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		<title>The Assessment </title>
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		<copyright>The International Institute for Strategic Studies </copyright>
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		<itunes:summary><![CDATA[<p>The Assessment podcast<em> </em>examines the geopolitical questions that matter most. Each episode opens with an AI-generated probability forecast, which a panel of leading experts then interrogates - testing the assumptions, weighing the evidence and probing the limits of what forecasting can reliably tell us.&nbsp;</p><br><p>The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy &amp; National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic.&nbsp;The podcast is produced by the IISS <a href="https://www.iiss.org/research/crowd-forecasting-collective-intelligence-and-strategic-risks/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks</a> programme and supported by <a href="https://acaciagroup.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Acacia</a>.&nbsp;</p><br><p>For more information, visit <a href="https://www.iiss.org/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.iiss.org/</a>&nbsp;</p><hr><p style='color:grey; font-size:0.75em;'> Hosted on Acast. See <a style='color:grey;' target='_blank' rel='noopener noreferrer' href='https://acast.com/privacy'>acast.com/privacy</a> for more information.</p>]]></itunes:summary>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Assessment podcast<em> </em>examines the geopolitical questions that matter most. Each episode opens with an AI-generated probability forecast, which a panel of leading experts then interrogates - testing the assumptions, weighing the evidence and probing the limits of what forecasting can reliably tell us.&nbsp;</p><br><p>The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy &amp; National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic.&nbsp;The podcast is produced by the IISS <a href="https://www.iiss.org/research/crowd-forecasting-collective-intelligence-and-strategic-risks/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks</a> programme and supported by <a href="https://acaciagroup.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Acacia</a>.&nbsp;</p><br><p>For more information, visit <a href="https://www.iiss.org/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.iiss.org/</a>&nbsp;</p><hr><p style='color:grey; font-size:0.75em;'> Hosted on Acast. See <a style='color:grey;' target='_blank' rel='noopener noreferrer' href='https://acast.com/privacy'>acast.com/privacy</a> for more information.</p>]]></description>
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			<title>Russia’s fiscal reckoning</title>
			<itunes:title>Russia’s fiscal reckoning</itunes:title>
			<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2026 14:54:18 GMT</pubDate>
			<itunes:duration>34:50</itunes:duration>
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			<description><![CDATA[In the inaugural episode of The Assessment, host Charlie Edwards holds discussions with Nigel Gould-Davies, IISS Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, and Timothy Ash, BlueBay Senior Sovereign Strategist for Emerging Markets, to explore whether Russia could face a formal fiscal crisis within the next two years. Using an AI-generated forecast they explore the country’s worsening fiscal pressures, oil-price vulnerability, sanctions and the implications for the war in Ukraine.<hr><p style='color:grey; font-size:0.75em;'> Hosted on Acast. See <a style='color:grey;' target='_blank' rel='noopener noreferrer' href='https://acast.com/privacy'>acast.com/privacy</a> for more information.</p>]]></description>
			<itunes:summary><![CDATA[In the inaugural episode of The Assessment, host Charlie Edwards holds discussions with Nigel Gould-Davies, IISS Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, and Timothy Ash, BlueBay Senior Sovereign Strategist for Emerging Markets, to explore whether Russia could face a formal fiscal crisis within the next two years. Using an AI-generated forecast they explore the country’s worsening fiscal pressures, oil-price vulnerability, sanctions and the implications for the war in Ukraine.<hr><p style='color:grey; font-size:0.75em;'> Hosted on Acast. See <a style='color:grey;' target='_blank' rel='noopener noreferrer' href='https://acast.com/privacy'>acast.com/privacy</a> for more information.</p>]]></itunes:summary>
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			<title>The Assessment</title>
			<itunes:title>The Assessment</itunes:title>
			<pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 16:57:33 GMT</pubDate>
			<itunes:duration>0:46</itunes:duration>
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			<description><![CDATA[<p>Most analysis tells you what just happened.<em> The Assessment</em> podcast asks what comes next.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>Hosted by Charlie Edwards, each episode takes a geopolitical question and opens with a forecast generated by an AI-powered platform. That forecast is then put to leading experts who examine its assumptions, identify its limits, and bring regional and subject-matter expertise to bear on the question the models alone cannot resolve. The topics span great-power competition, economic statecraft and the structural forces reshaping international security.&nbsp;</p><br><p>The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy &amp; National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><br><p>The podcast is produced by the IISS <a href="https://www.iiss.org/research/crowd-forecasting-collective-intelligence-and-strategic-risks/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks</a> programme and supported by <a href="https://acaciagroup.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Acacia</a>.&nbsp;</p><br><p>For more information, visit <a href="https://www.iiss.org/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.iiss.org/</a>&nbsp;</p><hr><p style='color:grey; font-size:0.75em;'> Hosted on Acast. See <a style='color:grey;' target='_blank' rel='noopener noreferrer' href='https://acast.com/privacy'>acast.com/privacy</a> for more information.</p>]]></description>
			<itunes:summary><![CDATA[<p>Most analysis tells you what just happened.<em> The Assessment</em> podcast asks what comes next.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>Hosted by Charlie Edwards, each episode takes a geopolitical question and opens with a forecast generated by an AI-powered platform. That forecast is then put to leading experts who examine its assumptions, identify its limits, and bring regional and subject-matter expertise to bear on the question the models alone cannot resolve. The topics span great-power competition, economic statecraft and the structural forces reshaping international security.&nbsp;</p><br><p>The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy &amp; National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p><br><p>The podcast is produced by the IISS <a href="https://www.iiss.org/research/crowd-forecasting-collective-intelligence-and-strategic-risks/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks</a> programme and supported by <a href="https://acaciagroup.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Acacia</a>.&nbsp;</p><br><p>For more information, visit <a href="https://www.iiss.org/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.iiss.org/</a>&nbsp;</p><hr><p style='color:grey; font-size:0.75em;'> Hosted on Acast. See <a style='color:grey;' target='_blank' rel='noopener noreferrer' href='https://acast.com/privacy'>acast.com/privacy</a> for more information.</p>]]></itunes:summary>
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