60 acast.com The Assessment https://shows.acast.com/the-assessment en The International Institute for Strategic Studies geopolitics, foreign policy,geopolitical risk, strategic foresight, forecasting,expert analysis,global affairs, world politics, statecraft,Charlie Edwards IISS The Assessment podcast examines the geopolitical questions that matter most. Each episode opens with an AI-generated probability forecast, which a panel of leading experts then interrogates - testing the assumptions, weighing the evidence and probing the limits of what forecasting can reliably tell us. 


The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy & National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic. The podcast is produced by the IISS Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks programme and supported by Acacia. 


For more information, visit https://www.iiss.org/ 

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

]]> The Assessment podcast examines the geopolitical questions that matter most. Each episode opens with an AI-generated probability forecast, which a panel of leading experts then interrogates - testing the assumptions, weighing the evidence and probing the limits of what forecasting can reliably tell us. 


The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy & National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic. The podcast is produced by the IISS Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks programme and supported by Acacia. 


For more information, visit https://www.iiss.org/ 

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

]]> false The International Institute for Strategic Studies digitalcommunications@iiss.org 6a4279cc5a160c9d6440d31e the-assessment episodic https://assets.pippa.io/shows/cover/1782739258103-febb4a2e-8fdb-4ef6-be6f-34eb95f505bb.jpeg https://shows.acast.com/the-assessment The Assessment NATO and the five percent NATO and the five percent Thu, 16 Jul 2026 16:05:00 GMT 32:58 6a59012df782764c4cfc7a3c false https://shows.acast.com/the-assessment/episodes/nato-and-the-five-percent 6a59012df782764c4cfc7a3c 6a4279cc5a160c9d6440d31e nato-and-the-five-percent full 1 2 In episode two of The Assessment, our experts revisit the Hague summit pledge of 5% of GDP on defence by 2035 one year on and ask whether it's already fiscally out of reach for key NATO members.


Host Charlie Edwards is joined by Fenella McGerty, Senior Fellow for Defence Economics at the IISS, and Howard Mustoe, Editor of The Rearmament. They interrogate an AI generated forecast that assesses it is highly likely that, following Spain’s lead, at least one major European member will also publicly seek an exemption, and what that would mean for NATO's unity and capability.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

]]> In episode two of The Assessment, our experts revisit the Hague summit pledge of 5% of GDP on defence by 2035 one year on and ask whether it's already fiscally out of reach for key NATO members.


Host Charlie Edwards is joined by Fenella McGerty, Senior Fellow for Defence Economics at the IISS, and Howard Mustoe, Editor of The Rearmament. They interrogate an AI generated forecast that assesses it is highly likely that, following Spain’s lead, at least one major European member will also publicly seek an exemption, and what that would mean for NATO's unity and capability.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

]]> Russia’s fiscal reckoning Russia’s fiscal reckoning Wed, 01 Jul 2026 14:54:18 GMT 34:50 6a4513486a72c54c8d6ba232 false https://shows.acast.com/the-assessment/episodes/russias-fiscal-reckoning 6a4513486a72c54c8d6ba232 6a4279cc5a160c9d6440d31e russias-fiscal-reckoning full 1 1

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

]]>

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

]]> The Assessment The Assessment Mon, 29 Jun 2026 16:57:33 GMT 0:46 6a42a2f45a160c9d644ffa2b false https://shows.acast.com/the-assessment/episodes/the-assessment 6a42a2f45a160c9d644ffa2b 6a4279cc5a160c9d6440d31e the-assessment full 1 Most analysis tells you what just happened. The Assessment podcast asks what comes next.  

 

Hosted by Charlie Edwards, each episode takes a geopolitical question and opens with a forecast generated by an AI-powered platform. That forecast is then put to leading experts who examine its assumptions, identify its limits, and bring regional and subject-matter expertise to bear on the question the models alone cannot resolve. The topics span great-power competition, economic statecraft and the structural forces reshaping international security. 


The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy & National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic.  


The podcast is produced by the IISS Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks programme and supported by Acacia. 


For more information, visit https://www.iiss.org/ 

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

]]> Most analysis tells you what just happened. The Assessment podcast asks what comes next.  

 

Hosted by Charlie Edwards, each episode takes a geopolitical question and opens with a forecast generated by an AI-powered platform. That forecast is then put to leading experts who examine its assumptions, identify its limits, and bring regional and subject-matter expertise to bear on the question the models alone cannot resolve. The topics span great-power competition, economic statecraft and the structural forces reshaping international security. 


The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy & National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic.  


The podcast is produced by the IISS Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks programme and supported by Acacia. 


For more information, visit https://www.iiss.org/ 

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

]]>