogan-says-turkey-firmly-backs-terror-group-hamas-compares-netanyahu-to-hitler/

https://www.politico.eu/article/turkey-president-erdogan-upcoming-local-election-last/

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@BishopGarrison

@morganlroach

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 311: Is Niger Giving America the Boot?

Mon, 18 Mar 2024 15:42:45 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, John, and Morgan discuss this weekend’s announcement by Niger’s junta that it was suspending military cooperation with Washington and ordering U.S. troops to leave the country. This comes upon the heels of a coup last summer in Niger, the resulting restrictions on U.S. aid to the country, and recent stories that U.S. and Western intelligence show that Niger is exploring a deal to allow Iran access to its uranium reserves.

What did last week’s visit to Niger by U.S. officials seek to accomplish? How can the United States refresh its approach to foreign policy with African states? Do the events in Niger indicate a diminishing influence of the United States in the region?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.wsj.com/world/africa/niger-once-key-u-s-counterterrorism-ally-ends-military-ties-7db66dbe

https://apnews.com/article/niger-junta-us-military-base-b70bfba835a567d5f3439a32c9c82836

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/17/world/africa/niger-orders-american-troops-out.html

https://www.voanews.com/a/niger-says-announces-end-to-military-cooperation-with-us/7530719.html

https://www.voanews.com/a/iran-says-it-is-willing-to-help-niger-overcome-sanctions/7455787.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/west-african-ecowas-bloc-mulls-new-strategy-towards-junta-states-2024-02-24/

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Episode 310: Appeasement at Home and Abroad?

Fri, 15 Mar 2024 14:53:33 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss this week’s Financial Times report that broke the news that the Biden Administration held secret talks with Iran this year to convince Tehran to use its influence to end Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea. They also discuss Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer’s calls for Israel to hold new elections.

Were Senator Schumer’s comments driven by the upcoming election? Can the United States truly have productive negotiations with Iran? Is the United States undermining a democratically elected government in Israel?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/schumer-netanyahu-israel-palestinians-elections-1ebf21e4c9c0f6f42478bb26e1db7a9b

https://www.ft.com/content/89b01990-7657-45ea-baaa-1f214b40f1cb

https://www.nbc4i.com/news/washington-dc/schumer-calls-for-new-elections-in-israel-criticizes-netanyahu/

https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2024/03/14/u-s-grants-iran-sanctions-waiver-worth-10-billion

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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Episode 309: President Duda in Washington

Wed, 13 Mar 2024 15:47:22 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss Polish President Andrzej Duda’s recent visit to Washington, D.C., where he met with President Joe Biden and Congressional leaders to lobby for U.S. support for Ukraine. President Duda also sent a message to his NATO allies by suggesting that NATO members should raise defense spending to 3% of GDP, above the 2% requirement that only a third of the alliance meet.

Will President Duda’s pressure campaign sway the minds of U.S. policymakers on Ukraine aid? Will Duda’s aspirations for a more robust NATO defense posture actually deter Russian aggression? Has the West lost momentum when it comes to Ukraine aid?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/poland-us-ukraine-biden-white-house-66b04d8c3917be6fe5b9ea5e016f7f5b

https://apnews.com/article/poland-nato-defense-duda-tusk-us-visit-f6d25e41709e9757f7d40ce33add74de

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-11/poland-s-president-will-ask-biden-to-send-more-us-troops-to-protect-europe

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/biden-poland-nato-duda-tusk.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/top-polish-leaders-visit-white-house-hoping-spur-108035014

https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/11/europe/orban-trump-ukraine-intl/index.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-and-ukraine-dont-listen-to-mainstream-media-predictions-on-second-term-0a7589cd

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@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 308: Haiti on the Brink

Mon, 11 Mar 2024 14:10:04 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the deteriorating situation in Haiti where criminal gangs have burned police stations, closed the main international airports, and raided the country’s two biggest prisons releasing thousands of prisoners, while acting Prime Minister and President of Haiti, Ariel Henry, remains in Puerto Rico after being unable to return to Haiti after recent trip to Kenya to build support for a peacekeeping mission.

Should the United States intervene directly in Haiti to restore order? Who will eventually come to power in Haiti? How will the situation in Haiti impact U.S. policy in the Western Hemisphere?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.wsj.com/world/americas/the-ex-convict-aiming-to-take-power-in-haiti-f97e36e2

https://www.wsj.com/world/americas/chaos-in-haiti-leaves-u-s-with-few-options-1a73b744

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/03/09/haiti-corpses-gangs/

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/blinken-talks-kenyan-president-about-haiti-crisis-says-state-dept-2024-03-09/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/mar/10/haiti-crisis-gangs-attack-police-stations-as-caribbean-leaders-call-for-emergency-meeting

https://apnews.com/article/blinken-haiti-jamaica-prime-minister-gangs-ff6b76b6ba9a9d7b8f95fbf95a1d462c

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@lestermunson

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Episode 307: Fault Lines on the State of the Union

Fri, 08 Mar 2024 16:35:08 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss President Biden’s State of the Union address, where contrary to some expectations, President Biden delivered a fiery speech beginning with references to FDR’s 1941 State of the Union speech given as war raged across Europe, and then touching upon the Russia-Ukraine war and the Israel-Hamas war.

What were the Fault Lines team’s reactions to the State of the Union speech? Did President Biden beat the team’s expectations? Did the President’s speech change the minds of Congress or American voters on aid to Ukraine?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/state-of-union-biden-gaza-ukraine-israel-1a42ff9d4ef3e0f2753e43ac8d39fc18

https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/biden-state-of-the-union-address-2024/

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/state-union-key-takeaways-biden-address-rcna140768

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2024/03/07/remarks-of-president-joe-biden-state-of-the-union-address-as-prepared-for-delivery-2/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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Episode 306: Benny in the Dog House

Wed, 06 Mar 2024 16:19:09 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss Israeli War Cabinet member and former Defense Minister Benny Gantz's visit to Washington, DC. Gantz met with Vice President Kamala Harris and National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan to discuss the ongoing war in Gaza.

What does this trip mean for the unity of the Israeli War Cabinet? Does Gantz's meeting with Vice President Harris indicate a shift in the Biden administration's handling of the war in Gaza? How do the domestic political situations of the United States and Israel impact the conflict?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.axios.com/2024/03/05/israel-gaza-aid-benny-gantz-white-house

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/2902527/benny-gantz-confronts-reports-hes-in-us-against-benjamin-netanyahus-wishes/#google_vignette

https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-790212

https://www.timesofisrael.com/biden-aides-to-gantz-gaza-aid-convoy-disaster-shows-need-for-viable-post-war-plans/

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Episode 305: Guyana and Cuba - a Diplomatic Dance?

Mon, 04 Mar 2024 16:30:27 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, and Jamil discuss Guyana’s recent diplomatic overtures towards Cuba amidst the ongoing Crisis between Guyana and Venezuela over the oil-rich Essequibo region.

These overtures include the Guyanese President Irfaan Ali calling for the dismantling of sanctions against Cuba, to the University systems of both countries agreeing to collaborate, among many others.

Are these diplomatic overtures a play to counter Venezuela with their ally Cuba, or is this an attempt by Guyana to cozy up to Venezuela? Is the threat of Venezuela invading Guyana real, or just domestic messaging? Should the Biden Administration be playing a more active role in the region? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://newsroom.gy/2024/03/01/president-ali-calls-for-dismantling-of-u-s-embargo-against-cuba/

https://misiones.cubaminrex.cu/en/articulo/guyanas-media-publishes-support-international-community-cuba-un

https://misiones.cubaminrex.cu/en/articulo/universities-guyana-and-cuba-agree-cooperate

https://havanatimes.org/features/cubas-curious-silence-on-the-essequibo-conflict/

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/21/world/americas/venezuela-guyana.html

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@lestermunson

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Episode 304: Protecting Americans - From Chinese EV’s?

Fri, 01 Mar 2024 16:35:56 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, and Bishop discuss the recent announcement by the Biden Administration that the Department of Commerce will begin an inquiry into the national security risks posed by connected vehicles from or containing technology from countries of concern, including the People’s Republic of China.

Is industrial policy under the guise of National Security the right approach to address this issue? Should the United States be concerned about China’s position as the largest producer of Electric Vehicles? Is this inquiry a way to implement protectionist policies against foreign automakers? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/china-electric-vehicles-privacy-personal-data-biden-844f2406512b94212ee1a92a61e5a33a

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/02/29/us-investigation-chinese-vehicles/

https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2024/02/citing-national-security-concerns-biden-harris-administration-announces

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/02/29/fact-sheet-biden-harris-administration-takes-action-to-address-risks-of-autos-from-china-and-other-countries-of-concern/

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@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@BishopGarrison

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Episode 303: The Talk of Europe - Troops and Nukes?

Wed, 28 Feb 2024 16:15:47 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the recent debates shaking up the European continent from French President Emmanuel Macron raising the possibility of Western troop deployment to Ukraine to German officials questioning the need of whether to acquire their own nuclear weapons.

Should the United States be concerned by President Macron’s comments? Would a deployment of Western troops to Ukraine be a redline for Russia? Can Europe act effectively without U.S. leadership? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68417223

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/macrons-ukraine-troop-talk-shakes-up-nato-allies-2024-02-27/

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/germans-debatethe-once-unthinkable-do-we-need-nuclear-weapons-13fa7e68?mod=hp_lead_pos11

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/25/world/europe/cia-ukraine-intelligence-russia-war.html

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 302: Hard Truths from Poland

Mon, 26 Feb 2024 15:51:51 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the recent comments made by Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski over the weekend on the held-up supplemental aid to Ukraine and the ramifications that failing to act may have on the United States’ other allies.

Is the United States an unreliable ally? Are U.S. allies right to start hedging? Should U.S. leadership be doing more to sell Ukraine assistance to the American public? Should Congress be skeptical of giving Ukraine more aid when much of Europe isn't living up to its 2 percent NATO pledge? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-23/poland-s-sikorski-warns-us-to-aid-ukraine-or-face-profound-consequences

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/polands-foreign-minister-discusses-the-war-in-ukraine

https://thehill.com/policy/international/4488444-polish-fm-to-speaker-johnson-on-ukraine-the-credibility-of-your-country-is-at-stake/

https://news.sky.com/video/polish-foreign-minister-corrects-the-record-for-russia-in-un-security-council-meeting-13080530

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 301: Ukraine’s Ongoing Struggle: Reflections on Two Years of Conflict

Fri, 23 Feb 2024 16:39:40 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the upcoming two-year anniversary of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and what the future could hold for the Ukrainian country after President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s plea for continued U.S. assistance in the war effort during an interview with Fox News’s Bret Baier.

What is the future for Ukraine in these uncertain times? What should the U.S. strategy be towards Ukraine? How can the U.S. and European allies define a Ukrainian victory? What should the Biden administration being doing to bolster support for Ukraine among Congress and the American public?

Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.arabnews.com/node/2465106/world

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/02/22/ukraine-war-pentagon-lessons-learned/

https://www.foxnews.com/media/ukrainian-president-zelenskyy-sits-down-fox-anchor-bret-baier-war-nears-two-year-mark

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 300: The End of the Line for Julian Assange?

Thu, 22 Feb 2024 00:29:06 GMT

Happy 300!!

Today, Jess, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss Julian Assange, the founder of Wikileaks, who is before Britain’s High Court attempting to block his extradition to the United States, where he faces 17 charges of espionage and one charge of computer misuse over the solicitation and publication of a huge trove of classified U.S. documents nearly 15 years ago.

How damaging was the Wikileaks to U.S. national security? Should Julian Assange be extradited to the United States to stand trial? How should we address the prevalent issue of U.S. intelligence leaks? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/20/uk/julian-assange-extradition-appeal-ruling-review-intl-gbr/index.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/20/world/europe/assange-us-extradition-uk-court-case.html

https://apnews.com/article/julian-assange-wikileaks-extradition-court-hearing-25a5f66df1e8d94d0db1e9d6bb323ea4

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 299: Subs, Planes, and Proxies: Iran on the Move

Mon, 19 Feb 2024 15:36:33 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss recent developments out of the Middle East including Saturday’s first-ever U.S. self-defense strike against a Houthi underwater drone in the Red Sea, the attempted comms takeover of an El Al flight over the Horn of Africa by unknown actors, and an alleged backing-off of proxy attacks by the Iranian government in parts of the region.

Are the Biden Administration’s efforts at deterrence working? Will the IRGC's ostensible tamp down on proxy attacks be sustained? Do underwater drones indicate an increased level of sophistication from the Houthis? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.axios.com/2024/02/19/us-houthi-strike-underwater-drone-red-sea

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-military-strikes-houthi-unmanned-underwater-vessel-red-sea/

https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-787572

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/02/18/iran-proxies-middle-east/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

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Episode 298: Will Russian Nukes in Space get Congress to Act?

Fri, 16 Feb 2024 15:52:54 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss recent developments out of Russia including Friday morning’s announcement that imprisoned Russian opposition politician, Alexei Navalny, has died in custody, and Chairman Mike Turner of the House Intelligence Committee vaguely warning of a serious national security threat, which has now been confirmed by the White House as Russia pursuing a nuclear armed anti-satellite system.

Will the threat of nuclear weapons in space and the potential murder of a Russian opposition leader get Congress to act? Was Chairman Turner’s announcement intentional to sway his colleagues ahead of the vote on the Senate Ukraine aid bill? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/russia-anti-satellite-weapon-threat-technology-2880f9c55122dcafe87188bc92dd6cde

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/14/house-intel-national-security-threat-russia-space-power-00141473

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/14/us/politics/intelligence-russia-nuclear.html

https://warontherocks.com/2022/09/getting-serious-about-the-threat-of-high-altitude-nuclear-detonations/

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68315943

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/jailed-russian-opposition-leader-navalny-dead-prison-service-2024-02-16/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 297: Pakistan Elections - A Coalition of the Minorities

Wed, 14 Feb 2024 16:04:55 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss last Thursday’s general election in Pakistan. The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party led by jailed former prime minister Imran Khan won 93 of the 134 simple majority seats required to form a government. This led to rival parties, the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) and the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PLM-N) party to form a coalition, returning former prime minister Shewaz Sharif to office.

What does this election mean for U.S. interests? How has the U.S. relationship with Pakistan changed following the withdrawal from Afghanistan? What role does China play in Pakistan? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/13/pakistan-election-pti-joins-religious-parties-ppp-backs-rival-pmln

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-68271462

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-13/sharif-s-party-to-pick-pakistan-pm-as-bhutto-supports-alliance

https://www.cfr.org/blog/imran-khan-denied-perhaps-not-forever-pakistans-other-parties-form-weak-coalition-government

https://www.economist.com/asia/2024/02/12/pakistans-voters-tell-the-generals-where-to-put-it

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

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Episode 296: Last Week’s Backpfeifengesicht

Mon, 12 Feb 2024 16:43:25 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss recent comments from former President Donald Trump criticizing NATO countries and their NATO commitments, as well Tucker Carlson’s recent interview with Russian President Vladimir Putin on topics ranging from the war in Ukraine to the cause of World War Two.

Should our NATO allies be spending more on their defense budgets? Should the U.S. uphold NATO’s Article 5 if our allies don’t spend the required amount on defense? Why did Tucker Carlson interview Vladimir Putin? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68266447

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/02/trump-rally-nato/677426/

https://www.newsweek.com/poland-angrily-responds-putins-claims-about-hitler-world-war-ii-1868707

https://thehill.com/homenews/media/4458802-five-things-to-know-tucker-carlson-vladimir-putin-interview/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

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Episode 295: Ukraine and the Future of Warfare

Fri, 09 Feb 2024 15:49:50 GMT

*This episode was recorded before President Zelensky dismissed Gen. Zaluzhnyi and appointed Col. Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi to lead Ukraine’s military.*

Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss recent developments in the war in Ukraine with Ukrainian President Zelensky publicly confirming on Sunday that he is considering dismissing Gen. Valerii Zaluzhnyi, head of Ukraine’s military, and David Ignatuis’ recent Washington Post article highlighting the impact of technology in the Ukraine conflict and the changing rules of war.

Would President Zelensky’s potential dismissal of Gen. Zaluzhnyi make a difference on the ground? How does U.S. support factor into the current stalemate of the war? How does support from other global repressors, like Iran and China, aid Russia? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4448543-zelensky-ukraines-military-chief-dismissal/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/02/06/russia-ukraine-drone-war-technology-stalemate/

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russias-adaptation-advantage

https://www.wired.com/story/robots-are-fighting-robots-in-russias-war-in-ukraine/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 294: Zut Alors! What is up in West Africa?

Wed, 07 Feb 2024 17:28:09 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss recent shake-ups in West Africa. From Senegal postponing this month’s presidential election indefinitely, to Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso leaving the regional bloc ECOWAS, and the DoD backing away due to Congressional pressure from a planned training of troops from West African nations with coup governments and records of human rights abuses.

Does the U.S. have a comprehensive foreign policy in Africa? Is Congress restricting the United States’ ability to compete with Russia in the region? What role does France play in these shake-ups? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/01/26/pentagon-military-training-human-rights/

https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20240206-senegal-s-democratic-record-on-the-line-as-presidential-vote-delay-sparks-political-crisis

https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20240202-with-ecowas-exit-mali-burkina-faso-and-niger-leave-democratic-transition-in-limbo

https://www.theafricareport.com/336073/moussa-mara-leaving-ecowas-is-going-against-the-march-of-history/

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@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 293: The U.S. Strikes Back, Kinda

Mon, 05 Feb 2024 16:38:29 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss the over 80 strikes against Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) Quds Force and several other Iranian proxy militia groups in response to the recent deaths of three Americans and the wounding of over 30 more servicemembers in Jordan.

Will these strikes deter further attacks by Iranian proxies? Is the United States at war with Iran? Does the Biden administration need a new Authorization for Use of Military Force? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://bbc.com/news/world-68189567

https://www.foxnews.com/world/us-begins-middle-east-airstrikes-response-deaths-three-soldiers

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-condemns-u-s-strikes-as-washington-signals-further-action-17129ceb?reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/03/politics/strikes-us-uk-houthi-yemen?

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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We are also on YouTube, watch today's episode here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NaiIn0nGgdE

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Episode 292: What do New Hampshire Voters Think About National Security?

Fri, 02 Feb 2024 16:18:24 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss Wednesday’s Special Episode - NSI on the Ground: The New Hampshire Primary- where a group of New Hampshire voters shared their thoughts and opinions on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America!

Were New Hampshire voter’s views on U.S. engagement in the world different than Iowans? Were the Fault Lines crew surprised by any of the views the interviewees had on foreign policy issues? Does America need to focus on getting a win to remain actively engaged in the world? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fault-lines-special-episode-nsi-on-the-ground-the/id1481982630?i=1000643687825

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0omD3Lf6nM

https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/primaries-and-caucuses/exit-polls/new-hampshire/republican-primary/0

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/primary-results/voter-analysis

https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Fault Lines Special Episode - NSI on the Ground: The New Hampshire Primary

Wed, 31 Jan 2024 16:42:27 GMT

Today, on this special episode of Fault Lines, NSI’s Founder and Executive Director Jamil Jaffer interviewed New Hampshire voters on their thoughts on the national security issues and debates shaking up America.

Do national security issues matter when voting? Should the U.S. continue to support Ukraine in its war with Russia? Are we falling behind China technologically? What is the greatest external threat to the United States? Listen to what voters had to say about these issues and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our interviews!

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/primary-results/voter-analysis

https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 291: Americans Murdered by Iran-Backed Drones in Jordan

Mon, 29 Jan 2024 16:00:29 GMT

Today, Jamil, Morgan, and Les discuss Sunday’s drone attack in Jordan by Iranian-backed militias that killed 3 U.S. servicemembers and wounded over 30 more. President Biden has vowed to respond to this attack, which was the first U.S. fatalities after months of strikes by such groups against American forces across the Middle East since the start of the Israel-Hamas war.

Was this attack only a matter of time? How should the U.S. respond to this lethal attack? How can the Biden administration effectively deter future attacks? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/28/politics/us-troops-drone-attack-jordan?cid=ios_app

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/three-u-s-troops-killed-in-drone-attack-in-jordan-b45ddb6b

https://apnews.com/article/biden-american-service-members-killed-jordan-iran-5cb774fd835a558d840ae91263037489

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/28/us-service-members-killed-drone-attack-jordan

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/01/28/statement-from-president-joe-biden-on-attack-on-u-s-service-members-in-northeastern-jordan-near-the-syria-border/

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Episode 290: The Border Deal Kerfuffle

Fri, 26 Jan 2024 16:14:14 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, and John discuss the potential collapse of the bipartisan Senate deal to pair border enforcement measures and Ukraine and Israel aid after former President Donald Trump called on Republicans to reject any deal unless given everything regarding immigration.

Was this deal destined to fail? What are the geostrategic implications of failure to fund aid to Ukraine? Who is ultimately to blame for the collapse of the deal? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.newsweek.com/mitch-mcconnell-border-bill-trump-campaign-1863916

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/bipartisan-border-deal-trump-senate-republicans_n_65b284c6e4b0166fc7711d79

https://www.newsweek.com/maga-cant-sink-border-deal-negotiator-1864128

https://www.npr.org/2024/01/25/1226883552/bipartisan-border-deal-at-risk-of-collapse-under-pressure-from-trump

https://apnews.com/article/congress-border-security-ukraine-trump-a8601ec6629ddc5b769028ca99ad9879

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Episode 289: One Down, One to Go - Sweden’s Membership into NATO

Wed, 24 Jan 2024 16:34:55 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss Tuesday's Turkish parliament vote to approve Sweden’s membership bid to NATO, lifting a major hurdle to Sweden’s entry into the military alliance. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who previously linked his country’s support of Sweden to Turkey’s desire to buy fighter jets from the U.S., must still sign the protocol into law. Once signed, Hungary becomes the only NATO ally to have not ratified Sweden’s accession.

Will Congress allow the sale of F-16s to Turkey? How does the 2024 U.S. presidential election impact the NATO alliance? Will NATO’s largest military exercise since the Cold War provoke a response from Russia? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/turkey-sweden-nato-kurdish-militants-quran-ff81aa2d36160428d766579963f97fce

https://apnews.com/article/orban-invites-swedish-leader-discuss-nato-membership-32d50b876dccded5c7c2f60ca7cf204b

https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/23/europe/turkey-vote-sweden-nato-intl?cid=ios_app

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/19/sweden-young-people-national-service-civic-duty-nato-war

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Episode 288: What do Americans Think About National Security?

Mon, 22 Jan 2024 16:22:37 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss last Friday’s Special Episode - NSI on the Ground in Iowa - where average Iowans gave their thoughts and opinions on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America!

Were the Fault Lines crew surprised at Iowan opinions on U.S. engagement in the world? Do we think that Friday’s conversations show U.S. policymakers need to more clearly show why national security issues matter? Did the interviews leave us feeling optimistic about American engagement with national security issues? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fault-lines-special-episode-nsi-on-the-ground-the/id1481982630?i=1000642248705

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/primary-results/voter-analysis

https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/

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Fault Lines Special Episode - NSI on the Ground: The Iowa Caucus

Fri, 19 Jan 2024 17:18:55 GMT

Today, on this special episode of Fault Lines, NSI’s Founder and Executive Director Jamil Jaffer interviewed Iowan voters on their thoughts on the national security issues and debates shaking up America.

Do national security issues matter when voting? Should the U.S. continue to support Ukraine in its war with Russia? How should the U.S. deal with Iran? Listen to what voters had to say about these issues and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our interviews!

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/primary-results/voter-analysis

https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/

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Episode 287: Walking the Fine Line on the Red Sea

Wed, 17 Jan 2024 16:31:08 GMT

Today, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss the escalating situation in the Red Sea where the U.S. and allied forces have continued their campaign of strikes against Houthi rebels in Yemen, while two U.S. Navy SEALs have gone missing while interdicting a ship in the Gulf of Aden meant to deliver weapons to the Houthis, and China and Russia voted for a UN Security Council resolution calling for the immediate end to Houthi attacks on commercial shipping.

What are we accomplishing with our current approach? Can the U.S. walk the fine line of responding without escalation? Should we change our approach with the Houthi Rebels and other Iranian-backed groups? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/us-carries-new-airstrike-houthis-yemen/story?id=106414037

https://apnews.com/article/us-houthis-red-sea-jake-sullivan-yemen-ff507d06a7a44d6f3644f128e7766b3d

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2024/01/iran-strikes-inside-pakistan-following-irgc-missile-attacks-iraq-syria

https://www.newsnationnow.com/us-news/military/us-seizes-iranian-weapons-houthis-yemen/

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/china-calls-an-end-attacks-civilian-vessels-red-sea-2024-01-14/?taid=65a3eec108e2720001fef900&utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter

https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/two-navy-seals-are-missing-after-mission-off-coast-of-somalia/

https://apnews.com/article/un-yemen-houthis-shipping-red-sea-resolution-attacks-f26262fe055c8a1e39dee0c3c0d6f7f6

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Episode 286: A Conflict Brewing in Our Backyard?

Fri, 12 Jan 2024 15:45:56 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss the developing situation in Guyana where on Tuesday, Venezuela’s dictator Nicholas Maduro ordered the creation of a new state dubbed “Guyana Esequiba” in the wake of the recent referendum in which Venezuelan voters overwhelmingly approved the annexation of the oil-rich land from its neighbor.

How does this impact the stability of the region? What role, if any, does the United States have in this developing crisis? Or is this just a domestic political tactic to ensure the survival of the Maduro regime? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://apnews.com/article/guyana-us-military-aid-venezuela-essequibo-cdb2b1ac1e469c7324d1be8f18c507c6

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/us-conduct-flight-operations-guyana-concerns-mount-over-border-spat-2023-12-07/

https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/06/americas/venezuelas-president-orders-creation-of-new-state-and-map-including-land-from-guyana/index.html

https://www.state.gov/secretary-blinkens-call-with-guyanese-president-ali/

https://english.elpais.com/international/2023-12-08/nicolas-maduro-stirs-up-guyana-conflict-in-an-attempt-to-corner-maria-corina-machado.html

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Episode 285: The Middle East - A Lingering Specter of Escalation?

Wed, 10 Jan 2024 16:26:32 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les assess the current situation in the Middle East. Recent U.S. strikes in Iraq, an ultimatum against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, and attacks from Hezbollah against Israel amid its conflict in Gaza has caused increased worry over a widening conflict in the region.

Is this worry of a widening conflict justified? What role does China play in these Middle Eastern developments how do they benefit? Is the Biden Administration getting in its own way when it comes to effective policy in the region? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/09/hezbollah-drone-strike-hits-key-israeli-command-centre-safed

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/07/us/politics/iran-us-israel-conflict.html?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=AM%20JAN%208%20Punchbowl%20News%20AM&utm_term=Punchbowl%20AM%20and%20Active%20Subscribers%20from%20Memberful%20Combined

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/04/war-gaza-widen-biden-getting-ready-00133949

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Episode 284: Need to Know? Or Need to Share? Secretary of Defense Austin’s Hospitalization.

Mon, 08 Jan 2024 15:58:00 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, and Les discuss U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin’s recent hospitalization and the breakdown of communication that had President Biden, National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, and Secretary Austin’s own Deputy Kathleen Hicks, who was on vacation, out of the loop. Sec. Austin’s absence occurred as the U.S. and its allies gave an ultimatum to Houthi rebels, as well as conducted a successful airstrike on the headquarters of an Iran-backed militia in central Baghdad.

Is the Secretary of Defense out of the Biden Administration’s decision-making loop? Why were key administration and Pentagon officials left in the dark over the Secretary’s hospitalization? Who ultimately should be held responsible for this breakdown?

Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!

https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/07/politics/austin-hospitalization-leaders-not-informed/index.html

https://apnews.com/article/defense-secretary-lloyd-austin-hospitalized-biden-859cc79631d6c96dbdff161faf8e4f96

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/top-military-officials-were-initially-unaware-austins-hospitalization-media-2024-01-07/

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/06/pentagon-took-3-days-to-inform-white-houses-nsc-of-austins-hospitalization-00134176

https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3633506/statement-by-secretary-of-defense-lloyd-j-austin-iii-on-medical-care/

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Episode 283: Baghdad Drone Strike: Is the Biden Administration Getting Tough on Iran Proxies?

Fri, 05 Jan 2024 17:17:30 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan, and Jamil discuss the recent U.S. airstrike in Baghdad, Iraq that killed commander Abu Taqwa of Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba, an Iran backed militia group. This airstrike happened during a busy week for Middle East, with the continuation of the Israel-Hamas War in Gaza, Houthi forces’ attacks on shipping vessels in the Red Sea, and the recent ISIS bombing in Iran that killed 80 people. U.S. strikes in Iraq are a rare. While the U.S. states that the airstrike was necessary and proportional in the wake of recent attacks against U.S. forces stated in the Middle East, the Iraqi government argues that the strike is a breech of trust and sovereignty.

Is the U.S. airstrike a sign of a strengthened deterrence policy by the Biden Administration? Does the U.S. maintain credible deterrence in the region? What does the airstrike mean for the stability in the Middle East? How does this strike alter current U.S. policies and agreements with Iraq?

Check out the sources that helped shaped our experts discussion!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/01/04/us-strike-baghdad/

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-strike-kills-iran-backed-militia-leader-in-iraq-71256676

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/04/world/middleeast/us-drone-strike-baghdad-iraq.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/three-iran-backed-militia-fighters-killed-baghdad-drone-strike-sources-2024-01-04/

https://www.axios.com/2024/01/04/isis-iran-explosions-responsibility-kerman

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Episode 282: Turbulent Tides: The Houthi Threat in the Red Sea

Wed, 03 Jan 2024 16:22:47 GMT

Today, Morgan, Andy, and Bishop discuss the recent attacks against shipping vessels in the Red Sea off the coast of Yemen by Houthi forces. The Red Sea plays a critical role in global trade and they discuss the implications of increasing attacks for the global economy and escalation of conflict in the Middle East. They also discuss potential U.S. responses to these attacks in light of Iran’s recent deployment of a warship to the region.

How do these attacks effect global trade? Is this an attempt at escalating conflict throughout the globe? What is Iran’s role? How does Iran’s recent deployment of a warship change the calculus for U.S. forces?

Check out the sources that helped shaped our experts discussion!

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/maersk-pauses-red-sea-sailings-after-houthi-attack-container-ship-2023-12-31/

https://jinsa.org/to-deter-houthi-strikes-in-red-sea-us-must-turn-from-defense-to-offense/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-01/iran-dispatches-warship-to-red-sea-after-us-sinks-houthi-boats

https://www.voanews.com/amp/no-sign-houthis-will-halt-red-sea-attacks-says-us/7418725.html

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RNDF Special Series: Trae Stephens – Understanding The Future of Tech Innovation and National Security

Fri, 15 Dec 2023 16:31:35 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jamil and John interview Trae Stephens, Co-Founder and Chairman of Anduril Industries, a defense technology company focused on autonomous systems. Trae is also a Partner at Founders Fund, a venture capital firm that was the first institutional investor in SpaceX and Palantir Technologies, as well as an early investor in Facebook.

What is the relationship between tech innovation and American national security? How well does the Department of Defense integrate new technologies and companies into the defense industrial base? Where does America stand today in tech innovation compared to rivals such as China?

Join us after the holidays, on January 3rd, when the Fault Lines team returns to get you quickly up to speed three times a week on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America!

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RNDF Special Series: Shannon Clark – Understanding The Future of Tech Innovation and National Security

Wed, 13 Dec 2023 16:57:00 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Les and Jess interview Shannon Clark, Senior Vice President, Federal, R+D, at Palantir Technologies, who also previously served as the Director for Counterterrorism on the National Security Council at the White House under President Obama and as an intelligence analyst in the Department of Defense.

How has the adoption of AI and other emerging technologies impacted the conflicts in Ukraine and Israel? What challenges does the U.S. national security enterprise have when adopting these emerging technologies and scaling them? How does the U.S.-China tech competition impact public-private sector cooperation?

Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF Understanding The Future of Tech Innovation and National Security! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

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RNDF Special Series: Mara Rudman – Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors

Mon, 11 Dec 2023 17:11:50 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Les and Jess interview Mara Rudman, a Member of the 2022 National Defense Commission, who also currently serves as a James Schlesinger Distinguished Professor at the Miller Center at the University of Virginia.

Can the U.S. be a global leader handling all the world’s hotspots or should we only focus on China? How can we sell the benefits of global engagement to everyday Americans? How does the United States feed the mis/disinformation produced by global repressors?

Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF Understanding The Future of Tech Innovation and National Security! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

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RNDF Special Series: Secretary Leon Panetta - Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors

Fri, 08 Dec 2023 16:31:46 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and Les interview Secretary Leon Panetta, who previously served as the 23rd Secretary of Defense and Director of the Central Intelligence Agency. Secretary Panetta is currently the Chairman of the Panetta Institute and an NSI Advisory Board member!

How has American engagement with the world changed over the last decade? Does the U.S. defense and policy-making communities have an accurate assessment of China’s power?

Should we be surprised by the increased collaboration of global repressors and what can we do about it?

Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF on Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

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RNDF Special Series: Ambassador Eric Edelman – Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors

Wed, 06 Dec 2023 16:39:27 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and John interview Ambassador Eric Edelman, who serves as Vice Chair of the Commission on the National Defense Strategy. Previously, Edelman served as Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, Ambassador to Turkey and Finland, and lastly, and most importantly, as Jess’ professor at Johns Hopkins SAIS.

How do policymakers and defense experts feel about the current state of geopolitics? Should the U.S. have anticipated the growing relationships between global repressors? What may 2024 have in store for the U.S. and our allies?

Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF on Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

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RNDF Special Series: Matthew Pottinger: Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors

Mon, 04 Dec 2023 18:50:13 GMT

Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Les and John interviewed Matthew Pottinger. Pottinger is the current Chairman for the China Program at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies (FDD). Previously, Pottinger served in the White House for four years, in senior roles within the National Security Council, including serving as Deputy National Security Advisor from 2019-2021. Pottinger is credited with playing a key role in changing how the United States approaches China and raised awareness of the Chinese Communist Party’s efforts to influence and interfere with U.S. institutions, including academia, the tech sector, and Wall Street.

Are global repressors, including Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea, really an “axis” of rogue regimes? How far does their collaboration go? Does the U.S. and its allies have the capacity to deal with these rogue regimes as well as managing the hot spots around the globe? Can, and should, the U.S. decouple from China? If so, how far can this de-coupling go?

Stay tuned for more of this Special Series at RNDF on Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

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Episode 281: Announcing Fault Lines: RNDF Global Repressors Series

Fri, 01 Dec 2023 16:55:37 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the upcoming Reagan National Defense Forum (RNDF). This forum brings together the top U.S. defense and national security leaders from across the country to discuss and debate how the U.S. can lead the world in an era of increasingly complex challenges and opportunities. During RNDF, NSI and the Fault Lines crew will be recording live, conducting a series of interviews with bipartisan national security and technology leaders to discuss the growing collaboration between global repressor states such as China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran, as well as the critical importance of emerging technology and innovation to American national security.

Stay tuned for Fault Lines: RNDF Global Repressors Series going live next week! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!

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Episode 280: West Africa's Democratic Woes: Sierra Leone's Failed Coup

Wed, 29 Nov 2023 17:15:58 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the failed coup that took place in Sierra Leone on Sunday, November 26. The coup attempt comes after a contentious election in June in which President Julius Maada Bio was reelected for a second term and on the heels of increased tensions in the West African region, highlighted by the eight military takeovers since 2020, including most recently in Niger and Gabon.

Should the U.S. be worried about the high number of coups? How must and should the Biden Administration readjust foreign assistance in the region in light of these developments? Are there larger forces in play and are outside actors like Russia’s Wagner Group or China fostering regional instability?

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/28/world/africa/sierra-leone-arrests-attempted-coup.html

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-67541285

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/26/sierra-leone-curfew-army-barracks-attack

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sierra-leone-information-minister-says-weekend-attack-was-failed-coup-2023-11-28/

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/28/sierra-leone-attacks-were-a-failed-coup-attempt-officials-say

https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/27/africa/sierra-leone-military-barracks-foiled-attack-ignites-fears-over-coup-attempt/index.html

https://www.africanews.com/2023/11/28/coup-attempt-in-sierra-leone-authorities/

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Episode 279: Javier “Mad Man” Milei - What’s Next for Argentina?

Mon, 27 Nov 2023 16:27:07 GMT

Today, Jes, Les, and Jamil discuss the Argentinian presidential elections where the self-styled “anarcho-capitalist” candidate Javier Milei rode a wave of voter anger – including over skyrocketing inflation and national poverty rate of 40% - to claim victory. Milei has proposed dollarizing the economy, ditching the central bank, shrinking the federal government, and downgrading ties with Brazil and China.

Can President-Elect Milei achieve his promises without strong allies across government? What does the election of Milei mean for democratic norms in Latin America? Can Argentina distance truly themselves from China?

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-67509691

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/11/21/argentina-milei-election-latin-america/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-11-25/milei-s-softer-tone-shows-how-much-argentina-needs-china

https://apnews.com/article/milei-argentina-president-privatization-1a87d02035511982ab620104b9feb255

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/trump-tells-argentinas-president-elect-javier-milei-he-plans-to-visit-buenos-aires

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/11/25/argentina-milei-libertarian-agenda-history/

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@notTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 278: DoD Breaks with Biden Over Deterrence

Mon, 20 Nov 2023 15:34:50 GMT

Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss the recent Washington Post story in which anonymous Defense Department officials express frustration with what they consider an incoherent strategy by the Biden Administration for countering attacks by Iranian proxies on US forces in Iraq and Syria. “There’s no clear definition of what we are trying to deter,” said one defense official. In an oped over the weekend, President Biden attempted to outline his foreign policy in the wake of the War in Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas War without once mentioning Iran.

What should U.S. deterrence policy look like? Is our current strategy effective at preventing a wider conflict? and How do we ensure U.S. personnel are safe overseas?

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/11/19/iranian-proxy-attacks-us-troops/

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/iranian-proxies-continue-targeting-us-troops-syria-iraq-total-since-pentagon

https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4314271-the-u-s-is-finally-hitting-back-at-irans-murderous-proxies/

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/defense-national-security/esper-us-military-strikes-against-iranian-proxies-syria

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/11/18/joe-biden-gaza-hamas-putin/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 277: Are Pandas and Fentanyl Enough?

Fri, 17 Nov 2023 15:33:13 GMT

Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss the meeting between President Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping at APEC 2023 in San Francisco, the first face-to-face meeting in over a year and Xi’s first visit to the U.S. in six years.

The talks aimed to normalize relations at a time when the relationship between the U.S. in China has been fraught with tension. Topics discussed during the summit included re-establishing military-to-military communications, stopping fentanyl precursors from being shipped to the US, and sending us more pandas!

Shortly after the summit, though, President Biden (accurately) referred to President Xi as a dictator and many issues, including Chinese threats to Taiwan and IP theft and US export controls.

Was this summit all talk, or will we see a real reset? Is China’s effort to force the US to support reunification likely to make things more tense? Should we take a harder line with China diplomatically?

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.npr.org/2023/11/16/1213401317/did-biden-and-chinas-xi-hit-a-reset-not-quite-but-they-did-agree-on-a-few-things

https://thehill.com/policy/international/4313668-xi-gets-standing-ovation-at-banquet-with-us-executives/

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/16/us/politics/biden-xi-china-power-balance.html

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/16/biden-xi-dictator-00127548

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 276: The U.S. Strikes Back in the Middle East - Is It Enough?

Wed, 15 Nov 2023 16:31:54 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Morgan discuss the third U.S. air strike in Syria, which occurred late on Sunday. These strikes come after at least 40 attacks against U.S. and coalition troops in Iraq and Syria by Iran-backed forces in recent weeks. U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin III told reporters, "These attacks must stop, and if they don't stop, then we won't hesitate to do what's necessary, again, to protect the troops." Austin said the latest air strikes in targeted facilities used by Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps and related groups.

Will the U.S. continue or ramp up strikes against Iranian-back proxies? Will these strikes effectively deter attacks on U.S. and coalition personnel? Is the Biden Administration overly concerned with potentially escalating the conflict?

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/11/12/us-airstrikes-iran-syria/

https://www.reuters.com/world/us-hints-more-strikes-unless-iran-linked-groups-halt-attacks-2023-11-13/

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@lestermunson

@notTVJessJones

@morganlroach

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Episode 275: Beijing-Biden Bay Area Showdown

Mon, 13 Nov 2023 15:56:59 GMT

Episode 275: Beijing-Biden Bay Area Showdown

Today, Les, Morgan and Andy discuss the APEC Summit that will be taking place in San Francisco, CA. The big news is that there will be a face-to-face meeting between President Biden, and China’s President Xi Jinping. However, China has been aggressive in the South China Sea, flying within 10 feet of American pilots, distracting American pilots with lasers, and conducting aggressive cyber-attacks against the U.S, and yet the Biden administration is advocating for stronger US-China military-military (mil-mil) relationship.

Are better mil-mil communications a ‘win’ for the Biden Administration? What are the Biden Administration’s achievements with negotiating with China ahead of the APEC Summit? What will the Biden Administration be able to achieve with President Biden’s and President Xi’s face-to-face meeting?

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/world/china/what-it-took-to-get-biden-and-xi-to-the-table-b7a899c9

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/10/us/politics/biden-xi-meeting.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/08/business/economy/xi-jinping-american-business-leaders-dinner.html

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@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@AndyKeiser

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Episode 274: Pandas, Ports, and Competing with China’s BRI

Fri, 10 Nov 2023 15:46:20 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, Morgan, and special guest John Lipsey all sit down together - in person! - to discuss America’s stolen pandas and the U.S. Development Finance Corporation’s (DFC) recent loan of $550 million to Sri Lanka to support the construction of a deep-water shipping terminal. This loan is a recent example of DFC’s efforts to support the building of global infrastructure, while also supporting U.S. foreign policy.

What’s the difference between China’s Belt and Road Initiative and America’s DFC lending? Can the US DFC compete with China’s BRI globally? Should we have let China take back our pandas?

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://nationalzoo.si.edu/news/giant-pandas-depart-smithsonians-national-zoo-and-conservation-biology-institute-for-china

https://www.dfc.gov/media/press-releases/dfc-makes-more-91-billion-financial-commitments-fiscal-year-2023

https://www.csis.org/analysis/mission-creep-development-finance-corporation

https://fortune.com/2023/11/08/us-dfc-china-belt-and-road-553m-investment-sri-lanka-colombo-port/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@notTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@JohnCLipsey

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Episode 273: Zelensky Wants to Wage war, Not a Presidential Campaign

Wed, 08 Nov 2023 16:04:23 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss Ukrainian President Zelenksy's decision to rule out holding presidential elections next year even though his 5-year term ends in March 2024. With millions displaced internally or abroad, hundreds of thousands of soldiers fighting on the frontlines, and the country under constant threat of Russian attacks, the possibility of administering a free, safe, and secure election seems nearly impossible.

Is it possible to administer an election without U.S. aid to Ukraine? Will the absence of democratic elections in Ukraine erode already decreasing support in Congress to provide more aid? Will Zelensky foes use his decision to attack him and Ukraine's commitment to democracy?

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://thehill.com/policy/international/4296123-ukraine-russia-war-volodymyr-zelensky-not-the-right-time-elections/

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-birthday-grenade-b1b82e4f84eb5a39286d1500cf49fcd1

https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2023/11/07/exp-zelensky-ukraine-elections-110704aseg1-cnni-world.cnn

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/05/world/europe/ukraine-zelensky-elections-war.html

https://www.ips-journal.eu/topics/democracy-and-society/elections-in-times-of-war-6980/

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@notTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 272: Democratic Fault Lines on Israel

Mon, 06 Nov 2023 15:34:39 GMT

Episode 272: Democratic Fault Lines on Israel

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the ongoing crisis in the Middle East, the Biden Administration’s current policies in the region, and how the Israel-Hamas war may affect President Biden’s campaign in 2024. The group also discusses recent comments made by former President Barack Obama and Democratic strategist David Axelrod on the Biden Presidency and its Middle East policies.

Where does the current Democratic party stand on support for Israel? How might the Biden Administration’s support for Israel’s war against Hamas evolve as public and international support wanes? Who would even run for the Democratic nomination against President Biden?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/barack-obama-argues-all-of-us-are-complicit-in-israel-hamas-conflict-urges-acknowledgement-of-whole-truth/ar-AA1jqa5g

https://news.yahoo.com/former-obama-strategist-wonders-biden-174227003.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/11/05/israel-war-hamas-gaza-live-news-palestine/#link-YH6Y4KSRIRGUXN2E2CRBK7K5BA

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/11/05/world/israel-hamas-war-gaza-news

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-middle-east-67324897

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/blinken-seeks-to-balance-aid-for-palestinian-civilians-against-israeli-self-defense-b2c442ec

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@notTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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Episode 271: Arms Control Talk - a Mushroom Cloud or a Fizzle?

Fri, 03 Nov 2023 14:55:56 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss Russia’s withdrawal from the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), the global treaty banning nuclear weapons tests. Moscow says its de-ratification of the CTBT is merely designed to bring Russia into line with the U.S., which signed but never ratified the treaty, while others worry Russia is seeking to intimidate and evoke fear. All the while China and the United States are about to begin talks about nuclear arms control and non-proliferation.

Is Russia’s withdrawal from the CTBT symbolic, saber-rattling, or about something else? Does the war in Ukraine, which is entering its second winter, play into Russia’s decision? Will the Biden Administration's talks with China lead to an agreement or is it just lip-service?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-revokes-russias-ratification-nuclear-test-ban-treaty-2023-11-02/

https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/test-ban-treaty-at-a-glance

https://www.icanw.org/what_is_the_nuclear_test_ban_treaty_and_why_is_russia_talking_about_leaving?locale=en

https://www.reuters.com/world/china-agrees-nuclear-arms-control-talks-with-us-wsj-2023-11-01/

https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/china-agrees-to-arms-control-talks-with-u-s-87a44b38

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/us-nuclear-arsenal-can-deter-both-china-and-russia

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@notTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 270: Biden Gives Africa's Dictators the Boot

Wed, 01 Nov 2023 15:17:26 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil and Morgan discuss the Biden Administration giving Uganda, Gabon, Niger, and the Central African Republic the boot from a special US-Africa trade program - the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) - due to Niger and Gabon’s dictatorial takeovers and CAR and Uganda’s violations of human rights. AGOA is set to expire in 2025, and the geopolitical landscape both across Africa and in the U.S. is much different than when AGOA first passed in 2000.

What does the future of AGOA and U.S.-Africa trade look like? What's our assessment of how President Biden and Congress is doing when it comes to Africa policies and programs? How can the Biden Administration reimagine U.S.-Africa relations?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-67236251

https://www.csis.org/analysis/beyond-2025-future-african-growth-and-opportunity-act

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/10/us/politics/niger-coup-biden-declaration.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2023/10/26/pepfar-funding-delays-hiv-abortion/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@notTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 269: Can Anyone Here Play This Game? Biden Stumbling into China Fail

Mon, 30 Oct 2023 15:18:12 GMT

Today, Les, Morgan and Martha discuss the Biden Admin’s approach to China all the while the world is seemingly ablaze. China has been behaving recklessly in the South China Sea, fentanyl is pouring out of China into the US, and pending on all of this is the meeting between President Biden and President Xi at the APEC Summit in San Francisco.

How should President Biden approach this meeting with Xi? How should the Biden Administration handle the US-China relationship beyond this meeting? How does Gov. Newsom’s unfortunate effort in Beijing set the table for Biden?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/chinas-foreign-minister-says-road-san-francisco-summit-will-not-be-smooth-2023-10-29/

https://apnews.com/article/china-usa-biden-wangyi-blinken-8e8928737f20ea092d226d5da08142f2

https://www.wsj.com/world/china/u-s-worries-about-escalation-in-pacific-as-chinese-military-steps-up-confrontation-5fc06662

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@lestermunson

@marthamillerdc

@morganlroach

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Episode 268: Naming and Shaming our Nearest and Dearest

Fri, 27 Oct 2023 15:17:14 GMT

Episode 268: Naming and Shaming our Nearest and Dearest

Today, Morgan, Martha, Jamil and Andy discuss the challenges that NATO member Turkey and Major non-NATO ally Qatar present as they play both sides between the West and our adversaries and enemies in the context of the Israel-Hamas war. What was seemingly a unifying moment for the West, Turkey and Qatar said all the wrong things about the 10/7 terrorist attack on Israel.

Should the United States hold Turkey and Qatar accountable for supporting our adversaries and enemies? How does Turkey’s position in NATO influence potential members joining the alliance in the future? When is the right time for the United States to tell Turkey and Qatar that they cannot keep playing both sides?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/turkeys-erdogan-says-hamas-is-not-terrorist-organisation-2023-10-25/

https://www.timesofisrael.com/qatar-agrees-to-review-hamas-ties-after-gaza-hostage-situation-resolved-report/amp/

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20231019-hamas-qatar-office-in-spotlight-as-gaza-war-intensifies

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2023/10/25/turkeys-erdogan-scraps-israel-trip-over-inhumane-gaza-war

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@andykeiser

@marthamillerdc

@morganlroach

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Episode 267: Five Eyes: Are They Actually Watching...?

Wed, 25 Oct 2023 15:53:50 GMT

Episode 267: Five Eyes: Are They Actually Watching…?

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil and Morgan discuss the recent broadcast of an unprecedented public gathering of the intelligence chiefs from the Five Eyes countries - the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. The conversation focused on China’s aggressive intelligence gathering efforts and its theft of IP property, alongside other threats, occurring in the U.S. and the other Five Eyes countries.

How concerned should Americans be about Chinese intelligence gathering? Are the Five Eyes taking the right measures to deter China? What more can the Biden Administration do to counter such aggressive intelligence gathering?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/more-from-five-eyes-intelligence-chiefs-warning-to-60-minutes/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/10/24/ahead-top-chinese-diplomats-us-visit-five-eyes-officials-call-attention-chinese-hacking/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 266: Pakistan’s Prodigal Prime Minister Returns

Mon, 23 Oct 2023 14:33:18 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the former 3-time Prime Minister of Pakistan, Nawaz Sharif’s return from his self-imposed exile, and lo’ and behold, even though he's banned from holding public office, his lawyers are confident he can be elected as the country's next Prime Minister. This comes as Pakistan is in its worst economic crisis ever, the previous Prime Minister is also facing corruption charges, a “caretaker” Prime Minister is making deals with China, and Sharif’s party is losing popularity all the while dealing with its own Taliban insurgency.

Is the Pakistan military giving Sharif the green light to run for Prime Minister? Who is really calling the shots in the Pakistan government? How might the chaotic hold-up in Congress benefit Pakistan?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/china-ready-boost-pakistan-ties-urges-security-guarantee-xi-2023-10-20/

https://www.wionews.com/south-asia/is-nawaz-sharifs-return-a-deal-with-pakistan-military-establishment-649672/amp

https://www.ft.com/content/9811a65a-78cc-4afb-82e4-1032017d2300

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermusnon

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Episode 264: Fact vs. Fiction in the Israel-Hamas War

Fri, 20 Oct 2023 15:36:41 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the serious implications from disinformation and misinformation that came after the explosion at the Al-Ahli Hospital in the Gaza. What was originally reported as an Israeli Defense Force airstrike, turned out to actually be a misfired rocket by the Palestinian Islamic Jihad. However, the blame had already been cast on Israel and riots and protests against Israel broke out across the globe as a result of the inaccurate reporting.

What are the implications of rampant and rapid disinformation on social media? How can media prevent such inaccurate information from being disseminated? What is President Biden’s role in preventing the mass dissemination of false information?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/disinformation-surge-threatens-fuel-israel-hamas-conflict-2023-10-18/

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2023/10/18/what-is-israels-narrative-on-the-gaza-hospital-explosion

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/gaza-hospital-misinformation-israel-hamas_n_65301c34e4b00565b62290cc/amp

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@notTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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Episode 263: Biden’s Middle-East Diplomacy Put to the Test

Wed, 18 Oct 2023 15:15:18 GMT

Episode 263: Biden’s Middle-East Diplomacy Put to the Test

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss President Biden’s visit to Israel. The group also assesses Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s “shuttle-diplomacy,” laying the groundwork for President Biden’s visit, and just how important this visit is for the administration’s Middle-East policy goals.

What will President Biden be able to accomplish with his visit? Will other Middle-Eastern countries be receptive to Biden’s diplomatic efforts? How do we grade Biden’s efforts thus far?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/10/17/israel-hamas-war-news-gaza/

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/israel-hamas-war-gaza-palestinians

https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/3-things-us-must-israel-against-terrorist-hamas

https://www.wsj.com/articles/appeasing-iran-has-failed-biden-israel-hamas-e86e249c

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermusnon

@morganlroach

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Episode 262: Israel-Hamas War: What's Next?

Mon, 16 Oct 2023 15:01:41 GMT

Episode 262: Israel-Hamas War: What’s Next?

Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the Israel-Hamas war heating up as the Israeli Defense Forces gear up for a potential ground invasion of Gaza. Estimates of civilian casualties are in the thousands. All the while, Hezbollah threatens Israel from the north, and two U.S. carrier strike groups have been moved to the east-Mediterranean to deter Hezbollah and Iran from widening the conflict.

What happens to Gaza once the Israeli invasion is completed? What does Israel need to do to prevent other actors from inserting themselves into the conflict? What is the US’ role in all of this?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/14/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-invasion.html

https://abcnews.go.com/International/exclusive-us-send-2nd-aircraft-carrier-eastern-mediterranean/story?id=103984246

https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3551962/senior-defense-official-holds-a-background-briefing-on-us-force-posture-changes/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@notTVJessJones

@lestermusnon

@morganlroach

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Episode 261: Spooky, Suspicious, and… Russian Sabotage?

Fri, 13 Oct 2023 14:35:53 GMT

Today, Jessica, Morgan, and Andy discuss the recent suspicious damage to a Finnish gas pipeline and telecommunications cable, both of which run under the Baltic Sea. On Thursday, Finland's intelligence services said that a “state actor” could be responsible for the pipeline damage but didn't speculate on who might be involved.

Is Putin responsible for the possible sabotage of the undersea pipeline and cable? What do we think NATO’s response will be, if any, if it is confirmed Russia was involved? How does this story relate to Turkey and Hungary stalling Sweden’s accession to NATO?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.politico.eu/article/finland-gas-pipeline-damage-state-actor-balticconnector-antti-pelttari/

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/finland-cant-rule-out-state-actor-involvement-pipeline-damage-intelligence-chief-2023-10-12/

https://apnews.com/article/finland-russia-nato-intelligence-ukraine-6605170fd8c06de7ad212d47676f4fa8

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@notTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@AndyKeiser

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Episode 260: Iran's Role in the Israel-Hamas War

Wed, 11 Oct 2023 15:35:35 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, NSI Senior Fellow Andy Keiser, and NSI Fellow Martha Miller discuss the latest on the Israel-Hamas war, as well as Iran's role in the conflict.

How should the U.S. provide assistance to Israel? Should Congress combine aid to Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan? How have Russia and Iran colluded to increase their sphere of influence?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/biden-walks-fine-line-in-israel-conflict-916774e2

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/10/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-war-hamas-deaths-killings.html

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@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@AndyKeiser

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Episode 259: Beginnings of the Israel-Hamas War

Mon, 09 Oct 2023 15:16:20 GMT

Today, Morgan, Les, NSI Senior Fellow Andrew Borene, and NSI Fellow Martha Miller discuss recent developments on the Hamas attack on Israel.

Will Congress begin funding for Israel when aid to Ukraine has been stalled? Did President Biden's desperation for an Iran nuclear deal influence this attack? What are the next steps for the United States?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-gaza-hamas-rockets-airstrikes-tel-aviv-11fb98655c256d54ecb5329284fc37d2

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/live-blog/rcna119435

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@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@marthamillerdc

@AndrewBorene

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Episode 258: McCarthy's Historic Oust

Fri, 06 Oct 2023 15:02:31 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss former speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy's removal and what this means for Congress and the U.S. moving forward, in particular, for future U.S. support for Ukraine.

Who will be the next speaker of the House? Should world leaders be worried or is this just U.S. politics? Has the Biden Administration been doing enough to garner public support for Ukraine?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/05/us/politics/speaker-mccarthy-biden-democracy.html

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4239184-house-speaker-turmoil-imperils-future-ukraine-funding/

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 257: U.S. Prescribes a Fentanyl Intervention

Wed, 04 Oct 2023 15:43:18 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss China and Mexico's role in the American fentanyl epidemic and how to stop it.

How big is the fentanyl problem? Is the U.S. government doing enough to combat this issue? Is this a border problem or a China-accountability problem?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/c9ee14f171f1fcbd4db3452cd0bd1d90

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-eight-indictments-against-china-based-chemical-manufacturing

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 256: Poland Heads to the Polls

Mon, 02 Oct 2023 15:06:23 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the upcoming elections in Poland and recent anti-government demonstrations.

Are U.S. policymakers and the Biden administration recognizing the importance of this election? Do these demonstrations send a larger message to the EU? Is this problematic for NATO?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/01/world/europe/poland-antigovernment-march-election.html

https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/23/europe/poland-ukraine-europe-relations-putin-intl/index.html

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 255: African Stability Flies the Coup

Fri, 29 Sep 2023 15:13:01 GMT

Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss France's exit from Niger, recent coups in the Sahel, and the Wagner Group's presence in the region.

Does France's exit provide an opportunity for the U.S. to step in and provide support? Should we be rethinking our institutional approach to Africa? How should the U.S. respond to the Wagner group?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.politico.eu/article/france-niger-military-army-withdrawal-west-africa-sahel-colonies-burkina-faso-mali/

https://thehill.com/policy/international/africa/4226347-aid-to-gabon-suspended-after-military-takeover/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 254: Choppy Waters in the South China Sea

Wed, 27 Sep 2023 14:47:40 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the disputed South China Sea, where the Philippines has recently removed a floating barrier that China had installed to prevent Philippine fishing boats from using the area.

How should the U.S. best defend our interests and those of our allies in the South China Sea? Will a greater U.S. presence provoke conflict? Should the U.S. be looking more regionally?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-66913554

https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/chinas-ten-dash-line/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 253: Haiti Revisited: Blinken Pledges to Help UN Peacekeeping Mission

Mon, 25 Sep 2023 15:51:44 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the U.S.’ pledge to assist a UN peacekeeping mission in Haiti that aims to counter gang violence and provide humanitarian relief with Kenya’s leadership.

Is this mission a good idea? Why should the U.S. get involved? How will the U.S. maintain oversight on this UN peacekeeping mission?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/us-pledges-new-aid-haiti-urges-un-authorize-security-mission-2023-09-22/#:~:text=NEW%20YORK%2C%20Sept%2022%20(Reuters,country%20fight%20crippling%20gang%20violence

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/9/22/us-says-haiti-security-mission-could-deploy-in-months-urges-support

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 252: Biden's Not-So-Secret Iran Nuclear Deal

Fri, 22 Sep 2023 15:57:40 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the recent Iran-U.S. prisoner swap and the 'mutual agreement' between the two nations.

Is this secretly a new Iran nuclear deal? Does this put the Biden Administration in legal trouble? Is this agreement good for U.S. foreign policy without Congressional oversight?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-prisoner-swap-gives-tehran-6-billion-how-will-it-be-spent-2109d440?page=1

https://thehill.com/policy/international/4215594-saudi-crown-prince-on-iran-acquiring-nuclear-weapons-if-they-get-one-we-have-to-get-one/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 251: Sikh and Destroy: Canada Calls Out India Over Assassination

Wed, 20 Sep 2023 15:17:09 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss the recent assassination of Canadian citizen and Sikh leader Hardeep Singh Nijjar, Trudeau's allegations, and India's response.

How does America's strategic competition with China impact its relationship with India after these allegations? How will the United States balance these interests with its relationship with Canada?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/18/americas/canada-hardeep-singh-nijjar-india-intl/index.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/09/19/india-expels-canada-diplomat-sikh-assassination/

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@jamil_n_jaffer @NotTVJessJones @morganlroach

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Episode 250: UNGA in the Big Apple

Mon, 18 Sep 2023 17:51:03 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les get together in-person (!) to discuss the upcoming United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in New York City.

What tensions are likely to arise at UNGA? Should the Biden administration be concerned about France and the UK's absences? Can the U.S. use UNGA as a platform to promote multilateralism?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/world-leaders-meet-un-big-powers-vie-developing-states-2023-09-15/

https://www.justsecurity.org/88126/the-themes-and-tensions-to-watch-at-this-years-un-general-assembly-meetings/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer @NotTVJessJones @morganlroach @lestermunson

Check out a video of today's episode here:

https://youtu.be/fvZ94ON2XYo

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Episode 249: Breaking Barriers: DOD & the AI Revolution

Wed, 13 Sep 2023 15:34:17 GMT

In this episode, join NSI’s Jamil Jaffer and the Department of Defense’s Jennifer Hay, Director of the Defense Digital Service in the Chief Data and Artificial Intelligence Office of the DOD, and Visiting Fellow at NSI, to discuss how the DOD is grappling with the AI revolution.

How have the DOD and NSC’s perceptions of AI changed over time? How does the DOD think about trust, safety, and security in regards to big data and AI? Where is the DOD at on AI policy?

Thanks for joining Fault Lines and our team of experts for our Summer of AI series, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!

Tune in next Monday, September 18, for the return of our regular Fault Lines programming.

Learn more about Ms. Jennifer Hay here:

https://www.linkedin.com/in/jkhay/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

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Wed, 16 Aug 2023 15:53:55 GMT

In this episode, Lester and Dr. Charles Clancy, SVP and Chief Futurist of MITRE, as well as head of MITRE Labs, discuss the ideal regulatory framework for AI, what Congress should be doing to enforce AI regulation, and how AI is being used to enhance cybersecurity capabilities.

How can we balance the regulatory side and innovation side of AI at both the federal level and state level? What has been AI’s impact in cyber warfare? How can we close the workforce gaps in AI and cybersecurity?

Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!

Learn more about MITRE’s work on AI regulation below:

https://www.mitre.org/news-insights/publication/sensible-regulatory-framework-ai-security

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Wed, 19 Jul 2023 15:19:21 GMT

Today, for our special summer series, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution, Les is joined by deepfake technology expert Professor Hany Farid, who teaches at the University of California, Berkeley. Les and Professor Farid discuss the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence images, the possibility of multilateral regulation, and the need for social media companies to work cooperatively to flag AI-generated content.

Where does the liability fall when using other people’s images and likeness without permission? How has deepfake technology advanced so rapidly? How concerned should the U.S. be with the tech competition with China?

Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out Professor Hany Farid’s website: https://www.ischool.berkeley.edu/people/hany-farid

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@lestermunson

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Episode 240: Breaking Barriers: Exploring the Basics and Benefits of AI Part II

Fri, 14 Jul 2023 15:48:43 GMT

Today on, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution, is part II of Jamil's conversation with Dr. Stephen Wolfram, founder of Mathematica and Wolfram Research and all-around AI expert on the complexities of AI and potential regulation. Dr. Wolfram talks about AI free will, the moral complexities of AI’s decision making, and how AI can streamline supply chains.

Should we be worried about AI developing its own free will? How much decision-making power can we leave to AI on its own, if any? How would the government begin to regulate AI?

Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out Dr. Stephen Wolfram’s website: https://www.stephenwolfram.com/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@stephen_wolfram

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Episode 239: Breaking Barriers: Exploring the Basics and The Benefits of AI

Wed, 12 Jul 2023 15:38:09 GMT

Today, to kick off our special summer series, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution, Jamil is joined by Dr. Stephen Wolfram, founder of Mathematica and Wolfram Research, creator of the Wolfram Language, author of, What is Chat GPT Doing… and Why Does it Work?, and all-around AI expert to dissect the complexities of artificial intelligence. Dr. Wolfram explains the origins of AI, how computational systems operate, and the ways that large language models are able to generate lively essays.

Are computers able to learn? How does AI generate human-like essays? What is the difference between computational systems and the human brain?

Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out Dr. Stephen Wolfram’s website: https://www.stephenwolfram.com/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@stephen_wolfram

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Episode 238: Beijing’s Exploits South of the River

Fri, 30 Jun 2023 15:36:13 GMT

Today, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss China’s growing influence in Latin America after Guatemalan Presidential candidate Bernardo Arevalo advocated for expanding relations with China. This statement, combined with Brazil considering substituting the dollar for the yen and Honduras revoking its recognition of Taiwan, shows that states in the global south are trending away from the US

What should the US do to counter China’s growing influence? Following the Chinese spy base in Cuba, does the Biden Administration need to enforce red lines in the region? Has the U.S. devoted enough military and economic resources to Latin America? How can the U.S. be a better neighbor?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Watch our experts debate on YouTube here!: https://youtu.be/eGpee0fLkK0

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/surprise-guatemalan-presidential-contender-pitches-closer-china-ties-2023-06-27/

https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/economic-displacement-chinas-growing-influence-latin-america

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@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@morganlroach

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Episode 237: All Wagner, All the Time

Wed, 28 Jun 2023 15:41:15 GMT

Episode 237: All Wagner, All the Time

Today, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss the future of the Wagner group in Africa after Wagner Group leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, attempted a coup in Russia over the weekend. Libya, Sudan, Mali, and the Central African Republic, all rely on Wagner forces to fight back insurgents. With few alternatives to protect governments in these countries, an absence of the Wagner group would be destabilizing.

What is the future of the Wagner group? Will the Wagner Group go on hiatus? How dependent are African leaders on Wagner forces? Should the US take this opportunity to provide security and defense to African governments?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Watch our experts debate on Youtube here!: https://youtu.be/Y9tmAhb5Org

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/us-asks-whats-next-russias-wagner-middle-east-africa-2023-06-27/

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-66023041

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@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@morganlroach

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Episode 236: Russia, Russia, Russia!

Mon, 26 Jun 2023 15:25:10 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the Wagner Group’s uprising in Russia over the weekend. Wagner group leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, ordered the mercenary troops to march towards Moscow on Saturday before Belarusian leader, Aleksandr Lukashenko stepped in to negotiate a diplomatic end to the mutiny.

Who could succeed Putin if he were to fall from power? How should Ukraine leverage this moment of weakness in Russia to enhance their counteroffensive? And has Chinese President, Xi Jinping, refrained from sending weapons to Russia because he lacks confidence in Russia?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

You can now watch our experts debate on YouTube here!: https://youtu.be/CQRRxap3Hk4

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.npr.org/2023/06/25/1184237150/russia-wagner-putin-whats-next-explained-prigozhin

https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-wagner-prigozhin-belarus-deal-6782455ddc4234816bfb2d7d388d8a9a

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 235: Modi Comes to Dinner

Fri, 23 Jun 2023 15:54:26 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit and Thursday night’s state dinner at the White House. President Biden and PM Modi reached several strategic cooperation and defense agreements during PM Modi’s visit. Both India and the U.S. share China as a pressing security threat, so a strong partnership in the region could be indispensable to both moving forward.

What does the Fault Lines crew think of this budding relationship? Is it the “partnership of the century,” as stated by Modi? Given India’s partnerships with Russia and as leader of the nonaligned movement, can the U.S. count on India to be a good ally?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

You can also watch our experts debate these issues on YouTube! Click below:

https://youtu.be/I7aylgORkyA

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-modi-strengthen-ties-with-defense-trade-agreements-2023-06-22/

https://apnews.com/article/biden-modi-india-state-visit-human-rights-5e4bc32e679ad6bae7225a28f7f6334d

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

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Episode 234: Tony’s China Conundrum

Wed, 21 Jun 2023 20:24:56 GMT

Today, Jess, Jamil, Les, and our now official co-host Morgan Viña discuss Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s long-awaited meeting with President Xi in China. Secretary Blinken’s visit comes at a time when the U.S.-China relationship has been strained due to China’s support of Russia, the deployment of spy balloons, and repeated provocations in the South China Sea.

What score does the Fault Lines crew give Secretary Blinken on his China visit? Was Blinken’s visit timely? How, and will, the Biden Administration address tensions with President Xi?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/key-takeaways-antony-blinken-china-xi-jinping/

https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/18/china/blinken-china-visit-wang-yi-meeting-intl-hnk/index.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@morganlroach

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Episode 233: China & the Palestinian Authority: An Alliance of Convenience, Necessity, or Boredom?

Fri, 16 Jun 2023 15:47:22 GMT

Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan, discuss China’s strategic cooperation agreement with the Palestinian Authority. China has forged a number of strategic relationships in the Middle East, including Saudi Arabia, Iran, the UAE, and now, the Palestinian Authority. In light of China’s strategic efforts in the this region, some worry, the U.S. is too focused on China, leaving behind its leadership role in the other parts of the globe.

Should the U.S. be alarmed by this strategic cooperation agreement? Is China doing this as a reaction to the U.S.-Israeli relationship? Is the U.S. capable of walking and chewing gum in its foreign policy, in other words, can the U.S. be a leader in both Asia and the Middle East?

Tune in to find out what our experts think!

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/china-palestinian-authority-establish-strategic-partnership-chinas-xi-2023-06-14/

https://www.timesofisrael.com/china-signs-strategic-partnership-with-palestinian-authority-during-abbas-visit/amp/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 232: UNESC...nO: Does the U.S. Need a Seat at the Table?

Wed, 14 Jun 2023 16:06:23 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan, debate the Biden Administration’s decision to rejoin UNESCO. There have been concerns for a decade over mismanagement. This prompted the U.S. to leave under the Trump Administration. The Biden Administration recently announced that the U.S. will return to UNESCO as well as pay $600 million in back dues.

Is the $600 million of taxpayer dollars in back dues worth the benefits we receive from the organization? Is membership to UNESCO like a participation trophy and should everyone get one? Does China’s expanding influence in UNESCO warrant this action? Tune in to find out what our experts think!

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/12/china-concerns-prompt-us-move-to-rejoin-unesco

https://thehill.com/opinion/international/3978238-to-compete-with-china-the-us-must-embrace-multilateral-diplomacy/

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 231: We Will Always Have Havana

Mon, 12 Jun 2023 15:44:03 GMT

Today, for a Fault Lines first, there are four incredible hosts! Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the Biden Administration’s handling of the Chinese spy base in Cuba. While the Administration initially denied the reports from the Wall Street Journal it has now come full circle to acknowledge the existence of Chinese spy bases around the world.

What letter grade should the Biden Administration received in its handling of this situation? What message does this flip flopping send domestically and internationally? Should Secretary of State Antony Blinken proceed with his trip to China? Bonus question, which Fault Lines host is celebrating their birthday, today? Tune in to find out!

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://nypost.com/2023/06/11/biden-admin-confirms-china-has-had-a-spy-base-in-cuba-since-at-least-2019/

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/10/us/politics/china-spy-base-cuba.html?searchResultPosition=1

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

@morganlroach

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Episode 230: LIV, Laugh, Love

Fri, 09 Jun 2023 15:52:04 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow, Morgan Vina, discuss the shocking merger between the PGA Tour and LIV Golf, which is backed by a Saudi wealth fund. The PGA tour has recently faced backlash, including a possible DOJ antitrust investigation, following this deal. Some argue this merger is a key step in Mohammed bin Salman’s Vision 2023 plan to create a “vibrant society.”

What does the Fault Lines crew think of this merger? Is it sportswashing or part of Saudi’s Vision 2030? Why is the U.S. turning towards Saudi and rebuilding relations? And most importantly, is golf a real sport?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/sports/golf/liv-golf-pga-tour-saudi-arabia-merger-a383b00?mod=hp_lead_pos9

https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/08/09/liv-tour-saudi-golf-china-soft-power-battle-for-soul-of-golf/

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 229: Alien Pilots: The Truth is Out There

Wed, 07 Jun 2023 17:42:48 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Air Force veteran and former member of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, David Grusch’s claims of the US government secretly recovering alien spacecraft accompanied by “pilot” remains for decades as part of a top-secret UFO retrieval program.

What does the Fault Lines crew think of the possibility of UAPs (Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena)? How credible are David Grusch’s claims? Are there alien life forms surveilling Earth?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/06/ex-intel-official-government-hiding-alien-tech.html

https://thedebrief.org/intelligence-officials-say-u-s-has-retrieved-non-human-craft/

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@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 228: Top Gun China Policy

Mon, 05 Jun 2023 15:50:53 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss rising tensions between the U.S. and China due to recent encounters between Chinese and US aircraft over the SCS, and in the Taiwan Strait between a US destroyer and a Canadian ship that were intercepted by a Chinese destroyer. Furthermore, at the Shangri-La dialogue over the weekend in Singapore, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin shook hands with Chinese Defense Minister, Li Shangfu, but they did not have a meeting.

What does the Fault Lines crew think of the “new” tension between Washington and Beijing? Is there hypocrisy in China’s surveillance criticisms? Should we redefine China as an adversary as opposed to a competitor?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/06/05/china-ship-us-destroyer-taiwan-strait/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-30/us-accuses-china-of-aggressive-encounter-over-south-china-sea

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 227: Hey Siri: Is AI Taking Over?

Fri, 02 Jun 2023 15:48:15 GMT

Today, Jamil, Jess, and NSI Senior Fellow Andy Keiser discuss the dangers and benefits of AI in a national security context and questions whether government regulation is needed. This conversation was prompted after a joint statement where AI experts concluded that “artificial intelligence may lead to human extinction and reducing the risks associated with the technology should be a global priority.”

Should (and will) the U.S. government take action to limit the proliferation of U.S.- or allied-developed algorithms? Could early and overly prescriptive regulation limit the massive potential benefits that the rapid development of AI capabilities could provide?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/25/technology/microsoft-ai-rules-regulation.html

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/05/31/ai-poses-human-extinction-risk-sam-altman-and-other-tech-leaders-warn.html

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@andykeiser

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 226: Uganda Loses Its Mind

Wed, 31 May 2023 15:50:22 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Uganda’s passage of one of the world's toughest anti-gay laws that calls for life imprisonment for anyone convicted of homosexuality. The legislation received widespread condemnation from many Western governments and human rights activists.

How should the international community push back? Should the US cut off aid to Uganda? If not, what can be done to influence Uganda’s - and potentially other countries' similar - laws?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.npr.org/2023/05/29/1178718092/uganda-anti-gay-law

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ugandas-museveni-approves-anti-gay-law-parliament-speaker-says-2023-05-29/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 225: China Attempts Guam Tip-Over

Fri, 26 May 2023 15:34:00 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss this week’s announcement by Microsoft and the U.S. government that they detected a Chinese cyber hack by hacking group, Volt Typhoon, directed at critical infrastructure systems, including telecommunications gear, located in Guam and elsewhere in the United States.

Is China hacking Guam a prelude to a Taiwan invasion? Should the U.S. ramp up its response against China? Is the U.S. prepared to deter enemy action in the cyber domain?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/24/us/politics/china-guam-malware-cyber-microsoft.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/05/24/china-hack-guam-taiwan/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 224: Let’s Make A Deal: Saudi Edition

Wed, 24 May 2023 19:05:19 GMT

Episode 224: Let’s Make A Deal: Saudi Edition

Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow, Morgan Vina, discuss NSA Jake Sullivan’s meeting with Saudi Crown Prince MBS last week to discuss, among many things, about the possibility of Saudi-Israeli normalization. MBS does not want to take any more incremental steps toward warming relations with Israel, but instead, wants to work towards US deliverables like advanced weapons systems and US-Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement.

What does the Fault Lines crew think of Saudi’s requests? Would US cooperation on a nuclear program be a good development for the region? Are MBS’s requests worth the normalization of relations from a U.S. perspective?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.axios.com/2023/05/08/saudi-arabia-israel-normalization-netanyahu-sullivan-biden

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/11/us/politics/biden-saudi-arabia-oil-production-cut.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

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Episode 223: Gaga at G7

Mon, 22 May 2023 16:15:49 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow, Morgan Vina, discuss the G7 Summit in Hiroshima, Japan last week. During the meeting, the Biden Administration agreed to not oppose the transfer of F-16 aircraft to Ukraine and to help train Ukrainian pilots. President Biden also called for “de-risking” the US-China economic relationship rather than “de-coupling” the world’s two biggest economies.

What does the Fault Lines crew think of Biden’s timing and stance on F-16s for Ukraine? Is the semantics surrounding “de-risking” vs. “de-coupling” significant? How productive was the G7 Summit?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/05/21/russia-ukraine-war-news/

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/20/world/decoupling-china-de-risking.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

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Episode 222: Harvard in Bangkok?

Fri, 19 May 2023 15:47:38 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss how the progressive Move Forward Party in Thailand, led by 42-year-old Harvard-and-MIT-educated business executive Pita Limjaroenrat, gained over 150 seats in the lower house of Thailand’s bicameral parliament.

How will the political landscape of Thailand continue to change? How will Thailand balance its relationship with the U.S. and its willingness to also work with China? Should the U.S. be pushing back more aggressively against human rights violations and its military’s efforts to control politics?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.ft.com/content/16b1f836-3d66-43e9-a9f6-1c2fc4ea0ed2

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/05/17/thailand-youth-election-military-protest-move-forward/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 221: The Khan Kerfuffle

Wed, 17 May 2023 16:03:21 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Pakistan’s former Prime Minister Imran Khan’s arrest by almost 100 paramilitary forces on charges of corruption. The Pakistani Supreme Court subsequently declared Mr. Khan’s arrest unlawful but said he should remain for now at a police guest house under court supervision. He was then granted bail and released from police custody.

Does the Fault Lines crew think a coup will emerge – as Pakistan has suffered four coups in its first fifty years of independence? If Pakistan's unsteady democracy is threatened, how should the West respond? What does this all mean for the Pakistan-China relationship?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/14/imran-khan-arrest-pakistan-military

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/03/20/pakistan-imran-khan-coup-china/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 220: Turkey Votes

Mon, 15 May 2023 15:46:57 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss yesterday’s vote in Turkey, which will result in a runoff vote on May 28 between President Erdogan and his chief rival, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, as neither candidate received over 50% of the vote. If Kilicdaroglu wins, which would end Erdogan’s 20-year rule, he indicated that he will seek better ties with the United States and the West.

Do we expect that bilateral relations will improve if Kilicdaroglu wins? If Erdogan prevails again, how should President Biden handle Turkey? How problematic is Turkey’s relationship with Russia and China?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/05/14/turkey-erdogan-election-opposition-kilicdaroglu/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/having-established-turkey-on-the-world-stage-erdogan-faces-risky-vote-at-home-fd0793d9?mod=hp_lead_pos8

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 219: South Africa Gets in Warm Water

Fri, 12 May 2023 15:19:08 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss yesterday’s announcement from the US Ambassador to South Africa, Reuben Brigety, that the South African government had provided arms and ammunition to Russia in its over a year-long war against Ukraine.

Should the White House be making this announcement instead of the U.S. Ambassador to South Africa? Why is the South African government supporting Russia? Should the U.S. government impose sanctions on South Africa?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/russia-weapons-arms-south-africa-e89bac38997f240655ddf5d892e44f85

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-65563027

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 218: The Biden Doctrine: Let’s Go Backwards Pt. 2

Wed, 10 May 2023 16:01:06 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil, in a Fault Lines-first, resume their debate from Monday about the Biden Doctrine that stemmed from a Fareed Zakaria’s Washington Post op-ed, which laid out concerns about NSA Jake Sullivan's ongoing statements that claim, in order to remain competitive with China and protect US national security and economic interests, the US Government needs to take a more active role in promoting and growing a handful of critical industries here in the US.

What are some concerns the Fault Lines crew has with Sullivan’s position? How can the US government ensure the strength of the US domestic chip supply?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/04/27/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-on-renewing-american-economic-leadership-at-the-brookings-institution/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/05/05/biden-doctrine-sullivan-protectionism-economy/?itid=sr_1

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 217: The Biden Doctrine: Let’s Go Backwards

Mon, 08 May 2023 15:48:53 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss an op-ed by Fareed Zakaria that appeared in the Washington Post this weekend. Zakaria dives into his concerns centered on the "Biden Doctrine," and the use of industrial policy to further U.S. government goals.

What does the Fault Lines crew think of the doctrine? Is America trying to emulate China’s economic model and if so, why? How can America both continue to innovate while making sure national security needs are being met?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/04/27/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-on-renewing-american-economic-leadership-at-the-brookings-institution/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/05/05/biden-doctrine-sullivan-protectionism-economy/?itid=sr_1

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 216: The Kremlin’s Dodged Drones

Fri, 05 May 2023 15:46:17 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow Morgan Viña discuss the alleged intercepted drone attacks that occurred over the Kremlin. Russia accused Ukraine of trying to assassinate President Putin, though Putin was not in the Kremlin at the time of the explosions, and Kyiv has denied any involvement. Yesterday, Russia blamed the U.S. for the attack on the Kremlin and said that Washington has “direct involvement” in the war in Ukraine.

What does the Fault Lines crew think of the explosions? Is Russia wise to publicize the attack? Do the attacks on the Kremlin help or hurt Russian morale?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/03/world/europe/russia-kremlin-drone-explosions.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-accuses-u-s-of-helping-kyiv-to-plan-kremlin-attack-ef2e2b05

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@lestermunson

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 215: Haiti Somehow Gets Worse

Wed, 03 May 2023 15:46:24 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow Morgan Viña discuss how a dozen gang members were lynched by ordinary Haitians who were fed up with the gangland violence that has engulfed their country. UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres has called for an international peacekeeping force, saying that the violence is comparable to countries in armed conflict.

Why is President Biden ignoring Haiti? Who should take the lead in forming an international peacekeeping force? Will the crisis in Haiti be exploited by a global adversary?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/haitian-residents-lynch-set-fire-suspected-gang-members-2023-04-24/

https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/25/americas/haiti-gang-suspects-attacked-intl-latam/index.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 214: Sudan Crisis: Americans Remain At Risk

Mon, 01 May 2023 15:45:53 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow Morgan Viña discuss how ten-thousand Americans citizens and green card holders—many of them dual-U.S. and Sudanese nationals—are currently stuck in the middle of Sudan’s growing civil war with limited routes for escape.

What should the U.S. government be doing now about Americans still stranded in Sudan? Why have the Europeans and international orgs, like the U.N., been more effective than the U.S. at getting their people out? How will this growing civil war play out?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/sudan-americans-biden-white-house-evacuation-993ef30bf43320023dc7d8d5ee202bcf

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/armed-us-drones-escort-evacuation-american-citizens-war-torn-sudan-rcna82130

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@morganlroach

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 213: Is Nuclear Diplomacy as Easy as American Pie? 🥧

Fri, 28 Apr 2023 16:17:16 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss this week’s meeting between President Biden and South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, during which President Biden promised to include South Korea more substantially in strategic planning in the event of a nuclear conflict with North Korea.

What are the consequences of abandoning the notion of a “denuclearized” Korean peninsula? How much of this announcement was about China? How will the regime in Pyongyang respond?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/26/us/politics/biden-korea-nuclear-weapons.html

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2023/04/26/biden-south-korea-president-nuclear-deterrence/11705727002/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 212: Hanging Chad

Wed, 26 Apr 2023 15:36:14 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss reports stemming from recent intelligence leaks which point to the threats Chad, an important security partner to the U.S., is facing. Documents describe efforts by Russia’s Wagner Group to recruit rebels from Chad and establish a training site for fighters in the neighboring Central African Republic as part of an evolving plot to topple the Chadian government.

How widespread and dangerous is the Wagner Group’s presence on the African continent? How can the U.S. counter Wagner activity on the African continent? Does the Fault Lines crew foresee strikes on Wagner?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/04/23/wagner-russia-africa-leaked-documents/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-intelligence-points-to-wagner-plot-against-key-western-ally-in-africa-29867547

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 211: Let’s Go to Syria

Mon, 24 Apr 2023 15:48:34 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the Washington Post’s story that Ukraine was planning attacks against Russian forces in Syria. According to documents in the Jack Teixeira leak, Ukraine’s military intelligence agency was considering multiple ways to attack Russian forces in Syria, particularly focused on the Wagner Group, Russia’s mercenary company.

Is the Teixeira leak more damaging than we originally assessed? Could expanding the battlefield be beneficial to Ukraine? Should the Biden Administration be more concerned about information security?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/20/russia-ukraine-war-syria-attacks/

https://news.usni.org/2023/04/17/feds-investigating-former-sailor-behind-pro-russian-donbass-devushka-accounts

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Episode 210: Corruption and Collective Security

Fri, 21 Apr 2023 15:52:04 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg’s surprise visit to Kiev. During Secretary General Stoltenberg’s visit, he said, “Ukraine’s future is in NATO,” his strongest statement about the relationship between Ukraine and NATO since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began nearly 14 months ago.

What does the Fault Lines crew think will be Ukraine’s fate with NATO? Will the U.S. partake in a collective defense commitment for Ukraine? Should wartime support to Ukraine and NATO membership be kept separate?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/german-defence-minister-now-is-not-time-discuss-ukraine-nato-membership-2023-04-20/

https://www.newsweek.com/nato-should-beg-ukraine-join-russia-war-diplomat-1795075

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@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 209: The New Peace Club

Wed, 19 Apr 2023 15:57:10 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Brazilian President Lula’s recent visit to Beijing and Russian Minister Sergei Lavror's visit to Brazil, and the feather ruffling all of this has caused. When meeting with China’s Xi Jinping, Lula suggested that both Ukraine and Russia were responsible for the conflict, as well as called for China’s territorial integrity to be respected with regards to Taiwan.

What do we make of Brazil’s many diplomatic overtures? Is Brazil’s “peace club” actually going to increase its international standing? What should the U.S. do stop Lula from cozying up to China and Russia?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/brazil-russia-lula-lavrov-putin-42c7c46fa629d98b2029aa1ff44a89b6

https://www.reuters.com/world/china-brazil-reset-ties-with-tech-environment-accords-agree-ukraine-2023-04-14/

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@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 208: Civil War in Sudan?

Mon, 17 Apr 2023 15:45:32 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss violence that broke out in Sudan over the weekend. Forces loyal to Sudan’s military leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan are battling the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), commanded by Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo – who has also has ties to Russian military forces, including the Wagner Group.

Are there U.S. interests at stake? What should the U.S. response be? Should the U.S. be worried about Sudanese ties to China and Russia?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.npr.org/2023/04/16/1170289462/sudans-army-and-rsf-are-doing-battle-leaving-56-civilians-dead

https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/16/africa/sudan-military-clashes-explained-intl/index.html

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@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 207: Spying Amongst Friends

Fri, 14 Apr 2023 15:54:23 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the cache of leaked documents that revealed a range of highly classified information from the U.S. government, including that we spied extensively on our allies, including nations like South Korea and Israel.

Are world leaders surprised by intel found in the latest leaks? Should we continue or refrain from ally surveillance? How do we prevent more intel leaks in the future?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/south-korea-us-leaked-documents-yoon-biden-5d88d7c6624865ca5d5b361ed8ce0d26

https://time.com/6269905/us-pentagon-leaked-documents-south-korea/

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 206: Macron Unscripted

Wed, 12 Apr 2023 15:07:56 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss French President Emmanuel Macron’s visit to Beijing last week and the interview he gave to reporters during his flight home. In the interview, Macron emphasized the concept of European “strategic autonomy" and punted on the topic of Taiwan.

Does Macron speak for other European leaders? Did Macron just make Biden’s job of maintaining support to Ukraine harder? How happy did Macron's interview make the CCP?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/04/11/macron-taiwan-china/

https://www.politico.eu/article/china-skeptic-mps-emmanuel-macron-speak-europe/

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@lestermunson

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Episode 205: Classified Document Discord

Mon, 10 Apr 2023 15:52:28 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the treasure trove of classified documents from the U.S. Government that was first posted on the computer gamer site, “Discord,” and which has now been shared on other platforms, including Twitter, that contains sensitive information about the war in Ukraine, the internal deliberations of the Israeli intelligence service, the activities of the Wagner Group in Africa, and more.

Is there a pattern in these leaks of classified information? Was there a political motive in this case? What can the U.S. government do to reduce leaks?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-pushes-to-assess-damage-from-leaked-classified-files-464e64a4?mod=hp_lead_pos2

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/08/intelligence-leak-documents-ukraine-pentagon/

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 204: Chip Wars Heat Up in China

Fri, 07 Apr 2023 15:48:36 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the Chinese government’s recent announcement that it would conduct a “cybersecurity review” of Micron Technology, a leading U.S.-based memory chip maker, ostensibly to ensure that its computer infrastructure supply chain was protected against foreign threats.

How is this going to affect trade between China and the U.S.? Does the Fault Lines crew think this is a move by China to prove they can play the trade restrictions game? How far are the U.S. and China going to go in targeting each other's key industries and companies?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/04/business/micron-china-investigation.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/micron-gets-caught-in-u-s-china-crossfire-86f73a10

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 203: Saudi’s Broken Nuclear Light Switch

Wed, 05 Apr 2023 16:01:54 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Saudi Arabia’s continued push and look to the U.S. for help developing a nuclear energy program even as they resist U.S. conditions for support. However, while Saudi Arabia has been trying to renew talks with the U.S., Saudi officials are also exploring options to work with other countries, including China and Russia.

What does the Fault Lines crew think of Saudi Arabia’s nuclear ambitions? Do we believe that they have nuclear weapons ambitions? Do we think that Saudi Arabia will really turn to China to fulfill its nuclear ambitions if the U.S. doesn’t support?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/01/us/politics/saudi-arabia-nuclear-biden-administration.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/18/iran-has-an-obligation-to-give-up-its-nuclear-program-saudi-minister.html

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 202: AUMF: Repealing from the Middle East?

Mon, 03 Apr 2023 18:58:31 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the Senate’s recent vote to repeal two Authorizations for the Use of Military Force (AUMFs). One, from 1991, authorized the original Persian Gulf War to push Iraq out of Kuwait. The second, from 2002, authorized the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq over weapons of mass destruction that were never found.

Are either of the 1991 or 2002 AUMFs still necessary? Does this impact the President's ability to act? Does the vote represent a Congressional willingness for U.S. pullback from the Middle East?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iraq-war-aumf-senate-vote-repeal-authorization-for-use-of-military-force/

https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/29/politics/senate-vote-aumf/index.html

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 201: Nukes in Belarus: Return of The 80s?

Fri, 31 Mar 2023 15:52:16 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Russian President Vladimir Putin’s announcement that Russia would be placing tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus, a neighboring country and ally of Russia.

Is there anything the U.S. should do about the Russian deployment of nuclear weapons to Belarus? Will Putin’s nuclear weapons storage facility even come to fruition? Or is this another stunt by Putin to attempt to divide allies?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65077687

https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/25/world/russia-putin-nuclear-weapons-belarus-intl-hnk/index.html

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@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 200: The Week-long Bandaid

Wed, 29 Mar 2023 15:45:39 GMT

Today, on the 200th episode of Fault Lines, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Vice President Kamala Harris’s week-long tour of Africa – visiting Ghana, Tanzania, and Zambia. Harris is the highest-ranking Biden administration official to visit Africa so far.

What do we think African leaders make of VP Harris’s visit? Do African leaders think that they can remain neutral in the growing U.S.-China geopolitical divide? What can the U.S. do to strengthen ties on the continent?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/us-vice-president-harris-announce-139-mln-aid-ghana-2024-2023-03-27/

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-65062976

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 199: Fighting in Syria!

Mon, 27 Mar 2023 15:55:10 GMT

Today, Jess, Les, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and former Chief of Staff to the U.S. Ambassador at the UN, discuss the self-detonating drone that struck a U.S. facility in northeast Syria and killed an American military contractor, as well as injured five U.S. troops and a second contractor. In retaliation, U.S. F-15 fighter jets from al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar struck locations near Deir el-Zour, targeting the Iran-backed militias believed responsible for the attack.

Was the U.S. response to the attack by Iran-backed militias appropriate? Should the U.S. keep forces in Syria? How can the U.S. reach a higher level of deterrence to prevent these attacks?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/03/24/biden-iran-airstrikes-syria/

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/us-contractor-killed-service-members-wounded-suicide-drone-syria-rcna76453

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@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

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Episode 198: Doubling Down on No Limits

Fri, 24 Mar 2023 15:48:33 GMT

Today, Jess, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and former Chief of Staff to the U.S. Ambassador at the UN, discuss Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Moscow to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin. The autocratic leaders met to reaffirm and expand upon the key tenets of their “no limits” partnership.

What, if anything, can the U.S. do to break up this partnership? Should the Russia threat and China threat be viewed as one and the same? How will China’s and Russia’s increasing partnership impact the U.S. 2024 presidential election?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/22/europe/china-xi-russia-putin-talks-five-takeaways-intl-hnk-mic/index.html

https://www.npr.org/2023/03/22/1165066688/xi-jinping-putin-talks-china-russia-ukraine

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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Episode 197: Neighborly Election Meddling

Wed, 22 Mar 2023 15:51:44 GMT

Today, Jess is joined by special guest hosts NSI Fellow Morgan Viña and NSI Senior Fellow Andy Keiser to discuss the leaked reports from Canadian intelligence sources that detail alleged attempts by China to interfere in the last two federal Canadian elections.

Why should Americans care about election interference happening in our neighbor to the north? Will we see a hardening in Canada’s China policy? Does the Fault Lines crew think we’ll see Canada becoming more active in the national security arena?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/canada-shifts-on-china-to-build-credibility-with-allies-11672339249

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/03/06/china-canada-election-interference-trudeau-00085751

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@andykeiser

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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Episode 196: I(don’t)C Putin’s Arrest

Mon, 20 Mar 2023 15:53:08 GMT

Today, Jess is joined by special guest hosts NSI Fellow Morgan Viña and NSI Senior Fellow Andy Keiser to discuss how the International Criminal Court (ICC) issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin, alleging that the Kremlin is responsible for war crimes, including the unlawful deportation of children from Ukraine to Russia.

How do these ICC charges affect the Kremlin’s global movements? Will the ICC’s arrest warrants actually deter world leaders from interacting with a wanted man? Does the Fault Lines crew think that this is just a “PR move” from the ICC’s point of view?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64992727

https://apnews.com/article/icc-putin-war-crimes-ukraine-9857eb68d827340394960eccf0589253

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@NotTVJessJones

@morganlroach

@andykeiser

@jamil_n_jaffer

@lestermunson

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Episode 195: TikTok Don’t Stop?

Fri, 17 Mar 2023 15:49:14 GMT

Today, Jess, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss how the Biden Administration and Congress is tackling TikTok, the highly popular Chinese-owned social media app.

What are the national security concerns revolving around TikTok? Is the White House on the brink of banning the app? Does the one-third of the U.S. population using TikTok understand its risks?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/01/31/what-tiktok-ceo-will-face-when-he-testifies-congress/

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/16/senators-urge-cfius-to-wrap-up-tiktok-probe-with-strict-restrictions.html

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@jinsadc

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Episode 194: Dunkin' Drones

Wed, 15 Mar 2023 15:52:47 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the recent collision between two Russian fighter jets and a U.S. drone over the Black Sea on Tuesday, forcing the U.S. to bring the MQ-9 Reaper drone down in international water and intentionally ditch the drone in the ocean.

How should the U.S. respond to this incident? Should there be serious consequences for Russia causing damage to U.S. military equipment? Does the Fault Lines crew agree with Gov. Ron DeSantis’ recent comments about U.S. involvement in Ukraine?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/russian-jet-harasses-collides-us-reaper-drone-black-sea-rcna74910

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/14/us/politics/russia-us-drone-black-sea.html

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

@jinsadc

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Episode 193: China Brokers Peace!

Mon, 13 Mar 2023 15:50:41 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss China’s recent “diplomatic breakthrough” with Iran and Saudi Arabia. The two Middle Eastern, oil-producing nations will ostensibly resume diplomatic relations under an agreement facilitated by the Chinese Communist Party in Beijing.

Is it a good thing that China is brokering peace deals? Does the Fault Lines crew think China’s diplomatic efforts are likely to fail? What does this development say about the Biden administration’s approach to global challenges, particularly in the Middle East?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/11/us/politics/saudi-arabia-iran-china-biden.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-saudi-arabia-agree-resume-ties-re-open-embassies-iranian-state-media-2023-03-10/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

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@morganlroach

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Episode 192: Global Threats: What’s Real and What’s Not

Fri, 10 Mar 2023 16:46:29 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the release of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence’s 2023 Annual Threat Assessment (ATA), a yearly report that lays out what the IC thinks are the critical challenges facing our nation in the year ahead.

What are the major differences between the ODNI’s 2022 ATA and 2023 ATA? Does the ODNI’s ATA contain any surprises? Does the Fault Lines crew think the ODNI’s ATA report is too politicized?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ATA-2023-Unclassified-Report.pdf

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-worldwide-threats-hearing/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 191: Kidnapping Aftermath: A Militarized Mexico?

Wed, 08 Mar 2023 16:46:03 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the kidnapping and deaths of Americans who crossed the U.S./Mexico border on Friday and, who, within hours, were abducted by gunmen. Two of them were killed before the two others were rescued Tuesday.

Is a more militarized presence and a stricter travel advisory necessary in the aftermath of this kidnapping? Should cartels be labeled as terrorist organizations? How will this impact U.S./Mexico border relations moving forward?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/07/world/americas/americans-kidnapped-mexico.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/tamaulipas-governor-says-two-of-four-americans-kidnapped-in-matamoros-found-dead-e2bcce49

https://thehill.com/policy/international/3887479-graham-says-he-will-introduce-bill-to-set-the-stage-for-us-to-use-military-force-in-mexico/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-us-must-defeat-mexicos-drug-cartels-narco-terrorism-amlo-el-chapo-crenshaw-military-law-enforcement-b8fac731

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Episode 190: Havana Syndrome: More than Coincidence?

Mon, 06 Mar 2023 16:51:39 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Havana Syndrome, a mysterious ailment that has caused dizziness, headache, fatigue, nausea, anxiety, cognitive difficulties and memory loss among U.S. diplomats and intelligence officers. Last week, after a years-long assessment, a report from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence concluded that it is very ‘unlikely’ that people experiencing symptoms were targeted and sickened by a clandestine enemy.

How worried should American officials be of Havana Syndrome reports after the IC’s recent conclusions? Is the U.S. doing enough to investigate Havana Syndrome cases and provide support to those who suffer from it? Does the Fault Lines crew believe that all these reported cases are just coincidences?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://thehill.com/policy/national-security/3879732-us-intelligence-says-havana-syndrome-unlikely-caused-by-foreign-adversary/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/03/01/havana-syndrome-intelligence-report-weapon/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 189: North Korea Starves. Again.

Fri, 03 Mar 2023 16:46:25 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the current hunger crisis in North Korea. Reports indicate that over 40% of North Koreans are facing malnutrition and hunger, and North Korea has asked the World Food Program for help.

How should the United States respond to the hunger crisis in North Korea? Will North Korea allow more of the international community to help feed its people? What role does China and Russia's support of North Korea play in all this?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-korea-suffers-one-of-its-worst-food-crises-in-decades-ee25aa86

https://apnews.com/article/politics-kim-jong-un-south-korea-seoul-north-950fb682af3421c283870b30b5501560

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Episode 188: The House Tackles China

Wed, 01 Mar 2023 16:45:11 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the new House Select Committee on China’s first public hearing, which aired last night in prime time. This first hearing set the table for what is likely to be a year or two of Congressional focus on China and laid out the multitude of threats posed by the country.

How much should the U.S. prioritize the competition with China? How far should the U.S. go in decoupling economically from China? How can Congress get the American public to pay attention to the threats posed by the CCP?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-house-select-committee-hearing-tiktok-hr-mcmaster-matthew-pottinger/

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/bipartisan-china-committee-hold-first-hearing-tension-us-beijing-rcna72476

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Episode 187: A Deepening China-Russia Alliance

Mon, 27 Feb 2023 17:11:43 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss recent headlines about China's consideration of providing lethal military assistance to Russia - including statements from Secretary of State Antony Blinken and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. However, on Sunday, the U.S. made clear there is no evidence that China has already provided lethal aid.

How concerned is the Fault Lines crew that China may come to Russia’s aid? What will the Biden Administration do about China’s relationship with Russia? If China does provide weapons to Russia, what should the consequences be?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/russia-ukraine-war-china-artillery-ammunition-us-intelligence-rcna72353

https://www.wsj.com/articles/as-china-calls-for-peace-u-s-believes-beijing-is-mulling-artillery-and-drone-deliveries-to-moscow-aee2b62a

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Episode 186: New START of Arms Race?

Fri, 24 Feb 2023 16:49:26 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent announcement that Moscow would “suspend” its participation in the New START treaty, a nuclear nonproliferation agreement entered into in 2011 that puts limits on the number of intercontinental ballistic missiles and nuclear warheads deployed by the U.S. and Russia.

Is Putin playing nuclear games? Will Russia still abide by the the treaty’s limitations? Does the Fault Lines crew think the U.S. is headed towards another nuclear arms race?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/biden-says-putin-made-big-mistake-new-start-treaty-rcna71764

https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/21/politics/nuclear-weapons-new-start-treaty-what-matters/index.html

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 185: Wildlife vs. Oil

Wed, 22 Feb 2023 17:03:19 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the initiation of a $10 billion oil project in Uganda to build 10 well pads inside Uganda’s largest national park, which has become yet another flashpoint in the global battle against climate change.

What does the Fault Lines team think of Uganda being pressured to forgo its natural resources? How does the World Bank balance promoting economic growth and security in poor nations with environmental concerns? Should wealthy nations be paying developing countries for their ambitious climate goals?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/uganda-other-african-nations-push-for-fossil-fuel-projects-7dbcd006

https://apnews.com/article/politics-uganda-europe-climate-and-environment-business-cfc29315710d7aec764ede097ec6f0bf

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

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@morganlroach

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Episode 184: The Ukraine War Turns One Year Old

Mon, 20 Feb 2023 16:47:44 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss President Biden's surprise visit to Kyiv and the impending one-year anniversary of Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.

What is Fault Lines’ assessment of the war in Ukraine after a year? Is the Biden Administration doing all that it can do to support Ukraine? Will the current on-the-ground stalemate result in an ultimate Russian loss?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/20/politics/biden-ukraine-zelensky-visit-one-year-war-anniversary-intl-hnk/index.html

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-in-ukraine-russia-war-news-today-china-putin-lethal-aid-concern/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 183: Twin Quakes in Syria and Turkey Highlight Relief Challenges

Fri, 17 Feb 2023 16:52:52 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the recent devastating earthquakes in southern Turkey and northwestern Syria. The death toll continues to mount, with estimates now exceeding 44,000, along with hundreds of thousands facing displacement.

What should the United States, our allies, and the international community be doing to better address the growing crisis in the region? Are sanctions halting any progress in humanitarian aide? Will the Turkish and Syrian regimes be able to step in and provide aide for their people?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/politics-turkey-government-business-earthquakes-0f7d4fb77ea45c94b7b5ecd637a930c7

https://www.wsj.com/articles/earthquake-fallout-raises-political-stakes-in-turkeys-election-year-f921ae11

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@jamil_n_jaffer

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Episode 182: Putin’s Playbook Turns its Page to Moldova

Wed, 15 Feb 2023 17:28:37 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Moldovan President Maia Sandu’s recent accusations of Russia plotting to overthrow her country’s pro-Western government. Ms. Sandu’s remarks follow Ukrainian President Zelensky’s warnings last week that Ukrainian intelligence had intercepted “a detailed Russian plan” to destabilize Moldova.

How serious are Russian destabilization efforts in former Soviet governments? What – if any – impact does this development have on the Russia-Ukraine conflict? Does the Fault Lines crew think Moldova is the new “Ukraine” in terms of Western and NATO expansion?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/02/13/moldova-fears-it-might-fall-victim-to-a-russian-coup-plot

https://time.com/6255048/russia-moldova-plot/

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Episode 181: From Balloons to Arms Control?

Mon, 13 Feb 2023 16:52:10 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the recent collaboration of U.S. and Canadian military aircraft to shoot down four separate unidentified objects flying over North America over the past several days.

How aggressive should we be with unknown aircraft? When will the U.S. government identify where these aircraft are coming from and what their mission capabilities are? Do these shootdowns mean we are closer to war than we realize?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/02/12/spy-balloon-alaska-canada/

https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/12/politics/lake-huron-high-altitude-object/index.html

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Episode 180: DeathStar Link: Russian Bots Celebrate

Fri, 10 Feb 2023 16:53:44 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss SpaceX’s recent announcement that it will limit Ukraine's use of its Starlink satellite systems for "offensive" military operations. Starlink has provided critical communication capabilities to Ukraine since the Russian invasion began last February.

How will SpaceX’s decision affect the war on the ground? Will depriving Ukrainians of this capability be a massive set back? How involved should the private sector be in military efforts?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/09/ukraine-russia-war-starlink-drones-musk-spacex/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/09/starlink-restricts-internet-drones-ukraine/

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Episode 179: Russia-Iran: An Explosive Relationship

Wed, 08 Feb 2023 17:02:34 GMT

Today, Jess, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Senior Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the recent development that Moscow and Tehran are moving ahead with plans to build a new factory in Russia that could make at least 6,000 Iranian-designed drones for the war in Ukraine, the latest sign of deepening cooperation between the two nations.

How will the growing Iran-Russia relationship impact the current conflict in Ukraine and in future conflicts? Is this merely a relationship of convenience or a new “permanent” partnership? What influence will this relationship have on Middle East relations?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/iranian-drones-in-ukraine-project-tehrans-power-beyond-mideast-testing-u-s-europe-11666880851?mod=article_inline

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-30/russia-rejected-iran-s-400-missiles-request-amid-gulf-tension

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 178: The Balloon That Popped

Mon, 06 Feb 2023 16:47:57 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the famous Chinese spy balloon that entered the U.S. airspace over Idaho from Canada last week and was ultimately shot down by the U.S. Air Force over the Atlantic Ocean off the Carolina Coast this weekend.

Should the balloon have been shot down much earlier? Does the handling of the balloon reflect a credibility issue for this Administration? What does the Fault Lines crew think of the partisan squabbling over the balloon?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-64530102

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/05/world/asia/china-balloon-united-states.html

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@jamil_n_jaffer

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@lestermunson

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Episode 177: Middle East Tensions Boiling Over?

Fri, 03 Feb 2023 16:51:37 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discussed the recent increase in violent clashes and attacks across the Middle East, which included an Israeli counterterrorism operation in the West Bank, an attack on a synagogue in East Jerusalem, and a drone strike on an Iranian Defense Ministry factory in Isfahan.

What should the U.S. be doing in these instances of increased violence in the region? Is the U.S. being aggressive enough in its own counterterrorism operations? How should the U.S. prioritize its global security commitments?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/29/world/middleeast/iran-drone-strike-israel.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/justice-department/doj-charges-3-men-murder-hire-plot-journalist-critical-iran-rcna67863

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

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Episode 176: South Korea’s Security Jitters

Wed, 01 Feb 2023 16:50:34 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discussed Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin’s recent announcement made in South Korea that in response to a growing North Korean nuclear threat, the U.S. will increase its deployment of advanced weapons such as fighter jets and bombers to the Korean Peninsula and alongside our South Korean partners. However, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has said that South Korea might need nuclear weapons of its own.

What can the U.S. do to assure South Korea that the U.S. will come to their defense in case of conflict? Is the U.S. doing enough to counter North Korean aggression? Is a nuclear South Korea inevitable?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/us-increase-weapons-deployment-counter-north-korea-rcna68323

https://carnegieendowment.org/2023/01/25/dueling-nuclear-nightmares-behind-south-korean-president-s-alarming-comments-pub-88879

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 175: China Concerns

Mon, 30 Jan 2023 16:48:37 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Air Force General Michael Minihan’s recent memo he sent to forces under his command, which cited Xi Jinping’s third term as China’s supreme leader, an election in Taiwan in 2024, and our own American presidential election in late 2024 as possible stepping stones to a war between the U.S. and China in 2025, precipitated by a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

Is a Chinese attack on Taiwan – invasion, blockade, or some combination – likely in 2025? How should the U.S. prepare for this possibility? Are there any lessons we can learn from the Russian invasion of Ukraine ahead of such future aggression?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/01/29/china-conflict-mccaul/

https://www.reuters.com/world/us-four-star-general-warns-war-with-china-2025-2023-01-28/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 174: Protests in Peru: More than Machu Picchu

Fri, 27 Jan 2023 16:47:20 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the eruption of protests and violence caused by the Peruvian Congress' removal of President Pedro Castillo after he unsuccessfully tried to dissolve Congress and stage a so-called “bloodless coup.” Though the failed coup has been far from bloodless, with dozens of people killed and nearly 1,000 injured in clashes between Peruvian government forces and protestors.

What is the deeper significance of Peru’s political turmoil beyond the closure of Machu Picchu? What does Peru’s crisis tell us about democracy? What can and should the U.S. do to support Peru?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/peru-protests-what-is-behind-violence-2023-01-12/

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/22/briefing/peru-protests.html

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 173: Turkey Toppling NATO’s Future?

Wed, 25 Jan 2023 16:47:43 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Senior Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss Turkish President Erdogan’s recent statement that Sweden should not expect Turkey’s support for its NATO membership following tensions over anti-Islam protests in Stockholm over the weekend.

What does the Fault Lines team think of Finland and Sweden joining NATO? How should the U.S. balance its relationship with Turkey and its support of democratic states? Should Congress push hard on a conditions deal with Turkey, or should this be left in the hands of President Biden?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/01/13/turkey-f-16s-finland-sweden-nato/

https://www.nationalreview.com/2022/05/its-time-to-boot-turkey-from-nato/

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 172: Who’s at Home in Haiti?

Mon, 23 Jan 2023 16:49:26 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Senior Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the political turmoil and public health crises happening in Haiti. Haiti has zero elected representatives running the Haitian government, armed gangs are wreaking havoc on the population, and cholera is reemerging as a severe public health threat.

What are the real drivers of instability in Haiti? Should the United States and/or the international community intervene in the affairs of Haiti? Would an international peacekeeping force be successful in stabilizing the country or would it provoke even more violence?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/01/21/haiti-democracy-crisis/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/10/haiti-no-elected-officials-anarchy-failed-state

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 171: Is the U.S. Tanking on Ukraine Military Aid?

Fri, 20 Jan 2023 16:52:23 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s recent announcement that Britain would send Ukraine one dozen Challenger 2 main battle tanks. The move may pressure other allies, like the United States and Germany which have—at least thus far—refused to provide such high powered weaponry.

Should the U.S. ramp up its delivery of more substantive military capabilities? Has the U.S.’s $60 billion in military aid been enough? Do these announcements risk potential escalation with the Russians, or do they enhance deterrence?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-64274755

https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/18/politics/us-ukraine-tanks/index.html/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 170: China Changes?

Wed, 18 Jan 2023 16:30:39 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host NSI Senior Fellow and Senior Principal at Navigators Global Andy Keiser discuss the recent announcement that China’s population declined for the first time since 1961, when the country was wracked by famine as a direct result of horrendous economic planning. China also announced that its economy grew at only 3% last year, the lowest growth rate in history.

How will these deep changes to China’s population and economy affect the Chinese Communist Party’s national security policy? Can Xi Jinping stay in power when the economic success of the past four decades that has sustained the Communist Party is at risk? Should the United States change its estimation of China as a peer competitor?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-population-shrinks-first-time-since-1961-2023-01-17/

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/18/world/asia/china-population-shrinking.html

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@AndyKeiser

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Episode 169: Big Trouble in Big Brazil

Fri, 13 Jan 2023 16:51:30 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the recent storming and occupation of Brazilian government buildings in the capital of Brasilia by thousands of supporters of former president Jair Bolsonaro. The Brazilian insurrection immediately drew comparisons to the Jan. 6 storming of the U.S. Capitol two years ago.

Is there a connection between the violence in Brazil and what happened in the U.S. two years ago? What are the differences and similarities between Jan. 6 and the Brazilian insurrection? Should we even see Brazil through the lens of U.S. politics?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/08/world/americas/brazil-election-protests-bolsonaro.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/protesters-storm-brazils-congress-support-former-brazilian-president-j-rcna64816

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@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 168: The Diplomatic Race to Africa

Wed, 11 Jan 2023 16:55:37 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the China’s new Foreign Minister’s first international trip: a weeklong tour of countries across the African continent. The new foreign minister is following in the footsteps of his predecessors, who have for more than three decades started each year with a trip to Africa. This is big news as the U.S. is currently battling China for influence in Africa – among many other regions across the globe.

Does China view the continent differently than the U.S. does? Did China beat the U.S. to identify and take advantage of strategic opportunities in Africa? And are current U.S. initiatives and commitments enough to counter Chinese influence in the region?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://apnews.com/article/politics-china-africa-qin-gang-ethiopia-1132767663ac4a8f8951f07cba5a77de

https://www.politico.com//news/2022/12/12/biden-africa-summit-china-00073508

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 167: The Return of the MBS?

Mon, 09 Jan 2023 16:38:38 GMT

Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the Biden administration’s recent pivot away from retaliating against Saudi Arabia for oil-production cuts to focusing on increased regional security cooperation with Riyadh.

Does the Biden administration’s pivot put the U.S. in a better position with the Saudis? How do the Senate and House differ in their approach to Saudi Arabia? How can the U.S. improve relations with Saudi Arabia while balancing defense, energy, and human rights issues?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-saudi-tensions-ease-as-concerns-about-iran-grow-11672927633

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/gregory-gause-kingdom-and-power-us-saudi-relationship

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 166: 11 Degrees of Kevin McCarthy

Fri, 06 Jan 2023 16:55:06 GMT

Episode 166: 11 Degrees of Kevin McCarthy

Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the current deadlock in the House of Representatives that is preventing Rep. Kevin McCarthy from becoming Speaker. This is the first time in 164 years such a battle for leadership has played out in Congress.

How does this current House leadership battle affect national security? What should Kevin McCarthy’s next steps be, and will he be the next Speaker of the House? Is this a disaster, or is this democracy in action?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/speaker-deadlock-puts-house-gray-zone-national-security-issues-rcna64531

https://thehill.com/policy/international/3801194-state-dept-says-speaker-fight-likely-to-compound-national-security-concerns/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

@morganlroach

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Episode 165: The Taliban’s Ban on Women Working for NGOs

Wed, 04 Jan 2023 16:57:57 GMT

Fault Lines is back! Happy New Year!

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss a recent headline you may of missed during the Winter break. Following the Taliban’s ban of female students from attending universities, the ruling force in Afghanistan recently issued a ban on women working at NGOs in the country. With aid programs supporting more than 28 million people in Afghanistan, this extreme measure has caused outrage.

What should NGOs, the UN, and the U.S. do in response to these reactionary decisions? Should they cease NGO operations and humanitarian aid? Should their responses be different?

Hear our experts debate this issues and the potential U.S. response in our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/12/30/taliban-western-aid-misogyny-women-rights/?utm_source=PostUp&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Morning%20Brief%20OC&utm_term=63265&tpcc=Morning%20Brief%20OC

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/12/26/top-un-ngo-officials-to-meet-over-taliban-ban-on-women-staff

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Thu, 08 Dec 2022 16:31:44 GMT

Today, in our next "live from RNDF" series, NSI Deputy Executive Director Jessica Jones talks with former Under Secretary of State for Global Affairs, Ambassador Paula J. Dobriansky.

How does Amb. Dobriansky see the growing Russia-Chinese partnership impacting geopolitics in the future? How does she view current levels of U.S. support for Ukraine? What does she see being the biggest national security challenge of the upcoming year?

Find out Ambassador Dobriansky’s expert insights on these questions and many more on this latest episode of Fault Lines!

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 160: Reagan National Defense Forum Pt. 3 - Ellen Lord

Wed, 07 Dec 2022 16:30:06 GMT

Today, in the third installment of our special interview series recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, NSI Deputy Executive Director Jessica Jones talks with former Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment (A&S), Ellen Lord!

How does her former role as Secretary of Defense for A&S inform her view of national security and foreign policy challenges? What technologies will help diversify and strengthen the U.S. defense industrial base in the future? How can the DoD better leverage rapid innovation developments coming from industry?

Find out Ellen Lord’s expert insights on these questions and many more on this latest episode of Fault Lines!

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 159: Reagan National Defense Forum Pt. 2 - Dr. Nadia Schadlow

Tue, 06 Dec 2022 16:44:00 GMT

Today, in the second installment of our special interview series recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, NSI Deputy Executive Director Jessica Jones talks with former Deputy National Security Advisor for Strategy, Dr. Nadia Schadlow!

What is involved in creating a National Security Strategy (NSS)? How does the Biden Administration’s NSS compare and address the threats facing the U.S.? What are the national security challenges we are expecting to face in 2023?

Find out Dr. Schadlow’s expert insights on these questions and many more on this latest episode of Fault Lines!

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Wed, 23 Nov 2022 16:37:32 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the unfolding humanitarian crisis in Haiti. Violent gangs are sweeping the country of 11.54 million people and there are calls for a potential U.S. lead peacekeeping efforts.

Why does Haiti matter to U.S. national security? Should the U.S. let Canada take the lead in directing a multinational force to support the Haitian government? Can we expect different results if the U.S. intervenes compared to previous U.S. led operations in Haiti?

Hear our experts debate these issues and more in our latest Fault Lines!

Also a reminder, this is the last episode of Fault Lines for this week as the team takes a break to enjoy Thanksgiving. We hope you all do as well!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-63661118.amp

https://www.reuters.com/world/canada-says-worried-by-haiti-violence-sends-delegation-2022-10-27/

Follow our experts on Twitter:

@jamil_n_jaffer

@NotTVJessJones

@lestermunson

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Episode 153: Iran Goes After the Kurds

Mon, 21 Nov 2022 17:00:20 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the harrowing reports of the use of heavy weaponry by the Iranian government against protesters in the Iranian Kurdish city of Mahabad and the threats to other Kurdish areas in Iran.

What does this targeting of Kurdish populations mean and should it change how the U.S. is responding? Is it time for the U.S. to actively encourage regime change in Iran?

Hear our experts provide their analysis on our latest episode!

Also a reminder, Fault Lines will only be coming to you today and Wednesday this week as the team takes a break to enjoy Thanksgiving. We hope you all do as well!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/security-forces-intensify-crackdown-irans-kurdish-area-four-killed-rights-group-2022-11-20/

https://www.wsj.com/articles/irans-security-forces-crack-down-on-protest-movement-in-kurdish-region-11668950068

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Episode 152: North Korean Missiles

Fri, 18 Nov 2022 16:46:05 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss tensions on the Korean peninsula. In the last few weeks, we’ve seen a continuous increase in the rate of North Korean missile drills and rhetoric.

What should the U.S. do in response? Should the U.S. continue to press for a nuclear-free Korean peninsula? How does China play into U.S. policy vis-a-vis North Korea?

Hear our experts provide their analysis on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/16/asia/north-korea-ballistic-missile-intl-hnk/index.html

https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/north-korea-nuclear-weapons-missile-tests-military-capabilities

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Episode 151: Kerry, Maduro, and U.S. Policy Towards Venezuela

Wed, 16 Nov 2022 16:42:41 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss a moment that many may have missed at COP27 summit, and which has caused an uproar: photos of U.S. Climate Envoy and former Secretary of State John Kerry shaking hands with the disputed president of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro.

Does this interaction at COP indicate a change in U.S. policy towards Venezuela? Why does the contested Venezuelan presidential election from 3 years ago matter? Is Congress doing enough to steer U.S. relations with Venezuela vis-a-vis Maduro?

Hear our experts provide their analysis on our latest episode of Fault Lines!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-plans-to-ease-venezuela-sanctions-enabling-chevron-to-pump-oil-11665005719

https://www.npr.org/2022/11/03/1133615222/us-venezuela-diplomacy-oil-sanctions-negotiations

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Episode 150: Biden meets Xi

Mon, 14 Nov 2022 16:45:25 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss what may come out of the highly anticipated meeting occurring today between President Biden and General Secretary Xi Jinping of the Chinese Community Party at the G20 summit. Given Xi Jinping’s recent consolidation of power, how should President Biden approach the relationship with China? Is the Biden Administration missing any opportunities to change Chinese behavior?

Hear our experts debate a path forward for one of the most important bilateral relationships we have.

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-10/biden-to-meet-china-s-xi-nov-14-in-bid-to-buoy-strained-ties

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/11/11/brittney-griner-russia-sentence-penal-colony-00066419

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Episode 149: Brittney Griner

Fri, 11 Nov 2022 16:37:17 GMT

Today, Les, Jess and Jamil discuss the news that Brittney Griner has been transferred to a Russian penal colony, where she will serve the rest of nine-and-a-half-year sentence for processing less than a gram of cannabis oil in a vape cartridge.

Should the U.S. government do whatever it takes to bring her home? What role does the official U.S. hostage envoy have to play? If we don’t do anything, what message does this send to other U.S. citizens overseas currently being held against their will? Tune in to hear our experts discuss this multifaceted issue.

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/russia-moves-brittney-griner-to-penal-colony/

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/11/11/brittney-griner-russia-sentence-penal-colony-00066419

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Episode 148: Foreign Interference in America Elections – How Worried Should We Be?

Wed, 09 Nov 2022 16:40:00 GMT

Yesterday was Election Day in America. In this episode Les, Jess, and Jamil debate foreign interference in American elections. Earlier this week, powerful Russian businessman and close Putin ally, Yevgeny Prigozhin, admitted that Russia interfered in previous U.S. elections and that it will interfere in American elections going forward.

How concerned should Americans be about foreign interference in our elections? What should the U.S. reaction be to threats of election interference by foreign actors? Should we be doing more to secure our elections? Listen to hear our experts discuss!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/russias-prigozhin-admits-interfering-us-elections-2022-11-07/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/nov/07/putin-ally-yevgeny-prigozhin-admits-interfering-in-us-elections

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Episode 147: Olaf Scholz Goes to China

Mon, 07 Nov 2022 16:40:00 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s badly timed visit to Beijing. While it is no secret that Germany’s economy is heavily dependent on China, Chancellor Scholz has been the only G7 leader to make the trip to China since COVID-19. Critics argue that Chancellor Scholz’s visit ignores President Xi Jinping’s increasingly authoritarian tactics.

Is this visit indicative of a boarder German foreign policy shift towards China? How should the U.S. react when friends and allies “play footsies” with the Chinese? Is decoupling a viable option for Germany? Tune in to find out what our experts think!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/germanys-scholz-in-china-amid-trade-ukraine-rights-issues/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/11/03/olaf-scholz-china-trip-germany

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Episode 146: Grain Wars or Grain Wins?

Fri, 04 Nov 2022 15:51:29 GMT

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil debate what the U.S. response should be to Russia threatening to suspend support for grain exports through the Black Sea.

Luckily, with the help of Turkey and the UN, Russia decided to restart its participation in the Black Sea Grain Initiative (which allows for exports of food and fertilizer through the Black Sea). However, this raises the question of what the U.S. should do if Russia pulls out of this agreement and institutes a naval blockade. Should we engage with our military assets? Should we rely on diplomacy? Should we do nothing? Tune in to find out what our experts think!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/02/world/europe/ukraine-russia-grain-black-sea.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/11/02/grain-deal-ukraine-turkey-russia/

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Episode 145: Iranian Protests

Wed, 02 Nov 2022 16:40:15 GMT

Fault Lines is back!!

Join us for our second episode after our break with a regular cast of characters to get you quickly up to speed three-times-a-week on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America.

Citizens have been protesting across Iran for nearly seven weeks, defying a deadly crackdown by security forces.

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss these protests in light of the Iranian regime's increasingly strict crack down. Are these protests different than previous protests in Iran? Should the U.S. government be doing more? Are sanctions the answer? Should we be advocating for regime change in Iran? Tune in to find out!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-indicts-some-1000-people-tehran-over-unrest-tasnim-reports-2022-10-31/

To listen to President Obama’s full podcast as referenced go here:

https://crooked.com/podcast/between-barack-and-a-hard-place/

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Episode 144: COP27

Mon, 31 Oct 2022 16:01:18 GMT

Fault Lines is back and revamped!

Join us for our first episode in our new format, which gets you quickly up to speed three-times-a-week on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America.

Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil talk about the upcoming COP27 in Egypt. President Biden will be attending, and all eyes will be on Sharm El-Sheikh as this is the first major public interaction since President Xi Jinping’s power grab last week at the Chinese Communist Party's Congress. What is COP? Why is this something you should be tracking? Listen to find out!

Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-emissions-set-to-decline-but-global-pledges-fall-short-of-climate-goals-u-n-says-11666832112

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Breaking Chains: Series Finale - The Islamic Republic of Iran

Thu, 08 Sep 2022 22:43:39 GMT

This week, we take a deep dive into the Islamic Republic of Iran. What are Iran’s regional and internal ambitions? What is the political history of Iran and how does this explain its actions and intentions? Do human rights exist in Iran? Should the U.S. resurrect the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)?

Richard Goldberg is a Senior Advisor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD). Rich joins to answer and reflect on these questions. Rich has extensive experience on Iran and the boarder Middle East region from his time working on Capitol Hill as well as at the White House National Security Council.

This episode is the series finale of our summer series, “Breaking Chains: Fighting the New Global Repressors.” Thank you to those who joined us throughout the summer to dive into some of the most pressing human rights issues facing our world.

The Fault Lines team is taking a break in September but we look forward to more hard-hitting episodes - with a new look - in October! Until then!

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Special Episode: Afghanistan - One Year On

Wed, 31 Aug 2022 16:37:20 GMT

This week marks one year since the U.S. withdrew from Afghanistan following its two-decade commitment to fighting terrorism in the country. One year on, we have a country ruled by the Taliban, thousands of Americans and allies stranded within its borders, and a rapidly deteriorating economic, humanitarian and regional security situation on the ground. How many American people and allies are still left in Taliban-governed Afghanistan? What does the future of U.S. commitment look like in the country? How has our withdrawal impacted the U.S. role in the world and its order?

Today’s episode will feature France Hoang to help answer and reflect on these questions. France is the Chairman of the Board of Allied Airlift 21 and co-founder of the Afghanistan Departure Group (ADG). Both of these organizations were instrumental in assisting with the evacuation of Americans and our allies out of Afghanistan.

Want to learn more about Allied Airlift 21 and how you can help? Please check out their website here!

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Breaking Chains: North Korea – It’s All About Survival

Wed, 24 Aug 2022 14:55:31 GMT

This week, we discuss what life is like in North Korea for the average citizen and how the authoritarian government keeps order and control over the lives of ordinary North Koreans.

Do human rights even exist in North Korea? What motivates the North Korean government to perpetuate repression? What is the difference between operations and analysis at the Central Intelligence Agency, and what skills are they looking for in prospective intelligence analysts?

Yong Lee is the former CIA Deputy Assistant Director for the Korea Mission Center and former Chief of the Korea Department. Yong has extensive experience in Korean Peninsula affairs. We are thrilled he could join Fault Lines to shed light on the notoriously isolated country of North Korea.

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Breaking Chains: Democracy’s Role in Countering Authoritarianism

Wed, 17 Aug 2022 13:13:06 GMT

This week, we discuss what organizations like the International Republican Institute are doing to help curb the malicious actions of states who repress their people.

What are the roles of interests and values in the context of America's foreign policy? What can democratic countries do to counter authoritarian regimes? What is the role of the U.S. Congress in shaping foreign policy, and how this arrangement uniquely American?

Dr. Daniel Twining is President of the International Republican Institute. Previously, Dr. Twining directed the German Marshall Fund’s Asia program, was a member of the Secretary of State’s Policy Planning Staff and served as a foreign policy advisor to the late U.S. Senator John McCain. We are thrilled to have him join to answer these questions!

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Breaking Chains: How the United States Tackles Religious Persecution Abroad

Wed, 10 Aug 2022 15:15:32 GMT

This week, we take a deep dive into the “hot spots” in the world for religious persecution including Nigeria, Burma and Saudi Arabia.

Ambassador Samuel Brownback served as the Ambassador-at-large for International Religious Freedom at the U.S. State Department under the Trump Administration. Prior to his service as Ambassador, he served as a Congressman, Senator and Governor of the great state of Kansas. He has a unique perspective of how religious freedom directly relates to our nation’s national security and we are thrilled to have him provide his insights on how religious persecution is often a key ingredient to global repression.

He discusses how freedom of religion plays into U.S. foreign policy. What mechanisms does the U.S. government have at its disposal to curb religious persecution? What is the impact on U.S. bilateral relations with states who allow don’t allow freedom of religion within their borders? How does advocating for this fundamental human right impact our national security?

This episode contains descriptions of graphic violence that some listeners may find disturbing. Listener discretion is advised.

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Breaking Chains: Russia's War Crimes In Ukraine

Fri, 05 Aug 2022 09:00:17 GMT

This week, we discuss the tragic war crimes occurring against the Ukrainian people since Russia invaded the country. As we learn this week, this is a common trend when it comes to Russia, and this is not the first time they have repressed and abused their neighbors. How is this unprovoked war impacting the Ukrainian people on the ground? What is the international community doing to bring those who perpetrate these war crimes to justice?

Michael Sawkiw, Executive Vice President of the Ukrainian Congress Committee of America, has spent years advocating for Ukrainians and has worked tirelessly to support the Ukrainian community in the United States. He has a deep knowledge of the human rights violations and atrocities occurring on the ground in Ukraine since the Russian invasion and we are thrilled to have him join us to share his insights.

This episode contains descriptions of graphic violence that some listeners may find disturbing. Listener discretion is advised.

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Special Episode: Building a Safer Cryptoverse

Tue, 02 Aug 2022 09:00:20 GMT

Illicit finance poses one of the key national security challenges facing the crypto industry. How do U.S. regulators and policymakers work with stakeholders to implement solutions that may be at odds with crypto’s underlying ethos of decentralization? Is crypto the driving factor behind increased ransomware activity or just a symptom? What lessons can the United States take from other governments, like the EU and the UK, in upgrading our anti-money laundering framework?

Ari Redbord, Head of Legal and Government Affairs at TRM Labs, a blockchain intelligence company, joins Fault Lines for a special episode to help assess some of the national security challenges facing the crypto industry.

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Breaking Chains: Inside the PRC’s Surveillance State

Wed, 27 Jul 2022 09:00:15 GMT

This week, to kick off our summer series on global repression, “Breaking Chains: Fighting the New Global Repressors,” we are taking a deep dive into the surveillance state in the People’s Republic of China, namely, the Xinjiang Province. What technology does the PRC have at its disposal? How has this technology furthered repression of the Uyghur minority group?

Geoffrey Cain, author of “The Perfect Police State: An Undercover Odyssey into China's Terrifying Surveillance Dystopia of the Future” and award winning foreign correspondent has been on the ground in the region and shares his insights, reporting and assessment of what the future may hold.

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Special Episode: Sri Lanka - A Country in Free Fall

Wed, 20 Jul 2022 09:00:22 GMT

This week, Sri Lanka is set to choose a new president in the midst of a massive unrest and a catastrophic economic crisis. What does this mean for U.S. security interest in the region? How can Sri Lanka’s partners best assist in this situation? With Sri Lanka's economy shattered, food and fuel dangerously scarce, and massive international debts, is there any hope for Asia’s oldest democracy?

Atul Keshap, U.S. Ambassador to Sri Lanka from 2015 - 2018, joins Fault Lines in a special episode to help address these questions and more!

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**Fault Lines Update**

Join us next week for our limited and special summer series “Breaking Chains: Fighting the Next Global Repressors.” Over the next month, we will highlight the many serious human rights violations we are witnessing across the globe - from war crimes in Ukraine to new information coming out on China's treatment of the Uyghurs. You don’t want to miss this!

Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00 PM ET on July 18, 2022. Events on the ground in Sri Lanka have moved quickly since then!

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Episode 134: Exploring Boundaries with Taiwan, IPEF, and War Crimes

Wed, 01 Jun 2022 17:28:17 GMT

This week, Les, Jane, Scott, and Sarah discuss President Biden’s articulation of the US policy in the event China invades Taiwan, the creation of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF), and the first Russian soldier convicted of war crimes. Was it truly a mistake on President Biden’s part when he says that the U.S. would defend Taiwan if China were to invade? Will China engage in military activity against Taiwan in the next 2.5 years? Is IPEF significant? What are the implications of Ukraine convicting the first Russian solder of war crimes? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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**Fault Lines Update**

Fault Lines is taking a break for the rest of June. Join us in July for our limited and special summer series that will highlight the many serious human rights violations we are witnessing across the globe - from war crimes in Ukraine to new information coming out on China's treatment of the Uyghur. You don’t want to miss this!

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Episode 133: On the Ground in Ukraine

Wed, 25 May 2022 09:00:45 GMT

Live from Western Ukraine, join NSI for a very important conversation with Fox News Correspondent Mike Tobin. Mike has been reporting on the war from Western Ukraine and has himself been impacted by Russian atrocities. How is this war different from other combat zones? How have Ukrainians strengthened their resolve to push back against Russia? These questions and more answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines.

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Special Episode: Energy: An Abundant Fuel for Geopolitics

Fri, 20 May 2022 16:00:00 GMT

Energy has played a featured role in Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine. What role has it historically played in the strategic calculations of nations? Can Europe eliminate dependence on Russia for gas? How has the U.S. shale revolution and the development liquified natural gas (LNG) reverberated globally? Are we truly able to transition away from hydrocarbons? Which new energy technologies will have the biggest strategic implications? Tune in as we discuss these questions and more with Daniel Yergin, vice chairman of S&P Global and the Pulitzer Prize winning author of The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power.

Be sure to read more about energy and its implication in geopolitics in his latest book, The New Map: Energy, Climate, and the Clash of Nations. You can purchase it here.

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Episode 132: Vikings Join NATO and Xi's IP Dilemma

Wed, 18 May 2022 09:00:06 GMT

This week, Les, Matt, Rob, and Carmen discuss Finland and Sweden’s willingness to join NATO, the $40B assistance for Ukraine, and China’s intellectual property theft. Did President Putin misjudge NATO’s strength? Will the $40B assistance for Ukraine lead to a reordering of our domestic politics on national security issues? What does the intellectual property theft from Chinese government hackers have to say about China’s economy? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

Be sure to join NSI for our next event with former Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, on Thursday, May 26 at 5 PM ET. Secretary Pompeo will share his insights on how the U.S. can maintain its leadership in an every evolving world. You can register for this event here.

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Episode 131: The Economic War Over Ukraine

Wed, 11 May 2022 09:00:38 GMT

America and the EU have avoided a direct military role in Ukraine. Instead, they have used economic measure to punish Russia. As we look at the sanctions in place, are there further actions America can take to limit Russia’s ability to finance their war? How can America and the EU make their sanctions more impactful? Why is it important for America to take an active role in reconstructing Ukraine after the war? Join us as we discuss these questions and more with Natalie Jaresko, former Minister of Finance for Ukraine, who breaks down the current economic crisis in Russia and Ukraine. As a special bonus, Natalie shared the many ways our listeners can get involved with helping Ukrainians deal with the effects of the invasion. Be sure to check out some of the resources she had listed below:

https://www.boycottrussia.info/

https://squeezingputin.com/

https://som.yale.edu/story/2022/almost-1000-companies-have-curtailed-operations-russia-some-remain

https://www.strongerthanever.com/

https://ukraine.welcome.us/

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Episode 130: Sending the Right Signal: Ukraine, Japan and New Zealand

Wed, 04 May 2022 09:00:03 GMT

This week, Les, Sarah, Charles, and Heather discuss House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi’s visit with Ukraine’s President Zelensky, the $33B in aid that President Biden is requesting, and the new intelligence sharing agreement between New Zealand and Japan. What does it mean for Speaker Pelosi to visit President Zelensky? Will the $33B in aid sustain Ukraine? What does the agreement between New Zealand and Japan mean to the United States? Is it related to China's new friend, the Solomon Islands? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

Join NSI for our next event on Tuesday, May 10 with former Congressman and CIA Officer, Will Hurd to discuss his new book, American Reboot: An Idealist’s Guide to Getting Big Things Done. Will Hurd will share how his approach of “pragmatic idealism” can offer Americans a fresh start to a country mired in political divides and internal strife. You can register here.

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Episode 129: Is India the Linchpin of the Evolving World Order?

Wed, 27 Apr 2022 18:48:16 GMT

Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, attention quickly turned to India to determine whether it would condemn the attack and support western sanctions. This week, we are joined by Jeff Smith, a research fellow at Heritage’s Asian Studies Center with a focus on South Asia, for a deep dive on U.S.-India relationship in light of the war in Ukraine and China’s growing threat.

How did India develop its longstanding relationship with Russia? What does the war and the “no limits” partnership with China mean for that historical partnership? How can the U.S. continue to strengthen its relationship with India and how should the U.S. think about India’s position in the democratic world? These questions and more are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 128: Overton Windows & Lockdown

Wed, 20 Apr 2022 09:00:41 GMT

This week, Les, Scott, Andy, and Carmen discuss the possible use of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and the draconian lockdowns happening in Shanghai. Would the U.S. become more involved in Ukraine if Russia use a tactical nuclear weapon? Is Biden’s administration usage of strategic ambiguity different from previous administrations? How do the lockdowns in Shanghai impact Xi’s upcoming election in the fall? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 127: Public Diplomacy and Great Power Competition

Wed, 13 Apr 2022 09:00:15 GMT

Public Diplomacy has played a critical role in telling the truth and countering propaganda in today's global environment. As we look at Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine, what can America learn from President Zelensky's amazing leadership? How can America balance its different means of communication through radio and social media? What can the State Department do to ensure the truth is being told to populations in nations whose governments suppress the truth? Join us as we discuss these questions and more with Heather Nauert, advisory board member of BGR Group, former journalist with Fox News and ABC News, as well as former State Department spokesperson and acting Undersecretary for Public Diplomacy at the State Department.

As a special bonus, Heather shared with us the work she is doing to help get people out of Afghanistan who are at risk. If you would like to contribute, please check out Moral Compass Federation of America which is part of the Special Operations Association of America.

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Episode 126: Ukraine, Cyber Threats and Wither Honiara?

Wed, 06 Apr 2022 09:00:49 GMT

This week, Les, Sarah, Harold, and Matthew discuss the most recent atrocities revealed in Ukraine, the warning from Biden’s administration on a potential cyber war, and the leaked agreement between Solomon Islands and China. Will the recent uncovered atrocities force China to take a stance against Russia’s invasion? How can the U.S. increase its cyber posture as a nation? Why is the Solomon Islands important to the U.S.? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 125: Battlestar Galactica

Wed, 30 Mar 2022 13:41:08 GMT

In recent years, the far-fetched spaceship battles of sci-fi have become a much more likely reality. This week, we're joined by Collin Lee, Director, Frontiers at General Dynamics Mission Systems and VSI Visiting Fellow for a deep dive on the militarization of space.

How do space and national security intersect? How has the US prepared for when space inevitably becomes a battlefield? Are we in a new space race? These questions and more are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

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Fault Lines 124: A Golden Bridge?

Wed, 23 Mar 2022 09:00:48 GMT

This week, Les, Carmen, Rob, and Megan continue their discussion on the ever developing situation on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the Biden administration’s executive order on crypto. How is the war going for President Putin? Does the Russian people look favorable on President Putin? Does the executive order signify the importance of crypto? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00 PM ET on March 21, 2022. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation in Ukraine is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.

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Episode 123: Crypto is Having a Moment

Wed, 16 Mar 2022 15:33:39 GMT

Crypto is having, as this week's guest puts it, a "moment of legitimacy". We're joined by Juan Zarate, Global Co-Managing Partner and Chief Strategy Officer at K2 Integrity, Chair of the Center on Economic and Financial Power at FDD, and former Deputy Assistant to the President and Deputy National Security Adviser for Combating Terrorism for a deep dive on cryptocurrency.

What role does crypto play in Russia's war on Ukraine? Could Russia's increased use of cryptocurrencies pose a threat to financial stability? What can Congress be doing? These questions and more are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

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For further reading on crypto, K2 Integrity, where Juan is the Global Co-Managing Partner and Chief Strategy Officer, recently published a policy alert, found here, on the risk global markets may face as Russian actors use virtual currencies to bypass sanctions.

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Episode 122: Unspooling the Russian Invasion

Wed, 09 Mar 2022 10:00:32 GMT

This week, Les, Martha, Sarah, and Matt continues to discuss the ever-developing Russian invasion of Ukraine. How have Ukrainians thwarted President’s Putin invasion? Should a no-fly zone be instituted? What are the implications of the ban on Russian oil imports? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00 PM ET on March 8, 2022. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.

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Episode 121: What’s New Cyber Cat?

Wed, 02 Mar 2022 16:07:26 GMT

Against the backdrop of the continued Russian invasion of Ukraine, Megan Stifel, NSI Visiting Fellow and Chief Strategy Officer at the Institute for Security and Technology, addresses the cyberattacks that have played a role in Russia’s efforts. How has Ukraine fended off the cyber attacks? Has collaboration between the U.S. and Ukraine been successful?

We then pivot to last week’s news that the Department of Justice is ending the China Initiative. How frequent were the cases of false convictions and racial discrimination that drove the DoJ to end the initiative? Does ending the initiative change the work the DoJ is doing? Will the DoJ’s focus shift given the violence in Ukraine? These questions and more are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

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Special Episode: Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Fri, 25 Feb 2022 17:59:45 GMT

On this special episode of Fault Lines, host Lester Munson discusses Russia's ongoing invasion of Ukraine with guests Scott Cullinane, Executive Director of the US-Europe Alliance, Martha Miller, former Special Assistant to President George W. Bush, and Sarah Stewart, Executive Director of the Silverado Policy Accelerator.

Our episode begins with an assessment of the situation in Ukraine, followed by a discussion on the response from the West to Russia's aggression, the sanctions placed by the Biden administration, and the implications the invasion could mean for European neighbors to Ukraine.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

Note: This episode was recorded at 9:00am ET on February 25th, 2022. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.

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Episode 119: Russia Invades Ukraine & Who’s Bombing the Moon?

Thu, 24 Feb 2022 02:31:53 GMT

This week, Les, Mario, Carmen, and Rob discuss the ever developing Russia-Ukraine crisis and China’s rocket debris that will be hitting the moon. Is President Vladimir Putin invading Ukraine because of legitimate strategic concerns, toxic masculinity or something else? Is NATO unified in their response to Russia? Why is it important to be aware of the amount of debris in space? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 118: China’s Wolf Warriors with Peter Martin

Thu, 17 Feb 2022 19:26:53 GMT

There’s no denying that China’s global standing has drastically changed - in their favor - in the past half century. How has Chinese diplomacy contributed to this change? Is the bullying that China attempts to use to achieve diplomatic goals effective in today’s world? Will China ever pivot away from their aggressive tactics and act with the degree of prestige expected of a global superpower?

This week’s episode of Fault Lines features a deep dive with Peter Martin, Defense Policy and Intelligence Reporter for Bloomberg Business, author of China’s Civilian Army: The Making of Wolf Warrior Diplomacy, and expert on all things Chinese diplomacy. Find Peter’s book here.

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Episode 117: Chips and Missiles!

Wed, 09 Feb 2022 10:00:38 GMT

This week, Les, Sarah, Scott, and Andy discuss the ongoing computer chip supply chain issues and North Korea’s launch of seven missiles last month. How are our European allies impacted by the ongoing computer chip crisis? Is Congress doing enough to alleviate the situation? What does it mean for North Korea to launch seven missiles in one month? How has the Biden administration handled the U.S. relationship with North Korea differently from the Trump Administration? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 116: Improbable Political Prisoner: the Case of Paul Rusesabagina

Wed, 02 Feb 2022 10:00:36 GMT

This week, we’re joined by guest Anaise Kanimba, daughter of Paul Rusesabagina, the famed manager of a hotel in Rwanda where he protected hundreds of Rwandans – both Hutu and Tutsi – from the genocide that engulfed that country in 1994. How did Anaise’s father save lives in 1994? How has he dedicated his life to advocating for human rights? What is Anaise doing to now free her father from unfair imprisonment in Rwanda? These questions and more about Anaise and her father’s moving stories are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

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Want to become more involved in the #FreeRusesabagina campaign? Get involved by visiting their website, Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, or YouTube.

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Episode 115: Some Week: Eruption, Arrest and Invasion!

Thu, 27 Jan 2022 20:02:38 GMT

This week, Les, Rob, Carmen, and Jamil discuss the massive underwater volcano eruption near Tonga and Russia’s dismantling of the hacker group known as REvil. They will also cast their predictions on whether or not Russia will invade Ukraine. Is the eruption of Hunga Tonga-Hunga-Ha’apai a national security issue that Americans should care about? What does it mean for Russia to dismantle REvil? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

Think a panelists got the right prediction or had the most persuasive argument on Russia’s actions with Ukraine? Be sure to send us a Tweet or e-mail us at nsi@gmu.edu!

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Episode 114: The New 'Great Game'?: Assessing U.S.-China Competition in Africa with Morgan Viña and Lester Munson

Wed, 19 Jan 2022 20:33:03 GMT

NSI welcomes Morgan Viña and Lester Munson, two of NSI’s Fellows and co-authors on a recent NSI Paper, “Will the US Compete with China in Africa?”. What is China trying to accomplish in Africa? How do the Trump and Biden administration’s approaches to Africa differ, and what do they both have right – and wrong – in their Africa policy? Is there an opportunity for the U.S. to implement our foreign aid initiatives as a policy component? These questions and more are answered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

Be sure to read Les and Morgan’s paper on our website here. If you like what you hear, be sure to rate, review, and subscribe to future episodes of Fault Lines.

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Episode 113: An Emboldened Russia?

Wed, 12 Jan 2022 21:33:09 GMT

This week, Les, Sarah, Megan, and Jamil discuss the presence of Russian troops in Kazakhstan and the developing relationship with Russia and China to counter the U.S. Does the current situation in Kazakhstan matter to the U.S.? Will Russia and China be able to set aside their different interests to collaborate? These questions and more answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 112: Putin's Maneuvers with Fred Kagan

Wed, 05 Jan 2022 21:10:38 GMT

NSI welcomes Fred Kagan, Senior Fellow and Director of the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute, for a deep dive on the unfolding crisis on the Ukraine-Russia border as the potential of a Russian invasion increases. What makes the current buildup of Russian troops different than those of the past? What other actions is Putin likely to take in coming months? Are direct conversations between President Biden and Putin the most effective means to address the crisis? These questions and more are answered on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

If you like what you hear, be sure to rate, review, and subscribe to future episodes of Fault Lines.

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Special Episode: Mandatory Cyber-Reporting - A Debate

Thu, 30 Dec 2021 16:58:58 GMT

On this special episode of Fault Lines, Jamil N. Jaffer, NSI’s Founder and Executive Director, and Lauren Zabierek, NSI Visiting Fellow and Executive Director of the Cyber Project at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center, take opposite sides in a debate on mandatory cyber-reporting. Is it needed? If put into place, will it be effective? How does this hot topic relate to the larger issue of cyber infrastructure in the U.S.? These questions and more are addressed in this special, debate episode of Fault Lines!

Like what you heard here? In 2022, NSI will be launching a new debate-style podcast, featuring off-the-cuff takes on the biggest questions in national security. Tweet at us at @masonnatsec with your thoughts, including who you think the winner was, and be sure to subscribe to Fault Lines to be the first to know when the series launches!

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Episode 111: 2021 Festivus Edition

Wed, 22 Dec 2021 17:51:06 GMT

Tune into Fault Lines for a very special Festivus edition as some of Fault Line's favorite panelists return. Matthew F., Robert, Martha, Andrea, Jamil, Andy, Carmen, Matthew H., and Les will review the previous year and cast their predictions for 2022. What is the most important national security story of 2021? What is the biggest national security surprise of 2021? Theses questions and more answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 110: Biden-Putin Call and Iran Talks

Wed, 15 Dec 2021 20:30:53 GMT

This week Les, Sarah, Matthew, and Jamil will be discussing President Biden’s conversation with President Vladimir Putin’s regarding the build-up of Russian military on Ukraine’s border and the ongoing negotiations with Iran to revive the nuclear deal. Will the threat of tough sanctions deter President Putin from moving into Ukraine? Will the new nuclear deal be more favorable towards Iran? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 109: Beijing Olympics and Sports Diplomacy with Capt. Corey Ray

Thu, 09 Dec 2021 13:41:12 GMT

NSI welcomes Captain Corey Ray, US Navy, Faculty and Former Chair of the Department of Strategy & Policy, National War College to discuss sports diplomacy. Will the Olympics diplomatic boycott be effective? What makes for an effective boycott? How are sports and politics directly intertwined? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

If you like what you hear, be sure to rate, review, and subscribe to future episodes of Fault Lines.

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Episode 108: Russian Threat to Ukraine and Hypersonic Missiles

Wed, 01 Dec 2021 19:48:35 GMT

This week, Les, Carmen, Matthew, and Rob will be discussing President Vladimir Putin’s predatory behavior against Ukraine and the hypersonic missiles recently launched by China and Russia. Will there be a Russian invasion of Ukraine? Is this a vulnerable time for President Putin? What does it mean to the US now that both China and Russia have launched hypersonic missiles? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Special Episode: Escalation on the Ukraine Border - A Debate

Wed, 24 Nov 2021 14:39:03 GMT

On this special episode of Fault Lines, Jamil N. Jaffer, NSI’s Founder and Executive Director, and Dmitri Alperovitch, co-founder and Executive Chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator, debate on a very timely topic – whether to deter an invasion of Taiwan, the U.S. must defend Ukraine. Jamil argues the proposition that yes, the U.S. must defend Ukraine in order to deter an invasion of Taiwan while Dmitri takes the opposite position.

If you enjoyed this episode, stay tuned for more! NSI and the Silverado Policy Accelerator will be kicking off a new podcast series filled with timely, no holds barred debates just like this one. To get the latest updates about when you can expect this series to be released, or to contribute ideas about future episodes, make sure to subscribe to Fault Lines and follow or tweet at us on Twitter at @MasonNatSec.

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Episode 107: Changing the Zero-Sum Victory with Chris Kolenda

Tue, 23 Nov 2021 20:25:09 GMT

NSI welcomes retired U.S. Army Colonel Chris Kolenda for an in-depth discussion on his recently published book, "Zero-Sum Victory: What We're Getting Wrong About War", and the larger issue of how the U.S. military measures success. What is a zero-sum victory? How do we define sustainability of an insurgency? What are the flaws with how the U.S. military currently measures success?

Chris concludes the podcast by describing his Fallen Hero Honor Ride, a bike ride spanning 1,700 miles to visit the gravesites of the six paratroopers from his unit who were killed in action in Afghanistan. Chris is fundraising to create scholarship endowments in the names of each of the six fallen soldiers; these scholarships will support education, trade, and developmental expenses for paratroopers, family members, and descendants of the unit (TF SABER and 1-91 CAV, 173rd Airborne) and veterans, as well as disadvantaged youth from the Milwaukee area.

Click here for more on Chris’ project.

If you would like to donate to Chris’ project, please visit its GoFundMe.

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Episode 106: Pyongyangization

Thu, 18 Nov 2021 13:58:52 GMT

This week Les, Sarah, Megan, and Jamil take a big risk in discussing the summit between President Joe Biden and President Xi Jinping before the summit actually began. What is going on inside of China as President Xi sets himself up for a third term in power? Should Biden adopt a no first use nuclear policy? How should we consider our relationship with China in regards to trade? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 105: Gender and National Security with Gina Bennett

Wed, 10 Nov 2021 21:15:35 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Gina Bennett, senior adviser at the National Counterterrorism Center, member of the CIA’s Senior Analytics Service, and author of the National Security Mom book series. What was it like being the first in the intelligence community to warn of Osama bin Laden? What is the role of gender in national security? How do national security efforts parallel our home lives? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 104: Sudan Coup and SolarWinds Redux

Thu, 04 Nov 2021 15:33:03 GMT

This week, Les, Jamil, Carmen, and Rob tackle last week’s coup in Sudan which saw the military put the civilian prime minister under house arrest and the Russian government’s latest hacking of American companies. What does the coup mean for U.S. interests? How about for Russia and China, which have their own interests in the country? When it comes to the Russians, is it time for us to start some American offensive cyber operations? Is the Biden Administration’s cyber policy working? These questions and more are answered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines. Bonus topic: is Pyongyangization happening in China?

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Episode 103: Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace with Michael Krepon

Thu, 28 Oct 2021 13:01:08 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Michael Krepon, author of recently published “Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace: The Rise, Demise, and Revival of Arms Control”, for a discussion on his book and nuclear arms control with guest host David Lasseter, NSI Visiting Fellow and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction. How can the U.S. ensure nuclear peace is maintained globally? How should the nuclear capabilities of North Korea and China be addressed? What role do domestic politics play in nuclear policy? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

Purchase Michael’s book, “Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace: The Rise, Demise, and Revival of Arms Control”, here or wherever you prefer to get your books.

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Episode 102: Taiwan Test and Supply Chain Scares

Thu, 21 Oct 2021 14:34:15 GMT

This week, Les, Jamil, Sarah, and Matthew break down tensions brewing over Taiwan and the looming supply chain crisis. Will tensions over Taiwan ever go away? Would – and should – the United States come to Taiwan’s aid in the event of aggressions by China? What’s actually going on with the supply chain crisis the United States is seeing unfold? These questions and more are answered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

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Episode 101: NSI’s Past, Present, and Future with Jamil Jaffer, Founder and Executive Director

Wed, 13 Oct 2021 13:06:20 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Jamil N. Jaffer, the Founder and Executive Director of the National Security Institute, as we reflect on the past four years of NSI. How did NSI begin? What can work in the non-partisan realm teach us? Where will the efforts of the National Security Institute be in the next four years? These questions and more are answered on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

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Episode 100: Future Challenges

Thu, 07 Oct 2021 13:39:37 GMT

On this special 100th episode of Fault Lines, Jamil Jaffer, Carmen Medina, Lester Munson and Sarah Stewart look forward to what the future of national security may hold. What type of challenges will China pose to the United States? Should the U.S. come to Taiwan’s aid if China were to invade? Is political polarization the biggest challenge policymakers will face in the next five years? These questions and more are answered on Fault Lines’ 100th episode!

Our panelists reference The Age of America First: Washington’s Flawed New Foreign Policy Consensus in their discussion. Read it here.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

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Episode 99: Ford v. Harman: A NatSec Debate

Wed, 29 Sep 2021 13:41:08 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Christopher Ford, author of the recent NSI paper "Principled Conservatism in America’s Foreign Affairs and National Security Policy", and former U.S. Rep. Jane Harman, Distinguished Fellow and President Emerita at the Wilson Center, and author of the book, "Insanity Defense: Why Our Failure to Confront Hard National Security Problems Makes Us Less Safe," to discuss the intersection between different views of national security. How do we get Americans back to a point of embracing free trade? What is the best function of multilateral institutions? What could a bipartisan national security policy look like? These questions and more are covered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

Next week is our 100th episode of Fault Lines! Keep an eye on social media and our website for some fun ways to engage with our podcast team before we record the extra special episode.

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Episode 98: Little Problems in Big China

Wed, 22 Sep 2021 13:51:16 GMT

This week, Les, Jamil, Sarah, and Matthew turn their focus on Biden's China policy. How is President Biden faring so far? Are China’s environmental sins becoming leverage for relief on other issues, including the crackdowns in Xinjiang and Hong Kong? What should we make of the AUKUS pact and China's reaction?

All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

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Episode 97: Rescue, Recovery, and Refugees: Afghanistan with Congressman Seth Moulton

Wed, 15 Sep 2021 15:55:56 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Congressman Seth Moulton, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts, to recount his recent trip to Afghanistan and the growing concerns around Afghan refugees. What should Congress be doing about Afghanistan? How can we, as individuals, help with rescue efforts? Should we be concerned about terror groups using Afghanistan as a launch site? These questions and more are covered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

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Episode 96: After Afghanistan

Wed, 08 Sep 2021 18:14:13 GMT

We are entering the third week after the Taliban took Kabul, and Loren, Jamil, Rob, and Les discuss implications of the withdrawal. What lessons have we learned in the last three weeks? Twenty years on, what lessons and reflections do we have of 9/11? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

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Episode 95: The Road Ahead: A Further Discussion on Afghanistan with Ryan Browne

Wed, 01 Sep 2021 15:57:09 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Ryan Browne, former CNN correspondent at the Pentagon, to continue NSI’s discussion on Afghanistan. What does the future hold for individuals on the ground in Afghanistan following the withdrawal? Will we continue to see efforts from “Digital Dunkirk”-style groups? What kind of internal struggles may the Taliban experience as they begin attempting to function as a government? These questions and more are covered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00pm ET on August 30th, 2021. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.

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Episode 94: Afghanistan Airlift

Wed, 25 Aug 2021 15:38:23 GMT

All eyes are on Afghanistan, and Les, Jamil, Mike, and special guest Ryan Browne discuss the events that have unfolded in the last week on the ground. Has enough been done to get Americans and our allies out of a war zone? Should we extend our presence past August 31st? How well did the Biden administration handle the withdrawal? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00pm ET on August 23rd, 2021. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.

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Episode 93: The Caribbean with Caleb McCarry

Fri, 20 Aug 2021 18:48:53 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Caleb McCarry, former Cuba Transition Coordinator during the Bush administration, a senior official at the Development Finance Corporation in the Trump administration, and a Senior Adviser to both the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the House Foreign Affairs Committee. What does it mean for U.S. interests when there is such turmoil in Haiti? What, if anything, should the U.S. be doing differently as a neighbor to Haiti? How has the Biden administration responded to the ongoing protests in Cuba? Host Lester Munson and Caleb McCarry answer questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Special Episode: The National Security Implications of Afghanistan

Wed, 18 Aug 2021 15:08:15 GMT

On this special episode of Fault Lines, host Jamil N. Jaffer discusses the national security implications of the fall of Afghanistan and the rise of the Taliban with Jennifer Cafarella, NSI Visiting Fellow and Research Director at the Institute for the Study of War; Matthew Heiman, NSI Senior Fellow and Director of Strategy and Chairman, Cyber & Privacy Working Group at the Regulatory Transparency Project; and Mike Nelson, NSI Visiting Fellow and Professor of Military Science at George Mason University, and former Deputy Director of the Commander’s Action Group at United States Central Command for General Joseph Votel.

Our episode begins with a brief summary of the situation in Afghanistan, followed by analysis of the Biden administration's actions thus far, the counterterrorism perspective, and what Taliban rule may mean for U.S. national security.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

Note: This episode was recorded at 3:30pm ET on August 17th, 2021. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.

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Episode 92: Special Sports Edition - Beijing, Boycotts, and Beyond

Wed, 11 Aug 2021 14:31:19 GMT

The Olympics came to a close this past week, and all eyes are on Beijing in 2022. Loren, Jamil, Rob, and Les discuss the political highlights of the Tokyo games and what it would take for the U.S. to take a stand in 2022. What lessons have we learned in Tokyo? Should we be linking international sporting events like the Olympics to global politics? Has Russia skirted their ban by being able to have their athletes participate under the name “Russian Olympic Committee”? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

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Episode 91: Principled Conservatism with Dr. Christopher Ford

Wed, 04 Aug 2021 14:08:33 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Christopher Ford, NSI Advisory Board member and Former Assistant Secretary for International Security and Nonproliferation. Dr. Ford recently wrote a paper for NSI titled Principled Conservatism in America’s Foreign Affairs and National Security Policy. What are the core tenets of principled conservatism in national security and foreign policy? What does a principled conservative approach to China look like? Dr. Ford and host Jamil Jaffer answer these questions and more on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

Dr. Ford’s full paper can be found here.

If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.

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Episode 90: Cuban Unrest, Chinese Hacks, and the Biden Response

Wed, 28 Jul 2021 17:57:47 GMT

Cuba is currently experiencing its largest anti-government demonstrations since 1994, fueled by disdain for the authoritarian government, widespread poverty, and mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic. Les, Mike, Grant, and first time guests Fred Turner, former Chief of Staff to Bob Menendez, and Carrie Filipetti, Executive Director of the Vandenberg Coalition, former Deputy Assistant Secretary for Cuba and Venezuela, and the Deputy Special Representative for Venezuela at the U.S. State Department, discuss protests and unrest in Cuba and the most recent string of cyberattacks. Is the Biden Administration doing enough to show support for Cuba? How can social media be used creatively against authoritarian regimes? What impact could the Microsoft Exchange hack have on U.S.-China relations? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 89: Chinese Hacking and Ransomware with Dmitri Alperovitch

Wed, 21 Jul 2021 22:10:13 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Dmitri Alperovitch, NSI Advisory Board member, Executive Chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator, and Co-Founder of CrowdStrike. How should America respond to Chinese aggression in cyberspace? Does cyber insurance exacerbate cyber ransomware attacks? What should we be worried about next? Dmitri and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 88: Assassination, Afghanistan, and the Atmosphere

Thu, 15 Jul 2021 00:49:08 GMT

Haiti is thrown into chaos after an assassination, John Kerry is in Russia talking about the Climate, and the Afghanistan withdrawal is going more rapidly than anyone anticipated. Les, Rob, Jamil, Grant and returning guest Amira Valliani discuss how the United States should approach each these precarious situations. How should America think about stabilization efforts in Haiti? Is Climate Change national security? Has the train and equip mission in Afghanistan failed? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 87: China and the U.S. Education System with Dan Currell

Thu, 08 Jul 2021 13:26:32 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Dan Currell, NSI Visiting Fellow and former Deputy Under Secretary and Senior Advisor at the Department of Education. Dan recently wrote a backgrounder for NSI titled China’s Influence in U.S. Higher Education as well as a number of opinion pieces for NSI’s blog The SCIF. How is China censoring speech in the United States? How big is China's influence in U.S. Higher Education? What even is a Confucius Institute? Dan and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 86: Iranian Elections, Missile Ejections, and Democracy Around the Globe

Wed, 30 Jun 2021 18:56:52 GMT

Iran "elected" a hardliner President and the United States bombed Iran backed militias in Iraq and Syria. Les, Mike, Jodi, and first time guest Martha Miller, NSI Visiting Fellow and former Special Assistant to President George W. Bush discuss how these events will impact the larger effort to prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons and how President Biden has done in democracy promotion around the world. Does the President of Iran really matter? What is the best strategy to bring Iran to the negotiating table? Can President Biden stand up for democracy in Europe, Central America, and Hong Kong? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 85: The Techlash with Zach Graves

Wed, 23 Jun 2021 19:37:49 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Zach Graves, NSI Visiting Fellow, Head of Policy at the Lincoln Network, and author of the latest NSI Law and Policy Paper Understanding the Techlash: Implications for U.S. Innovation Policy. What is the Techlash? What should we make of the recent bills introduced on these issues? What does Section 230 have to do with any of this? Zach and host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 84: Biden's First Trip and Kleptocracy

Thu, 17 Jun 2021 15:15:09 GMT

President Biden travels to Europe on his first foreign trip as President, but, before he left, he released a memo raising corruption to a national security concern. Les, Jamil, Loren, and Rob discuss what we can expect Biden will take away from european adventure and what a corruption focused foreign policy looks like. Can Biden get Europe to live up to their NATO commitments? What can be done about Russia? Is the fight against corruption just a talking point? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 83: National Security and the FCC with Brendan Carr

Wed, 09 Jun 2021 13:52:22 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes FCC Commissioner Brendan Carr to discuss the national security work the FCC is doing. What is the FCC's role in pushing back against the threat posed by China? What is the FCC doing on O-Ran? How will competition with China impact technology policy in the next five years? Commissioner Carr and guest host Megan Brown, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 82: Belarus and the Global Fight Against COVID-19

Wed, 02 Jun 2021 21:05:55 GMT

Belarus forced a RyanAir flight to land in Minsk in order to take opposition journalist Roman Protasevich into custody. Les, Jodi, Mike, and first time guest Scott Cullinane, NSI Visiting Fellow and Executive Director of the US-Europe Alliance, discuss how the United States should respond to Belarus and the next steps in the fight against COVID-19. Are sanctions enough to get Belarusian President Lukashenko to back down? How connected are Russia and Belarus? What can the United States to do finish the fight against COVID-19? All these questions and more answered on this week's Fault Lines.

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Episode 81: The Intersection of Faith, Civilization, and Foreign Policy with Sada Cumber

Wed, 26 May 2021 20:59:54 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Sada Cumber, NSI Advisory Board Member first-ever Special Envoy to the Organisation of the Islamic Conference. What role does soft power play in the Middle East? What can America do to protect Muslims in Myanmar and China? Why are Saudi Arabia and Iran meeting secretly? Sada and Fault Lines Host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more!

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Episode 80: Violence in Israel and Corruption in the Northern Triangle

Wed, 19 May 2021 19:26:22 GMT

The violence in Israel continues unabated. Fault Lines welcomes Simone Ledeen, NSI Visiting Fellow and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, and Brian Katulis, Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress, to discuss the causes of this latest flare up, how other actors in the region are responding, and what role of the United States should play with Fault Lines Host Les Munson.

Following those interviews, Grant moderates a conversation with Simone, Les, and returning guest Rob Walker about the Northern Triangle, corruption, and foreign aid. Should aid be tied to good governance? How can policymakers work towards long-term goals in the region? What role should limiting the drug trade play in the discussion? All these questions and more answered on this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 79: Opportunities and Challenges in Africa with Ambassador Cindy Courville

Wed, 12 May 2021 19:34:43 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Ambassador Cindy Courville, first Ambassador to the African Union, for a conversation about some key issues happening on the continent. How should policymakers frame their thinking about African Affairs? How should America be involved in Northern Mozambique? What role should America play in preventing human rights atrocities in Ethiopia? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 78: Return of the Ottomans?

Wed, 05 May 2021 21:18:31 GMT

On Armenian Remembrance Day, President Biden acknowledged the genocide of Armenians at the hands of Ottoman authorities beginning in 1915. Jodi, Jamil, Les, Grant, and first time guest Max Hoffman, Director of National Security and International Policy at the Center for American Progress, discuss the impact of this acknowledgement on U.S.-Turkish relations and the ten year anniversary of the beginning of the conflicts in Syria and Libya. Are U.S.-Turkish relations broken beyond repair? Is Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's hold on power stable? After ten years, what is the path forward in Syria and Libya? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In this week's under the radar segment, Grant talks about the potential for a Global Minimum Tax, Les focuses on China's space program, Jodi highlights the mice swarming in Australia, Max discusses Turkey and energy politics, and Jamil honors the memory of NSI Visiting Fellow Courtney Hall.

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Episode 77: Diversity in National Security with Lenora Gant

Wed, 28 Apr 2021 19:11:42 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Lenora Gant, NSI Advisory Board member and Distinguished Fellow and former Senior National Intelligence Officer within the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. How does a diverse workforce increase America’s national security? What role do historically black colleges and universities play in preparing the next generation of national security leaders? What can be done at a personal level to make an impact? Lenora and Fault Lines Host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more!

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Episode 76: The Great Game All Over Again

Wed, 21 Apr 2021 17:11:52 GMT

President Biden announced increased sanctions on Russia for their involvement in the SolarWinds hack and a withdrawal date for American troops in Afghanistan. Les, Loren, Jamil, and returning guest Rob Walker discuss whether the Biden administration is pushing back hard enough against Russia and leaving Afghanistan too soon. Will sanctions change Putin’s calculus? Does President Biden owe former President Trump an apology? Is Afghanistan going to become a haven for terrorists after America leaves? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 75: Isolationism with Charles Kupchan

Wed, 14 Apr 2021 23:42:28 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Charles Kupchan, Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and author of the book Isolationism: A History of America's Efforts to Shield Itself from the World. What are the driving factors of American Isolationism throughout history? What lessons should President Biden learn from previous presidents? What is American Exceptionalism? Dr. Kupchan and host Les, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 74: Revising the JCPOA and AUMF

Thu, 08 Apr 2021 10:37:48 GMT

The Biden administration is participating in indirect talks with Iran about the JCPOA and there are conversations swirling on the Hill about revising the 2001 AUMF. Les, Jodi, Jamil, and Mike discuss how to get to a better deal with Iran and whether all the talk about the AUMF is for naught. Is it possible to get a good deal with Iran? What did "maximum pressure" achieve? Is there any chance that the 2001 AUMF actually gets replaced? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In our under the radar segment, Les honors the life of Charles Hill, Grant continues to track the failed GERD talks, Jamil highlights the potential coup in Jordan, Mike discusses the corruption trial of Benjamin Netanyahu, and Jodi suggests that the US should really consider boycotting the Olympics in China.

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Episode 73: China 2034 and Tech Policy with Admiral James Stavridis

Wed, 31 Mar 2021 21:07:50 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Admiral James Stavridis, author of the book 2034: A Novel of the Next World War and contributing author of a white paper with the American Edge Project on National Security Policy. Should we expect a war with China? How do fiction and foreign policy work together? Where do emerging technologies play a role in all of this? Admiral Stavridis and host Lester Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 72: Anchorage Summit and the Pandemic Year

Wed, 24 Mar 2021 23:04:38 GMT

Antony Blinken and Jake Sullivan recently held a meeting with their Chinese Counterparts in Alaska and the pandemic has been ravaging the globe for more than a year. Les, Loren, Jamil, and first time guest Rob Walker discuss what can we expect coming out of the Anchorage Summit and how the world looks different post-pandemic. How is the Biden administration trying to approach the relationship with China? What can we expect to see after the shouting match that kicked off the talks? What did the pandemic teach us about foreign policy? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

This week in our under the radar segment, Loren discusses the potential repeal of the 2002 AUMF, Les highlights the opportunity Tanzania has to move forward following the death of President Magufuli, Rob focuses on the situation at the border, Jamil mentions the potential end of the war in Yemen, and Grant waves goodbye to the Russian Ambassador to the United States.

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Episode 71: Transforming Our World with Andrew Natsios and Andy Card

Wed, 17 Mar 2021 19:49:57 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Andrew Natsios and Andy Card co-editors of Transforming Our World: President George H.W. Bush and American Foreign Policy. What made President George H.W. Bush uniquely able to take on the challenges of the end of the Cold War? Was there an underlying ideology driving President Bush’s foreign policy? Can President Biden learn any lessons from the challenges President Bush faced? Andy, Andrew, and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 70: Supply Chains and Relationship Strains

Wed, 10 Mar 2021 20:21:15 GMT

President Biden issued an executive order focused on enhancing the security of America’s supply chains and India purchased anti-aircraft weapons from Russia which may cause issues at the upcoming meeting of the Quad. Les, Jodi, Jamil, and Loren discuss how much the government should insert itself in the private sector in the name of national security and the status of the relationship between America and India. Should the government be directly investing in the American tech sector? How close are India and Russia? How worried should we be about conflict between China and India? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In the below the radar segment, Les is following two new outbreaks of Ebola, Jodi honors Women of Courage, Grant highlights the disproportionate impact of COVID on women, Loren talks about the trial of Derek Chauvin, and Jamil focuses on two high profile cases of rape in Senegal and Mexico.

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Episode 69: Foreign Policy and the Middle Class with David Gordon

Fri, 05 Mar 2021 00:57:00 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes David Gordon, former Director of policy planning at the US State Department and co-author of Making U.S. Foreign Policy Work Better for the Middle Class. How different is "putting Americans first" to "America First"? Is American participation in the TPP impossible? Is domestic-foreign policy fusion advisable given polarization? David and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 68: This is How They Tell Me The World Ends with Nicole Perlroth

Tue, 02 Mar 2021 19:38:48 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Nicole Perlroth, Cybersecurity report for the New York Times and author of This is How They Tell Me the World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race. How has the market for 0-days impacted our national security? How do you communicate the technological threat to a non-technical audience? Why isn't the US deterring cyberattacks effectively? Nicole and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 67: JCPOA Redux and FacePlant in Australia

Thu, 25 Feb 2021 12:10:24 GMT

The Biden Administration is open to reentering the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Jamil, Les, Loren, and Mike discuss what is necessary to actually prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons and then pivot to Australia’s law which caused a standoff with Facebook. Should America ease sanctions to negotiate a new deal with Iran? Is Iran already too far down the nuclear path? Is Australia standing up for the little guy or caving to corporate lobbyists? All these questions and more answered on this week’s Fault Lines.

In our below the radar segment, Grant focuses on new sanctions from the European Union, Les continues to track the Ethiopian Civil War, Loren sets her eyes on the stars, Mike highlights the issues around U.S. sanctions and Venezuela, and Jamil discusses the arrest of El Chapo’s wife.

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Episode 66: The Africa Challenge with Morgan Vina

Wed, 17 Feb 2021 15:05:37 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Morgan Vina, former Chief of Staff to Ambassador Nikki Haley in her role as Permanent Representative to the United Nations. What can the Biden administration learn from President Trump’s failures and successes in Africa? How should we view the worsening violence in Ethiopia? Is Sudan a success story or is it too early to tell? Morgan and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 65: Now It Matters

Thu, 11 Feb 2021 01:18:19 GMT

President Biden may be new to the job but the foreign policy challenges haven’t slowed down. Les, Jamil, Jodi, and Michael discuss President Biden’s first foreign policy speech and how the ideals he laid out in it will be applied to the coup in Myanmar and protests in Russia. Is Biden really laying out a new foreign policy vision? Will his team be decisive or dithering? How should America promote democracy abroad? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In our under the radar segment, Grant pushes the Biden administration on refugee status for Hong Kongers, Michael mentions Israeli Prime Minister's ongoing corruption trial, Jodi discusses America rejoining the UN Human Rights Council, Jamil focuses on the Pope's trip to Iraq, and Les highlights a statement from USAID's Acting Administrator Gloria Steele.

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Episode 64: Deepfakes and China at the UN

Wed, 03 Feb 2021 23:07:09 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes multiple NSI authors for conversations about their recent publications. First, Les talks with NSI Visiting Fellow Matthew Ferraro about his backgrounder entitled Decoding Deepfakes. After that, NSI has a conversation with NSI Visiting Fellow Vince Vitkowsky and Rachida Mecheri on their Law and Policy Paper entitled Responding to China at the United Nations. Should we be worried about more fake media? How is China pushing its agenda at the United Nations? How can the United States and its allies take on these twin challenges? Les explores these questions and more on this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 63: Interview with Bob Corker

Mon, 01 Feb 2021 20:17:44 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes former Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee Senator Bob Corker. What should a post-Trump GOP look like? Should the Senate vote to convict former President Trump? How should the Biden Administration think about Iran? All these questions and more on this very special episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 62: The Intellectual Underpinnings of Biden's Foreign Policy

Wed, 27 Jan 2021 23:18:06 GMT

The Biden Administration is in full swing but what does that mean for foreign policy? Les, Jamil, Loren, and first time guest Amira Valliani talk about Making U.S. Foreign Policy Work Better for the Middle Class and Biden’s first hundred days. Is a foreign policy focused on the middle class only about economics? Why isn’t Congress leading on foreign policy issues? What do the first 100 days of the Biden administration reveal about President Biden’s priorities? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In this week’s under the radar segment Les highlights Biden’s promise of $4 billion in Aid for Central America, Jamil focuses on the protests in Russia, Loren is tracking impeachment, Amira is watching for national security issues in space, and Grant talks about democracy promotion.

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Episode 61: From Trump to Biden with David Adesnik and John Hannah

Wed, 20 Jan 2021 20:52:25 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes David Adesnik, Senior Fellow and Director of Research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, and John Hannah, Senior Counselor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, to discuss From Trump to Biden a report which details the successes and failures of the Trump Administration and guidance for over 25 different areas of national security and foreign policy. Where did America First fail? Can Biden negotiate a better JCPOA? Is it possible to put Putin in his place? David, John and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 60: Are We Bangui? - Continued Crisis on Capitol Hill

Wed, 13 Jan 2021 21:37:26 GMT

This week, Congress contemplates how to respond to the attack on January 6th. Les, Loren, Jamil, and Jodi discuss how the legislative branch should move forward and news out of China that you may have missed. How should Congress deal with members who supported the riots? With time winding down on the Trump Administration, is impeachment moving fast enough? How is China capitalizing on this moment? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In our under the radar segment Jamil talks about the designation of the Houthis as a terrorist group, Les compares the current situation in the US with that in the Central African Republic, Grant dives back into the politics of water, Jodi discusses the elections in Uganda, and Loren won’t be distracted from this moment in the United States.

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Episode 59: Insurrection Aftermath

Fri, 08 Jan 2021 00:49:29 GMT

A mob of President Trump’s supporters stormed the Capitol in an attempt to halt the certification of the electoral college vote. Les, Jamil, Loren, and returning guest Michael Gottlieb pick through the rubble and discuss the implications. How can America rebuild after this crisis? How does it impact our standing in the world? How will our adversaries use this against us? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 58: Pandemics, Warning, and the IC with Jim Danoy

Wed, 06 Jan 2021 19:28:50 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes back Jim Danoy, former Defense Intelligence Executive, NSI Visiting Fellow, and author of a recent NSI Law and Policy Paper entitled Stopping the Spread: Pandemics, Warning, and the IC. What role should the IC have in warning about the next pandemic? Is the Department of Health and Human Services part of the IC? Can we afford to expand the mission of the intelligence community? Jim and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 57: The NDAA, the Industrial Base, and the Future of Acquisitions

Wed, 30 Dec 2020 18:08:10 GMT

All eyes are on the NDAA because of President Trump’s veto but is the discussion focused on the right issues? Fault Lines welcomes Alex Gallo, Lindsay Rodman, and Moshe Schwartz, contributors to the recent NSI and Duco report The U.S. Defense Industrial Base: Can it Compete in the Next Century? Does China’s economic threat change the approach to its military threat? Can the DoD encourage competition in the defense industrial base? How can America be falling behind while spending so much on defense? These questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 56: The Iron Butterfly with Megan Jaffer

Wed, 23 Dec 2020 18:52:12 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Megan Jaffer, a Founding Member of the Amazing Women of the Intelligence Community (AWIC) and host of the Iron Butterfly Podcast which just completed its first season. Who was the Iron Butterfly? What can we learn from the stories of 15 senior women in the Intelligence Community? What can we expect from the second season of Iron Butterfly? Megan and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 55: Trump's Administration Wrapped

Wed, 16 Dec 2020 21:49:33 GMT

The year is winding down but in Washington that means it’s time to argue about the NDAA and the legacy of the outgoing President. This week, Jamil, Loren, Les, and returning guest Michael Gottlieb discuss whether the NDAA will make it across the finish line and whether President Trump had any foreign policy wins during his four years. How did the NDAA become one of the only must pass bills? What hard calls did President Trump get right? Will any aspects of Trump’s legacy be left after Biden “Builds Back Better”? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In our under the radar segment, Loren highlights the increased use of ransomware to target K-12 schools, Les extends the conversation about Western Sahara, Grant opines about worsening relations between China and Australia, Jamil discusses the latest in the war in Yemen, and Michael talks about the potential of an Edward Snowden pardon.

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Episode 54: Who Writes Tech Standards - Government or Private Sector? with Megan Brown

Wed, 09 Dec 2020 20:03:54 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Megan Brown, NSI Senior Fellow and author of a forthcoming NSI Law and Policy Paper on U.S. involvement in setting global technical standards for 5G and other future technologies. What are technical standards and why are they important? Is hawkishness against China bad for innovation? What can policymakers do to promote private sector participation in standards development organizations? Megan and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 53: The Empire Strikes Back or a New Hope?

Wed, 02 Dec 2020 17:08:24 GMT

President-Elect Joe Biden begun to name his senior foreign policy staff to various Cabinet and White House positions. Les, Jamil, Jodi, and first time Guest Michael Gottlieb former Associate Counsel and Special Assistant to President Obama discuss Biden’s picks and how they might take on the rapidly evolving situation in Iran. What do these selections say about Biden’s Foreign Policy? What are potential blind spots for this team of insiders? How can a President Biden limit Iran’s nuclear ambitions? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In our under the radar segment, Les discusses the state of the civil war in Ethiopia, Mike highlights the continued issues in Venezuela, Jamil focuses on Jared Kushner’s trip to the Middle East during a fragile time, and Jodi and Grant both discuss corporations’ lobbying efforts with regards to the Uyghur Forced Labor Act currently making its way through Congress.

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Episode 52 “What to Keep?” - Conservatism and Foreign Policy with Rachel Bovard

Tue, 24 Nov 2020 21:32:15 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Rachel Bovard, Senior Director of Policy at the Conservative Partnership Institute. Is restraint the new watch word in foreign policy? What do Bernie Sanders and Rand Paul have in common? Does anyone really understand Senate procedure? Rachel and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 51: Closing Time at the Trump Administration

Wed, 18 Nov 2020 17:01:03 GMT

As the song says, you don't have to go home, but you can't stay here! Before his imminent departure, President Trump flexed his muscles by firing Secretary of Defense Esper and claiming that the election was stolen. Les, Loren, Jamil, and first time guest Dr. Andrea Little Limbago, NSI Senior Fellow and Vice President of Research and Analysis at Interos, discuss how these moves impact our national security and standing abroad. Does a shake-up at DoD change anything? Was the election stolen? What does this mean for a future Biden administration? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 50: The First 100 Days with Max Bergmann

Wed, 11 Nov 2020 21:17:16 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Max Bergmann, Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress and co-author of a new report “The First 100 Days: Toward a More Sustainable and Values-Based National Security Approach”. What will a President Biden do on Foreign Policy? How will his foreign policy be impacted by a Republican-held Senate? Is America really moving away from counter-terrorism? Max and host Lester Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 49: Election Spectacular

Tue, 03 Nov 2020 19:48:02 GMT

This week, Americans are headed to the polls but foreign policy hasn’t played a big part in the campaign conversation. Les, Jamil, Jodi, and special guest Bishop Garrison, NSI Visiting Fellow and Director of National Security Outreach at Human Rights First come together in front of a live audience to discuss the foreign policies of the candidates and what national security issues will be facing the next administration. What could we expect from a Biden Administration? Will a second term of President Trump change foreign policy for good? How does all of this impact America’s competition with China long-term? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 48: The Indo-Pacific with Ambassador Atul Keshap

Wed, 28 Oct 2020 16:25:46 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Ambassador Atul Keshap, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for the Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs. What are the trends to follow in the region? How should the United States be responding to the challenge of China? How is the relationship with Japan evolving under a new prime minister? Ambassador Keshap and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 47: Bipartisanship in NatSec

Wed, 21 Oct 2020 18:03:10 GMT

The most contentious election in history is less than two weeks away, but Fault Lines is stepping out of our normal partisan foxholes to talk about the importance of bipartisanship in national security and foreign policy. Les, Jamil, Dana, and returning guest Andrew Borene discuss the past, present, and potential future of working across the aisle to protect Americans and advance America's interests abroad. When did partisanship actually end at the water's edge? Can we find any areas of agreement anymore? What are the future prospects for agreement on the very real threats facing the United States? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In our under the radar segment this week, Les focuses on mounting protests in Thailand, Andrew discusses the recent release of the Irregular Warfare Annex by the Department of Defense, Dana highlights the Trump Administration's attempts to free Austin Tice, and Jamil talks about the increasingly fraught relationship between India and China.

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Episode 46: The Kill Chain with Chris Brose

Wed, 14 Oct 2020 14:21:43 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Chris Brose, former Staff Director of the Senate Armed Service Committee and author of the recent book The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare. How are emerging technologies changing warfare? What can be done to fix the broken defense acquisitions process? How does the rise of China change American grand strategy? Chris and host Jamil Jaffer, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 45: The United Nations at 75

Wed, 07 Oct 2020 18:26:11 GMT

The United Nations turns 75 but celebrations are muted as coronavirus has prevented the delegates from meeting in person. Jodi, Jamil, Dana, and returning guest Andy Keiser discuss America's relationship with the UN and whether it is up for the task of taking on the challenges of today. Should the United States defund the UN? Is China reshaping international institutions in its image? Why didn't sanctions "snapback" on Iran? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In our below the radar segment, Dana discussed the United States is planning to shutter its embassy in Baghdad, Jodi highlights the stunning statistic that 10% of the global population may have contracted Covid-19, Andy digs up President Trump's executive order on rare earth minerals, and Jamil emphasizes the importance of projecting military strength while President Trump was in the hospital.

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Episode 44: Becoming Kim Jong Un with Dr. Jung Pak

Wed, 30 Sep 2020 17:31:14 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Jung Pak, senior fellow and the SK-Korea Foundation Chair in Korea Studies at Brookings Institution’s Center for East Asia Policy Studies and author of "Becoming Kim Jong Un: A Former CIA Officer’s Insights into North Korea’s Enigmatic Young Dictator." What do we know about what is happening within the hermit kingdom? Is Kim Yo-jong likely to take the lead if Kim Jong Un suddenly passes away? What can America do to push the DPRK to denuclearize? Dr. Pak and host Jamil N. Jaffer, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 43: The Eastern Mediterranean and North Korea

Wed, 23 Sep 2020 18:47:57 GMT

Turkey and Greece are jostling over natural gas in the Mediterranean and Bob Woodward’s book Rage reignites the conversation about America’s stance towards North Korea. Les, Dana, and Jamil discuss America’s role in settling diplomatic disputes and how to judge the North Korean nuclear question. How should the U.S. project power into the Mediterranean? Can America help hold NATO together? Is America in a worse position with North Korea two years after the Singapore Summit? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In this week’s below the radar segment, Les continues to watch the protests in Belarus. Dana and Jamil have a lively conversation about Iran and snapback sanctions. Jamil highlights that former National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster says that Afghan peace talks are doomed.

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Episode 42: China and Trade with David Dollar

Wed, 16 Sep 2020 13:50:06 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes David Dollar, Senior Fellow in the John L. Thornton China Center at the Brookings Institution. How should we think about the trade deficit with China? Is decoupling possible? How should we think about the Belt and Road Initiative? David and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 41 - Good News From Sudan; Bad News From Russia

Wed, 09 Sep 2020 21:03:19 GMT

You wouldn’t know it from the news networks’ obsessive coverage of the American election, but the rest of the world keeps spinning, and there are a lot of developments to keep track of. This week, Dana, Jamil, Jodi, and Less discuss the fallout from the poisoning of Alexei Navalny in Russia and the ongoing democratic transition in Sudan. What should the Trump administration’s response be to the poisoning of Navalny? How will Congress react? How did Sudan become a source of good news in the world? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Introducing Iron Butterfly

Tue, 08 Sep 2020 21:05:27 GMT

Today, we have a feed takeover by our friends at the Iron Butterfly. We hope you enjoy their first episode!

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Episode 40: Podcast Free Europe

Wed, 02 Sep 2020 14:36:29 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Jamie Fly, former President of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty and Senior Fellow and Senior Advisor to the President of the German Marshall Fund of the United States. Why did Jamie’s time at Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty come to an abrupt end? Why should Americans continue to support the work of RFERL and its sister stations? How is Chinese and Russian influence impacting Europe? Jamie and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 39: Diplomatic Ties, Belarusian Lies, and a Coup

Wed, 26 Aug 2020 12:52:15 GMT

The UAE and Israel normalize relations, Belarusians are in the streets protesting a stolen election, and Mali is rocked by its second coup in less than a decade. Dana, Jamil, Les, and Loren discuss how these situations impact American politics and America’s standing in the world. Will Saudi Arabia be the next to strike a deal with Israel? Can the United States credibly stand up for Democratic activists abroad? How has Africa policy been impacted by the American public’s disinterest? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In our under the radar segment, Les highlights insurgent attacks in Mozambique, Dana decries the poisoning of Alexei Navalny, Jamil discusses the possibility of snap back sanctions on Iran, and Loren shares her concerns about the postal service and an asteroid headed towards earth.

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Episode 38: Do Morals Matter with Dr. Joseph Nye

Thu, 20 Aug 2020 16:46:53 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Joseph Nye, University Distinguished Service Professor, Emeritus and former Dean of the Harvard's Kennedy School of Government and author of the recent book Do Morals Matter?: Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump. What makes a moral foreign policy? What lessons can be learned from the failures of previous Presidents? Can blue jeans and rock and roll actually change the world? Dr. Nye and host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 37: The Middle East Goes Nuclear

Thu, 13 Aug 2020 17:31:50 GMT

The UAE builds the first civilian nuclear reactor in the Middle East and Saudi Arabia moves down the path to building a nuclear weapon. Dana, Jamil, Jodi, and Les discuss the geopolitical ramifications of a nuclear powered Middle East. Are 123 agreements useful anymore? Will the United States be able to prevent nuclear proliferation? How does china play into all of this? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

In our under the radar segment, Jamil highlights the changing tide of U.S.-China relations, Dana discusses the explosion that rocked Beirut, Jodi examines the election in Belarus, and Les laments the lack of foreign aid on the table for the next round of coronavirus legislation currently under debate on Capitol Hill.

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Episode 36: The Intelligence Community in Exile

Thu, 06 Aug 2020 16:06:25 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Jeremy Bash, former Chief of Staff at the CIA and Department of Defense. What are the biggest challenges facing the intelligence community? How has the icy relationship between the President and the Intelligence Community impacted national security? Are trendy dances a national security threat? Jeremy and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 35: Pipelines, the Arctic and Crimes Against Humanity - Global Leadership Dilemmas!

Thu, 30 Jul 2020 14:09:45 GMT

Nord Stream 2 is exacerbating the split between the United States and its European Allies. Across the Mediterranean Laurent Gbagbo is acquitted of crimes against humanity by the International Criminal Court (ICC). Les Munson, Jamil Jaffer, Loren Dealy Mahler, and Andrew Borene discuss how the U.S. should push back against the Russians in Europe and how Americans should think about the ICC.

In our under the radar segment, Les highlights the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam raising tensions along the Nile, Loren explores the legislative twists and turns of this year’s NDAA, Jamil discusses the tit-for-tat consulate closures in Chengdu and Houston, and Andrew discusses how rebalancing special operations forces and potentially elevating the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Special Operations and Low Intensity Conflict to full Under Secretary will impact great power competition.

Can the United States stop Nord Stream 2 at this point? Is the ICC an international institution worth protecting? Will the long-view of foreign policy return in a post-Trump America? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 34: Aristotle and Hypersonic Weapons - The Future of Arms Control

Thu, 23 Jul 2020 14:42:29 GMT

In our second "Better Know a State Department Bureau" series, Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Chris Ford, Assistant Secretary of State for International Security and Nonproliferation. How should America respond to Russian non-compliance? How can the US work with China to control nuclear proliferation? How does ancient Greek and Roman philosophy play into all of this? Dr. Ford and host Lester Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 33: Beijing and America's Broken Immigration System

Thu, 16 Jul 2020 16:31:31 GMT

Hong Kong’s National Security Law went into effect and information continues to flow out about the genocide in Xinjiang. At home, American Universities tangle with ICE while the U.S. Agency for Global Media is letting visa for foreign journalists working for Voice of America expire. How can America push back against Beijing’s continued consolidation of power? Should Hongkongers be granted asylum in the United States? How does this play into the larger immigration issues bubbling up during the pandemic? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 32: U.S. Rep. Adam Kinzinger and the View from Congress

Thu, 09 Jul 2020 18:21:49 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Representative Adam Kinzinger (IL-16). Representative Kinzinger has served in Congress since 2011 and currently serves on the Energy and Commerce Committee and the Foreign Affairs Committee. Prior to joining Congress, Kinzinger served in the Air Force in both Operation Iraqi Freedom and Operation Enduring Freedom. How should Congress respond to the Russia bounty scandal? How can the U.S. push back against China online? What is the biggest national security threat facing America? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 31: Bounties and Berlin - Turmoil with Russia

Thu, 02 Jul 2020 17:40:15 GMT

This weekend, news broke that Russia was offering bounties to Taliban-linked militias for killing US soldiers in Afghanistan. Dana, Jamil, Les, and first time guest Loren Dealy Mahler, NSI Visiting Fellow and former director of legislative affairs at the National Security Council, discuss how America should respond to these revelations and the recent announcement that the America’s military presence in Germany will be significantly reduced. What does this mean for US-Russia relations? How should America be standing up for our troops in the field? Will the US and Germany ever be on the same page? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 30: Systemic Racism and National Security

Thu, 25 Jun 2020 13:51:15 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Bishop Garrison, Director of National Security Outreach at Human Rights First and co-Founder and President of the Joseph Rainey Center for Public Policy. Where do the diversity problems in national security come from? Why are some military bases named after confederate officers? How can individuals and organizations promote a more diverse and inclusive national security community? Bishop and Fault Lines Guest Host Jamil Jaffer, answer these questions and many more!

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Episode 29: A House Divided

Thu, 18 Jun 2020 14:55:57 GMT

The murder of George Floyd on May 25th has led to waves of protests across America and around the world for racial justice. Dana, Jamil, Les, and first time guest Harry Wingo discuss the protests and how racism and discrimination has impacted the national security community. What is the role of national security leaders in the first for justice? How have foreign governments been using this opportunity to push their agendas? Can America seize this opportunity to make real changes which can set an example for the rest of the world? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 28: Syria and Libya - Clone Wars?

Thu, 11 Jun 2020 17:09:30 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Jennifer Cafarella, NSI Visiting Fellow and National Security Fellow at the Institute for the Study of War. Jenny recently testified before the House Subcommittee on the Middle East, North Africa, and International Terrorism alongside Fault Lines regular Dana Stroul on the Crisis in Idlib. How has the situation in Syria evolved since March? What role do Russia and Turkey play in the region? Are the same dynamics at play in Libya and across the Middle East broadly? Jenny and Fault Lines Host Les Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 27: TREATIES - What are they good for?

Fri, 05 Jun 2020 01:26:21 GMT

The President recently announced his intention to withdraw from the Open Skies Treaty and is considering restarting nuclear testing. Dana, Jamil, Jodi, and Les discuss the state of arms control and how the US should approach international agreements. Is it better for the United States to model behavior by staying in bad treaties or leave them? Can the US prioritize non-proliferation and modernization of the nuclear triad? How should we deal with our allies who are stuck in the middle? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 26: INL - Better Know a State Department Bureau

Thu, 28 May 2020 20:41:21 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes the Honorable Kirsten Madison, Assistant Secretary of State for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs (INL). What role does the INL Bureau have in combating corruption abroad? What is the current state of the global war on drugs? How has punk music impacted how Assistant Secretary Madison views her job? Assistant Secretary Madison and host Les Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 25: Attempted Coups and Virus Crackdowns in Latin America

Thu, 21 May 2020 14:48:32 GMT

Nicholás Maduro and Jair Bolsonaro have had a very tumultuous month. Dana, Jamil, Les, and returning guest Andrew Borene discuss the failed coup attempt failed in Venezuela, and Brazil’s new status as a COVID-19 hotspot. How should America treat friends and foes in South America? Should America place sanctions on a democratic country? Can our hosts find a way to link all of this back to Iran? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault lines.

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Episode 24: The Solarium and the Private Sector with Ron Gula and Megan Brown

Thu, 14 May 2020 17:46:46 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Ron Gula, NSI Advisory Board member and President of Gula Tech Adventures, and Megan Brown, NSI Senior Fellow and Partner at Wiley Rein LLP to discuss the recent Cyberspace Solarium Report. How will the Cyberspace Solarium Report impact the private sector? Why did the report punt on the encryption debate? Does any of this actually get implemented? Ron, Megan, and Fault Lines Host Les Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!

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Episode 23: Is the Middle East Getting Messier?

Thu, 07 May 2020 16:02:51 GMT

While the pandemic continues to take its toll around the world, the issues in the Middle East continue unabated. Les, Jodi, Jamil, and Dana put the Middle East under the microscope this week and discuss the protests in Lebanon, the war in Yemen, and the dysfunctional government in Iraq. Why are the Lebanese back in the streets? Is it possible for the humanitarian crisis in Yemen to get worse? How much can America actually influence outcomes in the Middle East? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 22: The Cyber Solarium with Dr. Samantha Ravich

Thu, 30 Apr 2020 13:35:00 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Samantha Ravich, former Deputy National Security Advisor to Vice President Cheney and Commissioner of the Cyber Solarium Commission which recently released their report. What is layered deterrence? Is it possible to create a continuity of economy plan? What is a solarium anyway? Dr. Ravich and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more!

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Episode 21: WHO to blame?

Thu, 23 Apr 2020 18:21:39 GMT

Last week President Trump announced a 90 day freeze on funding to the World Health Organization. Dana, Jamil, Les, and first-time guest Andrew Borene, NSI Senior Fellow and former Associate Deputy General Counsel of the Department of Defense, discuss this move and how our understanding of the origins of the virus are changing. Is President Trump crippling a vital international organization? Is the WHO acting as a mouthpiece for dictators? Could this pandemic have been stopped through better safety protocols at a Wuhan lab? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 20: The Race to 5G with Andy Keiser

Thu, 16 Apr 2020 15:15:11 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Andy Keiser, NSI Fellow, former Senior Advisor to the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, and recent author of The Race to 5G: Securing the Win. What is 5G? How does it impact the national security of America and its allies? Why are some Brits attacking 5G towers? Andy and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more!

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Episode 19: Aid in the time of CoVid

Thu, 09 Apr 2020 13:15:44 GMT

CoVid-19 continues to impact the state of play at home and internationally. Dana, Jamil, Jodi, and Les discuss the international aid provided in the most recent coronavirus relief bill. What do we owe others when we are in a crisis? Should America relieve sanctions on Iran? How are our hosts fairing during quarantine with their children? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.

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Episode 18: Combating Extremism with Farah Pandith

Thu, 02 Apr 2020 19:30:22 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Farah Pandith, first-ever Special Representative to Muslim Communities and recent author of How We Win: How Cutting-Edge Entrepreneurs, Political Visionaries, Enlightened Business Leaders and Social Media Mavens Can Defeat the Extremist Threat. What role do young people have to play in countering extremism? Where do we stand in the war on terror? Has America invested enough in soft power? What does Harry Potter have to do with it? Farah and Fault Lines Host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more!

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Episode 17: Foreign Policy Quarantined

Thu, 26 Mar 2020 19:00:35 GMT

CoVid-19 is spreading across the globe and is impacting every aspect of American life. Dana, Jamil, Les, and returning guest Katrina Mulligan, discuss the implications of the virus on American foreign policy, our adversaries, and our allies. What role should the United States play internationally during this crisis? How is our response different from China’s? Was “America First” right all along? Answers to these questions and more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.

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Episode 16: Maximum Pressure

Thu, 19 Mar 2020 21:49:59 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes Rich Goldberg, former Director for Countering Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction for the White House National Security Council, to discuss U.S.-Iranian Policy. Rich laid out the policy of the current administration in a recent op-ed in the New York Times. What should Americans know about this "maximum pressure" campaign? If not regime change, what should the goal of U.S.-Iranian policy be? What should a new deal look like? Rich and guest host, Dana Stroul, answer these questions and many more!

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Episode 15: Peace in Our Time?

Thu, 12 Mar 2020 19:00:05 GMT

On February 29th, Zalmay Khalilzad, America’s Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation at the State Department, and Abdul Ghani Baradar, a representative of the Taliban, signed the Agreement for Bringing Peace to Afghanistan. This agreement comes of the heels of a temporary cease fire and purports to be a stepping stone to intra-Afghan negotiations. Andy, Dana, Jamil, and first time guest Katrina Mulligan, Managing Director for National Security and International Policy at the Center for American Progress, discuss the implications of the peace agreement on the ground in Afghanistan and politically in the United States. In this episode, Andy commends Amrullah Saleh's piece in Time and Dana reads from Representative Tom Malinowski's op-ed in the Washington Post.

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Episode 14: Can the U.S. Solve Foreign Crises Before They Start?

Thu, 05 Mar 2020 19:47:30 GMT

Fault Lines welcomes George Ingram, Senior Fellow in Global Economy and Development at the Brookings Institution, to discuss US assistance in fragile states. George recently served as an advisor to a congressionally-mandated task force looking at this issue. Can American foreign aid programs address the root causes of war and violent extremism? How are Congress and the Trump administration using the foreign policy toolbox to address crises before they start? How are our foreign aid programs fitting in as the US pivots toward the Great Power Competition with China? George and our host, Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more!

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Episode 13: China's Big Bet In Africa

Thu, 27 Feb 2020 21:52:59 GMT

China is spending $20 billion or more each year in Africa and inundating the continent with infrastructure projects, cheap phones, television programming, and communications networks. Why is China making this bet and is it working? How are the Trump administration and Congress responding and what is at stake for American interests? Guest NSI Fellow Andy Keiser sits in again with Jodi, Dana and Lester to discuss these questions and many more.

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Episode 12: Hot Topics in the Arctic

Thu, 20 Feb 2020 21:44:52 GMT

What do Russia, China and Canada all have in common? All disagree - in one manner or another - with American policy goals in the Arctic, where climate change is driving opportunities and challenges for US policy-makers. In this episode, former senior intelligence official Jim Danoy discusses his paper, “The Arctic: Securing the High Ground,” with host Lester Munson. They discuss the fascinating policy dilemmas posed by the unique geography of the North Pole and how the United States can exploit new opportunities to maximum benefit.

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Episode 11: Gobsmackingly Apparent

Thu, 13 Feb 2020 21:35:17 GMT

Our favorite foreign policy nerds - with the addition of NSI Visiting Fellow Andy Keiser - discuss the geopolitics of the Coronavirus that has massively impacted China and its economy. Listen in as Jodi, Dana, Lester, and Andy discuss what the Coronavirus pandemic may mean for China's place in the world, China's internal politics, and the ins-and-outs of the U.S. response.

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Episode 10: War and Peace, or: How Do You Solve a Problem Named Putin?

Thu, 30 Jan 2020 16:07:23 GMT

Jodi, Dana, Jamil and Lester discuss constitutional changes in Moscow, the future of Vladimir Putin, how the United States should handle Russian aggression and whether Republicans and Democrats have any common ground on the matter.

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Episode 9: Soleimani Fallout

Wed, 15 Jan 2020 18:57:49 GMT

Jamil, Dana, Jodi and Lester discuss the current state of affairs between Iran and the United States, for better and for worse. A vigorous and pointed analysis of congressional war powers is not to be missed. The first Fault Lines Podcast of 2020 is a humdinger! And that's no malarkey!

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Episode 8: The Empire Strikes Out?

Thu, 19 Dec 2019 17:09:04 GMT

In our last episode of 2019, Dana, Jamil and Lester welcome special guest Elisa Catalano, former Director for the Middle East and North Africa on the National Security Council and former Senior Policy Advisor at the State Department, to the podcast. The group takes on the Washington Post’s 6-part series on the war in Afghanistan and the foreign policy aspects of the 2020 National Defense Authorization Act.

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Episode 6: Return of the Founder

Thu, 12 Dec 2019 12:00:00 GMT

The original Rum Bunch is back and talking about protests in Hong Kong and oppression in Xinjiang. In this China-focused episode, our band of former Hill staffers discuss what makes these two very important challenges to American values distinct, why the president and Congress treat them very differently, and how the U.S. Republican and Democratic parties see the democracy protests in Hong Kong and China's repression of its own people in Xinjiang Province in basically the same way.

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Episode 5: Groundhog Day All Over Again?

Mon, 25 Nov 2019 16:35:15 GMT

What better way to begin Thanksgiving week than to listen to our motley bunch discuss Turkey… and Iran? Jodi, Dana, Lester and guest Matthew Heiman review protests in Iran, Turkish incursions into Syria, and how Washington is responding. Is it “Groundhog Day” in Iran? (What would Bill Murray do?)

Also included: a serious discussion of changing power dynamics in the Middle East and how that affects American interests.

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Episode 4

Thu, 14 Nov 2019 15:08:48 GMT

In an interview format this week, Fault Lines spends some quality time with Norman Roule, former National Intelligence Manager for Iran. Lester and Norm discuss the past forty years of difficult US-Iran relations, the nature of the Tehran regime, and possible paths forward for the Iranian people.

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Episode 3

Thu, 31 Oct 2019 14:27:05 GMT

This week, Dana, Jodi, Lester and guest commentator Matthew Heiman take on the seeming wave of popular protests seen around the world in places like Lebanon, Chile, Iraq, France, Algeria and Sudan. They also discussed the dilemma for U.S. policymakers when a democratic friend of the United States, like India or Brazil, makes policy decisions that may not be in accord with U.S. interests and lastly, the group briefly talked about the recent killing of ISIS leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi.

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Episode 2

Thu, 17 Oct 2019 13:22:07 GMT

This week, Dana, Jamil and Lester delve into two hot spots. First, in Syria, they explored the implications of President Trump's abrupt pullout of American troops for the region and American politics. Second, they'll take a look at the dustup between the NBA and China, and what it might mean for the politics of US national security - and they'll also decide who is the greatest basketball player of all-time.

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Episode 1

Tue, 01 Oct 2019 13:27:04 GMT

This week, Fault Line experts delve into two hot spots. First, in the Middle East, where Iran attacked Saudi oil facilities, they examine possible reactions from President Trump, who is now without former National Security Advisor John Bolton, as well as the American public's limit regarding Iranian aggression. They also argued over whether China, with an ongoing trade dispute with the US, upcoming elections in Taiwan, and continued global attention on China's crackdown on Uighurs, tempers its response to near open revolt in Hong Kong, and whether Congress is going to do something in light of the Administration’s seeming disinterest.

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